Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 22, 2009
Unbundle the Stock Market with Sector ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Investors often think about “the stock market” as if it were some kind of giant creature rumbling through the woods. However, the stock market is more like a whole bunch of little creatures, each of which can move on its own. Yes, there’s a general tendency for equities to go in the same general direction — but there are almost always exceptions.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Stock Market Cycles Heading South / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
So far, in 2009, the stock indexes have seen two firm corrections. The first was a 29% drop (basis SPX CASH) from the 01/06/09 high to the 03/06/09 bottom - with the second being the 9% decline from the 6/11/09 high to the 07/08/09 low.
Are you ready for number three?
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Robert Prechter, Conquer the Crash and Prosper During the Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
Greetings,
In every disaster, only a very few people prepare themselves beforehand. Think about investor enthusiasm in 2005-2007, and you'll realize it's true.
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Thursday, October 22, 2009
Stock Market Last Reversal Day... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market was moving higher throughout the day with commodity stocks leading the way based on the dollar falling apart. It opened at 22.40 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) and got down to 22.26, which is exactly where the bottom of that bullish falling wedge is. A move below 22.25 and we'd have blastoff for this market.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Stocks vs. Bonds, 5-Decade Anomaly of Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks now pay way less than bonds once again, but neither pay much...
BLINK and you missed it. US equities offered a greater yield on investment than did US Treasury bonds for less than five months...
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Nasdaq At Potentional Key Turning Point for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Of the three major indexes we track: DOW, NASDAQ and the S&P 500, only the NASDAQ is in thin air.
What do I mean by thin air? So far the NASDAQ is the only index to make it past the 50% Fibonacci retracement levels as measured from the highs seen in 2007 and the lows that were made in March of this year.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Stock Market Gap Up and Reversal...Mild Retreat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Is it a sign of further down side action to come?
Based on technicals I'd say yes but if you're expecting a market free fall, you're in the wrong game. We gapped up today and clearly that gap was sold but whenever we got near 10,000 on the Dow, the bears got their usual cold feet. However, with many good earners from last night printing black candles, meaning more sellers than buyers once it opened for trading, it tells us a lot of the good news is in near-term on this market. I will remind you again, that does not mean the market gets crushed from here. A 5% pull back over some weeks is possible but no guarantee. If the pullback is tepid and on lighter volume with unwinding oscillators, you can expect another move back up once the selling ends.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Key Moving Averages Hold in Stock Market Down Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices moved lower today, but they did recover in the last half of the session to pare the losses.
The day started out with a gap up on Nasdaq, though the S&P 500 was flat , they then vacillated back and forth in the morning. After about an hour the indices rolled over hard, with the NDX dropping from 1764 to 1746, and the SPX from 1096 to 1086 at that point, a very sharp drop.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Copenhagen 2009 and the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
We don’t know if the furor over climate, economic and sovereignty issues coming to a head over the impending December Copenhagen climate treaty is correct, incorrect, exaggerated or spot-on.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Bernanke Guilty of Coercion and Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
In April Let the Criminal Indictments Begin: Paulson, Bernanke, Lewis I made the case that BAC chairman Lewis was guilty of fraud and Paulson was guilty of coercion in regards to the shotgun wedding between Bank of America and Merrill Lynch.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Jim Rogers Long Sugar But Getting Short U.S. Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
[This interview originally appeared on IndexUniverse.com, and is reprinted here with permission.]
IndexUniverse.com's Heather Bell spoke with commodities expert Jim Rogers earlier this month before his presentation at an event in New York sponsored by ETF Securities. A recap of Rogers' presentation that day is available here
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Recognizing a Bubble, the Dynamics of Free Money / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The government has splattered lots of money onto the economy, working hard to reflate the bubble that got us into trouble in the first place. The Dow is back at 10,000. What are you to do? If you are a wealth sustainer, you should not be drawn into the market simply because it has gone up. Instead, take a step back, look at the market dynamics and see what risks you can afford to take. I am not preaching to hide in a hole awaiting armageddon – there are always opportunities, but they may be very different from what the pundits may want you to believe.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Dow Could Go to 13,000. But Will Likely Reverse (Suddenly) By More Than 20% / Stock-Markets / Articles
This is the analysis used to predict in May that the Dow would reach 10,000 without a major reversal, (personally I didn’t expect then that it would happen so quickly).
I’ve put on my estimate of where I reckon it is now (in red).
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Anatomy of the Billion Dollar Prime Bank Program Scam / Stock-Markets / Scams
Shah Gilani writes: Two years ago, an associate of mine lost $100,000 because he didn’t listen to me. A year ago, I saved a manufacturing company from the same scam. And just last week I saved a friend of mine $300,000.
For several years now, a far-fetched but seemingly plausible investment opportunity has been wreaking havoc across the globe. In the United States alone, an estimated $10 billion has been lost in this particular gambit. The scheme is typically hidden behind such legitimate-sounding names as “Prime Bank Trading Programs,” “High-Yield Investment Programs,” or “Roll Programs.”
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Stock Market Rally Refuses to Quit.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Negative divergences. In fact, quadruple negative divergences on the Dow and basically triple negative divergences on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Overbought daily charts everywhere to add on to the negative technicals.
So how does the market respond?
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Are You Laughing or Crying About the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There's no question about it, the markets can be very difficult at times. On the other hand, you can laugh all the way to the bank if you approach the markets in a systematic way.
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Stock Market Investors Warning, Three Moves You Will Not Regret Taking Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Most investors are still nervous.
The S&P 500 has reached its highest point since September 2008. After that time though, it went on to fall 26% in two months.
Earnings season is in full swing. And with each report we see top line revenues and bottom line earnings are not rebounding nearly as fast as stocks have.
Monday, October 19, 2009
S&P 500 Stocks Index to Test Friday's High / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
For traders watching the S&P 500 and the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY), here’s a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 emini futures contract, which shows the index racing towards a retest of Friday’s high at 1095.90. If hurdled that should trigger additional strength that propels prices to 1105-1112 thereafter. Only a break below 1082.75 before the index makes a new recovery high above 1095.50 will morph the near-term pattern into something less bullish than my currently projects.
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Are You Watching This Stock Market Divergence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It was just a little over 1 year ago, October 3rd of 2008, when the SPY gapped down sharply. That gapped remained unclosed until last Thursday.
On Friday, the SPY had pulled back slightly and it closed at 108.89.
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Stock and Financial Markets Overview and Possibilities Over the Coming Months / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The following notes contain a small fragment of what in reality are many possibilities that may eventuate over the coming months and I reserve the right to alter my prognostications on these pages at any time. I do not expect everything I have written to come to pass, but I do expect much of it will, but perhaps not in exactly the way I expected.Read full article... Read full article...