Stock Market Flash Crash Alert
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Aug 20, 2013 - 10:26 AM GMTSPX has officially crossed its 50-day moving average. Usually Flash Crashes occur after the 50-day is retested from beneath and turns down. A minimal Flash Crash would likely take SPX down to the lower trendline of the weekly Ending Diagonal. From there, SPX may bounce back to mid-Cycle support/resistance at 1567.80. This could be a busy week.
VIX has also overcome its 50-day moving average at 14.88 after testing the Lip of its Cup with Handle formation. It should also bring VIX to the upper trendline of its Ending Diagonal at 18.85. The same concept applies here, inverted. We should see a pullback from the upper trendline in an Intermediate Wave (2) before the larger move occurs.
TNX continues its surge above its Cycle Top support at 27.15. This is a good indication of a third wave and it may continue as long as it stays above that support level.
The Cycles Model suggests that this rally in yields may continue to September 3.
It appears that GLD may have already completed its 3rd wave of [C], which may allow it to rally to its 38.2% retracement level at 137.37. Wave [C] equals Wave [A] at 139.01, but that is an alternate view at the moment. This tells us that GLD may not go as high as we might normally expect. The Cycles Model suggests that the top may be reached in this counter-trend rally as early as this Friday, so be on the alert for any indications of a potential turn later this week.
Regards,
Tony
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