Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 09, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations As Investors' Sentiment Improves - New Record Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, February 09, 2017
Major Money Managers Have A Grim Outlook For The US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Several months ago we were following closely as billionaire after billionaire warned of financial calamity to come.
Whether they were warning of a downturn, debt jubilee, or taking large positions in precious metals stocks, guys like Stanley Druckenmiller, Crispin Odey, Paul Singer and even the trillionaire himself, Jacob Rothschild, were outspoken in their stark view of the markets.
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Thursday, February 09, 2017
Stock Market Solid Session with Mixed Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a good session, although they started the day out with a drop to the downside, held support, came on strong in the morning, consolidated midsession, and ran back up in the afternoon, only to pull back n the last ten minutes to pare back the gains and put the Dow back in the negative column.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 35.95 at 20,054.34. The S&P 500 was up 1.59 at 2294.67, a point off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 10.70 at 5196.58, 5 points off the high.
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Wednesday, February 08, 2017
Stock Market Positive Session with Poor Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices were up marginally today, but the technicals were not good. The day started out with a gap up, bounced around early morning, stair-stepped its way down, rallied back up, pulled back, retested, an moved sideways the rest of the day to close in the positive column.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 37.87 at 20,090.29. The S&P 500 was up .52 at 2293.08. The Nasdaq 100 was up 17.91 at 5178.85, but reaching a new high at 5196.27.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2017
SPX is Stretched, But Hanging On / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
It appears that the alternate view of the SPX may not apply even though the NDX and DJIA both made higher highs. Both needed fifth Wave completion, while it appears that SPX is already complete as an Ending diagonal.
There appears to be no sell signal yet. We’ll know it when the market breaks.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2017
SPX Rallies. Will Stock Market Make a New High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
SPX futures are higher this morning, although they have not broken out above last Friday’s high at 2298.31. It has missed that possibility by only 25 ticks, so there is still a chance that we may see a higher print this morning.
Given the rally after what appears to be an a-b-c decline yesterday, the odds are better than even we may see a new high this morning. The Cycles Model suggests it may happen in the first two hours of the day. I have placed the alternate Wave structure on the chart for our consideration. The target may be the “natural” target I gave last week at 2305.00, or possibly higher, should the rally have any strength.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2017
Stock Market Nowhere to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Continue to look for an important top in the Dow near February 10. As the Dow returned to near our price target (20,133) last Friday, this week is set to be a sideways consolidation as equities "spin their wheels" waiting for the big event to commence. Although the Lindsay work would have us erring later than earlier, equities may begin their drop earlier than forecast if they have nowhere to go but down.
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Monday, February 06, 2017
SP500 Index Got Closer To Record High - Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
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Monday, February 06, 2017
Prognosis Of Financial Markets For 2017 And Beyond / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The right time to consider our future financial markets for investing
Since the presidential election there have been many reports as how the financial markets of 2017 and beyond may evolve. Given the acrimonious post election environment, it would be wiser to forecast the direction of markets after we see Mr. Trump’s full team in action for at least a few months, and more fully understand or experience his actual policies. However, it is clear that at no time in history will a president’s fiscal, trade, national security, or FED’s monetary policies affect our financial markets more, which will determine the future wellness of America’s citizens. At the same time, however, no policies can fully extricate us from our overbearing debt, and the painful economic consequences which we are to experience in the very near future.
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Sunday, February 05, 2017
Retail Prices at wholesale Prices – Next Hot Stocks Sector / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
As we close out the first week of February, I’m writing to illustrate the types of great opportunities waiting for all of us. All the trades we share are based on our Momentum Reversal Method (MRM) trading system.
There are two key components of this trading strategy; A. identifying recent price rotation, or B. identifying price resumption of existing momentum. Both examples, today, will focus on two unique examples of the Momentum Reversal Method and two unique setups. Today’s examples are XRT and AIQ, setups that we believe will result in tremendous opportunities for traders over the next 2-3 weeks.
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Sunday, February 05, 2017
Stock Market Testing the High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 has been reached. A reversal should now occur.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 05, 2017
S&P 500 Pivots Off Support Into New Stock Market Upleg / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In our Wrap last Friday, we noted to expect the S&P 500 to pullback further to support before continuing its next up-leg. The index bounced slightly below our expected target in the 2270 range, and ended the week again challenging 2300.
A big catalyst was Friday's positive reaction to the Jobs Report and to the prospect of repeal of financial regulations, which thrust the S&P 500 into a new upleg.
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Saturday, February 04, 2017
SPX Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The week started at SPX 2295. After a gap down opening Monday the market traded down to SPX 2267 on Tuesday. Then Wednesday’s opening was a gap up, followed by a pullback, then another gap up opening on Friday ending the week at SPX 2297. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed as well. Economic reports for the week were again mostly positive. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, construction spending, auto sales, ISM services, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, pending home sales, Case-Shiller, the ADP, the ISM, NF Payrolls, factory orders, the Q1 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the trade balance, the budget deficit and export/import prices. Best to your week!
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Friday, February 03, 2017
SPX Challenging its Cycle Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
SPX is challenging its 2-hour Cycle Top at 2296.60. This move is corrective and appears to be a retracement with the added feature of filling the gap left on January 30. Wave 2 reversals often come off the Cycle Top resistance, so this is not abnormal. This is the 43rd hour from the 2300.99 top. It strongly suggests a reversal may ensue thin the current hour.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
US Jobs Report Spikes Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
SPX futures are higher, taking out the 2289.14 high. The bearish count suggests another double zigzag that does not take out the 2300.99 high. A possible target may be the Cycle Top high at 2295.95.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Stock Market Very Narrowly Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a very narrowly mixed day at the end of the session, not only in price, but in underlying technicals. However, there was some volatility during the day. Initially there was a plunge down to support that held 5130 Nasdaq 100 and 2272 S&P 500. They rallied sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 up to 5162, yesterday’s high, but fell short on the S&P 500 around 2284, which was beneath yesterday’s high of 2289. They came down midsession, bounced around into midafternoon, tried to retest, successfully did so, but then rallied back to resistance and couldn’t get through.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Why Stock Market Analysts Will be Wrong About 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We're already a month into New Year and there has been an ample amount of sentiment data to suggest that investors, both retail and institutional, aren't terribly enthusiastic on the stock market outlook for 2017. Granted that institutional analysts are still bullish, as per usual, but in the round table type opinion polls I've seen they've apparently lowered their expectations. Everyone seems to be preparing for a somewhat disappointing year based largely on the assumption that after eight years of a bull market, surely another major rally is out of the question.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Stock Market More Fluctuations Following Monday's Move Down - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, February 02, 2017
NDX Closes in Plus Column as Market has Interesting Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting, volatile day. The day started out with a big gap at the opening, had a very sharp, pullback retest midmorning, then a 5-wave advance that was much stronger on the Nasdaq 100 than the S&P 500, they pulled back, bounced around, held support, and closed positive on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 closed flat on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 27.86 at 19,890.87. The S&P 500 bounced off the 2272 level to 2282, and closed up just .68 at 2279.55. The Nasdaq 100 went from 5130 to 5159, and close up 35.92 at 5152.69.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Stock Market Retracement Retreats at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX retraced 65% of its decline, a reasonable bounce, before retreating back toward its opening price. Filling this morning’s gap give SPX permission to decline even further. That may not happen until later this afternoon. My best analysis is that SPX may level off in a 2-hour consolidation until early afternoon. However, a decline beneath Short-term support at 2277.08 may put SPX in a position to challenge (and possibly defeat) Intermediate-term support at 2268.40.
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