Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 15, 2012
Stock Market Final Bounce Before Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is making a final bounce from its 50-day moving average at 1429.27 before reversing down toward mid-Cycle support at 1377.06. Intermediate-term resistance is at 1439.44, but it’s a toss-up whether SPX will get that far. The trend is still down, but the panic does not begin until it is below the 50-day moving average again.
Monday, October 15, 2012
The Coming Stock Market Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
According to high-frequency traders and their backers, the super-fast, computer-driven stock trading desks that employ HFT are a benefit to investors and exchanges here in the U.S. and wherever they ply their trades.
But that's not true.
In fact, if you know exactly what high-frequency traders actually do and how they do it, you'll know what the SEC hasn't figured out, namely what caused the May 2010 Flash Crash.
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Monday, October 15, 2012
Money Printing is the Only Thing Keeping the System Afloat / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Last Monday GoldMoney published my article showing the frightening growth in money-quantities for the US dollar. In that article I stated that the hyperbolic rate of increase, if the established trend is maintained, is now running at over $300bn monthly, while the Federal Reserve is officially expanding money at only $85bn.
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Monday, October 15, 2012
Gold And The Disappearing Yield, Death of Equities? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Traditionally, when economies expanded stocks outperformed bonds; but these aren’t traditional times and although economies have expanded, over the past 30 years bonds have outperformed stocks.
Since 1981 the return on long-term government bonds averaged 11.5 %. The S&P stock index averaged 10.8 %; and, since 2000, the returns of stocks over bonds have widened. A major reason why bonds have done better is that since 1982 government bond yields have been declining; and when bond yields decline, bond profits rise.
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Sunday, October 14, 2012
Don't Ignore Financial Tsunami Signs, Conquer the Crash Lessons / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
If you're a passenger aboard a ship in deep water, you can't detect a tsunami; the swells are indistinguishable from regular ocean waves. Wave lengths can be hundreds of miles long, but only when this energy reaches shallow water does the mammoth tsunami wall form -- and can wash over anything in its path.
Sunday, October 14, 2012
Stock Market A Year-End Rally Is Soon Underway! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Darah_Bazargan
The integrity of a particular resistance level at which prices breakout from is only called into question if the subsequent retest lacks the ability to ‘hold’ above the breakout point. Failure to do so would be a sign of trouble that requires more effort among buyers to ‘absorb’ the oversupply of shares at hand. However, the fact that market fluctuations can be irrational at times; there are cases when the breakout level is not necessarily the fulcrum point. Instead prices have room to ‘give’ but still remain above the general stopping area. This can be equally as valid so long as there comes a period of consolidation 'above' where buyers can defend the newly established higher level of support .
Sunday, October 14, 2012
DOW Stock Market Index 2007 Retest Failure – Game Over USA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
The DJIA has confirmed the failure of it 2007 top, confirming that we are indeed in the third wave down after completing Q-2.
In March I projected the ideal Q-2 reaching 13750 by November in Dow Stock Market Index Ready to Form a Major Top
I have spent a lot of time on methods to help confirm pivots quicker and have overcome this issue and now am testing time warping fractal waves. Because I am a simpleton it is a rule based single A4 page! I will shortly be publishing something on that so click follow on my blog to get it hot off the press.
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Sunday, October 14, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend May Be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
The bull market that has been full of surprises dropped another one this week. Early in the week the Tech indices, NDX/NAZ, confirmed downtrends. Ending a three month uptrend in those indices. The Cyclical indices, SPX/DOW, continued higher into October with the DOW making a new bull market high. However, they too are weakening now. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were -3.10%. Asian markets lost 1.1%, European markets lost 1.9%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. On the economic front things continue to improve: positive reports out numbered negatives ones 8 to 1. On the downtick: the Trade deficit expanded. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, the PPI, a Budget surplus, and weekly Jobless claims declined. Next week we get a look at Housing, Industrial production and Retail sales.
Saturday, October 13, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for the Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Manas_Banerji
Market is expecting stimulus from China and looks like in this moment that is the one thing that may take markets in more higher levels, this is considering the fact that never ending Euro-zone debt fever is not going to improve much in coming days. Rise in Chinese export for September was good but in coming week Chinese inflation and 3rd quarter growth figures are due to come and those may be huge important events for market. On the other hand expectations are still high about Spanish bail-out and corresponding bond buying by ECB, now it will be very interesting to see whether stock markets get any good thing from that episode.
Saturday, October 13, 2012
Stock Market Worst Week Since Memorial Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Despite positive pre-market futures, the S&P 500 struggled at the open but rallied around the amazingly strong Consumer Sentiment report. But alas the gains had no staying power. Earnings season continues to weigh heavily, with the popular press pointing to concerns about shrinking profit margins in big financials (e.g., the fine print in in the quarterly reports of Wells Fargo and JP Morgan). The S&P 500 closed the day with a modest 0.30% decline, but the tally for the week was -2.21%, the worst weekly close since the four-day Memorial Day week (which saw a 3.02% plunge).
Saturday, October 13, 2012
Stock Market Correction Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The question people are asking is really more about whether this is the beginning of something far more significant than just an ordinary pullback. When markets want to sell, they do so more than the average bull would like. This creates fear and pessimism, the two things the market needs. Markets find a way to do their dirty deeds. When it has its head down, you need to step out of the way. There isn't much anyone can do to stop the machine when the light has flashed red. So now folks will wonder. What we have to do is look objectively, and ask the same question. To me, this is right in line with what one may have expected once the market snapped. It has stair-stepped its way down with some acceleration lately.
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Saturday, October 13, 2012
Stock Market Investors Confident Despite Global Recession Threat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
It’s been a most unusual - some say crazy - year for global stock markets, certainly including that of the U.S.The global economic recovery from the 2007-2009 financial collapse stalled last year and continues to worsen this year, with the International Monetary Fund cutting its forecasts for global economic recovery yet again, including for the U.S., and warning four days ago that risks of the world dropping back into a global recession “are alarmingly high”, and that “no significant improvements appear in the offing.”
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Friday, October 12, 2012
Financial Tsunami Heading To Shore Has Been Building for 80 Years! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
If you're a passenger aboard a ship in deep water, you can't detect a tsunami; the swells are indistinguishable from regular ocean waves. Wave lengths can be hundreds of miles long, but only when this energy reaches shallow water does the mammoth tsunami wall form -- and can wash over anything in its path.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
Stock Market Crash Starts Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Well, folks, it appears that the market is going full circle. Sunday is day 1,314 from the March 9, 2009 low. Obviously the market cannot bottom on Sunday, but it appears that the crash scenario is getting more and more serious. The Head & Shoulders neckline at 1430.75 and the Orthodox Broadening Top trendline await us just below current levels.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
Goldman Sachs View on the Election, Economy and Euro-zone Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Goldman Sachs President Gary Cohn told Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen today that he will "probably read" Greg Smith's tell-all book, "Why I Left Goldman Sachs," which comes out on October 22nd.
Cohn also discussed the global economy, saying that "I understand what the [Federal Reserve is] trying to do and I will tell you this, this is going to be difficult to stop or to exit.
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Thursday, October 11, 2012
Stock Market Pop and Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
he daily and even the hourly charts often do not reveal the detail of the waves enough to make a good assessment. This morning I go to the 10-minute chart to reveal the clarity of the wave pattern. This suggests that after a brief rally (which may already be over), the market resumes its downward spiral. Today is both a Pivot and Wild Card reversal day, so in that sense, the retracement is welcome. The 50-day moving average is just beneath yesterday’s lows at 1426.00. It appears that, once crossed, selling will resume in earnest.
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Thursday, October 11, 2012
Stock Market Profit Taking Event in Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Toby_Connor
Since the breakdown out of the bear flag on the dollar index hasn't followed through, the odds now favor that the dollar has generated an intermediate degree bottom. First off this should be a countertrend move as I think the three year cycle has already topped. Based on the intermediate cycle count in the stock market the dollar probably doesn't have more than 3-4 weeks before this rally rolls over and begins another leg down.
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Are Businesses Quietly Preparing for a Financial Apocalypse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Casey_Research
Dan Steinhart, Casey Research writes: US corporations are sitting on more cash than at any point since World War 2.
That's without including banks. I'm only talking about nonfinancial corporations – the ones that sell goods and services and make the economy go.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Stock Market Sitting on the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX is sitting at Short-term support at the close. My model suggests a very powerful move is in the offing, in which the next target may be as low as mid-Cycle support at 1373.79 before the next bounce back, possibly to the 50-day moving average at 1423.77. Once 1373.79 is crossed the second time, the crash may be underway. The Broadening Wedge at 1320.00 may only enhance the decline, since most Broadening Wedges don’t call for a bounce, while the Orthodox Broadening Tops do.
Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Financial Crash, Economic Crash, We Have Been Warned! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: DeviantInvestor
Bernanke gave his “helicopter” speech in which he made reference to a “helicopter drop of money.” But the critical point in his speech was:
Read full article... Read full article...“U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in term of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services.”