Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 25, 2007
Is Global Stock Market Exuberance Rational / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Peter_Schiff
As stocks markets around the world rise to record highs, even former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan could not refrain from raising concerns about surging Chinese stocks. Lest we forget, Greenspan is on record for declaring the impossibility of spotting a bubble before it bursts. But in the few times that he has violated his own credo, his vision has proven invariably faulty.
Not only did he warn of irrational exuberance in the U.S. just before a five-fold increase in the NASDAQ, but he became one of the markets biggest boosters once the market peaked. Based on his track record, I interpret his statements as a screaming buy signal for Chinese stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Utility Futility Suggests the Bear is Growling / Stock-Markets / US Utilities
By: Brady_Willett
With S&P 500 bank/financial stocks the worst performing sectors so far in 2007, it is becoming clear that the inverted yield curve has damaged investor confidence in the group. Conversely, with utility stocks the best performing sector this year, it is obvious that investors have continued their defensive hunt for yield. Suffice to say, given that financial stocks typically outperform early in the cycle and utilities tend to beat other sectors late (or in the down cycle), the action in 2007 would seem to suggest that the bear is growling.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Financial Markets Timing Signals You Must Watch! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: A couple times a year I like to give you my roadmaps of the markets. They are based on actual signals from my computer models. I watch these signals very closely because they tell me when a fork … speed bump … or U-turn is coming in the markets.
They are critical signals, and they should not be ignored. They're not always right. But after 30 years of developing and fine-tuning my system, I can safely say that the economic models they are based on are right far more often than they are wrong.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 23, 2007
Going Ballistic: The Hard Facts about Parabolic Spikes Such as China's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Doug_Wakefield
Living through a mania is supposed to be a once in a lifetime event. For example, the French, who lived through the implosion of the Mississippi Scheme, and the English, who lived the South Sea Bubble collapse in the 1720s, did not see the same parabolic rises again during their lifetimes. Or for a more recent example, consider the parabolic rise of the Nikkei to its all time high in 1989, the aftermath of which has since changed the disposition of the Japanese toward their stock market. As we mentioned in The Nikkei: Raiders of the Lost Ark , Japanese nationals have a different view of their stock market than foreign hedge fund managers.
“Although there is a problem in that its [ Japan 's] stock market is supported primarily by foreign investors, Japanese nationals make up 95% of its government bond market." 1
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
Make That a Cheap Money Bubble to Go / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Adrian_Ash
"...From Shanghai to Soho, the flood of cheap money is causing fresh mischief each day. Investors beware! Creating value is fast losing out to just taking profits..."
"WHY NOT SELL UP? He's been grilling cheese sandwiches for the last 40 years. Now his café and the apartment upstairs are worth £2.5 million [just shy of $5 million]. He can retire rich overnight!
"So what if Costa Coffee or one of the other chains move in? Okay, London's famously cool Soho district loses character...and it loses a little institution, too. But who cares? This guy certainly doesn't. He cashes out and never has to make a frothy coffee again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
The Ballistic Brazilian Bovespa Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Gary_Dorsch
Higher prices for commodities from coffee to soybeans and iron ore to crude oil, have brought new found wealth to Brazil. Since the election of President Lula de Silva in 2003, Brazil has emerged as a major player in global trade, and its currency - the real, has climbed by 70% against the US dollar, with a trade deficit shifting into a massive surplus. The Bovespa index on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange reached a record high of 52,750 this week, and is up 18.2% so far in 2007.Brazil economic output rose to $1.6 trillion last year, or half of South America's GDP, and making it the ninth largest economy in the world. Brazil occupies half the South American continent, contains half of its population with 200 million, and is the fifth most populous country in the world. However, there are vast disparities in the distribution of the country's land and wealth, and Brazil has the greatest number of people living in poverty in all of Latin America.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
New Investing Boom in Hong Kong / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: Greetings from Shenzhen, China!
I just got here this morning, after stops in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
And as you might guess, traveling like this can get exhausting. But while I was in Hong Kong, I got a much needed shot of adrenaline.
That's because the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced a sweeping change that will permit Chinese institutional investors — banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds — to invest billions in the Hong Kong stock market.
In other words, the timing of my trip couldn't have been better! Everything tells me money is going to pour into Hong Kong equities, sending some of them to the moon. And investors who take advantage of this monumental opportunity stand to reap amazing profits. Let me explain …
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
Nolte Notes - Market Equilibrium / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Ladies and gentlemen: we have reached cruising speed, the turbulence of a few months ago is merely a memory and with the added boosts from mergers and acquisitions, we should be flying by the moon in just a couple of weeks. While just a bit fanciful, the markets are not interested in stopping or even slowing down for economic reports that conflict with the view that all is well in the world of investing. While the current euphoria over stock investing will likely last for a while longer, we are surprised at the few actual declines in the markets over the past two months. Housing, the kill-joy of the economy (along with the recent poor reports on retail sales) still shows little in the way of good news, as starts looked ok, but permits (the future construction) declined again – as did the index of sentiment of home builders n general.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 21, 2007
Honest Money Financial Markets Wrap - Stocks, Commodities and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Economy
The Conference Board reported that the U.S. leading index decreased 0.5%, the coincident index increased 0.2%, and the lagging index increased 0.2% last month (April). In April, the NAHB's (national association of home builders) index registered 33; for May, it was 30. The trend is clearly headed down. This is not good.
The Philly Fed Index came in at +4.2 compared with the previous +0.2. For April, the Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 88.7 from 87.1. This is good.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 21, 2007
Regulation of FInancial Markets - The Pursuit of Principles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_Petillo
While many of us have been focusing on mortgage meltdowns, stock surges and inflation indicators, several of our distinguished financial leaders have been looking for ways to improve the marketplace.
Using the argument that rules tend to squash innovation and do little to lure the rest of the globe to our financial shores, the call for more principles and less regulation is quietly making its way out of the backroom and closer to reality.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 21, 2007
The NEXT foreign stock market to blast off ... / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: My global team and I aren't in a race to pick the world's leading stock market.
But right now, the star performer happens to be my personal favorite: Brazil. (And soon, the spotlight could shift to another market I'll tell you about in just a moment.)
Back in January, I told you Brazil was primed to be another "China-like miracle ." I explained why Brazil is one of the greatest beneficiaries of the China boom .
And I told you how Brazil's ethanol explosion would help propel the country even further.
Plus, two weeks ago, I gave you a heads up that Brazil would soon be upgraded by a major U.S. rating agency.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 21, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 21st May 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
A 3-dimensional approach to technical analysis
Cycles - Breadth - Price projections
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the price reaching the preferred target area, the rally from 3/14 should be coming to an end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 20, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Analysis - Houston , We Have LIFT OFF! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Can you believe we're just a day's rally away from the 2000 high? I'm sure plenty of investors out there would rather forget about that time, as they were probably buying only to sell out during the severe decline going into the 2002 lows. Now they're wondering if they should be back in. Well, there's thirty-plus points to go and lots of mistakes can be buried in Elliott land as if they never existed.
Some say that controlling emotions is an important part of trading. I say it could be the most important part. The two most destructive emotions for trading are Fear and Greed. I'm sure both have been wreaking havoc lately and are about to kick in on an even more massive scale.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 20, 2007
The Sock Market Raging Bulls / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Russo
Two weeks ago, we shared with readers a perception that equity markets were bullish like no tomorrow . That general assessment has held course thus far. However, intermediate level timing models are suggesting that equity markets may be fast approaching a juncture of pivotal import. If so, many broad market indices will soon elect one of three critical paths in the days and weeks ahead. Our continued diligence monitoring minor degree trends, together with intra-day price structures; enables us to anticipate which of these critical paths each market is in the process of adopting.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 19, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 19th May 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The blue chip indices hit multi year or all time highs last week.
Short Term
Some of the small cap short term indicators appeared to have bottomed and turned upward last week. Seasonally the last week and a half in May have been strong, so it appears likely the recent weakness in the small caps is ending.
Friday, May 18, 2007
The Dow Theory…..Did it Fail? / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
As the Industrials topped out in 2000 and plunged nearly 38 percent into the 2002 low, every indication, according to Dow theory, was that an extended secular bear market had begun. Also, because of the Dow theory phasing along with the normal bull and bear market relationships, as the rally from the 2002 low began, indications were that this was the rally separating Phase I from Phase II of a much longer-term bear market. So, what went wrong? In this article I want to examine the chain of events that have transpired since the 2002 low and in doing so look at where we are and the lessons that have been learned.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 18, 2007
Elliott Wave on the Dow Jones Index - Ending Diagonal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dan_Stinson
Short Term Forecast
The DOW and S&P500 are in ending diagonal patterns, indicating that the rally is near completion in a terminal pattern. We should see further choppy upside to complete the pattern, but when ending diagonals complete they are followed by a sharp decline to the starting point of the pattern. The ending diagonal patterns began on May 1st, so we should see a sharp decline to the price action near this date. We then would expect to see a corrective rally in wave 2 up not to make a new high, before further substantial downside.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 18, 2007
Gold, Silver and The Dow Jones Index / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver
By: Investmentscore.com
This article examines the current Silver market, Gold market and the Dow Jones Industrial average from a big picture perspective. As always our material is kept simple and easy to understand as we think simplicity is the secret to success.
A picture speaks a thousand words. We think a major macro market trend has been underway since about 2000, and this trend will not stop until an extreme is met in the direction traveled. This trend will take breaks, it will not proceed in a straight line, but ultimately we believe it will continue in the direction it is headed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2007
Recipe for a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Clif_Droke
Over the past few days I've received quite a few nervous inquiries from investors who worry about the potential for the stock market to crash sometimes between now and year end. Part of this fear is founded on what is known as the Year Seven Phenomenon, which says that the seventh year of the decade usually sees a substantial stock market decline or even a crash, a ‘la 1987 and 1997.
The combined influence of the mythology surrounding the Year Seven Phenomenon is often used by perma-bear newsletter writers into scaring their readers away from the stock market during the seventh year of any given decade. A reflection of this latent fear, which all investors have had at one time or other, is found in the following e-mail I received recently: “I am still scared about that history of all years ending in 6 & 7 suffering one 20% correction since 1856.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2007
Casino Royale, China and the ghosts of 1929 and POP Goes the Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Ty_Andros
No matter where you turn for your financial news, one item regularly makes it way to the front page. It is the amazing bull markets in Shanghai , and Shenzhen , China . These phenomenal bull runs reflect a number of situations emerging from China . But make no mistake, to glean important economic signals from the price action and say it reflects the economy of China is not one of them.
They are casinos, pure and simple. Up until recently they could have crashed and the Chinese economy would not have sneezed, two years ago stock brokers in China, were viewed as they were in America in 1982, their names were mud as anything you gave them quickly turned into mud. My wife is currently visiting China , as she should as she is CHINESE. She just left Shenzhen and is now in Chang Chun, with family visits in Beijing and Shanghai still on the schedule.
Read full article... Read full article...