Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 25, 2007
Stock Market Forming Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: David_Petch
I am glad I waited for one more day to examine the S&P, because the volatility confirms that a topping formation is underway and likely will last into September/October (most likely October). The US Dollar declined sharply today and a falling US stock market makes the decline a double whammy.
The upper 55 MA Bollinger band curling down did confirm a top, with the depth of the lower 55 MA Bollinger band suggestive a decline to 1440 is probable but not for 2-4 weeks. Short-term stochastics have the %K beneath the %D within the confines of an expanding stochastic wedge. Given the volatility witnessed during the past two weeks, I do not want to even try and catch every zig and zag. Rather I want to focus on the markets having a chronological decline type of topping process over the course of the next 3-4 months before declining.
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Sunday, June 24, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis: Too Many Were Trading the 4th Wave / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
After calling the market perfectly from the June 2006 low all the way to the June 1 st 2007 turn, right down to the exact date, I could just step back and say the top is in and that I told you first. Unfortunately, I have too much reason to believe the ingredients for a perfect top are not yet in the mix but still out in front of us to simply ignore it and walk away. As of this weekend the confirmation needed isn't there. If it appears early next week I will be fast to work on bearish patterns, but not until then.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
The Dow Industrials Drop 185 Points Friday, the day after we got a Confirmed Hindenburg Omen / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
The Dow Industrials fell sharply again, down 185.58 points to close at 13,360.26 Friday. Volume was huge on the decline in all major averages, which is not good. NYSE volume was 134 percent of its 10 day average, with downside volume leading at 78 percent, with declining issues at 74 percent, with S&P 500 downside points leading at a near panic 89 percent. NYSE New 52 week Highs came in at 88, with New Lows at 73, and for all intents and purposes, we got a third Hindenburg Omen Friday .Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Whispers of Instability in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
There is little doubt that maturing institutionalized paradigms, which foster mounting imbalances of epic proportion, persist in the invisibly slow and torturous erosion across the fabric of collective cultural unity. When mounting imbalances inevitably turn unstable, one may surmise that dwindling unity and collectivism will be reserved for smaller and smaller cultural segments, and eventually dispersed amongst only the most vital of forces who feed upon it - namely the minority of embedded institutions who are most enriched by such deeply layered maladies.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Your Financial Edge - Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere and What Can Go Wrong - China / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Your Financial Edge
Blame It on Stability
That Day of Reckoning
A Billion Here, A Billion There
Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere
What Can Go Wrong: China
600 Home Runs, Calgary, and La Jollay
This week we look at length at an outstanding new book just hitting the bookstores by good friend Paul McCulley (of Pimco fame), called Your Financial Edge . The main themes will give me an opportunity to weave in a few thoughts about some recent data, and a lengthy telephone interview with Paul, done just before writing this week's letter, will bring us up to date on his current thinking. I think readers will take away a few good ideas, so let's jump right in.
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Friday, June 22, 2007
Bear Stearns Caught in Subprime Mortgages Slime / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Bear Stearns is attempting a $3.2 billion dollar rescue of one of its hedge funds specializing in subprime mortgages. It has offered a deal to several of its creditors of the less leveraged of its two collapsing hedge funds whereby it will assume $3.2 billion of their debt in exchange for an agreement not to seize any of the funds' collateral for 90 days. Merrill Lynch has already seized $850 million of the funds most marketable assets and put them on the market, causing mutual funds and hedge funds holding mortgage backed securities to re-price their assets.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 22, 2007
Predicting The Future / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Investmentscore.com
As investors our most valuable tool is definitely the crystal ball, but unfortunately we have yet to find a wizard that is willing to part with his. So if we do not have a crystal ball can we predict the future?
In our opinion the answer is in part, yes. An absolute prediction would be to call specific events at specific times with impeccable accuracy. We can not do this, but we do believe we can reasonably hypothesize what we think will happen in the markets. But what will give us the insight we require to invest accordingly?
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Friday, June 22, 2007
Interest Rates Move Stocks / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
Investors seeking to beat the market should be aware of the trends in interest rates. In the last couple of weeks we have seen longer term interest rates with the 10 year U.S. Treasury Note breaking through the 5% level. In response to the most recent rise in interest rates, stock price volatility increased causing investors to become more cautious about the stocks in their portfolios. The question is does this increase in interest rates signal a decline in the stock markets and in the price of stocks? Before answering that question, consider some background on interest rates. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 22, 2007
China Stock Market 2007 vs NASDAQ 2000 / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The phenomenal performance of this year's red-hot Chinese stock markets has led them to become the most-eagerly-watched financial markets on the planet. While even just a couple years ago few outside of China cared about its indigenous markets, today countless speculators around the globe carefully monitor stock-trading action in China .
And with traders increasingly looking to China with a mix of awe and trepidation, the financial media has been reflecting our growing interest by doing more reporting about what is happening within this awakening giant. Reading news articles detailing the stock-trading action underway in China is incredibly fascinating.
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Friday, June 22, 2007
Bear Stearns and MBS Hedge Funds: What are the Real Risks Today? / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
By: Paul_Tustain
"...What people don't fully appreciate is the extent to which our financial system has geared up over the last twenty years to finance the worldwide residential housing boom..."
MOST SIGNIFICANT MARKET EVENTS cause an immediate and substantial price reaction, which makes it hard to profit from them. But sometimes there's a sort of slumber, when the market gazes sleepily about itself not quite sure what to do.
We may be experiencing one of them now.
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Thursday, June 21, 2007
Fools Gold - Risk of Shorting Stocks 130/30 / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Paul_Petillo
Risk is an interesting topic for investors. The balance between too much and the right amount are often fraught with problems, not the least of which is cost. But what happens when you openly embrace risk, stepping outside of the norm for the goal of increasing returns?
Pension plans have often found their ability to increase returns for their funds locked behind the rules of buying long. Buying long simply represents the purest marriage of research and instinct. Success was measured against traditional benchmarks such as the S&P 500 and it was against those indexes that fees for running funds were generally compared.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The NASDAQ composite (OTC) closed at a multi year high on Friday.
Short Term
For the past few weeks the market has been going from one extreme to another. After experiencing the most oversold condition since early March as measured by upside / downside volume ratios we are now looking at the most overbought condition by that same measure since March.
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Pay attention to the Ratio of Leader Stocks to Broad Market Stocks ... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Every night, we measure the percentage "change of direction" of Leader Stocks and the stocks in the Broad Market. We then divide the two to get a Ratio of Leaders to Broad market stocks.
Leader stocks are named that for a very good reason ... they set the pace and direction of the market. When the Leadership Ratio is high, they "pull up the Broad market stocks".
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Tuesday, June 19, 2007
Discovering bargain stocks in Japan / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: I was still wearing diapers and drinking from a bottle when my mother and I moved from Japan to Tacoma, Washington in 1957.
My first trip back there was when our Boy Scout troop participated in the 1971 World Boy Scout Jamboree held at Asagiri Heights on the western slope of Mt. Fuji.
I still remember playing "wide game," where each scout wore a Japanese character on a colored card around his neck. We then had to fan out over the jamboree site looking for the similar colored cards to spell out the jamboree theme, "For Understanding."
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Monday, June 18, 2007
Global Credit Cycle Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Captain_Hook
Is a credit cycle crunch about to befall global finance? There are those who would argue that although mature Western economies could certainly feel the pinch if credit trends begin to reverse, Eastern economies are immune from such considerations with growth prospects for the area still so robust. And you need to realize a great many investors have their portfolios aggressively positioned with this belief in mind, having thrown all sense of caution to the wind. What's more, it should be realized what we will call ‘complacency' has now gripped the investing public and their professional money managers like never before, primarily predicated on the belief portfolio insurance schemes disingenuous bankers sell them will actually protect assets in the end.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 18, 2007
Financial Market Forecasts - Runaway BULL? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Coming off a highly erratic two-week period, with certain indices revisiting old territory, and others moving into uncharted waters, one must conclude that the financial sphere is obviously a bit insecure here.
Is a runaway bull upon us, or is this a last thrash of erratic house cleaning by the shopkeepers? In due course, we shall know whether this bull has legs, or if it is a mere fish-out-of-water – in the throws of its last rally spasms toward sheer exhaustion.
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Monday, June 18, 2007
Vast Untapped Riches in the Rainforests / Stock-Markets / Metals & Mining
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: I've just returned from Hispaniola, after a few days by its serene seashores and a visit to its lush rainforests.
The island, shared by the Dominican Republic and Haiti, was discovered by Columbus on his very first voyage to the Americas in 1492.
And earlier this year, Money and Markets' Sean Brodrick was also there, trekking along the border area with Haiti. That's where Falconbridge of Canada has been mining nickel for almost 25 years and where other major companies — like Placer Dome and Gold Fields of South Africa — also have mining operations.
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Sunday, June 17, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis - Trader's Paradise / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
Last week reminded our members why they love logging-in each and every day. While the S&P turned out a 25 point gain, we produced four times that amount before Thursday's PPI report as we traded every turn like no other site possibly could have. The year of volatility we predicted in January continued in full force, giving us juicy moves that proved very profitable for members of TTC, but not so much for most others.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 17, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 17th June 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the price reaching the preferred target area in an appropriate time frame, the rally from 3/14 should be coming to an end very soon.
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Friday, June 15, 2007
Money and Credit Growth and Stock Market Trends with Ed 'N' Earl / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Doug_Wakefield
“It took five years for Yevgenia to graduate from the ‘egomaniac without anything to justify it, stubborn and difficult to deal with' category to ‘persevering, resolute, painstaking and fiercely independent.'”– Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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