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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, April 26, 2013

Which Market Bubble is Larger - Stocks or U.S. Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: J_W_Jones

Today we have a plethora of companies reporting earnings and are moving through the 1st Quarter earnings season at a rapid pace. Thus far, earnings have been far from exciting and have made the previous 2013 forward earnings estimates laughable.

The only way we get to the proposed valuations is through multiple expansion which is simply going to require the Federal Reserve to continue to pump $85 billion into Treasury’s and MBS securities each month. I am confident they will comply.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 26, 2013

Barrons Turns Bullish, TIme to Cash in Your Stock Market Chips? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Bill_Bonner

We don't like the looks of it...

Advisors are too bullish. Investors are too complacent. The financial authorities are too confident.

All up and down Wall Street... in central banks and in Washington... the stuff that goeth before the fall is thick, sticky and stinky.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 26, 2013

Stock Market Reaches Correction Apex, Gold Panic About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It now appears that SPX has reached the apex of its corrective wave and may have started down shortly after 2:00 pm eastern time. I went to a Rotary lunch today and several members mentioned that they bought more stock, indicative of the sentiment of the day.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Stock Market to Follow Gold's Example? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

The markets rallied hard yesterday, thanks to promises of more from Europe. However, the global economy is once again contracting with the bad data coming out of both China and Germany: two of the biggest exporters in the world.

With that in mind, the S&P 500 looks as though its initial jump to the upside from its rising wedge pattern could have been a false breakout: a move was not sustained. These developments are usually followed by VIOLENT swings in the opposite direction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Bubblemania And The Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andrew_McKillop

FINANCIAL EUPHORIA
Stock markets are at all-time record highs, yet the real economy is anemic as is clearly shown by constantly "unexpected" or "disappointing" GDP growth figures in almost all countries. As we know, one major fetish cant-lose asset bubble, after another, will suddenly weaken and collapse but the equity markets confortingly roar on and up, unperturbed. Looking at the cant-lose asset bubbles since year 2000, we have had the Internet dot com bubble, real estate in a string of countries and arguably a major cause of the 2008 crash, the uranium bubble of 2005-2007, oil prices in 2004-2008, the green energy and cleantech bubble of 2007-2012, gold price growth for nearly 11 years, the ongoing Bitcoin craze, and other cant-lose assets whose prices "could only grow". Until they wilted or even collapsed.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Stock Market Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Ben Gersten writes: If you're contrarian, then Barron's latest "Big Money" poll and its magazine cover just gave you reasons to be on the lookout for a stock market crash.

The semiannual poll of professional investors found that 74% of money managers are bullish or very bullish about the prospects for U.S. stocks - an all-time high for Big Money, going back more than 20 years.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

S&P 500 Showing a Top Formation At 1597 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: ForexPros

The S&P500 fell sharply last week from 1597, finding support around 1536 from where we have seen 20 point rally on Friday. Notice that market reversed from swing lows made in early April that caused a recovery towards the 1565/1575 Fibonacci resistance area. We believe that this pull-back represents a wave 2/B, as we labeled a decline from 1597 as a leading diagonal in wave 1/A.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

There is No Such Thing as a "Safe" Big Bank / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Thank goodness we have the FDIC and the Federal Reserve and Congressmen and women.

Thank goodness they're willing to tap the captive citizenry for as much cash as they need to back the Fed and the FDIC to safeguard our big, beautiful banks from... themselves.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Stock Market 4-year Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Ed_Carlson



Prior to last week’s detour to discuss the gold market my April commentaries have been about Lindsay’s long cycle and how that matches what we all normally think of as secular bull and bear markets. The second commentary in this series discussed finding the high in the current long cycle and the conclusion was that a high should be found between March and September of this year. Before going any further with Lindsay I want to spend this week to see if we can confirm this forecast using another common cycle approach (non-Lindsay), the four-year cycle. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

The #1 Destructive Lie Responsible for Financial Distress / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Mary Rivas writes:

Summary: 

Like seeds, our thoughts about money get planted deep in our minds and multiply.  They grow into ideas, into beliefs that define us.  What if your thoughts about money and wealth creation are poisoned seeds?  What if those poisoned seeds grew into worthless weeds, beliefs that breed self-sabotage, self-criticism, fears, self-doubts and procrastination?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Stock Market, Gold, Time to Get Very Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

If you review Friday morning’s outlook on the SPX, you will find a projection for where it might go on that day. Here is the actual result in comparison. It turned out that the SPX was forming an Expanding Diagonal in wave c. The last zigzag formed in the afternoon shows up as complete at the trendline.

This version of the Wave action shows Primary Wave [1] ending at 1541.86 and suggests more rally this morning since the retracement did not even reach a 38.2% Fibonacci level.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Returning U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500 Relationship / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Donald_W_Dony

During the 1980s and 1990s, the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500 moved in near parallel trends. This relationship was particularly close from 1995 to 2000. This five year stretch produced some of the highest performance from both securities. Yet when the dollar started to fall in 2002 that relationship was broken until 2009.

Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, the US$ and the U.S. index steadily advanced together. However, this 20-year period represented a challenging time for commodities as a higher dollar forces natural resource prices lower.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Dramatic Shifts in Stock Market Equity Fund Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Richard_Shaw

We’ve been tracking the differential flows between US domestic and international or global equity mutual funds since 2002 with Investment Company Institute Data. The shifts since the 2008 crash have been dramatic, as shown in this chart:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

The Danger of Gold and Stock Market Investors Ignoring Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

The cyclical recovery that began in March 2009 has been impressive but is getting long in the tooth. Investors wonder when it will end, and while this can’t be known with precision there are signs that its terminus isn’t far away.

One sign this bull is getting old can be seen in Wall Street’s attitude toward practitioners of technical analysis. Market technicians have never been highly respected on Wall Street and are usually accorded only second-class status in the research departments of large institutions. About the only time technical analysts are given a hearing is in bear markets when the fundamentals stop working and everyone wants to know what’s going on with the market. In desperation they turn to the despised technicians because they are the only ones properly equipped to navigate the treacherous waters of a cascading stock market. As my mentor the late Bud Kress used to say, “In a bear market everyone becomes a closet technician.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Waiting for the Stock Market SPX to Break Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 21, 2013

United States Decaying From Within! Stocks, Gold and Dollar Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Robert_M_Williams

No one seemed to notice or care that on June 28, 2012 the City of Stockton, California filed a petition for chapter 9 bankruptcy protection with the United States Bankruptcy Court, Eastern District of California, Sacramento, Case No. 2012-32118. On Monday, April 1, 2013, a federal judge ruled that Stockton was eligible for bankruptcy protection, over the objection of creditors who argued the city could come up with more money. U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Christopher Klein said Stockton can move forward with a plan to reorganize debt. He twice stated that the creditors had acted in bad faith and had refused to pay their share of the costs for negotiations.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Stock Market Long View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyWealth

Fear has returned to the market. On Monday, stocks suffered their biggest one-day drop since November. Volatility spiked.

At a time like this, the average investor needs to take a breath, calm down, and consider the "long view" on what's happening...

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

What European Stock Markets Telling Us About the State of the Eurozone Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

If you happened to simply glance over the headlines in the financial media over the last few months, you’d think the European Crisis was over.

In November, no less than France’s Prime Minister, Spain’s Prime Minister, and even Germany’s Finance Minister suggested that the worst is over for the Euro Crisis or that the Crisis as a whole was over completely.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Argentina is a Ph.D. in Monetary Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation

By: Bill_Bonner

Stocks down again yesterday. The Dow slipping 139 points. Gold down slightly.

Gold has fallen so hard so fast we can't help but feel sorry for the losers. But who were they? Estimates of the total loss go upward from $1 trillion. Who has that kind of money to lose?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Stock Market Some Unwinding...Earnings Poor....Caution The Word.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

This was a week for the bears. They were able to take all of the key index charts and bring them down with a little bit of force. The indexes were down roughly 2.5% on average, somewhere between 2% and 3.5% depending on where you look. The market had grinded for many weeks and then a few days came with some decent selling which basically took out the gains from those previous weeks. When market fall they usually fall pretty fast and can remove many weeks of prior gains in a very short time span. Today was maybe the most interesting day of the week in that the market was bifurcated in reverse from what we're used to seeing. The market has been better for the bulls the past few months when they concentrated their efforts on the Dow and S&P 500 stocks but especially the Dow stocks. Lower P/E and lower beta stocks with dividends have led the way.

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