Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, July 06, 2008
Stocks at Extreme Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce (No change).
Short Term Overbought - oversold is a description of a price move within a given time frame. Currently the market is oversold by virtually any measure over any time frame.
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Friday, July 04, 2008
Recent Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market — specifically the NYSE — such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal , and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 22 years. All of them. No panic sell-off occurred over the past 22 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe . But we have one as of June 16th, 2008. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
US Economy and Financial Markets Mid-Year Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Andy_Sutton
I would say that things are downright scary, but I am afraid that would be a colossal understatement at this point. 2008 has been pretty much what we expected and then some. A couple of themes have emerged during the first half of this year that require our attention and careful consideration as we gear up for the second half of the year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Secrets to Succeeding at Stocks Bear Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is already in the bear's grasp. And the U.S. economy may well be headed for a recession. But here's the ultimate irony: Bear-market investing offers a direct pathway to the biggest profit opportunities most investors will ever see.
History shows time and again that the worst returns come to those who buy at - or even near - market peaks, like those of 1928, 1969, 1999 and 2007, when Price/Earnings (P/E) ratios are typically higher than “normal.”
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Stock Market Forecast- How Low Can the Dow Go? - Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The theme of today's show is, “How low can the Dow go?” I have attached a chart of the DJIA that is looking more probable than when I first made this chart several months ago. When this pattern first became evident, I set it aside as a novelty rather than take it seriously. Today, I am looking at a much higher probability of this chart being fulfilled . Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Global Stock Markets Technicals Dangerous / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
White knuckles and shaky knees abound as the bear's growl grows louder.
While on the road in Switzerland (where even the gnomes are gloomy), I have put together a table of global stock markets' performance – over various measurement periods and in both local currency and US dollar terms. The numbers speak for themselves and can best be summarized in a single sentence: “Nowhere to hide.” The Wall Street “leash effect” remained paramount, and decoupling nothing more than a theoretical myth.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Paulson Statement Warns of Imminent Failure of Large Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Shedlock
The July 2nd Remarks of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson , on the World Economy and Markets before the Chatham House were quite remarkable. Let's have a look at a few of them.Whether it was Long Term Capital Management in 1998 or Bear Stearns this year, it is clear that Americans have come to expect the Federal Reserve to step in to avert events that pose unacceptable systemic risk. But, as we noted in our Blueprint, the Fed has neither the clear statutory authority nor the mandate to attempt to anticipate and prevent risks across our entire financial system.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Stock Market Oversold But Threatening Critical Support Level / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
Originally written 30th June 2008 - Following the market trend is a proven way for investors to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500.
It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
China Stock Market Primed for Red Hot Mergers & Acquisitions Boom / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: One of the first books I read as an economics major at the University of Washington was Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations. It was then that I first learned about what he called the 'invisible hand of capitalism.'
Smith believed that an individual pursuing his or her own self-interest tends also to promote the good of their community as a whole. To paraphrase Gordon Gecko, it's the notion that "Greed is good."
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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
When All Stocks Are Value Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Steve_Selengut
Think QDI - Value stocks are those that tend to trade at lower prices relative to their fundamental characteristics than their more speculative cousins, the growth stocks; they have higher than usual dividend yields and lower P/E and P/B ratios. So when all stock prices are down significantly, have they all become value stocks? Or, based on the panicky fear that tends to overwhelm media and financial experts alike, haven't they all taken on the speculative characteristics of growth stocks? Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_Lamont
As we forecast last month in our Investment Analysis Report, the regional banks have quickly brought about the next round of financial troubles. We expect a large decline in the broader stock market to be the next major issue. The Royal Bank of Scotland , Morgan Stanley , Barclays , and even the Bank of International Settlements (the central bank's central bank) have issued financial storm warnings. We referenced the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) last July in warning of the credit crunch last year . According to the Telegraph , they are now specifically warning of deflation. The BIS states:Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Stocks Down, Gold and Crude Oil Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Financial markets were a sea of red numbers last week as the classic ‘Fade the Fed' trade played out. The initial reaction to Wednesday's US interest rate decision was neutral to positive, then the selling set in and hardly stopped. Thursday's mini rally did a very poor job of papering over the cracks in the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Worst June for the Dow Jones Since 1930s Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
With but one day left of trading to the half-way point of the year, it is becoming more clear that this will not be an ordinary year. Unless today's market rallies something fierce, this will be the worst June for the averages since the Depression. On a less ominous note, the Fed met last week and decided that inflation was more an issue for the economy than growth, however left rates unchanged and likely spurred the latest round of selling. In what could be deemed a rush to call out their brethren, brokerage firms downgraded each other citing additional capital needs in the months ahead. If that weren't enough, oil prices continued their drive higher, altering many 4th of July vacation plans (on a 3-day weekend no less).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Sell, Hedge your Stock Market Investments.. or Be Prepared to Lose! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: The stock market is falling swiftly, and you don't have the luxury of time. So I'll get straight to the point:
If you haven't done so already in response to our many earlier warnings, you'd better sell or hedge your vulnerable investments now . If you don't, be prepared to suffer far deeper losses in the bear market of 2008 and beyond.
But beware: Most brokers will try to talk you out of it. They have a hidden agenda. They want to keep you as a customer; and they know that, once customers sell their stocks, they often close their brokerage accounts.
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Monday, June 30, 2008
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Potential Near-Term Double Bottom Pattern / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Earlier this AM, the SPY declined to 127.30 prior to pivoting to the upside for a rally to an intraday high so far at 128.87. Let's notice that the AM low left behind a potential near term Double Bottom type of pattern with Fri.'s low at 127.04. To trigger upside acceleration that unleashes the potential of the "mini Double Bottom," the SPYs must hurdle and sustain above129.00-- for a run at 130.00/30 thereafter. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Stock Market Heading for a Successful Test of March Low / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the Market
Long-term trend - The Dow Jones Industrials are deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014 has began to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed.
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Stock Markets Very Oversold Rally Expected Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce.
Short Term For the 1st 3 days of last week the DJIA danced slightly above its March low. Thursday and Friday it lost nearly 4% and the NYSE recorded 492 new lows, better than the 759 new lows recorded at the March low, but still enough to make another retest likely.
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Sunday, June 29, 2008
Financial Markets Hit by Credit Market Stresses and Deteriorating Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
T.S. Eliot might have been out by a few months – it looks as though June might turn out to be the cruelest month of the year rather than April.
Renewed fears of inflation and slower growth caused by record energy costs played havoc with global stock markets last week, resulting in the Dow Jones Industrial Average being on track to record its worst June since the Great Depression. As stocks suffered, gold bullion surged and government bond yields dropped due to safe-haven buying.
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Saturday, June 28, 2008
Dow Stock Market Crash and Iran War Herald End of US Dollar Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Alex_Wallenwein
The June 2008 Dow Crash and the coming first strike attack on Iran herald the end of dollar hegemony.
They say that pictures speak a thousand words, so let's start this with a picture: Today, the Dow crashed through its eight-year support level at 11,750. There isn't much below now to keep it from dropping all the way back down to the 7,500-range. What that will do to American investor psychology and worse, consumer confidence, and therefore spending, and therefore the economy, is only too apparent.
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Friday, June 27, 2008
Corporate Earnings Expectations Are Too High- Prepare for More Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Hans_Wagner
We are about to enter the second quarter 2008 earnings season. If you want to beat the market, it important to have a well founded perspective on earnings expectations. Understanding the importance of earnings is critical if you wish to learn to invest.
Since the U.S. is in a recession, it is normal to expect the reported earnings to reflect the slowing economy. However, a number of analysts are still forecasting a higher PE ratio. Is this realistic and a good basis to make investing decisions?
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