Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, August 03, 2013
Stock Market Bull Pullback.... Market Hanging Tough..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market has spent a lot of time trying to get back over 1700, and finally made the move, albeit barely, yesterday. It wasn't forceful by any means, nor was it followed today by anything to get excited about. Most of that caused by the Jobs Report this morning pre-market, but more on that later. The news was poor economically this morning which caused a gap down that did back test the breakout at 1700. The bulls fought hard and were able to save the S&P 500 from falling below the entire day. Not bad when you consider the bad news on jobs, but the problem still remains that we weren't able to pull away from 1700 to give the bulls a sense of safety for at least the short-term if not longer.
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Saturday, August 03, 2013
Massive Stock Market Wave B Top Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It might be good to look at the big picture, since we are very close to the high in what may be the all-time largest correction in history. It’s been a difficult process to sort out the waves, since the pattern is somewhat irregular and sloppy. Here are the highlights of the analysis:
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Stock Market Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
We have continued to correctly project the wave patterns for months now at TMTF for our subscribers in the SP 500 Index. Our latest views were to look for a minor wave 3 top at 1698 with a pullback minor wave 4. We hit that on the nose with a 23.6% fibonacci retracement of minor wave 3 as we hit 1676.
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Can the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Continue Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: With the S&P 500 at all-time highs, market sentiment clearly is in the bullish camp; this must mean that all of our problems are solved and the future is bright for everyone—
Hold on a minute: if this were true, why would consumer confidence regarding the future decrease?
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Trend Changes in Financial Markets: 7 Key Market Calls / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave International is dedicated to helping subscribers anticipate the next major market turn. No, we don't always "get it right" - yet the examples below speak for themselves.
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Stock Market Valuation Very Expensive! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Courtesy of Doug Short: Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators I usually update during the first days of the month. The four indicators are:
● The Crestmont Research P/E Ratio (more)
● The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing10-year earnings as the divisor
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Stock Market New Intraday and Closing Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 bolted from the blocks at the open, assisted by a good jobless claims report and reinforced by a surprisingly strong ISM Manufacturing update. The index opened at its intraday low, up 0.22%, and closed the day with a gain of 1.25%, just a bit off its 1.31% intraday high. Today’s rally was good enough to set all-time intraday and closing highs.
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Friday, August 02, 2013
Why I’m Cynical Toward This Unsupported Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: I hate to talk negatively and am usually not a doom-and-gloom type of guy like Nouriel Roubini, “Dr. Doom.” Roubini, an economist, is the Wall Street equivalent of the character Grumpy from Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs. Yet the more I see what is happening in the stock market and global economy, the more I’m becoming cynical on the stock market.
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Thursday, August 01, 2013
Ignore the Next Fed Chairman Debate… Asia is in Collapse / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
The big news is what’s going on in Asia.
The US financial media continues to focus on who will be the next Fed Chairman, which is unimportant in the grand scheme of things. Greenspan created the biggest asset bubble in history. Bernanke bankrupted the republic and created an even bigger bubble trying to prove his misguided theories. Whoever takes over the reins at the Fed next will simply have the honor of being in the driver’s seat when the whole mess goes over the cliff.
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Thursday, August 01, 2013
Catching the Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Key to a Strong consolidation in the market definitely needs the USD change its momentum and trend in the medium term. I believe this is nearing as it is hovering around the support i mentioned previously and I have identified A really support line at 81.25 which reversal should be imminent if it touches that line.
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Thursday, August 01, 2013
Why the Stock Market’s Heights are Unrealistic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: Investors continue to view this market with an extremely bullish view.
The investor sentiment readings on the NASDAQ have been well above a bullish 90% for more than three weeks. This means stocks could move higher.
Thursday, August 01, 2013
China Trigger for Key American Stock Market Indices Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Michael Lombardi writes: Why do only a few in the media and no politicians I can find seem to care about the warning bells being issued by the Chinese economy?
First, early this year, we heard the Chinese economy is going to grow at an embarrassingly slow pace in 2013 compared to its historical average. Forget a 10% economic growth rate and think seven percent or lower!
Wednesday, July 31, 2013
Is Europe Economy, Stocks Ready to Take Off? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
One year ago, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi announced that the central bank had the political will to do "whatever it takes" to save the euro. Now, the worst may be over, as suggested by stronger economic data coming out of Europe. It appears the Continent is finally on the road to a sustained recovery.
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Tuesday, July 30, 2013
Light Stock Market Selling as We Wait on Fed FOMC in Suspense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The big week of economic data got off to a weak start, with the S&P 500 slipping 0.37% in a day of light trading within a relatively narrow intraday range of 0.54% (the 16th percentile of intraday volatility for 2013). The markets are in suspense, waiting on the really big news comes later in the week: Wednesday’s Q2 GDP, which will include major revisions back to 1929, and Friday’ June employment report. On Wednesday we also get the latest FOMC statement, although the consensus is for no market-moving news. Meanwhile today’s Pending Home Sales declined less than forecast. On the other hand, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing showed weaker growth than expected.
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Tuesday, July 30, 2013
Real Reason Why Fed’s Easy Money Isn’t Helping the Stock Market in the Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: I tell you, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke is risking the future of America with his free-flowing don’t-worry-about-the-future-generations strategy of pumping money into the economy. The problem, as I have said many times previously, is that people and companies have become so accustomed to the cheap money that the tapering to come will surely be difficult.
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Monday, July 29, 2013
Is Stock Market Minor Wave 4 Really Complete? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After a brief consolidation, the bull market has resumed its uptrend and has already created new highs in the leading indices.
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Monday, July 29, 2013
World Stocks Markets Mixed Bag with a Negative Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: After four weeks of a broad-based rally, during which a minimum of seven of my eight featured indexes posted a gain, last week was a mixed bag with a negative bias. The Hang Seng was the one outstanding performer with a 2.84% advance for the week. France’s CAC 40 was a distant second, up 1.11%, and the Shanghai Composite was a close third with a 0.91% gain. The S&P 500 finished the week fractionally below the flat line, but four indexes lost from one to three percent. The big loser was Japan’s Nikkei, the “drama queen” index of 2013.
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Sunday, July 28, 2013
Possible S&P Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SIbeiho writes: The Blue Line is showing obvious support and there is a fairly gd chance the VIX is gonna move up to cover that gap at the orange line.
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Sunday, July 28, 2013
Stock Market Bubbles Cannot Be Timed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
What do tulips, Pet Rocks, Beanie Babies, Barbie Dolls, real estate, stock markets, and gold, have in common? They’ve all seen speculative bubbles in their prices that burst with devastating results for investors who believed there would be no end to their rising prices.
Should we believe claims that the stock market is now in another bubble? Some are making that claim.
Saturday, July 27, 2013
Corporate Earnings Winding Down... Stock Market Acting Fine Overall..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For a few weeks now we have been watching the earnings pour in from every sector imaginable. Every leader under the sun is being put to the test. Pre-market. Post-market. A barrage of earnings is hitting Wall Street. It becomes overwhelming, but it is necessary to follow the yellow-brick road of reports because it hints at what the market action will likely be for the next few months. There are always countertrend moves within that time frame, but it's important to know what to expect. You ask yourself the big question of what did the market think of the reports overall. When you study the plethora of reports out there, the market doesn't seem all that disappointed. Sure, there were many bad reports along the way. The usual amount of real slaughters, but on the other hand, the number of good reports, especially from the leaders, seem to outweigh the bad.
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