Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 09, 2018
SPX : The Incredibull Stock Market Plays On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Today I would like to update some of the charts we’ve been following for some of the SPX that had a wild October to say the least. For whatever reasons October has a lot of volatility which can lead to some important lows and in a few cases a crash which is rare. This past October shaped up similar to many of the previous Octobers we’ve seen since the bull market began in 2009.
This weekly chart for the SPX shows all the Octobers since the bull market began in 2009. For the most part if you took a position in October you were generally ahead of the game the following October with a few exceptions. This past October again marked a good spot to take a position in the SPX for a possible intermediate term move.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
US Stocks Roar To Life After Midterm Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Our research team is writing this message to alert all investors and traders of a pending rotation in the US stock market that may happen between now and November 15. The upside price breakout that is occurring on November 7, the day after the US mid-term elections, is an incredible display of global investor sentiment regarding the GOP success in the Senate and the continued business-friendly expectations originating out of Washington DC. The move, today, shows how clearly a global capital market shift is still engaged in the US markets and how much global investors are counting on the US to drive ROI and economic growth going forward.
Yet, we feel it is important to urge investors that our modeling systems are still suggesting an ultimate price bottom should be setting up near November 8~15 and that we could still see a bit of downward price rotation over the next few days before this ultimate price bottom completes. It might be too easy to get caught up in this move, today, and fail to properly understand the price rotation risks that are still active in the time/price horizon.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
Are We Entering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
I’ve gotten a lot of questions lately about whether I think we are entering into a bear market. The honest answer is I don’t know.
First, looking back in history, there are two types of bear markets:
- those that happen in a recession,
- and those that don’t.
Bear markets that happen in a recession are often deeper and the recovery is much longer. Those that happen simply because the market had gone “too far, too fast” tend to be “V”-shaped recoveries. Think 1987 or 1998.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
The Risk of Stock Market “Buy-and-Hold” Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Investment advisers say we are “investing for the long run” and diversify among low-fee funds in various asset classes and indexes.Then they trot out studies showing investors will average 8% or whatever in the long run. And those are true statements.
The problem is that most investors don’t have the 40 or 50 years those studies cover. And they have to experience the bear markets along with the bull markets.
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Thursday, November 08, 2018
Is the Stock Market’s Rally “All Good To Go”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The S&P 500 is just under its 200 dma.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stocks Made a Post-crash Bounce. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The S&P 500 has made a correction and its bounce stalled at the 38.2% retracement.
Here’s our long term, medium term, and short term outlook for the U.S. stock market. As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Following The Stock Market "Heard" Can Get You Into Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
So, I heard that good news is now bad news and bad news is now good news in the market. Or was that bad news is bad news and good news is bad news? Or, was that bad news is bad news and good news is good news? To be honest, I just can’t keep up with all the convoluted ways people try to explain how to view the market based upon news. And, it changes all the time.
Last week, I heard the dollar rally was causing the market to tank. Well, by Wednesday this past week we had rallied 130 points off the lows in the S&P 500, and the dollar continued to rise along with us at the time. This is another Foghorn Leghorn market moment for analysts:
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market
Intermediate trend – Bear market rally
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market Calm Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
With very strong US jobs data hitting the news wires this morning and an incredible upside price swing overnight because of expectations and hope of a US/China trade deal in the works, we were not surprised by the downside rotation in the US stock market this morning. As we’ve been warning for the past 3+ months, we expect the US stock markets to trade very narrowly headed into the US mid-term elections and begin a breakout upside price move sometime between November 8 and November 12.
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Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market’s Short term Outlook is Slightly Bearish, But Medium term is Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The U.S. stock market’s daily volatility is high, with large intraday swings. Here’s the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Financial Markets Are Making Faulty Assumptions about Growth & Resources / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Dr. Chris Martenson of PeakProsperity.com, and author of the book Prosper! How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting. Chris is a commentator on a range of important topics such as global economics, financial markets, governmental policy, precious metals and the importance of preparedness among other things. And it's always great to have him with us.
Chris, it's been too long, but welcome back and thanks for joining us again.
Chris Martenson: Hey Mike. Thank you so much. It's great to be back with you.
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Monday, November 05, 2018
A Year of Inflated Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
So far, the 21st Century has seen one B.S. bubble after another.Even worse, these bubbles have inflated beyond any recognizable or manageable form. They’ve morphed into monsters, seemingly with minds and wills of their own.
There are, at the least, two forces at play here: central banks (the crack dealers)… and cycles. Let’s continue our discussion of the most important cycle that will impact us next year, particularly in the last half…
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Monday, November 05, 2018
Stock Market Sharp Corrections and Bounces are Usually Followed by Retests / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
After a rapid drop last month, the U.S. stock market has bounced over the past 3 days. The S&P’s most likely target for this bounce is its 200 day moving average.
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Saturday, November 03, 2018
Should You Sell Your Stocks Before Tuesday’s Big Elections? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Are you prepared for Tuesday?
It’s going to be a crucial day for the stock market.
As you likely know from the lawn signs dotting American neighborhoods, midterm elections take place this Tuesday.
If the polls are correct, President Trump and Republicans are in big trouble…
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Friday, November 02, 2018
The Stock Market’s Road Higher is Going to be Really Choppy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The U.S. stock market rallied today but faced resistance at its 38.2% retracement (38.2% retracement is the minimum requirement for a bounce).
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Friday, November 02, 2018
Stock Market Barometers, Thermometers, and Recency Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses recent moves in the stock market. As the month of October fades away and is replaced by the month of November, which represents the start of the "best six months of the year" for stocks, traders are all sharpening pencils, firing up slide rules and priming keyboards in anticipation of making some very bold calls on the pending "bottom" for the current market bloodbath. This weekend alone, the blogs and email inboxes are stuffed with glowing predictions of an imminent upturn and the number one reason for this is apparently the "incredible strength of the U.S. economy."
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Friday, November 02, 2018
EWY South Korea ETF, Proxy for Global Tech, Probing Key Support / Stock-Markets / South Korea
Many Street analysts consider the iShares South Korea ETF (EWY) as a proxy for the health of global technology, the semiconductor sector, the chip sector, and perhaps the retail electronics sector as well.
One look at my weekly chart of EWY shows that it has been in the grasp of a major correction or possibly even bear phase since its January all-time high at 79.07 into Tuesday's low at 56.34, a near 30% decline. This decline has retraced two-thirds of of the entire prior advance from the August 2015 low at 42.94 to the January 2018 high at 79.07. One could think that the ugly EWY performance reflected deteriorating relations with North Korea, but, ironically, relations have not been so promising since 1950!
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Friday, November 02, 2018
Sentiment Extremely Bearish, Setting Up the Stock market For a Nice Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
For the first day in 2 weeks, the U.S. stock market did not selloff in the final hour of trading yesterday.
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Friday, November 02, 2018
Stock Investors Are Getting Stressed, And It Can Get Much Worse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
I am starting to see evidence of serious stress from investors based upon the tone of the some of the comments I am seeing in my articles on the market. Well, at least from those who did not heed my warnings.
In fact, even though I warned about this type of drop well before it happened, some investors were taking their anger out on me even though the market did exactly what I warned it would do. This suggests a high amount of stress being felt by many investors after only a 10% drop off the highs. Can you imagine what it will be like if we attained the full 20-30% correction that we see as a strong potential?
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Thursday, November 01, 2018
The U.S. Stock Market is Very Volatile Right Now. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The U.S. stock market has been very volatile recently, swinging up and down more than 1% each day.
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