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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, August 25, 2017

Here’s What Matters And What Doesn’t Matter In The Markets Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

In this week’s Outside the Box, good friend and at various times business partner Steve Blumenthal reveals a very useful character flaw and follows up our shared experience at Camp Kotok with some perceptive observations about things he heard there that matter.

He also shares his notes on a recent interview of Ray Dalio by Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Mike McKee. Here, he says, is the stuff that matters most!

I really liked the theme he developed about matters and does not matter. When he writes the line, “As I sift through research, my head clicks doesn’t matterdoesn’t matter matters!” I find myself nodding in agreement. Exactly!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 25, 2017

What Financial Conditions Tell Us (Two Charts and a Prediction) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: F_F_Wiley

It seems every bank, including central banks, publishes a financial conditions index these days. And because financial conditions typically lead the economy, it makes sense to track them. In fact, they might contain even more information than they get credit for. They might offer the elusive “crystal ball” that foretells our economic fortunes.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 25, 2017

4 Charts Show Why You Should Run Away From The Stock Market S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JOHN MAULDIN : My friend James Montier, now at GMO, and his associate Matt Kadnar have written a compelling piece on why passive investors should avoid the S&P 500.

Their essay argues that the forward growth potential of the S&P 500 is significantly lower than that of other opportunities, especially emerging markets.

Let’s look at a few of their charts.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 24, 2017

The Dow Is Down But Not Yet Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Mike Golembesky writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved down close to 600 points off of the high that was struck on August 8th into August 21st lows. Now in percentage terms, this 600 point move is quite a small only representing a move of just 2.6%. In fact, at today’s close, the Dow was only down some 1.2% off of the August 8th high. Furthermore, the move down into the August 21st lows has still not even breached the top of the upper support zone.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Do Not Feed The Stock Market Bears - Until 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Back on July 15th, the title to my weekend update to members of my market analysis service was “Market Will Likely Top Within The Next Three Weeks.” My initial target region for this top was between 2487-2500SPX. One of the factors I considered in my timing for this potential top was Luke Miller’s Bayesian Timing model, which was looking for a top to our wave (3) on August 9th. And, as we know, the market topped on August 8th at 2491SPX, and we seem to have begun the multi-month pullback/consolidation we have been expecting.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Stock Market SPX at its 61.8% Fib Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX exceeded its 50-day Moving Average, but is very close to its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2453.08. This is yet another “sell the rally” opportunity.

Tomorrow appears to be our expected turn date, according to the Cycles Model.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

... / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

4 Reasons European Stocks Will Make a Big Comeback This Year / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Just a year ago, Europe looked like the last place where you’d want to put your money.

The UK had voted to leave the EU, top German and Italian banks were in shambles, and populists reigned on the Continent.

The issues that plagued Europe didn’t fade away, but the turmoil subsided.

While everyone was applauding the uptick in US growth after the election, Europe recorded higher growth in 2016. This reversal of fortunes has now begun to show up in the markets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

3 Lesser-Known Charts Revealing a Massive Stock Market Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

What’s a fair price for a share of stock?

In theory, it’s easy to define. The fairest price lies at the intersection of the company’s supply and demand curves. The market price at any given moment reveals exactly where that point is.

The averaged prices of all stocks in an index, appropriately weighted, tell us the same for market benchmarks.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Is the Stock Market Setting itself up for a Spectacular Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

“Neither a man nor a crowd nor a nation can be trusted to act humanely or to think sanely under the influence of a great fear.”  Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays

The stock market crash story is getting boring and annoying to a large degree. Since 2009, there has been a constant drumbeat of the market is going to crash stories. In 2009, many experts felt that the market had rallied too strongly and that it needed to pull back strongly before moving higher up.  They were calling for 15%-20% correction.  Ten years later and most of them are still waiting for this so-called strong correction or crash. A stock market crash is a possibility but the possibility is not the same thing as certainty, and this is what seems to elude most of the naysayers. One day they will get it right as even a broken clock is correct twice a day.  In the interim waiting for this stock market crash has cost these experts a fortune, both in lost capital gains and actual booked losses if they shorted this market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours.

Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Stock Market Cycle Act II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Cycles warn that the sell-off in equites during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.

The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017).  Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 21, 2017

The Stock Market No Longer Cares About Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : I typically stay away from politics. Besides, you probably get enough of it on Facebook!

But I don’t stare at politics every day. I stare at markets every day, and I am pretty comfortable saying that my knowledge of markets is smarter and more incisive than most people’s.

And you know what I have noticed about markets lately?

They don’t care about Trump.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 21, 2017

Buffett Sees Stock Market Crash Coming? His Cash Speaks Louder Than Words / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: GoldCore

The Sage of Omaha’s adage is “it’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.”

Editor: Mark O’Byrne

But for Warren Buffett the current environment doesn’t appear to be offering up any wonderful companies at fair valuations. The situation is so bad that the cash stockpile of Berkshire Hathaway has more than doubled in the last four years, from under $40 billion to $100bn.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 21, 2017

Stock Market Correction in Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.

SPX Intermediate trend: An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion.  This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.”  The correction has started.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 21, 2017

Seeking Confirmations – US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

We have several inputs forecasting change (market pivots) ranging from seasonal tendencies to an expected US dollar rally, Fed monetary tightening (such as it is), the 30 month S&P 500 cycle, not to mention a presidential administration in utter disarray and not having done much, if anything, to further the fiscal stimulation (which, the story goes, would replace the Fed’s monetary stimulation under the previous administration) view that much of the stock market’s post-election euphoria was built upon.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 19, 2017

4 Insights for Adjusting Your Portfolio in a Rate-hike Environment / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised interest rates twice this year already and it plans to increase interest rates five or six more times next year. An environment in which interest rates are rising steadily could be a double-edged sword for different classes of investors. For older investors, a rate hike could provide another chance to book decent returns from conservative assets such as money-market funds and CDs.  For 'younger' investors the rate hike could slice through retirement accounts like hot knife through butter.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

The Stock Market Guns of August, Trade Set-Up & Removing your Rose Tinted Glasses / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Plunger

Today I am going to lay out the case of a major market top and how it fits into the geopolitical backdrop of today. We then profile the trade set-up to look for and finally I will forcefully remove your Rose Colored Glasses you have been wearing since January 2017.

In Barbara Tuchman’s “The Guns of August” she argues that August 1914 was when the Gilded Age died and the modern era actually began. The book opens with the famous depiction of Edward VII’s funeral in 1910 attended peacefully by all the kings of Europe. Never again would the body of world leaders be unified and cut from a similar cloth. The war ushered in a new world, not recognizable from the past. Not since that time have we witnessed such diplomatic folly as in the month of August 1914. Today we wonder are we witnessing a similar conflict between a super power and the client state of China which is an emerging super power? Could it unfold in a similar fashion?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and Serbia, Camp Kotok 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

I went to Camp Kotok, an invitation-only gathering of economists, market analysts, fund managers, and a few journalists. I go every year, and I always learn more than I can manage to remember.

It’s a three-day economic thought-fest (and more rich food and wine than is good for me or anyone else at the camp). For me, that’s about as good as life gets.

Come along with me as I share some of my main takeaways and consensus forecasts from this year’s camp.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

U.S. Stock Market: Sunrise ... Sunset / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI


See what happens when speculative fever cools down

The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.

[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]

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