Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, October 23, 2009
Stock Indices Close with a Bang! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices ended with a bang on Thursday, but they started out much differently.
The indices dropped sharply at the opening and went to new pullback lows. They were short-term oversold at that point, at key trendline support on the Nasdaq 100 and just below key initial support on the S&P 500. They rallied back in a 5-wave advance, with the 5th wave being the sharpest that took the indices to key overhead resistance, only backing off in the last half hour.
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Friday, October 23, 2009
Cycles Impact on Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Mayan Indian elder Apolinario Chile Pixtun has restated his belief that the world is not going to end in 2012. Or more precisely, that his beliefs don’t suggest the world should end despite it being the end of a major cycle in the Mayan calendar. According to China Daily, he is even more emphatic that he’s tired of being asked about it. 2012 is the end of a 5126 year cycle (end of the 13th of 13 Baktun). It also ends a 26800 year cycle that may relate to the Earth’s wobble, which is useful for gauging the drift of seasonal climate changes. China Daily also briefly mentions predictions by 16th century (Christian calendar) French herbalist Nostradamus that is being combined with the Mayan cycles to create buzz for a spate of movies and TV specials.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Watch What Institutional Stock Market Investors are Doing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
As an analytical firm, we pay for a lot of special data that the public can't get. Sometimes, the data is of major importance relative to what is going on in the stock market.
One such piece of data has to do with what Institutional Investors are doing. We all know that they are responsible for over 50% of any given day's volume ... which is why following this investment group is so important.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
The idea of earnings driving the broad stock market is a myth.
Vadim Pokhlebkin writes: It's corporate earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about the influence of earnings on the broad stock market:
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Unbundle the Stock Market with Sector ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Investors often think about “the stock market” as if it were some kind of giant creature rumbling through the woods. However, the stock market is more like a whole bunch of little creatures, each of which can move on its own. Yes, there’s a general tendency for equities to go in the same general direction — but there are almost always exceptions.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Stock Market Cycles Heading South / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
So far, in 2009, the stock indexes have seen two firm corrections. The first was a 29% drop (basis SPX CASH) from the 01/06/09 high to the 03/06/09 bottom - with the second being the 9% decline from the 6/11/09 high to the 07/08/09 low.
Are you ready for number three?
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Robert Prechter, Conquer the Crash and Prosper During the Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
Greetings,
In every disaster, only a very few people prepare themselves beforehand. Think about investor enthusiasm in 2005-2007, and you'll realize it's true.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Stock Market Last Reversal Day... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market was moving higher throughout the day with commodity stocks leading the way based on the dollar falling apart. It opened at 22.40 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) and got down to 22.26, which is exactly where the bottom of that bullish falling wedge is. A move below 22.25 and we'd have blastoff for this market.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Stocks vs. Bonds, 5-Decade Anomaly of Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks now pay way less than bonds once again, but neither pay much...
BLINK and you missed it. US equities offered a greater yield on investment than did US Treasury bonds for less than five months...
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Nasdaq At Potentional Key Turning Point for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Of the three major indexes we track: DOW, NASDAQ and the S&P 500, only the NASDAQ is in thin air.
What do I mean by thin air? So far the NASDAQ is the only index to make it past the 50% Fibonacci retracement levels as measured from the highs seen in 2007 and the lows that were made in March of this year.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Stock Market Gap Up and Reversal...Mild Retreat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Is it a sign of further down side action to come?
Based on technicals I'd say yes but if you're expecting a market free fall, you're in the wrong game. We gapped up today and clearly that gap was sold but whenever we got near 10,000 on the Dow, the bears got their usual cold feet. However, with many good earners from last night printing black candles, meaning more sellers than buyers once it opened for trading, it tells us a lot of the good news is in near-term on this market. I will remind you again, that does not mean the market gets crushed from here. A 5% pull back over some weeks is possible but no guarantee. If the pullback is tepid and on lighter volume with unwinding oscillators, you can expect another move back up once the selling ends.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Key Moving Averages Hold in Stock Market Down Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices moved lower today, but they did recover in the last half of the session to pare the losses.
The day started out with a gap up on Nasdaq, though the S&P 500 was flat , they then vacillated back and forth in the morning. After about an hour the indices rolled over hard, with the NDX dropping from 1764 to 1746, and the SPX from 1096 to 1086 at that point, a very sharp drop.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Copenhagen 2009 and the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
We don’t know if the furor over climate, economic and sovereignty issues coming to a head over the impending December Copenhagen climate treaty is correct, incorrect, exaggerated or spot-on.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Bernanke Guilty of Coercion and Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
In April Let the Criminal Indictments Begin: Paulson, Bernanke, Lewis I made the case that BAC chairman Lewis was guilty of fraud and Paulson was guilty of coercion in regards to the shotgun wedding between Bank of America and Merrill Lynch.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Jim Rogers Long Sugar But Getting Short U.S. Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
[This interview originally appeared on IndexUniverse.com, and is reprinted here with permission.]
IndexUniverse.com's Heather Bell spoke with commodities expert Jim Rogers earlier this month before his presentation at an event in New York sponsored by ETF Securities. A recap of Rogers' presentation that day is available here
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Recognizing a Bubble, the Dynamics of Free Money / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The government has splattered lots of money onto the economy, working hard to reflate the bubble that got us into trouble in the first place. The Dow is back at 10,000. What are you to do? If you are a wealth sustainer, you should not be drawn into the market simply because it has gone up. Instead, take a step back, look at the market dynamics and see what risks you can afford to take. I am not preaching to hide in a hole awaiting armageddon – there are always opportunities, but they may be very different from what the pundits may want you to believe.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Dow Could Go to 13,000. But Will Likely Reverse (Suddenly) By More Than 20% / Stock-Markets / Articles
This is the analysis used to predict in May that the Dow would reach 10,000 without a major reversal, (personally I didn’t expect then that it would happen so quickly).
I’ve put on my estimate of where I reckon it is now (in red).
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Anatomy of the Billion Dollar Prime Bank Program Scam / Stock-Markets / Scams
Shah Gilani writes: Two years ago, an associate of mine lost $100,000 because he didn’t listen to me. A year ago, I saved a manufacturing company from the same scam. And just last week I saved a friend of mine $300,000.
For several years now, a far-fetched but seemingly plausible investment opportunity has been wreaking havoc across the globe. In the United States alone, an estimated $10 billion has been lost in this particular gambit. The scheme is typically hidden behind such legitimate-sounding names as “Prime Bank Trading Programs,” “High-Yield Investment Programs,” or “Roll Programs.”
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Stock Market Rally Refuses to Quit.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Negative divergences. In fact, quadruple negative divergences on the Dow and basically triple negative divergences on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Overbought daily charts everywhere to add on to the negative technicals.
So how does the market respond?
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Are You Laughing or Crying About the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There's no question about it, the markets can be very difficult at times. On the other hand, you can laugh all the way to the bank if you approach the markets in a systematic way.
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