Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 31, 2009
Stock Market Negative Divergences Kick In Hard... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I've been talking quite a bit lately about the very nasty negative divergences across the major indexes on the daily charts. In many cases, quadruple negative divergences. That's not something you see very often. When it takes place, at some point in time there will be a price to pay for that type of set up. We are seeing that take place now. The sad thing is, if you're a bull, these set ups often end a bull market. Once the wedges go, there's no looking back.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
The Recession Has Ended! Has the Stocks Bull Market Also? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Great Recession has ended. Halleluiah! It was the worst recession in many ways since the Great D. Just imagine. After four straight negative quarters the economy recovered in the third quarter. Not only did it recover, but GDP rose 3.5% in the third quarter, even more than the consensus forecast of a gain of 3.2%.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Financial Fairy Tale Antidotes Springboard For Garnering Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
“…the Federal Reserve established and refined a program that permitted banks to pledge virtually any security as collateral…a guaranteed way for taxpayer capital to evaporate in the context of a disintegrating financial system, all with the purpose of bailing out Wall Street's major institutions…
…We uncovered numerous bankrupt companies' equities that were being pledged as collateral for what ultimately was taxpayer exposure. To our surprise, this discovery is not an exception, and in fact in the days immediately preceding the collapse of Bear Stearns…
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Friday, October 30, 2009
World’s Greatest Investor Turns Bearish on Stocks, 25% Drop Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The recession is over!
GDP grew at a 3.5% clip between July and September.
Wall Street’s fortunes seemingly turned around overnight.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Nico Isaac writes: The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, Free.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Trading Financial Markets Using ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
5 ETFs That You Need to Look at Right Now
The five ETFs that we are referring to are going to play a major role in the future and you need to know about them today.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Rydex Stock Market Timers Bailing Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
U.S. Dollar Premature Death Rumours and Necessary Stock Market 40% Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Summary and Conclusion - Rumors of the US Dollar’s death may be premature. Indeed, rumors of the US economy’s death may be premature. What is needed is a period of cathartic healing to facilitate a process of ecdysis (shedding the old skin to reveal a new and healthy skin beneath). The equity markets need to be allowed to breath out and contract. A fall of up to 40% from current levels is necessary. Below the level of its immediately visible surface the US economy still has the potential to remain a powerhouse in the world economy.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Can U.S. Q3 GDP re-ignite the S&P Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Technical Trader’s view:
WEEKLY CHART
Technically, in the weekly chart, the market is under some strain through the influence of the Gap resistance 1110-1077.
Friday, October 30, 2009
Modified Marc Faber Stock Market Sell Signal Model, More Insights / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems
As the prior post shows, we can improve a simple moving average strategy by going to cash when the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury are strong.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Celebrating Stock Market Bears Take a Major Hit / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Yesterday we get some strong volume and blow through the 50-day exponential moving average on the Nasdaq. We fall only a bit below on the S&P 500 (4 points) and hold above it on the Dow. We didn't have all 3 major indexes trading below the 50-day exponential moving averages and that's what you want to see if you believe the market is ready for deeper selling than has already occurred. In addition, you don't want to clear by as little as we did on the S&P 500 as that's not a true breakdown. 4/10th's of 1% is not sufficient to say it's all clear for the bears.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Modified Faber Model Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Back on June 29, 2009, I presented research that improved the efficiency of the Faber market timing model for the S&P500 by some 50%. By efficiency I meant that the new and improved model made more money with less time in the market and with less draw down. The research can be found in this article, "Inflationary Pressures Are A Legitimate Concern".
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Playing the Health Care Sector with ETFs / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector
We’ve all been waiting on pins and needles to see what kind of health care reform comes out of Washington. Aside from the fact that we’re all patients of one kind or another, health care is a huge part of the economy.
As you might expect with big changes afoot, health care stocks have been bouncing up and down this year. Such volatility can be frightening — but it also brings opportunity for investors who know how to take advantage.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Nico Isaac writes: The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Stock Market Rydex Market Timers No Material Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Blueprint for Battling Credit Default Swaps and Avoid Another Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Martin Hutchinson writes: Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker and Bank of England (BOE) Governor Mervyn King think that banks that are considered “too big to fail” should be broken up. The House Financial Services Committee is drafting a bill that will make banks pay for other banks’ bankruptcies.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Stock Markets and Other Risky Assets Tumble on Recovery Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
I concluded a post on stock markets over the weekend saying: “After equities’ seven-month climb, stock markets certainly look vulnerable for a decline. Two downside reversal days - on Wednesday and Friday - would seem to indicate that stocks could commence a pullback to work off the overbought condition, allowing fundamentals to reassert themselves.”
Global stock markets, as well as other risky assets, closed sharply lower over the past few days as concerns mounted over the sustainability of the global economic recovery and the outlook for central bank policy.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Investment Portfolio Protection Strategy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
A participant in the morning Working Capital Model (WCM) investment workshop observed: I've noticed that my account balances are returning to their (June 2007) levels. People are talking down the economy and the dollar. Is there any preemptive action I need to take?
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Stock Market Indices Breaking Below 50 Day Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
That's what we did today. Actually did a little dance as we bounced off of them first, just to make the bulls feel things weren't going to get out of hand. The market had been putting in negative divergences after negative divergence for quite a few months off the March lows. As the move matured we could see each poor divergence getting larger than the one before.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Stock Market Indexes Do Not Tell the Tale of Damage / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
First, pardon all the trading today - some days just require it. I'm already exhausted and its only 2 PM.
Second, we've been saying the indexes are not reflecting the carnage seen "underneath" - my watch lists are full of names in the $500M to $5B market cap space which is my sweet spot, and it looks like September 2008 . Here is a sampling of what is really happening when you move away from McDonalds, IBM, Walmart, and Microsoft.