Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, August 08, 2013
Japan Stock Market Flashing a Warning For What is Coming Our Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
The markets fell yesterday despite the Fed pumping over $5 billion into the system. The primary reason is that the Fed is once again talking about tapering QE. There’s also the uncertainty of who the next Fed Chairman will be (Larry Summers’ odds of filling the roll can be correlated to the dips in the market as Summers has been critical of QE in the past).
Thursday, August 08, 2013
What a QE Taper Means for Markets and the Next Fed Chair / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Money_Morning
Garrett Baldwin writes: On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans announced that he wouldn't be surprised if the central bank begins to taper its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program in September.
Evans is the third official this week to signal a QE taper. Richard Fisher, president of the Dallas Fed, and Dennis Lockhart, president of the Atlanta Fed, parroted Evans' sentiment.
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Thursday, August 08, 2013
Some Stock Market Selling Continues....Sentiment Poor Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The futures began to fall not much after the market had closed last night. Slowly but surely the selling began. But there was nothing that made you believe we were about to blast up again, since we also closed a few points below 1700 on the S&P 500. Not forcefully below, but the churning the past few days just above 1700, and then they closed slightly below last night, didn't give you a warm and fuzzy feeling about the market heading in to today's action. The market gapped down some, and then headed lower with some force, until it got to the 20-day exponential moving average at 1684. Buyers naturally came in there as this was only the first real test of the 20's. In a bull market the bears aren't likely to succeed at removing critical support levels on the first try, although it can always happen.
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Shocking Economic Numbers About China, Now is the Time to Buy Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There are few things more exciting in the investment business than finding a golden opportunity staring you in the face.
That's why I do a lot of research. Because I know that the more I dig, the greater the chance I will find something that others miss, that leads to big opportunity.
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Is the Stock Market Top In? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
I keep hearing that whenever “stocks are rising” it’s a good thing.
I completely disagree. If a market move is warranted by earnings and fundamentals, then yes, a sharp move higher is great. But if the market is rallying based on false hopes, or even worse, is in a bubble, then it’s actually very bad for stocks to move higher because it means the ensuing collapse will be even more violent (a la 2000 and 2008).
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Stock Market 3 Peaks and a Domed House Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
An odd looking 3PDh pattern has occurred over the last year in the Dow. Lindsay wrote that when these patterns cap secular bull market highs (rather than cyclical highs) they often look atypical.Three peaks formed on 4/2/12, 5/1/12, and 10/5/12 which meet Lindsay’s requirement that peaks one and three be within 6-10 months apart.
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Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Stock Market Reversal! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today is day 258 in the VIX Master Cycle which started on November 21, five days after the SPX Master Cycle low on November 16. Since the November low, we saw a 75-month low on March 15, Marking s Super Cycle Wave (b) low. Since then, the pattern has been confusing, overlapping and somewhat irregular, leaning me in the direction of labeling it as corrective and leaving the door open for a possible lower low in the July-August time frame. Thankfully, this hasn’t happened. Instead, the VIX presents us with an expanding Leading Diagonal, an overlapping, irregular, but impulsive Intermediate Wave [1] which peaked on June 24. Intermediate Wave [2] shows an impulsive Wave (A) and an Ending Diagonal Wave (C).
Tuesday, August 06, 2013
How to Follow the Money / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: Frank_Holmes
Too often investors get caught up in their political allegiance or parties, focus on the negative and lose confidence in stocks. As a result, they can miss great bull markets. I believe when it comes to finding investment opportunities, it’s not about the political party, it’s about the policies, both monetary and fiscal.
Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Stock Market S&P 500 Index Plagued with Divergences / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: J_W_Jones
By now everyone has a prediction about where the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is going to be heading in the future. Most of the sell side and their ilk are all rolling out the green bullish carpet and predicting that a major bull run is right around the corner.
I am a contrarian investor by nature and I tend to sell when others are buying. When retail investors are buying and the professional sell-side is quickly reducing their long equity exposure I get increasingly more bearish. A recent report from Zerohedge shown here, was accompanied by the charts shown below courtesy of Bank of America Merrill Lynch:
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Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Can Stock Market S&P500 Index Reach 1750, Or Even 1800? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: ForexPros
S&P500 reversed sharply to the upside from 1550 support, clearly in impulsive fashion. As such, we labeled end of a corrective blue wave (4) at latest swing low from where we are now tracking a new bullish leg on stocks, this time towards 1750 or possibly even to 1800 region in coming weeks for fifth wave in III.
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Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Be Very Afraid Of The Stock Market, Amongst Other Things... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
We live in the Land Of Oz where the Wizard is in total control, and just as in the story of Oz, the Wizard behind the corporate federal government is just as hollow. The problem is twofold. 1. Most do not know they live as a fictional entity, [14th Amendment "citizens"], within a fictional government. All corporations are fictional entities, created by the State, and that, ironically enough, includes the State, at every level. 2. If 1. is somewhat on the radar of knowledge, those who reach level 2 still do not know that the Wizard is a phony, all-powerful, but in essence, powerless if people would only wake up.
Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Bifurcated Stock Market, Still No Topping Action..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Sometimes you have to recognize that there's not much to add or say when doing this report. The reality is that things just aren't changing very much. The market is refusing at this time to throw a classic topping stick in our direction. We are so overbought with the potential for negative divergences on many time frames, thus, the market is truly at extreme risk for a very intense and sudden breakdown for a period of time. Only one problem. Again, there’s no topping stick and or massive gap down to set the top. It will come and probably not far out in to the distant future, but if you're a bear, you don't want to get aggressive too soon as that strategy has caused nothing but heartache for quite some time now.
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Monday, August 05, 2013
Stock Market Decline May Come With Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX is in day 42 of its Trading Cycle beginning at the June 24
low. Instead of 45 days from low-to-low, it appears that this cycle may be more like 60 days in duration. That gives us an approximate 17 calendar day decline from today/tomorrow, should the high come in on the next two days. The alternate probability takes us to Thursday, Aug 8 as the high, with the subsequent decline following.
Monday, August 05, 2013
Detroit and Social Credit, Stocks Contnuing Technical Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Christopher_Quigley
In 2009 I wrote an essay on Social Credit which for some reason has become one of the most popular articles I have ever penned. This, I reckon, is not because it is a particularly “exceptional” essay but due, in part, to timing. Interest in this “economic concept” has recently gone “viral”.
Monday, August 05, 2013
Why You have to Be Invested in the Stock Market Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Our friend and frequent Money Morningcontributor Frank Holmes put together a chart of S&P 500 gains that you have to see.
The index closed July with a monthly gain of 4.9%. This is the 14th month since 2009 that the S&P 500 has gained at least 4%.
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Monday, August 05, 2013
Time for Caution, Stock Market Intermediate Top Within Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After a brief consolidation, the bull market has resumed its uptrend and has already created new highs in the leading indices.
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Sunday, August 04, 2013
US Stock Markets Reach a Cross Road, Time to Start Looking for a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: WavePatternTraders
I have been targeting a move into the 1700SPX for a while, to the dismay of the bears, the bulls finally stuck a nail in the coffin of the bears, no matter how many times the bears keep getting run over they just seem to enjoy picking tops and loosing $$, it seems the bears just don't learn their lesson. I wonder if these perma-bears that keep picking tops have any $$$ left.
There is time to be bullish and time to be bearish; Elliott Wave helps us in that regard, if Elliott Wave is used correctly. Fortunately for us, we use it well enough that it is a tool for us, not a hindrance.
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Sunday, August 04, 2013
Can the Stock Market Get Any Better Than This? Korean Black Swan? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
What in the world is going on?! As I write this letter from the Maine woods, the S&P 500 has just cleared 1,700 for the first time. The German DAX continues to set all-time highs above 8,400. The United Kingdom’s FTSE 100 is quickly approaching its 1999 record high of 6,930, and its mid-cap cousin, the FTSE 250, just broke through to its all-time level above 15,000. And last but not least, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is extending its gains once more, toward 14,500. This weekend I am sitting around with some of the smartest economic and trading minds in the country. At Leen's Lodge, where we're fishing and eating where our phones don’t work, the question on our minds is, how long can this run go on? The debates can get intense in a room full of strong opinions.
Sunday, August 04, 2013
The Trader Stock Index Games Are Ending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
Traders shot for and managed to hit 1,700 on the S&P 500. At this point, there is no real reason for this other than trader games (start of the month buying).
The rising wedge pattern we’ve been tracking is essentially complete. This final jump in the S&P 500 has been a bounce from the upper trendline. But by the look of things, this is likely the final push.
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Saturday, August 03, 2013
Another Stock Market New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls for July came in a bit lighter than forecast, but the unemployment rate dropped from 7.6% to 7.4%. The devil, of course, is in the details. The market scratched its head over the report, as well as the BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays for June, which had the additional complexity of major historical revisions. Buried in the data was the fact the Real Disposable Personal Income Per-Capita is down 0.11% year-over-year.