Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, May 24, 2008
US Banking System in Crisis- Why banks are Not lending? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here's an eye opener. The attached report from the St. Louis Fed on banks' non-borrowed reserves shows that it has just gone down in flames. According to the chart, the amount of money that banks have in reserve that is non-borrowed is not only at a 50-year low, but has entered negative territory for the first time since these statistics have been kept. Does this mean our banks are now insolvent?
Frankly, I don't have an answer, but this information is very disturbing, to say the least. The FDIC is gearing up for it, too.
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Friday, May 23, 2008
Credit Crisis Money Printing Crack Up Boom Reflections / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Ty_Andros
As regular readers know, I believe the banking and credit crisis has a long way to go. We are in the 2 nd to 3 rd inning of a nine-inning ballgame. The solution the G7 public servants and central banks will propose is they WILL PRINT THE MONEY as they always have and always will. They are confronted with the reality of INFLATE or die, as to not do so invites a deflationary depression and the complete and total BANKRUPTCY of the financial and banking systems. The human emotion of SELF-preservation insures they will try to avoid the bullet that is leveled at the head of the G7 financial system. “They will duck” and let you take the bullet of inflation, the result of letting their financial systems substitute an ever growing financial and banking sector for private sector wealth generation. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 23, 2008
Oil based Stock Indexes are Top Global Performers / Stock-Markets / Crude Oil
By: Donald_W_Dony
When all of the global equity indexes are reviewed for performance in 2008, one common thread binds the top performing groups. Those countries that have increasing oil production capabilities are the clear winners. Canada's energy heavy S&P/TSX, Russia and Latin American stock indexes have rallied to new highs whereas non-commodity-based and even other types of natural resource-based indexes have remained down.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 22, 2008
The Stocks Stealth Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Last year, when the Dow was hovering near its all-time high of 14,198, I issued my forecast that the next big move in the stock market would be a sharp decline to 11,600.
On January 22 of this year, the Dow hit 11,634.82. Since then, it's been seesawing up and down, gyrating wildly, yet with an upward bias, reaching as high as 13,136.69 on May 19.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Warren Buffett Bargain Hunting in Germany / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Martin_Hutchinson
Investors have been watching Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ( BRK.A , BRK.B ) Chairman Warren Buffett's moves for years to see which investments are going to take off next.
Back in October, the Oracle of Omaha's trip to South Korea encouraged our own bullishness on that country's stock market.
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Tuesday, May 20, 2008
The Day Free Markets Died / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Doug_Wakefield
Doug Wakefield with Ben Hill write: Though our government has increasingly influenced our markets since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, we have recently reached the point where it would be a glaringly obvious misnomer to call the markets “free.” And while some aspects of a free market remain, those who've studied the day-to-day operations of our nation's banking system and the stock markets' performances at certain times, would likely come to the conclusion that, on occasion, the state, through the Fed and certain banks, intervenes to engineer market bottoms. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
How to Cash in on China's Chuppies' Spending Spree / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: Even though I'm the right age, I've never considered myself to be a yuppie. Even when I was young and dumb, I never drove a BMW ... bought a Rolex ... or belonged to a country club. But I know a yuppie when I see one and China is full of them.
And unlike the U.S. where there is debate about how rapidly the economy and consumer spending are slowing, chuppies are making sure there is no such concern in China.
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Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Stock Market Euphoria May Prove Premature / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Equity bulls experienced another good week based on the viewpoint that the worst of the credit crisis might be behind us. A further improvement in investor sentiment and increased risk appetite caused market participants to cast aside a mixed bag of economic and corporate data and look across the “economic valley”.
This raises the question of whether the stock market euphoria is premature. Bill Gross of PIMCO ( Money News ) said the recovery is primarily due to federal policy moves to restore liquidity. It won't last long, Gross warns. “Recession, and its vicious-cycle effect on employment and consumer spending, remains a threat,” Gross says. “This recession, though currently mild, and, as of yet, not even officially validated, may not be your garden-variety, father's-Oldsmobile type of downturn.”
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Monday, May 19, 2008
American Armageddon: How to Win the Epic Battle for Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin D. Weiss writes: Just when Wall Street was hoping for some relief from surging energy costs, crude oil prices surged more than $3 on Friday ... spiking to nearly $128 a barrel ... shattering all prior records ... and driving prices at the pump perilously close to $4 per gallon.
Worse, next week, despite the highest gas prices in U.S. history, millions of U.S. drivers will start hitting the road as Memorial Day kicks off the summer driving season. And last week, despite a last-ditch attempt to head off the expected crisis, President Bush failed to persuade the Saudis to pump more oil.
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Monday, May 19, 2008
Stock Market Cyclic Turning Points– Current Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Jim_Curry
Short-term Outlook For the short-term, a minor cycle up was due to take the various indexes higher into approximately May 19 th , which was plus or minus a day in either direction. Once the next minor cycle peak is complete, then a retrace lower should be seen into around May 26 th , which is also plus or minus a day in either direction (chart 1). At minimum, that drop should take the index back to or below it's 9-day moving average, however there is still the potential that a larger drop could be seen, simply again based upon the extended position of the 45-day cycle. However, for this 45-day component to actually confirm a peak in place, an intraday push below the 1384.01 figure would now be needed, the new ‘reversal point' for this cycle.
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Monday, May 19, 2008
Dow Transports Hitting New All-time Highs / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Before we begin our look at the roaring Transportation average, we would like to return your attention to our previous week's article entitled “ Spring-Break ”. Last week's piece did a fine job of calling a precise short–term tradable low in the Dow.
Below we re-present the chart from last week's article. Within that article, previous guidance suggested, “For select traders, proprietary criteria also provided another exit or potentially early reversal signal near the close at 12734.” The follow-up chart illustrates how the reversal signal turned out to be a rather precise one, and by no means early.
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Monday, May 19, 2008
Stock Market Tentative Rally to Undergo Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market.
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. This is the pattern that the market has made so far this year. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate correction came to an end on 3/17. The index is now in a cautious uptrend which is about to undergo a short-term consolidation.
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Monday, May 19, 2008
US Toxic Economy and the Questionable Stock Market Advance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Tim_Wood
The equity markets continue to advance out of the January/March lows, commodity prices surge, oil continues to hit record highs and the consumer is now pulling back in a big way. History tells us that manipulation ultimately fails and that it typically only serves to make matters worse in the end. Well, when looking at what is physically happening around me, if the technical picture that I now see developing continues to unfold, then the backlash from the attempts to “stimulate the economy” may have now created a witches brew with a not so happy ending. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 19, 2008
The Effect of Fed Liquidity Facilities on the Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the weekly report. This week we look at inflation and deflation, the Dow, gold and FTSE but start with a look at a recent speech by William C. Dudley who is the executive vice president of the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He is also the manager of the System Open Market Account for the Federal Open Market Committee. The Markets Group oversees domestic open market and foreign exchange trading operations and the provisions of account services to foreign central banks.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 19, 2008
Stock Market Response to US Economic Collapse in September? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
A rumor is swirling around the Internet that an inglorious end to the U.S. economy is imminent. Unlike previous rumors to this effect, this one carries the weight of recent events in the financial realm and has many believing the rumor will come to pass.
Let's examine some of the claims being made: On March 18, 2008, a “closed door” session of Congress was held for only the fourth time in history. According to House Rule XVII, clause 9, it is forbidden for members of the U.S. House of Representatives to reveal the discussions held behind those doors. The penalty for leaking such information includes loss of seniority, fines, reprimand, censure or expulsion. According to news sources, one purpose of the meetings was to discuss new surveillance techniques to be used by U.S. Homeland Security. Rumors continue to swirl as to what the other topics of discussion took place in that meeting.
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Sunday, May 18, 2008
Stock Market Technically Overbought Coupled Negative Seasonal Factors / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is Most of the major indices hit multi month highs last week.
Short Term The market is over bought.
As of last Friday, the S&P mid cap index was up for the 7 consecutive days for the first time in over a year. Longer term this is a good sign, but, for the next week or so continued upward progress is likely to be limited.
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Sunday, May 18, 2008
Profit From the Worlds Most Powerful Trading Alliance Between China and Japan / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: Martin_Hutchinson
Chinese President Hu Jintao and Japanese Prime Minister Yauo Fukuda met recently and signed some modest cooperation agreements. That doesn't sound much to get excited about, until you consider how well the Chinese and Japanese economies fit together.
Think of it this way: With China's boundless supply of low-cost labor and Japan's superb education system - and an ability to work together that's clearly founded on considerable commonality of thinking - these two countries, as a pair, will be world-beaters.
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Sunday, May 18, 2008
The Rise of Stagflation Means the End of Fiat Asset Wealth / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Richard_Gorton
Stagflation, it's a fiat wealth killer: headline inflation is rising while jobs, manufacturing production, real estate, and economic indicators are falling: stocks and bond wealth of all types will be turning down in value. Stagflation in the US
I choose to believe as HousingPanic does, that it's hilarious to believe the Government's inflation report which showed nearly 0% inflation .
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Sunday, May 18, 2008
Global Economy Heading for Economic Slump for 2008-09? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
(Bloomberg ) – “The Federal Reserve's direct loans of cash to commercial banks climbed to the highest level on record in the past week as money-losing lenders increasingly turn to the central bank for funds.” Is this a good thing, as the article implies? Banks are eager to borrow “cheap money” from the Federal Reserve because there isn't any to be had elsewhere. Many financial institutions that are painfully aware of their own bad paper and losses are unwilling to trade paper in the commercial markets due to general distrust among themselves. (“Maybe their paper is more toxic than our paper.”) Instead of money (IOUs) flowing freely between institutions, these IOUs have become the sludge that gums up the works because there is no market for it. The only source of funds is now the Federal Reserve Board, who is growing more concerned about their inability to keep the banks afloat. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 16, 2008
Stock Markets 2008- Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
Investors who want to beat the market need to be aware of the key trends that will affect their portfolios. To some this year looks like a classic “Sell in May and Go Away.” The theory is the market goes into hibernation for six months from May to November, and during the other six months it gets back into gear and makes its move up. The chart below, from Chart of the Day , shows the history of this phenomenon. Moreover, according to Standard & Poor's the November to April period outperformed the May to October period 69% of the time. Read full article... Read full article...