Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 03, 2007
Sub Prime Mortgage Woes, US Dollar, Gold and Liquidity / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Christopher_Laird
As further revelations of sub prime derivative losses emerge after the latest Bear Stearns episode, the USD takes another hit. Indeed, Right after the Bear mess came out in the news, the USD has been falling badly. Obviously, gold eventually is reacting to the continuing decline. We are looking at a rapid test of the approximately 80.5 level of the USDX. Of course, it took gold a while to react to the weakening USD.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 03, 2007
Hedge Funds and CDO Investment Landfills: How professionals dump their toxic waste on you / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Paul_Tustain
"...Not sure what happened at Bear Stearns? The root cause might surprise you. You might also find your own investment funds at risk, after being used as a landfill for the same kind of toxic waste..."
THIS IS NOT the idle chatter of permanent bears. The subprime mortgage collapse now hitting Bear Stearns may be just the start.
Serious analysts from big investment firms are talking ominously about "the big one". It will make you angry to learn just how the investment industry has got you involved.
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Tuesday, July 03, 2007
Markets Continue to Rise into 2007. Growth is More Important Than Safety / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Donald_W_Dony
The long-term relative strength analysis between the S&P 600 Small Cap Index and the Consumer Staples Sector ETF is a very valuable indicator that investors should monitor closely. This is because it provides an important timing tool for determining the top of the four year cycle and the stock market.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 03, 2007
Equity Markets Ignore Rising Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Oil has been making an impressive move this past month. As seen through the chart of its ETF the U.S. Oil Trust (USO), oil is pushing against very important intermediate-term resistance plateaus. This starts at 53.50 in the USO and extends up to 55.20. If hurdled, it will unleash a $4 to $7 optimal advance and possibly a $10 upmove to complete the powerful 10-month base pattern.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
Knights of the Round Table: Mapping out the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: John_Mauldin
This week in a very special Outside the Box we have an investment outlook tour de force. My friend and South African business partner Dr. Prieur du Plessis gathered a group of some of the more interesting investment managers in the industry, along with your humble analyst, and let us have the opportunity to opine on what is driving various markets and their respective implications.
We begin with the U.S. economy, addressing the underlying implications of the real estate market, interest rates, liquidity, and the ever precipitously depreciating dollar, procuring an assessment of these collective market drivers and their respective effects on the U.S. economy, the stock market, bond market, and commodities market.
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Monday, July 02, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - Waiting for the Fireworks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Halfway home and we may have learned a few things about the first half of the year that may actually help with the second half. First, the consumer – left for dead when gas prices crossed $2/gal at the pump, then $2.50, then $3 – and much to everyone's surprise, the consumer is still spending.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
The Smell of Financial Contagion in the Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Michael_J_Panzner
An ill wind swept through Wall Street last week, seeping into trading rooms, cubicles, and offices on every floor. All of a sudden, people began to feel anxious and afraid. After years of dreaming about how much they would make, people started worrying about how much they might lose. In a matter of days, the notion of risk had been transformed from a hypothetical concept to a potentially lethal reality.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - iShares MSCI Japan ETF Gaps Up / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The iShares MSCI Japan ETF (AMEX: EWJ) has gapped up and popped above its nearest-term weekly resistance line at 14.63, which should trigger upside follow-through towards a test of its intermediate-term resistance line, now at 15.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
News Alert: Brazil and China Trump Dow! Again! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin here with a news alert investors would be foolish to ignore: Our favorite overseas markets — Brazil and China — are leaving the Dow in the dust! Again!
Sunday, July 01, 2007
Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 1st July 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - Intermediate cycles are causing a consolidation/correction in the uptrend which could last a few more weeks.
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Sunday, July 01, 2007
China Stock Market Crash, A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Millions of chinese small investors have been flooding into the chinese stock market during the last 6 months in ever increasing numbers, as is normally the case they are likely to be the last to enter before the chinese market enters a short but swift bear market.
Over the last 12 months the market has risen from 1512 to a high of 4335, a near tripling in the index. The rise has been fed by speculative fever gripping chinease retail investors, with new recruits to the 'bubble' at the rate of 300,000 per day.
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Erratic Range-bound Trading - Financial Markets Outlook / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
As the financial sphere and all of its participants scramble to position themselves on the proper side of the next big move, the “house” goes about doing what it does best. Particularly over shorter periods of erratic range-bound trade, “the house,” (any consolidating broad-based index) becomes most intent upon confusing as many participants as possible.
Amid such chaos, the marketplace (by design) will efficiently assimilate a fair portion of the majority's active trading capital in what is for most traders, a rather frustrating price-discovery process. Perhaps this chronic frustration is origin to a denial-based allusion that “the market is always right.” We also ponder if such mechanics are a suitably alternate way in which to perceive the “efficient market hypothesis.”
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Iran Runs Out of Gas and Self Destructing, Stand Aside Also $250 Billion in Subprime Mortgage Losses / Stock-Markets / Iran
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Iran Out of Gas
When an Enemy Is Self-Destructing, Stand Aside
Bear (or Rather Canary?) Stearns
Mark to Model or Mark to Market?
$250 Billion in Subprime Losses?
July 4, Lewis and Clarke, and Fishing
Is the subprime mortgage market collapsing before our eyes, or did we avoid a disaster as Bear Stearns stepped up to the plate with $3.2 billion to help its ailing funds? As we will see from the data, the problems in the subprime world are not over. The Fat Lady has not sung. But will the problems in this market contaminate the rest of the liquidity-driven markets? Is the party over? Not according to the high-yield markets. In this week's letter, we look at what could be the real problem in the next half of the year.
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Germany Wind Power Investing, Tiliting At Windmills / Stock-Markets / Renewable Energy
By: Elliot_H_Gue
Last week I was aboard the MS Deutschland cruising the Baltic Sea in northern Europe for the KCI Investment Cruise. Leaving from the German port of Travemunde, we stopped at a total of seven countries in 11 days. In several of these countries, we had the opportunity to meet with the commercial attaches at the US Embassy as well as local business leaders.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 30, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis: Secrets to Success / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
Did you lose money last week while other traders used the market like a blank check? Did you give into the doom and gloom and short the opening Wednesday morning to just watch the market drain the cash out of your account? Did you make the same mistake during Friday's summer feast, just before the market recovered 13 points in 30 minutes?
If so, you'll be interested in learning the secrets to our success at TradingtheCharts.com, where the traders are unbiased and price action rules.
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Saturday, June 30, 2007
Bear Stearns - Please Pass the Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
I have sat here completely agog and amazed at the shenanigans going on within the financial community. Last week some hedge funds associated with Bear Stearns got themselves in trouble on risky subprime mortgage debt. Surprise Surprise. People with common sense have been forecasting this mess for a while now. My point in writing on this is to illustrate the moral hazard that is created when this type of stuff goes on and it is this moral hazard that can get Mr. and Mrs. Main Street into big trouble.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 29, 2007
Is Bear Stearns Just The Tip of the Iceberg? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Chicago Trib's headline says it all. “ Hedge funds' mortgage woes could spread .” “Investors following the near-collapse of two hedge funds managed by Bear Stearns Cos. might be a little bit like a homeowner watching the house down the block catch fire: It's far enough away to think there's no immediate threat, but you still need to care about what the embers could do to your own roof.The worry is the same on Wall Street, where bankers are anxiously watching to see if the hemorrhaging at Bear Stearns will spread elsewhere.” Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 29, 2007
Dow Jones Double Top - Important Steps to Take Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: You're at a unique crossroads. We've had almost four years of relative calm in the financial markets. Corporate earnings have rebounded from their lows in 2003 and the depths of the 2000 - 2001 stock market collapse. There have been no terror attacks on U.S. soil. Interest rates have remained artificially low.
But now, even as foreign economies continue to gather strength, the U.S. economy's second breath — as I call it — is ending.
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Friday, June 29, 2007
JP Morgan Derivatives Book and Manipulation of the Dow Theory Bullish Picture / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Brian_Bloom
The two charts of JP Morgan below show an anomaly which is potentially disturbing in context of other patterns.
The reason I honed in on these charts flows from the discussion regarding Bear Stearns that has emerged over the past week – regarding their packaging of Mortgage Backed Securities and Collateralised Debt Obligations. A discussion on this phenomenon can be found at http://www.321gold.com/editorials/tustain/tustain062307.html .
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Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Stock and Bond Bull Markets - The Beginning of the End? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: William_R_Thomson
The bull market appears to have peaked and a major correction in global bonds and equities is looking more likely, say panelistsPARTICIPANTS
Moderator: Anthony Rowley, Tokyo correspondent for the Business Times
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