Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, July 25, 2013
Is the Econcomic Recovery Collapsing… Are You Prepared? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The markets had a very weak session yesterday. With Bernanke’s final stand in front of Congress out of the way, along with options expiration and end of the quarter performance gaming, the bulls are running out of excuses to gun the market higher.
This is evident in the action of the last three days. All three days traders tried to push the market higher at the open. However, there was no follow through and every time the market retracted the early gains. As I’ve told subscribers of Private Wealth Advisory is not indicative of major buying power coming into the markets.
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Thursday, July 25, 2013
The Stock Market Nirvana Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
"What the mind can conceive and believe it can achieve" ~ Napoleon Hill
When one looks at the US stock markets over the last two years, especially since August 2011, it would appear that it has become liberated from entering a bear market for more than a few days or weeks.
With each subsequent drop, a rally has ensued. US stock indices seem to move one step closer to nirvana with each passing "minor correction" in prices. One need never worry again, as we gain greater confidence in the masters of finance, who with the mere mention of the words, "a highly accommodative policy", can levitate stocks.
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Stock Market Rally Resumes on the Japan Scam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
And up we go again!
AAPL had OK earnings and it's up about 3% overnight so that's pumping 0.6% into the Nasdaq from that stock alone. The big news of the day is Euro-Zone PMI Reports coming in better than expected, pretty much across the board. Forget the fact that they are, overall, at 50.1 on a scale where 49.9 is contracting – 50.1 is NOT CONTRACTING!!!
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Stock Market Trendline Violation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The hourly SPX chart now shows the lower trendline of the Ending Diagonal is broken. This is the earliest and best warning. We may see the SPX drop to or below the hourly Cycle Bottom at 1584.84 before a bounce occurs. The decline may take a couple days, but it should wipe out the entire month-long rally.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Could this Be the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
I may be taking a risk of a premature call, but it appears that SPX is losing its grip on the rising trendline.
The pattern certainly appears complete.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Stock Market Overbought Again.....Earnings Fine Overall..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market is once again overbought on the majority of daily index charts. When this occurs the candlesticks on the way up seemingly get smaller and smaller as it becomes a bit harder to find buyers that give the market huge up days. When markets aren't overbought in a bull market there’s one large candlestick after another. Now, due to overbought, those sticks are getting smaller and smaller as big money refuses to come in and buy for the short-term. They are waiting for retail to stop buying, thus, allowing the market to unwind those overbought oscillators. We also will get further insight as to why the market is printing smaller and smaller candles when we get those sentiment numbers on Wednesday morning.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Stock Market Short-term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After a brief consolidation, the bull market has resumed its uptrend and has already created new highs in the leading indices. A short-term top is brewing.
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Monday, July 22, 2013
Why Detroit’s Bankruptcy Should Concern You / Stock-Markets / US Debt
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Well, it’s official—as of last Thursday, the city of Detroit is bankrupt.
Detroit is a sad example of a city that was continually running a large budget deficit. But it grew into such a huge amount of government debt that the only way out was to file for bankruptcy and give investors pennies on the dollar.
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Monday, July 22, 2013
Gold, Silver and the Coming Complete Wipeout of All Debt - Video / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2013
Bix Weir is a tireless advocate for manipulation-free gold and silver markets. Weir says, “They are printing money, and the reason to control the price of gold is to control the perception the U.S. dollar is a sound currency.” The manipulation game is not going to go on much longer. Weir proclaims, “We’re at a point in our system and in the manipulation where people within the Fed and within our government are ready to pull the plug on the game and basically crash the system.” Weir goes on to say, “You’re looking at a complete wipeout of all debt in all banks, all virtual assets, virtual assets meaning electronic blips on a 401k statement and checking and savings accounts.”
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Sunday, July 21, 2013
Stock Market Divergences Continue Whilst VIX Drops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
"I listened carefully to yesterday's Bernanke speech. He seemed ill at ease and almost stumbling. I truly believe that Bernanke is confused and even frightened by the results of all his manipulations. But what he's most confused about is the poor results he's been getting from both the economy and the markets. Bernanke appears to me to be a man trapped and confused by his own unorthodox tactics." - Richard Russell July 18, 2013
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Sunday, July 21, 2013
Stock Market Rally Continues Except for Shanghai / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The global rally for my featured group of eight indexes has entered its fourth consecutive week, with seven of the eight posting gains. France’s CAC 40 took the top spot with a 1.82% advance. Of the 29 weekly closes in 2013, this is the first time the CAC 40 has finished first. Europe also took the next two spots, with Germany’s DAXK up 1.45% and the UK’s FTSE 100 close behind at 1.31%. China’s Shanghai Composite was the sole finisher in the red with a slide for the week of 2.30%. That’s the eighth time this year that the Shanghai has been the worst weekly performer.
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Saturday, July 20, 2013
Stock Market More Overstretched Than At Anytime in 30 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The markets are running out of steam as there is no longer a Bernanke talk to look forward to (he won’t be at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting in August) and options expiration is ending.
Bernanke has a thing for options. For some reason, over the last five years, he had a tendency to expand the Fed’s balance sheet on weeks when options were expiring. He even did this on weeks when the Fed technically was not engaged in a QE program.
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Saturday, July 20, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend May be Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market started the week by making a new uptrend high on Monday, pulled back, made a new all time high on Thursday, pulled back, then ended the week within one point of the all time high. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.75%, and the DJ World index gained 1.0%. Economic reports returned to a positive bias this week. On the uptick: retail sales, the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, industrial production and capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, and weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: housing starts, building permits, the M1 multiplier and the WLEI. Next week more housing reports, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment.
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Saturday, July 20, 2013
Big Kahuna Investor Profit Opportunities Coming Soon! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“Highly accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future…”
Ben Bernanke, Fed Chairman, 7/10/2013 and 7/17/13
“… in June, 2013, inflation was about 9.4%, up from 9.0% in May and Real Unemployment up to 23.4% from 23% in May.
Real Retail Sales and Real Earnings contracted in June… (The Official Reported) June Retail Sales Gain Reflected little more Than Rising Inflation”
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Bernanke Not a Big Enough Dove to Lift Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Well, that was disappointing!
As noted by Dave Fry: "Stocks barely moved overall as Bernanke said little to motivate traders in any direction. It still must amaze viewers to listen to the most powerful man (along with his merry fellow governors) take over the money of the United States with only a bunch of useful idiots in congress to monitor their activities. Stunning!"
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Ben Bernanke’s Last Stand Is Playing Out In Front of Us Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The winning streak for stocks broke yesterday, with stocks posting a small drop (just 0.3%). We had forecast a summer rally a few weeks back and sure enough stocks have put in a 10-day winning streak.
The important line to watch is lined out below. Bernanke’s verbal intervention managed to kick off a rally when he spoke after the market was closed on Wednesday. But if we drop back below this line again, there’s not a whole lot he can do, after all, he’s promised to maintain QE… which he already had in place.
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Capital Requirements Won’t Save Us From Fundamentally Unstable Monetary System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
On Tuesday July 2, 2013 US central bank policy makers voted in favor of the US version of the global bank rules known as the Basel 3 accord. The cornerstone of the new rules is a requirement that banks maintain high quality capital, such as stock or retained earnings, equal to 7 percent of their loans and assets.
The bigger banks may be required to hold more than 9 percent. The Fed also drafted new “leverage ratio” rules to limit how much banks can borrow to fund their business.
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Thursday, July 18, 2013
Stock Market Waiting for the Fools on Capital Hill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Day after day,
Alone on a hill,
The man with the foolish grin is keeping perfectly still
But nobody wants to know him,
They can see that he's just a fool,
And he never gives an answer
Thursday, July 18, 2013
Stock Market Huge Night Ahead....And Tomorrow As Well... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Why are they huge? It's earnings season and the season is huge this year as the market is at lofty levels. If those earnings can't carry the day then the market is vulnerable to a large pullback over the next several weeks. It just needs a catalyst to sell. That catalyst won't come from the Fed so the bears must look elsewhere to find a reason to get more aggressive. The only reason I can think of, other than a disaster I can't wrap my mind around, is earnings. Tonight we have lots of very important stocks. Leaders if you will.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2013
Dark Pools of Liquidity Are a Big Problem for Free Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Greg Madison writes: Everything runs on liquidity. Unless you know something I don't, that dollar bill in your pocket is just as likely to buy a can of Pabst Blue Ribbon today as it was yesterday, and will be tomorrow.
Or you could sell 1,000 lbs. of gold - if you have that lying around - without fear of completely scuttling the global gold market. Your bank has to have cash, liquidity, lying around somewhere in the back if it wants to stay in business.
And in many cases, it's easy to see or verify this liquidity. It helps everyone feel better about doing anything.
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