Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 04, 2014
Recession Safeguards Are Coming Under Heavy Attack / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: Lackluster economic growth in the U.S. has nothing to do with financial services regulatory overreach inherent in new Dodd-Frank rules - as some neo-conservatives would have the American public believe.
Let me say, I'm a staunch fiscal conservative. I am a dyed-in-the-wool free markets entrepreneur. But there's a world of difference between free markets and a free-for-all for financial services oligarchs and officers.
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Sunday, August 03, 2014
Dow Stocks Index Setting Up To Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
And the matador strikes a serious blow! The bull is grievously wounded but it’s not ready to give in. Not just yet anyway. While the matador’s sword plunged deep into the bull, it wasn’t the killer blow. And if I’m right, the same can be said of this week’s plunge in the Dow. It did some serious damage to the bullish technical picture but there should be one last hurrah before the next plunge strikes the bull dead.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 03, 2014
Jackson Hole Will Signal Hawkish Tone for Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Jackson Hole Agenda
The annual Jackson Hole economic symposium, a three-day conference in Wyoming begins on Aug. 21 with the official topic of “Re-evaluating Labor Market Dynamics.” Sure, there will be debates from the Bullard camp who views that there isn`t near as much labor slack in the economy versus the Yellen camp who believes that the long-term unemployed will eventually come back to the economy once the job market tightens further. There will be interesting thoughts regarding the structural changes in the economy and how this effects full employment, and the mismatch between job requirements and candidate skillsets. There will be talk about wage inflation in the context of the largest addition of jobs since 1997 to the economy where even a bad employment number these days lands over the 200k a month level.
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Saturday, August 02, 2014
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The recently awaited downtrend kicked in this week after the SPX made a fifth wave failure at 1985 on Tuesday. After that the rest of the week was downhill with the SPX hitting 1916 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.75%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.20%, and the DJ World index was -2.35%. Economic reports were also biased to the negative. On the uptick: Consumer confidence/sentiment, Q2 GDP, personal income/spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing and auto sales. On the downtick: construction spending, the WLEI, pending home sales, Case-Shiller index, ADP, the Chicago PMI, monthly Payrolls, and both the unemployment rate and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week, economically a much quieter one, we get reports on ISM services, Consumer credit and Wholesale inventories. Best to your week!
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Saturday, August 02, 2014
The Three Stocketeers: One for All and... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Between October 4, 2011, and July 3, 2014, the broadest measure of publicly traded US stock wealth climbed $9.9 trillion. When one considers that as of the 2011 low on October 4th total US stock wealth stood at $11.2 trillion, this 88% gain in under 3 years to produce "highest ever" records repeatedly, have already been one for the history books, and anything but normal. So is this it?
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Saturday, August 02, 2014
Stock Market Bears Finally Make Their Move..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
It took a long time to get rocking, but the bears have finally made a move that needs to be respected by everyone who plays this silly game. The large move lower across the board that has taken those key 50-day exponential moving averages, and put them in the rear view mirror on the S&P 500 and Dow. The Nasdaq is still playing with it, but the other key indexes are all below now, and did so with some force.
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Saturday, August 02, 2014
Stock Market Buy the Dip, Bail Out, Or Just Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Here we are in August and the debate still continues as to whether the promised bounce-back from the winter slowdown took place, or if the economy is in an ongoing slump.
Why should there be any question?
The Fed assured us again at its FOMC meeting on Wednesday that “Growth in economic activity rebounded in the second quarter. Labor market conditions improved. . . . . Household spending appears to be rising moderately, and business fixed investment is advancing.” It did acknowledge that “the recovery in the housing sector remains slow.”
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Friday, August 01, 2014
USD FMQ Carries on Growing Ddespite Tapering / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
June's FMQ components have now been released by the St Louis Fed, and it stands at a record $13.132 trillion. As can be seen in the chart above, it is $5.48 trillion more than an extension of the pre-Lehman crisis exponential growth trend. At this point readers not familiar with the construction of FMQ and its purpose may wish to refer to the original paper, here.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 01, 2014
Stock Market Down for the Day and Month with a Bit of Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short.US equity markets ended the month with a selloff. The S&P 500 and the Dow both posted their first monthly declines since January. The popular press has a grab-bag of explanations, most notably Argentina’s default, the chess match against Russia, and concerns that a Fed rate hike might come sooner than expected. The S&P 500 opened at its -0.25% intraday high and sold off in a couple of waves to its -2.00% close at its intraday low. The 1.79% daily trading range was at the 97th percentile for the year, and the daily decline was the fourth worst of 2014. The VIX volatility index was up 27.16%, by far its biggest jump of the year.
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Thursday, July 31, 2014
Stock Market Breakdown! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX fell beneath its 50-day Moving Average and appears to be doing a retest for probable resistance there. The EW pattern suggests that the Intermediate Wave (1) decline may extend to 1900.00 or below.
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Thursday, July 31, 2014
This is Bad News for U.S. Economy and Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Harry Dent writes: Volatile markets are shaking the U.S. economy and geopolitical conflicts are intensifying. This is bad news.
Iraq is falling into civil war, like Syria did after the Arab Spring across North Africa; Israel is invading Gaza; a Malaysia airliner was shot down over Ukraine — by who knows whom; and two Ukrainian fighter jets were shot down by Russian rebels.
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Thursday, July 31, 2014
Fed Sends A Powerful Message To The Stock Market Bears..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
As I've been saying for the past few years, the Fed from Bernanke to Yellen has worked hard at fulfilling the duties of their job description. To keep the economy moving along through their actions regarding the stock market. The key to this long-term bull market has been, is, and always will be low rates. Nothing else. RATES! Ms. Yellen was being paid special attention to today, because the world wanted to know when she would speak out loud the dirty little secret about when rates would begin their cycle up. The market was ready to heave once the word was uttered out loud. It wasn't.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stock Market Parabolic Collapse - Sowing the Seeds of the Next Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In their infinity wisdom the Fed thinks they have rescued the economy by inflating asset prices and creating a so called "wealth affect". In reality they have created the conditions for the next Great Depression.
Over the last two years the Fed has increasingly intervened in the market to prevent normal corrective moves. As you can see in the chart below this has allowed the stock market to transition from what could've been a normal bull market into a gigantic parabolic bubble.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
How to Profit from the Russia Ukraine Conflict / Stock-Markets / Russia
Ted Baumann writes: Russia has a history of sacrificing its own cities and people before giving in to the demands and confrontations of dissidents and aggressors. The situation is no different today. And for investors concerned with developing a fortified portfolio of diversified investments, it’s a situation you must pay attention to.
During 1941 to 1945, when it wore the mantle of the Soviet Union, Russia suffered almost 30,000,000 deaths — in combat, through Nazi atrocities and from civilian famine and disease. That was almost one-fifth of its pre-war population. The war was tilted so far out of Russia’s favor that at one point almost four-fifths of its European landmass was under Nazi control.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Greenspan: U.S. Economy Running Out of Buffer; Stock Market to See Significant Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
In an interview with Bloomberg's Betty Liu, former Federal Reserve Chair Dr. Alan Greenspan said the U.S. is "running out of buffer in economy," "lacks fiscal resources," and has "no way to find new revenues."
Greenspan said equity markets will see a decline at some point after surging for the past several years, "The stock market has recovered so sharply for so long, you have to assume somewhere along the line we will get a significant correction."
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Back To Bad Bank Bailouts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Oh No Its Cyprus Again
Depositors only want their money back – and that is the only thing they can't have. Cypriots were understandably enraged at the so-called Eurogroup Triumvirate’s decision some 18 months ago to resolve “technical insolvency” of the two largest banks in the country with what are now well known and called “bail-ins”. Cypriot banks were at that time more than just “technically” insolvent and the Triumvirate (the ECB, the European Commission and European Financial Stability fund) could dictate taking away depositors' savings to rescue one of Cyprus's two most-troubled large banks.
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Five Industries Worried About Peak Oil / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
The debate over the impact of peak oil has been raging for decades. Although few deny that the end of mass oil consumption is drawing nearer, educated estimates now range between 2020 and 2030. But more important than the timeframe of peak oil are its consequences. Some seek to spell the end of life as we know it, so reliant is the world upon black gold. Others, equally extreme in their views, embrace the news, looking forward to a time when humanity will magically clean up its act.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stock Market Hunkers Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. This morning’s release of July Consumer Confidence surprised to the upside, a finding the rather conflicts with the latest Gallup survey of Economic Confidence. But in the real world, the key headlines were about the announcement of sanctions against Russia. The S&P 500 made a shallow arc higher in the morning, hitting its intraday high shortly after the Consumer Confidence report was released. It then sold off in a couple of waves to close at its -0.45% intraday low.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stocks Bear Market Formation Revealed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Stock Market with Elliott Wave Labels from 1693 to Present Day Reveals a Bear Market Formation Since 2000
The following article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, one of the longest-running investment letters in the business, continuously published monthly since 1979.
Figure 1 shows the stock market's waves from 1693 to the present. The circled Roman numerals denote waves of Grand Supercycle degree, the largest complete waves for which stock market data exist.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
What the “Steak Bandit” Says About Asset Values / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Just stay with me here. This is a story about energy – especially oil.
It begins last Saturday. On a trip to the local supermarket, I saw something you just don’t see every day.
You see, I always do the grocery run. It is one of several clauses that have appeared over time in my marriage contract (no doubt about it, this is one document you need to read before signing!).
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