Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 19, 2009
U.S. Treasury Controlled by Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Some of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s closest aides, none of whom faced Senate confirmation, earned millions of dollars a year working for Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and other Wall Street firms, according to financial disclosure forms.
The advisers include Gene Sperling, who last year took in $887,727 from Goldman Sachs and $158,000 for speeches mostly to financial companies, including the firm run by accused Ponzi scheme mastermind R. Allen Stanford. Another top aide, Lee Sachs, reported more than $3 million in salary and partnership income from Mariner Investment Group, a New York hedge fund.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Here's a look ahead... First of all, I would like to say thank you to everyone who attended my seminar this weekend. It was a great day of sharing in what I consider a life long learning process. We spent the day discusing market sentiment, market cycles, all styles of trading, my day trading strategy, fibonacci and finished with a forecast of the future. We'll likely hold the seminar (class) at the same time next yearand limit it to 10 participants, so if you're interested in reserving a spot, let us know and you'll be first on our list when we set it up... Again, thanks.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Stock Market Boosted by Better than Expected Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Risky assets remained in favor during the past week, generally helped along by fairly robust economic data and better-than-expected corporate earnings reports. A number of bourses, crude oil, inflation-linked bonds and high-yielding corporate bonds and currencies recorded fresh highs for the year, whereas gold hit an all-time high of $1,070.20 per ounce.
Assets such as government bonds and the US dollar saw fading demand as safe havens, now that the global economy is on the mend. Similarly, credit default spreads tightened markedly and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) declined to its lowest level since early September 2008.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Stock Market Trading In the Middle / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Lets see what the market has in store for us this week...
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Debt Spiral Financial Holocaust Fiat Currencies Zero Bound, the Next Down Leg / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The demise of the G7 financial systems, currencies and economies continues to march along as incomes collapse. The social welfare states and their banking system’s Ponzi finance-based economies are BROKE, their obligations and promises irredeemable and unpayable.
A debt spiral is in full view, irreversible with policymakers unable or unwilling and opposed to making the changes required to CREATE PRIVATE SECTOR INCOME GROWTH and control SPENDING, and which must be done to avert the final CALAMITY.
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment, I Am Still Singing That Song / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Last week I was changing my tune. This week's tune is the same old song: "Equities are for renting not owning at this juncture. I am not calling for a market top, but prices should trade more in a range, and if you intend to play on the long side, it will be important to maintain your discipline (for risk reasons) and buy at the lows of that trading range and sell at the highs to extract any profits from this market. The upward bias still remains as long as investor sentiment is still extremely bullish, but there is probably greater risk of a market down draft now than in past weeks."
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Sunday, October 18, 2009
Dow Hits 10k as Bailed Out Banks Announce Huge Profits and Bonuses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Goldman Sachs lived up to expectations of huge profits and "two fingers up to the tax payer" bonuses (no it does not mean V for victory) as a consequence of the funneling of billions of U.S. tax payer cash onto their balance sheet and huge profit margins in the artificial tax payer funded banking system that squeezes retail customers and rewards failure which is not so surprising since the central banks remain firmly at the centre of the parasitic banking sector.
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Saturday, October 17, 2009
U.S. and China Stock ETFs Volume and Money Flow Analysis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
In our last article, we estimated the probable price range of the S&P 500 based on historical and implied volatility, and suggested that the positive area of the range was more likely than the negative area for the next few weeks, because of the moving average trend indicators and the declining volatility of the 1-month and 3-month CBOE volatility indexes.
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Saturday, October 17, 2009
Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
For the last month, I’ve been warning about the possibility of a either a market pullback or bearish trend reversal. During this time, I’ve moved much of my own portfolio into cash while hedging my long term long holdings (primarily GE leaps). While the US stock markets have continued to rise, albeit at a slowing pace, technical analysis continues to indicate an ongoing deterioration. As Market Edge writes in this week's Market Letter:
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Saturday, October 17, 2009
Stock Market Hits New 2009 High, Some Negative Divergence... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We finally made the move over the 1080 level on the SP 500. It took quite a long time with lots of close calls that teased the bulls and gave the bears reason to wipe their brows in relief. The gap was on huge volume back in October 2008 thus it really came as no surprise that we failed the first tests up there. With the bears never really able to sell things off, the bulls finally found a way to get the job done. At the same time we cleared 1080 on the Sp, the Dow made a run and cleared 10,000. It felt really good to anyone who has a bullish slant. The real question that's being asked is whether or not we can hold over Dow 10k and above Sp 1080. There are some signs that short term, it will be tough for the bulls here.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Will Earnings Reports Support the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The rally off the March low has been remarkable. The market plunged too far to its March low, on fears about the economy that had not been seen since the Great Depression. So a substantial rally off that low was to be expected.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Dow 10,000 Stock Market Euphoria May be Shortlived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
U.S. Michigan Sentiment Index Decreased to 69.4. - Confidence among U.S. consumers fell more than forecast in October, a reminder that households remain nervous about the strength of the emerging economic recovery. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 69.4 from 73.5 in September, which was the highest in more than a year. Measures of expectations for six months ahead and current conditions both fell. The index averaged 87.3 in 12 months leading to December 2007, when the recession began.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
No Financial Armageddon... Yet! Gaining From Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Litany of Negatives which, some days, seems to overwhelm honest observers of the Economy and Markets, should be counterbalanced by consideration of certain Positive Realities.
While these Positive Realities will likely not endure for more than a few months, or a very few years, their existence now can be used to enhance gains and protect against future adversities.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Recovery Rally in China Stocks Short ETF / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
My near- and intermediate-term work in the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index (NYSE: FXP) argues that this week’s low at 8.21, which incidentally created a big positive momentum divergence compared with the Sep 17 low at 8.44, ended the downleg off of the Oct 2 high at 10.69. If my work is correct, then today’s up-gap open, followed by strong continuation, inaugurated a powerful new recovery rally period that projects initially towards a test of the prior rally peak at 9.05. Only a decline that breaks 8.38 will begin to compromise my current outlook.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Does the Stock Market S&P Remain Good Value? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Stocks Primary Bear Trend About to Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The chart below looks like it’s headed for overbought territory on the RSI and it the falling tops on the MACD seem to be signaling that the ratio might be about to pull back. By implication, either the Dow can be expected to pull back or the dollar index can be expected to rise, or both.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Rally, Doing the Maths / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The early part of the rally in the US began with a "Hope" that things will get better as days progress. In the subsequent days/months, almost all of the media, news channels and websites were inundated with news such as "Better than expected" which drove and is still driving the market higher. What is this "better than expected" and the math beyond this is what we intend to analyze here. You will be really surprised to see "The Math".
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week in Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we stated the following:
- A major objective of all the money printing, government intervention, and low interest rates is to create positive inflation, which includes asset price inflation.
- Asset inflation helps heal sick balance sheets and repairs a portion of the lost "wealth effect".
- When gold lies dormant, it means reflation is not working all that well in the minds of market participants. Gold’s recent breakout may indicate that in the minds of market particiapants reflation of assets is working. That mind set results from the fear of future inflation caused by money printing, intervention, etc.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Stock Market Breakout Holds.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bears tried this morning to take things lower after yesterday's clean breakout over S&P 1080. The futures were down pre-market but worsened once the earnings came out from Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and Citigroup, Inc. (C). The numbers from GS were solid but it had been straight up and needed a pause in the action. It certainly got that refresher pre-market as it was down about 5$. Citigroup, Inc. (C) was awful. Less of a loss than expected but they're still bleeding out badly and this hit the market even harder.
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Friday, October 16, 2009
Wither the U.S. Dollar, Gold and Dow in Transition Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Now that the credit/bank crisis is two years old, and the Dow around 10,000, gold is at highs over $1000. One would think that with $3 trillion of direct US Fed bailout cash, plus $17 trillion of various guarantees and singlehanded support for the US mortgage/financial markets would do something.
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