Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 29, 2012
Stock Market Possible Downtrend into January 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – SPX has made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. It has now given a strong indication that an intermediate correction is underway.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Why This is No Time to Borrow “On Margin” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: With stocks near a three-and-a-half-year high and interest rates dirt cheap, this might seem like a good time to borrow against your stock portfolio.
Then again… perhaps not.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Cross Correlations Between Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
If readers take a look at the chart below you can see how highly correlated the markets are and looking for that little edge can sometimes literally be the missing piece of the jigsaw puzzle that can make the difference to being on the right side of the trend.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
Stock Market Roller-Coaster Ride Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The major world indexes on my watchlist have been oscillating wildly between weekly losses and gains. Last weekend’s snapshot showed all eight posting gains with an average of the bunch at 2.02%. But the week just closed saw the average plummet to -1.38%. China took both the top and bottom spots. The Hang Seng was the top (i.e., least bad) performer with a nearly flat finish of -0.03%. The Shanghai Composite finished at -2.92%. The S&P 500 and FTSE 100 hovered in the middle of the pack, two basis points either side of the -1.50% mark.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
Stock Market QED / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Fred_Sheehan
There are many reasons to fear unhedged exposure in the U.S. stock market. Recent corporate conference calls have explored weak or falling revenues. Drooping trade among Asian countries has forewarned of weakness. In the U.S, Europe and Asia, reports describe slumping sales of necessities that may need to be reclassified as luxuries. To rub it in, investment by companies has been scaled back and large layoffs have not slackened.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Stock Market forecast for the coming week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Manas_Banerji
It will be very hard for stock indexes to sustain in these levels because there is no support of economic fundamentals; I am not only talking about the both sides of Atlantic but also about Emerging nations (or better to say BRICS nations). The way their economic reports are coming now it is concern weather they can cope with post November events (US fiscal cliff or global slowdown …….) or whatever that lays ahead.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Stock Market Rough Week...Bears More In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The stock market spent the week struggling along as the majority of leading stocks fell due to bad earnings reports. The poor reports were pretty much across the board. Make no mistake, there were many very solid reports as well. It was not all gloom and doom, but there were quite a number of reporters who said things seem to be slowing down harder than previously anticipated. What's really interesting, in a not so good way, is the fact that there were so many CEO's who seemed genuinely surprised by how fast things have turned down from a global perspective. Many talked about the need to lower guidance quite a bit due to uncertainty about whether things will start to improve. They'd rather err on the side of guiding lower than they should, so they don't disappoint once again in three months. If things improve, then they'll be able to surprise and beat those lowered expectations.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
Is The Stock Market Plunging Over An Earnings Cliff? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
The previous worries of the market seem to be fading away, only to be replaced by a new one that is perhaps more directly meaningful to stock market valuation.The U.S. economic slowdown of the spring and summer months appears to have bottomed. Home sales, new home starts, and home prices, have all been rising. The employment numbers have improved so much that skeptics even suspect the government must have somehow manipulated the numbers. Retail sales have been picking up. The latest reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index shows consumer confidence is at its highest level since 2007. On Friday it was reported that the U.S. economy (GDP) grew 2.0% in the 3rd quarter, up from 1.3% in the second quarter, and better than the consensus forecast of 1.8%.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
QE3, A Light on the Future For Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“The challenge for Ben Bernanke and the Fed governors since the 2008 bailouts has been how to deal with the backlog of fraud – not just fraudulent mortgages and fraudulent mortgage securities but the derivatives piled on top and the politics of who owns them, such as sovereign nations with nuclear arsenals, and how they feel about taking massive losses on AAA paper purchased in good faith.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
The US Presidential Election, Gold, Dollar and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: P_Radomski_CFA
With the US presidential election drawing near, it is beginning to look like Mitt Romney may actually have a shot at the white House. This prompts gold investors to wonder how such an outcome might affect financial markets and especially gold. What if Mitt Romney wins? The election may impact everything from mortgage costs to the cost of financing the U.S. debt. Trillions are at stake.
The theory goes that Romney will replace Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke whose current term will expire in any case on January 2014. He has said as much. This might slow down the perpetual money printing machine, which would be a bearish signal for gold. It would add uncertainty to monetary policy and increase market volatility.
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Friday, October 26, 2012
The Stock Market and U.S. Presidential Election 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Zeal_LLC
After a long contentious slog, the hyper-critical 2012 elections are almost here. Americans will finally have the opportunity to choose our great nation’s future course. Will we collectively vote for free-market prosperity or big-government dependency? One thing is certain, the fortunes of the US stock markets will play a major role in this all-important decision. Few things influence our national sentiment more.
Friday, October 26, 2012
Why Hedge Fund Managers Are Scared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Julian Robertson, founder of Tiger Management, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen this morning, saying that hedge funds that have positioned themselves for a "black swan event" are making a "mistake."
Robertson said, "I think right now they are all scared...They are really only going to be profitable in the event of a big disaster."
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why You Shouldn’t Fear High-Frequency Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: I occasionally hear from readers who say they are fleeing stocks because they fear a market crash due to the prevalence of high-frequency trading.
This is almost certainly a mistake. Here’s why…
Thursday, October 25, 2012
Stock Market Excitement Begins Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I commented that the SPX may make one more attempt at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 1421.00 before resuming the decline. Well, here it is.
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Thursday, October 25, 2012
Based on Real Math The SP 500 Stock Market Index Is Fairly Valued / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Charles_Carnevale
As investors, we do not believe in forecasting stock markets or stock prices on individual stocks. Instead, we approach investing as the process of calculating intrinsic value based on fundamentals. To us, the most important fundamental to be considered when evaluating the True Worth™ of a market or a common stock is earnings. Therefore, it's important that the reader understands that this article is offered as a mathematical calculation of what the S&P 500 is actually worth based on earnings. The reason we believe this to be important is because we also believe that any deviations from fair value will ultimately self-correct.
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Next Stock Market Crash Will Be Bigger Than 1987 "Black Monday" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Friday was the 25th anniversary of Black Monday. On October 19, 1987 the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 508 points, or a mind-numbing 22.6%.
How bad was it?...
Let's put it this way, if it happened today the Dow would drop 2,965 points on the session to finish at roughly 10,158. You can imagine the depression.
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Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Protect Yourself from the U.S. Dollar Crisis With Land Investments / Stock-Markets / US Housing
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: In the last three years, precious metals have soared.
They're soaring in response to a prediction I've been making since 2008 – that the U.S. government will do everything in its power to prevent a deflation in asset prices. This includes the shameless printing of dollars in order to prop up our rotted banking system... which is the plan, according to the Fed's most recent statement, out last month.
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Stock Market In The Belly Of The Beast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Toby_Connor
Asset markets should now be in the final 3-5 days of this intermediate degree profit-taking event. We are moving into the belly of the beast, so to speak. This is that period of time during an intermediate decline where things start to look really bad. The media always confirms the decline with multiple stories of gloom and doom. Don't be fooled though, this is just a normal profit-taking event and it happens like clockwork about every 20-22 weeks (although sometimes QE can stretch the cycle to over 30 weeks).
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
The World’s Largest, Most Toxic Banking System… / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Graham_Summers
As noted earlier in yesterday’s article, the entire European banking and corporate system is over-burdened with debt.
Germany sports a real Debt to GDP of over 200% (this from the former head of the Bundesbank), and the rest of Europe is in even worse shape.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Mounting Fears of 'Cyber-Pearl-Harbor', Escalating Attacks on Banks / Stock-Markets / Cyber War
By: DK_Matai
From Bank of America to HSBC and from JPMorgan Chase to Wells Fargo bank a growing wave of cyber attacks has disrupted and crippled the customer-facing online presence of some of the biggest and most powerful high-profile Western financial institutions over the past several weeks. Ally Financial, BB&T, Capital One Financial, PNC Bank, Regions Financial, SunTrust Bank and US Bank have also been targeted. Customers trying to use the online systems of those banks after the latest digital attacks were denied access or faced long delays. Some of the digital attacks appear to have originated in Iran and Russia. Security experts now believe that multiple well-organised digital attackers rather than a single attacker are behind the events that caused day-long slowdowns and, at times, complete online outages at various top banks.