Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 18, 2007
Global Credit Cycle Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
Is a credit cycle crunch about to befall global finance? There are those who would argue that although mature Western economies could certainly feel the pinch if credit trends begin to reverse, Eastern economies are immune from such considerations with growth prospects for the area still so robust. And you need to realize a great many investors have their portfolios aggressively positioned with this belief in mind, having thrown all sense of caution to the wind. What's more, it should be realized what we will call ‘complacency' has now gripped the investing public and their professional money managers like never before, primarily predicated on the belief portfolio insurance schemes disingenuous bankers sell them will actually protect assets in the end.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 18, 2007
Financial Market Forecasts - Runaway BULL? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Coming off a highly erratic two-week period, with certain indices revisiting old territory, and others moving into uncharted waters, one must conclude that the financial sphere is obviously a bit insecure here.
Is a runaway bull upon us, or is this a last thrash of erratic house cleaning by the shopkeepers? In due course, we shall know whether this bull has legs, or if it is a mere fish-out-of-water – in the throws of its last rally spasms toward sheer exhaustion.
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Monday, June 18, 2007
Vast Untapped Riches in the Rainforests / Stock-Markets / Metals & Mining
Martin Weiss writes: I've just returned from Hispaniola, after a few days by its serene seashores and a visit to its lush rainforests.
The island, shared by the Dominican Republic and Haiti, was discovered by Columbus on his very first voyage to the Americas in 1492.
And earlier this year, Money and Markets' Sean Brodrick was also there, trekking along the border area with Haiti. That's where Falconbridge of Canada has been mining nickel for almost 25 years and where other major companies — like Placer Dome and Gold Fields of South Africa — also have mining operations.
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Sunday, June 17, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis - Trader's Paradise / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Last week reminded our members why they love logging-in each and every day. While the S&P turned out a 25 point gain, we produced four times that amount before Thursday's PPI report as we traded every turn like no other site possibly could have. The year of volatility we predicted in January continued in full force, giving us juicy moves that proved very profitable for members of TTC, but not so much for most others.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 17, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 17th June 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the price reaching the preferred target area in an appropriate time frame, the rally from 3/14 should be coming to an end very soon.
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Friday, June 15, 2007
Money and Credit Growth and Stock Market Trends with Ed 'N' Earl / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
“It took five years for Yevgenia to graduate from the ‘egomaniac without anything to justify it, stubborn and difficult to deal with' category to ‘persevering, resolute, painstaking and fiercely independent.'”– Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Thursday, June 14, 2007
Remain Calm! It's only a bunch of Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / US Bonds
“A measure of utility companies lost 1.5 percent for the second steepest decline among 10 industries in the S&P 500. Collectively the stocks have a dividend yield of 3.05 percent, the most in the index. Higher bond yields make their dividends less attractive.” BloombergThe guaranteed yield on the 1-year Treasury bond broke above 5% yesterday and – suddenly? – a risky dividend yield of 3.05% becomes ‘less attractive'? Why were the lowly yields on utilities, which are the highest of any S&P group, not ‘unattractive' a couple of months ago or even last year? Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Finding the best tech stock to own today / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Twenty-two days — that's how long I spent racing around Asia on this last trip. I missed one of my daughter's dance recitals and a lot of my boys' baseball games. But I firmly believe there's no substitute for boots-on-the-ground research.
Reason: Every trip I've ever made has translated into big investment profits down the road.
And let me tell you, this was my most productive trip yet! I looked at several dozen companies, and I have a small handful to add to my buy list.
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Monday, June 11, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 11th June 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: All of the major indices hit multi year or all time highs Monday.
Short Term
All of the major indices completed a run of 6 consecutive up days on Monday leaving the market very overbought. The three consecutive down days that followed culminated in a washout on Thursday that is likely to have relieved selling pressure for the next several weeks.
Sunday, June 10, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Analysis - Don't Say the Crash Word (Yet) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Finally, a double top! Or, wait, was it just a pullback in an uptrend?The volatility we promised back in January has been a constant theme this year, and the market continues to punish anyone that is wrong or just has some of that good ol’ bias. “Crash”, the C-word, was once again splattered across the topic lines of many forums and financial groups. You would think after what we went through this year at the March bottom, and last year in June, people would learn to at least give it more than a week before labeling the move.
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Saturday, June 09, 2007
A little Stock and Gold Market Dip Do ya, Plus a Look at the Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
A week ago, we alerted readers of an imminent June Swoon . We opened last week's commentary by stating: “After 11-weeks of nothing but blue-sky, we suspect this bull may be growing bored of the dominance it imposes upon bears at will. Perhaps a couple of weeks respite in June ought to be a minimum at which this easily antagonized bull may once again become angered, electing to resume its deceptive charge with renewed fury.”Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 08, 2007
What do Stock Markets have to do with the Price of Pork in China? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By tripling the tax on brokerage transactions, the Chinese government succeeded, at least temporarily, in restraining the surging Chinese stock market. But my expectation is that the correction will be short-lived. It's not that the Chinese stock market is not a bubble, as it clearly is, only that more air will likely inflate it further before it finally bursts.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 07, 2007
Significant GLOBAL Stock Market Action Signals Explosive Bull Markets Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
For greater insight into our publication, have a look at the Overview of Tedbits . It helps current and potential subscribers understand our mission in serving you. It also gives a broad description of what's unfolding globally and what you can expect from Tedbits as a regular reader.
In This Issue
CRACK UP BOOM series intro
Significant "GLOBAL" stock market action signals explosive bull markets ahead!
This week we are beginning a "new series" of commentaries and mental exercises centered on the concepts of a "Crack-up Boom" by Ludvig Von Mises. As you all know who read me regularly, I will be using history as a yardstick to the future. There are fascinating thoughts which explain many of the things we see unfolding in many, many markets (art, stocks, real estate, etc) worldwide.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2007
Global Liquidity Crisis when the Credit Boom comes to an End / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Stock markets around the world have been skyrocketing lately. In fact, Forbes reported on Tuesday that: “all 22 of the developed-world markets tracked by Morgan Stanley Capital International are in positive territory year-to-date… Emerging markets are looking just as flush. Of the 29 emerging market countries that MSCI tracks, only four — Argentina, Sri Lanka, Russia and Venezuela — are in negative territory.”There's just one little problem; the Commerce Department announced yesterday that that GDP in the first quarter was revised downward to a measly .6%.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2007
Are the Worlds Stock Markets and Commodity Bubbles Peaking? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Get this:
- China is serious about slowing their stock bubbles. They just increased a stamp tax to .3% on stock sales, formerly a .1% rate. This is not a miniscule amount because it is assessed on every trade - they add up. China has raised interest rates repeatedly, and their senior economic leaders have stated that their stock bubbles are rising too fast. China intends to cool their bubbles. More on that, but they may be the ones to break the entire world financial bubbles - first - judging on the reaction to their February 9% stock declines that led to two weeks of serious Asian market crashes - and one 500 point drop in the US DOW - that led to so much volatility that Dow fell behind in the quotes for several hours that day.
Wednesday, June 06, 2007
How High Can the Stock Markets Go? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Not so long ago a triple point gain, like the one that occurred last Wednesday or a similarly sized loss, a healthy correction that hasn't happened in far too long was serious news indeed. The math suggests why. A 100 gain/loss when the Dow was at 8000 represented a 1.25% move whereas a similar gain in the 13,000 point range coughs up half as much of a move but twice the chatter.
With the Dow setting new daily records and the S&P 500 now in the same territory, one wonders what kind of news will move traders do change course. What economic tidbit will convince them to pile in with ever greater abandon or take their money and head for the exits?
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Tuesday, June 05, 2007
Dangerous Divergences in the Global Bond and Stock markets / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
Once upon a time, many years ago, the US stock market lived in fear of a violent band of traders known as the “bond market vigilantes”. Whenever the Federal Reserve's money supply measures grew too rapidly, or the US economy grew too strongly threatening to stoke higher inflation, the “bond vigilantes” would take matters into their own hands, by jacking-up 30-year Treasury bond yields as much as 25 basis points or short-term T-bill rates by 50 basis points in a single day.Former US Treasury secretary Robert Rubin convinced his boss, President Bill Clinton that taming the “bond vigilantes” by reducing the budget deficit was the best way to reach long-term economic prosperity. As Clinton political guru James Carville famously put it, “I used to think if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the Pope or a .400 baseball hitter, but now I want to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody,” he once quipped. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 05, 2007
Asian Stock Markets Hot or Frenzy? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
The data from the companies which analyze where investors are putting their money tells us there is a lot of money flowing into international funds and especially Asia. This week's Outside the Box we look at a short but thoughtful piece by my good friend and partner Jon Sundt of Altegris Investments. Jon is personally bullish on Asia, but he offers us a graph and some thoughts of which you should be aware before you start putting money into the high flying Asian funds.I will add a few comments at the end, but let's jump right into Jon's piece.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2007
China Stock Market Crash Changes Nothing / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony here, with an important update on China. Shanghai's stock market tumbled 8.3% on Monday … and that fall came on top of the 6.5% one-day drop we saw last Wednesday.
The reason for the slide: The Chinese Ministry of Finance decided to raise the stamp duty on stock transactions from 0.1% to 0.3%.
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Monday, June 04, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 4th June 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: All of the major indices closed at multi year or all time highs Friday.
Short Term
All of the major indices were up every day last week leaving the market overbought.
Intermediate term
Expanding new highs in a rising market indicate broadening participation.