Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, September 13, 2014
Tail Risk - Investors Suffering Permanent Loss / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
By: Fred_Sheehan
In a recent memo to Oaktree Capital clients, Chairman Howard Marks writes about "the time I spent advising a sovereign wealth fund about how to organize for the next thirty years. My presentation was built significantly around my conviction that risk can't be quantified a priori. Another of their advisors, a professor from a business school north of New York, insisted it can. This is something I prefer not to debate, especially with people who're sure they have the answer but haven't bet much money on it."
Saturday, September 13, 2014
The World Order Becomes Disorder / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Donald G. M. Coxe, Chairman, Coxe Advisors LLC.
Is the post-Cold War global boom over?
Since the fall of Bolshevism, the world has seen remarkably sustained growth in international cooperation, brought about by freer trade and new technologies. Financial assets have generally performed well, increasing prosperity across most of the world. There were just two major interruptions—the tech crash in 2000, and the financial crash in 2008.
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Friday, September 12, 2014
Panic On The Streets Of London ... Can Scotland Ever Be The Same Again? / Stock-Markets / UK Politics
By: GoldCore
There is now less than one week of campaigning remaining before the Scottish Independence Referendum, which takes place next Thursday, September 18.
The pro-union ‘no’ vote campaign is back in the lead this week after the latest opinion poll from pollsters YouGov put them at 52%, marginally ahead of the pro-independence ‘yes’ campaign.
The referendum question being asked is simply “Should Scotland be an independent country?”
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Friday, September 12, 2014
Better Days Ahead For U.S. Stock And Housing Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – After bottoming out in 2012, America’s housing market has climbed to a 6-year high and it is probable that the 2006-record will be surpassed within the next 2-3 years.
You will recall that we first turned positive about America’s housing market two years ago and at that time, we forecasted a multi-year upswing. Fast forward to today and property prices have already risen over the past couple of years and we expect them to appreciate for at least another 2-3 years.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Scottish Independence Vote Investor Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
Is your portfolio's fate dependent on Scotland's? Why is it that when a place known for haggis, kilts and bagpipes indicates it might want to be independent, the markets pay attention?
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Gold, Stocks and US Dollar Long Cycles, Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Several markets seem over-extended and about to reverse their current trends.
S&P 500 Index: It bottomed in March 2009 about 670 and is currently about 2,000. The S&P, thanks to QE, ZIRP, Central Bank purchases, and who knows what other contrivances, has levitated to the magical 2,000 level. Will it go higher?
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Trendlines Violated, Sell Signal Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has broken below its Broadening Wedge trendline for the second time today. Perhaps this is the charm. There is now enough information to label the Wave Structure as a Micro Wave I and ii. It is apparent that round number resistance held the bounce at 2000.00.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Cycle - Exactly Where We Are / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I was on stage at The California Club in Los Angeles... being put on the spot. And I didn't have a good answer...
It was a private meeting, so it was a small crowd of less than 50 people. At the end of my speech, I answered a few questions.
I like to give good answers when I can. But this time, I didn't have a good answer. I fumbled around, sharing some facts. But I knew I could give a more accurate answer once I had run some numbers. I promised that I would respond more accurately in DailyWealth. So here goes...
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Broadening Wedge Pattern Being Activated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX broke through its Broadening Wedge trendline and may have activated it for the downside panic to come. However, it has not broken beneath Friday’s low of 1990.10, leaving it open for another retest at 2007.71. Confirmation of the reversal would be the breakdown beneath 1990.10. So far, it has declined to 1991.88.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Italy Stock Market Primed to Soar in the Draghi Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: DailyWealth
Brett Eversole writes: The Draghi Asset Bubble is here...
As regular DailyWealth readers know, we've been telling you about the opportunity in European stocks for more than two years... and about what my colleague Steve Sjuggerud has coined the "Draghi Asset Bubble" since last December.
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Monday, September 08, 2014
Stock Market Final Warning - Will The ECB's QE Make A Difference? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 08, 2014
What Everyone Needs to Understand About Our Markets, Debt, and Empire / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Raymond Matison writes: Every day there are numerous well written financial reports authored by highly experienced and well recognized analysts employed by large and prominent brokers as well as numerous well regarded investment advisors. Over the years many have built respectable careers in following and recommending bond, equity and precious metal investments that have been profitable to their clients. It is a system based on merit; and analysts with profitable recommendations thrive, while money losers soon find themselves employed elsewhere. Working for such firms, requires writing reports on the state of the industry, individual companies, and making recommendations even at a time when investment opportunities are scarce, overvalued, or there is not much new to report.
Monday, September 08, 2014
Why This Stock Market Rally is About to End Badly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
The deafening cacophony on Wall Street for the past six years has been since interest rates are at zero percent that there is no place else to put your money except stocks. For most, it just doesn't matter that the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is 125 percent, which is 15 percent points higher than in 2007 and the highest at any time outside of the tech bubble at the turn of the century. Sovereign bond yields are at record lows across the globe and the strategy for most investors is to ignore anemic economic growth rates and just continue to plow more money into the market simply because, "there's no place else to put your money."
Sunday, September 07, 2014
Stock Market Primary III or IV Inflection Point Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Summer holiday traders returned this week in the sell mode. Every new high, tuesday-thursday, was sold within the first hour and a half, or less, of trading. But the market managed to turn the tide on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. On the economic front, positive and negative reports came in about even. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, the unemployment rate, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the ADP, payrolls, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at Consumer credit, Retail sales and Business inventories.
Sunday, September 07, 2014
The Coming Stock Market Trading Range Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Although you wouldn’t know it by looking at the NASDAQ, this year has been a tough one for many investors. The relative lack of volatility, combined with the underperformance of small cap stocks, has kept many portfolios unchanged for the year to date.To give you an idea of what 2014 has been like for some investors, checkout the following graph of the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT). Clearly, the lateral trading range action of small cap stocks, which comprise a substantial portion of many portfolios, has been a frustrating experience.
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Saturday, September 06, 2014
World Stock Markets Are Topping - Dow, ASX, BSE, DAX and FTSE Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
In this analysis, we will examine both the small picture and big picture using the daily and monthly charts.
Dow
What a difference a week makes! In my last report I thought that the Dow would correct before embarking on one final surge higher. Instead, price made a marginal new high before heading down and threatening to break down but managing to climb back into the end of the week. When things don't play out as expected, I always head back to the charts to reanalyse. Let's see what this new analysis suggests beginning with the daily chart.
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Saturday, September 06, 2014
Sell Financial Stocks - and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
(RESERVE YOUR SEATS: On August 26, 2014, for what seems the fiftieth time, the U.S. Court of Federal Claims rejected the U.S. government's attempt to extinguish Starr International Co. v. United States. Judge Thomas Wheeler said the case brought by Hank Greenberg's AIG (specifically, Starr International Co., which owned 12.5% of the shares on September 15, 2008) will go to trial on September 29, 2014. Wheeler stated: "The complexity of the submissions and the factual disagreements strongly point to the need for a trial." According to Reuters, "a U.S. Department of Justice spokeswoman declined to comment." On the other hand, David Boies, the Attorney of Record from Boies, Schiller & Flexner, LLP, representing Starr International, did comment: "The decision speaks for itself." Former AIG Chairman Hank Greenberg has sued the U.S. government for $25 billion as compensation for the shares owned by Starr International. According to Reuters, "The trial is expected to last six weeks.")
Saturday, September 06, 2014
Stock Market Epic Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Recent weeks brought the biggest confrontation with Moscow since the Cold War, a race riot, a new low in the popularity of President Obama and grisly beheadings at the hands of religious terrorists amidst a major re-escalation of the war in Iraq.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
QE3’s Ominous End Looms for Global Financial and Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
The Federal Reserve’s third quantitative-easing campaign is on track to wind down in late October. At that point the Fed will likely stop printing new money to buy bonds, a sea-change shift with ominous implications for the stock markets. Their entire surreal levitation during QE3 mirrored the huge growth in the Fed’s balance sheet from QE3’s bond monetizations. When they cease, another major selloff is likely.
QE3’s impact on the global financial markets has been vast beyond belief. The Fed launched QE3 in September 2012, just before the important United States elections. This goosed the US stock markets in that critical final couple months ahead of the elections, right when they were on the verge of selling off dramatically. Odds are very high that the Fed’s brazen market manipulation gave the election to Obama.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
U.S. Trade Deficit has NOT Been Bearish for Stocks - Investment Myths / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?
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