Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, July 15, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 15th July 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
A 3-dimensional approach to technical analysis
Cycles - Breadth - Price projections
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - The intermediate trend made its low on 6/26 and has already produced a rally to an all time high. But internals are weak and it is not clear how sustained this move will be.
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Saturday, July 14, 2007
Stock Market Update: Profit is the Only Real Portfolio Protection / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dominick
Even the most casual market observers will have noticed Thursday's record-breaking explosion in stocks and Friday's new all-time highs in the S&P 500, but how many of them bought the bottom? And I don't mean piling into the momentum and squeezed out a profit. How many expected the move into the low and bought the gap down on Wednesday? My guess is that, even among all the professional traders and retail investors, the number who really did is very low.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 14, 2007
Inflation, Birth / Death Ratio and Asking the Chinese to Buy Our Mortgages / Stock-Markets / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
The Birth/Death Ratio
Retail Sales Up? Let's Hear it for Inflation!
King Dollar and the Guillotine
Asking the Chinese to Buy Our Mortgages?
A Half a Trillion and Counting
Albacore, Maine, Denmark and Europe
Is the economy slowing down or is it getting ready to go on a new tear? Judging by the run-up in the Dow, the answer is a major turnaround for the economy in the last half of the year, from the close-to-recession numbers of the first quarter. So, what has happened to my forecast of a slowdown or minor recession?
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Friday, July 13, 2007
Friday the 13th, Welcome to the Summer Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Everything you wanted to know about Friday the 13th .
Is it like any other day or is there something about Friday the 13th ? Wall Street appeared to have its lucky day on the 12 th , so what gives today? If you were a Knight Templar in 1307, this day goes down in infamy.
A (not so) surprising decline in June retail sales.
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Friday, July 13, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - S&P Holds Firm Despite Surging Crude Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Another $1 surge in oil prices thus far today, yet the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) continue to hold up remarkably well -- considering also that they have climbed 3% in less than 48 hours.
Furthermore, let's notice that while the momentum oscillators are relatively overbought on an hourly basis, they nonetheless confirm the two session advance, which usually means that more upside is likely prior to the creation of divergences that point to the approach of a meaningful correction.
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Friday, July 13, 2007
Three Major Financial Market Trends You Must Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: There's so much going on out there in the markets, I almost don't know where to start. Stocks … bonds … currencies … they've been more volatile than I can remember in a long time.
But when I sort through the confusion, I see there are really three major trends driving the action. These three forces could very well hold the key to your investment performance over the next several months. So I want to share them with you right away …
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Thursday, July 12, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Big Cap Stocks Outperforming Small Caps / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
One very interesting aspect of today's action is the outperformance of the BIG CAPS versus the small caps, which has widened my ratio spread long Dow Diamonds (AMEX: DIA)/short iShares Russell 2000 Index (AMEX: IWM) in a lopsided, powerful upday.... a signal perhaps that the leadership in this new upleg is being narrowed to the highly capitalized, substantial companies. It is with that in mind, that we take a look at the DJIA pattern.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Nasdaq Looking Set to Start a New Upleg / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So far this morning's low at 48.29 in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) is looking very much like the conclusion of the pullback off of Monday's 48.99 high as well as the start of a new upleg. If all of the above proves accurate, then the current "up bar" on the 4-hour chart represents the initiation of a new advance that should hurdle 48.99 on the way to at least 49.50/60 and, more than likely, on the way to 50.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 10, 2007
Today's Stock Market headline: Testing, Testing, Testing ... 3 Indexes at a stress level? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
There are 3 important testing levels, all occurring today, in the market on the S&P 500, the DOW, and our Institutional Index. Each chart is below showing their respective resistance levels being tested.
Chart 1: The S&P 500
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Tuesday, July 10, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Early Session Lows for S&P / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Today's swoon to a low so far at 151.81 has pressed the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) nearly to test the June-July support line at 151.70. The early-session weakness hit a low above the trendline, and has since reversed sharply in what is starting to look like the completion of the correction off of the 153.30 high from yesterday.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 09, 2007
The Summer Pause That Refreshes the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
By: Hans_Wagner
There is a Wall Street phrase that “Sell in May and go Away” that means that most of the money tends to be made between November and May. There are actual studies that have shown if one were fully invested in the market from November to May and then moved their money into safe interest bearing instruments like CDs, they make more money than staying invested in the market throughout the year. Now that we are entering the heart of summer, we need to consider if 2007 will follow a similar pattern.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 09, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Circling SPY Uptrend / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The fact that the SPDRs (AMEX: SPY) have been circling unchanged for the entire session is fairly remarkable when we consider that it has climbed 3.3% in the last 7 sessions. In fact, let's also notice that every pullback within the upmove has established a higher low – this morning's swoon to 152.62 included, which preserves the integrity of the immediate- and near-term uptrends.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 09, 2007
The Perfect Financial Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Captain_Hook
Below is an excerpt from a commentary that originally appeared at Treasure Chests for the benefit of subscribers on Tuesday, June 19th , 2007.
Have we finally arrived – arrived at the point where we can say the perfect storm is unfolding before our very eyes? I don't know about you, but in my eyes it appears this may very well prove the case. Certainly one of the more important factors in this regard has got to be the inevitable war with Iran military forces appear to be preparing for that could send oil prices substantially higher . Not much will be getting through the Strait of Hormuz if war breaks out based on the arsenal Iranians are building up at present, where oil could go into triple digits, never mind $75 or $80. And even if war with Iran is averted, it's becoming more apparent every day that simple supply side constraints set against exploding demand will eventually send crude prices skyrocketing anyway. This you can count on, and you can count on it changing the way we live in just a few years from now. That's right, in not so many years from now you will look back on today and think – those were the good old days.
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Monday, July 09, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - The Wall Street Fire is Contained / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The fireworks in the sky across the nation had nothing on the fireworks on Wall Street last week, as continued takeover activity spurred stocks higher – even in the face of gathering storm clouds (energy prices and bond yields). The fireworks were also in the economic data, as employment gains continued to run faster than expectations and the ISM data from both manufacturers and services also showed economic strength.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 08, 2007
US Economy on Life-Support and Global Financial System on Brink of Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Richard_C_Cook
Remember when the U.S. was the world's greatest industrial democracy? Barely thirty years ago the output of our producing economy and the skills of our workforce led the world.
What happened? It's hard to believe that in the space of a generation our character and capabilities just collapsed as, for example, did our steel and automobile industries and our family farming. What then are the causes of the decline?
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Sunday, July 08, 2007
Stock Market Update: Shortened Week Still Long on Profits / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
For quite awhile now, I've hinted and even explicitly stated there would come a time I would don the proverbial bear suit and switch to fading rallies. But, because part of my unbiased trading style is the discipline to wait for confirmation, TTC members have had to forego really juicy doom and gloom forecasts and settle for trading both sides of the tape… and making money! As I've also said several times, successful trading has a huge psychological component, and keeping our heads in the game, in addition to hours of hard work, is a key factor of our ongoing wins.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 07, 2007
Update Four Year Stock Market Cycle - The Dow Holding on but Overdone / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Tim_Wood
Since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896 there has been a long-term ebb and flow in the stock market known by many as the 4-year cycle. There have been 27 such completed 4-year cycles with an average duration of 47.04 months. I have identified specific common elements and markers that have occurred at all previous 4-year cycle tops and bottoms. Given that none of these common elements or markers have been seen since the 2002 4-year cycle low, the evidence continues to suggest that the market has not made a 4-year cycle top or bottom since the 2002 low. This in turn means that we are now seeing one of the longest 4-year cycles in stock market history. In the past, even the longest 4-year cycle advances ultimately ended with a decline into a low that was sufficient enough to trigger the same markers of all other 4-year cycle tops and bottoms.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 06, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Internet Holders Trust (HHH) Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
I told our subscribers early this AM that I wanted to reduce exposure to the long side, especially with oil prices rocketing, and bond prices plummeting. However, when I see a chart pattern like the enclosed upside breakout in the Internet HLDRs (AMEX: HHH) from a two month bullish coil, I view it differently than a mature upleg in an instrument that likely will be much more vulnerable to the swings in oil and bonds-- and gyrations of the major equity averages.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 05, 2007
Wall Street Firecrackers and Picnics / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Andy_Sutton
When the Fourth of July rolls around, thoughts generally turn to picnics, pools, and fireworks. Ok, you know I didn't check in this week to write about picnics and pools. However, I am going to talk a bit about fireworks, but probably not the same ones you'll see in the skies above many American cities tonight. I am talking about a cache of fireworks that Wall Street et al are trying desperately to keep under wraps.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 05, 2007
Stock Market Investments - Take Profits Now! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: I hope you had a nice holiday yesterday. I'm making a semi-long weekend out of this year's Fourth of July, by working half-days today and tomorrow. That will allow me to catch up on some much needed R&R.
But don't think for a minute that my market antennae are down. Quite to the contrary, when I "take a break," it means watching the markets six hours a day instead of the usual 18!
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