Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Goldman Sachs States This Could Very Well Be The China Century / Stock-Markets / China
By: Bloomberg
Goldman Sachs Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd C. Blankfein sat down with Bloomberg Television's John Dawson in Hong Kong earlier today and said emerging markets are in a better state today than in 1998, "There were a lot of things in '98 that don't exist now, better reserves, more flexibility in exchange rate, better policy orientation...There were tailwinds for emerging markets over the last several years. The risk returns to roost, not possibly, but inevitably. It has to. It's part of a cycle."
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Stock Market Forecast 2014 Thought Experiment Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With 66% of Q4-13 earnings complete, here is the latest update of my ongoing “thought experiment” for forecasting the S&P 500 price based on earnings fundamentals.
The previous two months, I issued a warning due to forecasted earnings being lowered while the average monthly closes went above the forecasted earnings projections. This month, 2014 earnings have been significantly increased from previous forecasts. As a result, the warnings have disappeared. I’ve included a chart below that illustrates the change since April 2013.
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Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Stock Market Waiting on Yellen.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is sitting pretty much on the 50-day exponential moving average on the S&P 500. It will be very important for the short-term to see if we can break back above, or whether these 50's cause the next move lower. The answer to that may come, to some degree, tomorrow morning when the new Fed President, Ms. Yellen, gives her first speech to Congress. The world wants to know her future stance on tapering, and on those extremely low rates in the short- and long-term worlds. Once she finishes her speech the grilling will begin. You get the feeling Congress won't have much mercy.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Stock Market Struggles to Bounce Amidst Record Leverage / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Many Are Betting on a Calm Stock Market. We're Not.
Here's one good reason why: a historic market sentiment extreme
The DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ are struggling to bounce. Yet the bullish convictions remain high. Says a February 5 Investor's Business Daily headline:
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Dow Industrials Stock Market Top in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
To answer that question truthfully, it's way too early to confirm the answer to that question. I have posted previously there is still a bullish wave count that suggests a possible move to 14000 before it moves higher and targets 17000 - 19000, but to those traders that are flexible and can trade both sides of the trend there is plenty of $$$ to be made for those that can find the right set ups.
Monday, February 10, 2014
S&P Index Trading - Correction May Occur / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Gregor_Horvat
A sharp impulsive reversal from the highs suggests that the S&P500 has reached a temporary top and that price is heading lower or sideways in wave 4. Wave 4 is a corrective leg so this can be only a temporary weakness but we still need three legs in (a)-(b)-(c) formation, before we may start looking back to the highs again. Based on the latest price action we see a completed wave (a), followed by wave (b) that may find resistance next week around 1800/20.
Monday, February 10, 2014
Quantitative Easing The Killer Solution / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
On September 20, 2008, the Wall Street Journal wrote: When government officials surveyed the failing American financial system this week, they didn't see only a collapsed investment bank or the surrender of a giant insurance firm. They saw the circulatory system of the U.S. economy—credit markets—starting to fail.
A similar crisis had happened before and bankers understood that if the circulatory system, i.e. credit markets, [continued] to fail, a deflationary collapse in demand even more severe than the Great Depression would happen. In 2008, aggregate levels of debt were far higher than in the 1930s and the consequences would be also.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Emerging Markets Crisis - Anatomy of International Capital Flows / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
The international capital flows from advanced Western Economies to Emerging Markets is not a new phenomenon. Since the abandonment of the Bretton Woods, there has been an upward trend in international capital movements. Reasons are being the growth of international trade and the liberalization of the trade and current accounts in the industrial economies, from the 1940s till the 1970s. Such capital flows are recorded in the Capital Account in the Balance of Payment of a country.
Monday, February 10, 2014
Stock Market Fat Lady Has Yet To Sing. Some Questions About YOUR Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
The opposite sentiment of "gold fever" has been apparent in the stock market, of late, with so many calls for a top and/or a crash. Gold has not rallied to higher levels called for, and the stock market has not fallen to levels that resemble a crash.
Trust in the Fed a little more. That criminal body is not about to let the market go down without more of a taper fight. It is not yet game over, at least for the market in general. The same may not be true of individual stocks within one's portfolio, and that is where the focus should lie.
Monday, February 10, 2014
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The next week should decide if SPX has completed its correction, or if more time - and possibly new lows - is required.
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
Financial, Gold, Stocks Markets Manipulation's Becoming More Extreme, More Desperate / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
In two recent articles we explained the hows and whys of gold price manipulation. The manipulations are becoming more and more blatant. On February 6 the prices of gold and stock market futures were simultaneously manipulated.
On several recent occasions gold has attempted to push through the $1,270 per ounce price. If the gold price rises beyond this level, it would trigger a flood of short-covering by the hedge funds who are “piggy-backing” on the bullion banks’ manipulation of gold. The purchases by the hedge funds in order to cover their short positions would drive the gold price higher.
Sunday, February 09, 2014
Stock Market Back Testing...Now What.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market fell quite a bit from the first day of January and kept going pretty much until midweek this week. The market oscillators got very compressed lower, while the Dow was testing its 200-day exponential moving average. It told me that the market should be done selling for a while, and that a rally should take place, thus, the Spy long that was taken. The real question is once we tested the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages from underneath, something that basically occurred today, would the market just quit, or would it surprise, take them out and go higher?
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
Dow Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week volatile week that started off quite choppy to the downside. Then ended with a strong rally to the upside. After closing last week at SPX 1783, the market dropped to 1738 by Wednesday morning. Next it rallied, over the next two days, to end the week at SPX 1797. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were slightly to the downside: 7 to 6. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM services, monthly payrolls, consumer credit, plus both the unemployment rate and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, monthly auto sales, factory orders, the ADP index, the WLEI, the monetary base, and the trade deficit worsened. Next week we get a look at Industrial production and Retail sales.
Sunday, February 09, 2014
Stocks and Commodities Great Inflation of 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
For over a year now I've been expecting 2014 to be the year when the unintended consequences of five years of QE come home to roost. By the end of the year we are going to have a massive inflationary spike in commodity prices that will collapse the global economy. It's all going to start with a final manic melt up phase in the stock market over the next 3-4 months. Make no mistake this bull market will not be over until the NASDAQ tests it's all time high above 5000.
Saturday, February 08, 2014
Stock Market Napalm - Can You Hear the Popping Sounds? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Once again the smell of NAPALM is in the air. Reversals in liquidity and Massive markets reaction to PUNY emerging market outflows PROBABLY signals the next waves of insolvencies are STRIKING as I write this. Most main stream economists, banksters, brokers, governments and public servants are calling for continued recovery in developed world economies; to me it APPEARS we just saw the PEAK.
As Warren Buffet once said “When the tides go out we find out who has been swimming naked” and we are about to see this statement in ACTION!!!
Saturday, February 08, 2014
As Sochi Starts, 1929 Stock Market Crash Warnings Accelerate / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Good evening. This is an extraordinary period for America's economy. Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their future. I understand their worry and their frustration. We've seen triple-digit swings in the stock market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the edge of collapse, and some have failed. As uncertainty has grown, many banks have restricted lending. Credit markets have frozen. And families and businesses have found it harder to borrow money.
We're in the midst of a serious financial crisis, and the federal government is responding with decisive action....
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Will Stock Market 2014 be Like 2008? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
One of the biggest problems for the stock market entering 2014 was the near unanimous belief on Wall Street that stock prices would only go higher this year. Indeed, you had to look a long way to find even a hint of bearishness at the start of the year.
Just how bullish were investors before the decline began? According to Bloomberg Businessweek, advisers surveyed by the National Association of Active Investment Managers had 98.3 percent of their clients' portfolios allocated to stocks in January before the decline began. By comparison, exposure to equities averaged 72 percent during 2013. It's easy to see from this near-unanimity of belief in equities why the correction was bound to occur.
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
Stock Market Sell-Off Gives Us “Miracle Material” Bargain Of The Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael A. Robinson writes: I was one of the first analysts to pronounce this as the “Golden Age of Materials Science.”
You know what I’m talking about – all those “Miracle Materials” that are changing our lives: There are the advanced composites that lighten our airliners; the great plastics that increase the “cool factor” of today’s cars – while also making them safer and more economical. It’s one of earth’s more abundant resources; and the new discoveries, such as graphene, which promise to revolutionize biotechnology, computers and industry.
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Stock Market Selloff Starts, New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Selling has finally returned to the US stock markets, short-circuiting their year-old levitation. This new downside action of the last couple weeks looks very different from anything witnessed in 2013. Is it just another minor and short-lived pullback, the vanguard of a full-blown correction, or the dawn of a new cyclical bear market? The prudent strategy for traders varies greatly with this selloff’s likely magnitude.
Friday, February 07, 2014
Housing Crisis Was Just the Start, Staggering Numbers Your Bank Doesn't Want You to See / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Many of us may have a small share of the country's largest banks in our wallet: a debit card, a credit card, or for the old-schoolers, a checkbook.
And each month we get a statement showing our account activity, not the banks'...
That's because there's a staggering number that the banks will never show you, or even reference, on the statement...
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