Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, September 14, 2013
Self-Reliance Investing – Key to Profit & Protection – Part I / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“Collective belief can create its own reality, and at least for the past few years, collective belief is that Fed actions simply make stocks go up, and so they have. The problem is that this outcome is based almost wholly on perception and confidence bordering on superstition – not on any analytical or mechanistic link that closely relates the quantity of monetary base created by the Fed to the equity prices (despite the correlation-presumed-to-be-causation between the two when one measures precisely from the 2009 market low). Some of the deepest market losses in history have occurred in environments of aggressive Fed easing.” John Hussman, Hussman Funds, September 2013
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Friday, September 13, 2013
Fed QE3-Tapering Impact on Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on whether to slow its third quantitative-easing campaign’s debt monetizations has to be this year’s most-highly-anticipated market event. Traders have been trying to game the odds of QE3 tapering literally all year long, driving some sharp market moves. So the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision due out next Wednesday is likely to be a major market-moving event.
The focus on this imminent FOMC meeting is so hyper-intense that its impact should be considerable no matter what the Fed decides. The QE3 taper (or lack thereof), its size, and what the FOMC implies for future tapering will almost certainly spark sharp price reactions in the bond markets, currency markets, stock markets, and precious metals. All have moved violently this year on mere QE3-taper anticipation.
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Friday, September 13, 2013
How Gold, Oil, and Syria Really Mix… Plus "3 Strikes Against Apple" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The markets are very complicated at the moment, which is why now's an ideal time to reach into the Money Morning Mailbag and address your concerns.
The goal here is simple: To provide understandable, actionable, and, of course, profitable answers to your thoughtful and extremely insightful questions.
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Friday, September 13, 2013
Ben Bernanke Financial Crisis Hero / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Former Treasury Secretary, Hank Paulson joined Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene today on “Street Smart.”
On being Treasury Secretary for two years, six months, and ten days:
“It went quickly, but I hit the ground running. I had fortunately, a year before the crisis to build relationships of trust with the President and that relationship was clearly critical.”
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Nasdaq Presses on Without Apple Support / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
What an exciting index!
On Tuesday, as one of our "5 More Trade Ideas that make 500% in an Up Market", we went long on 16 QQQ Jan $75/80 bull call spreads at $3 ($4,800) and paid for them by selling 2 ISRG 2015 $300 puts for $23.50 ($4,700) for net $100 on the $8,000 spread in our virtual Short-Term Portfolio.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
What You Need to Know About the Dow Stock Index's Big Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
In the biggest Dow Index changes in nearly a decade, Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA), Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ), and Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC) are being dumped from the closely watched 30-stock index.
Athletic gear maker Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) steps into the place of Alcoa, a Dow component for 54 years. Payments company Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) will unseat HP, which joined the blue-chip benchmark in 1997. And Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) replaces BofA, which joined the index five years ago.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Wall Street Mirrors Sentiments of Main Street / Stock-Markets / US Economy
Eleonora writes: Homeowners face uncertainty moving forward! Major developments are taking place in the banking sector across the United States. The mortgage boom is now a thing of the past. More and more banks across the United States are closing their facilities and financial units that traditionally worked with customers to refinance their home loans. In fact, one of the major lenders – JP Morgan – laid-off an estimated 2,000 workers during the month of August. 50% of the workers were in the home loans departments.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Dow and S&P Stock Market Indices Range Bound, Nasdaq in Bullish Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The “Syrian Conflict pullback” is over and the market is back in bullish mode, particularly the NASDAQ which has just given a bullish breakout signal.
For the third time the 1480’ish level on the Dow Transports has held. With this support holding, the bull trend is back in business on the Industrials the Transports and the S&P. However, they are range bound.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Three "Dead Money" Investments, Plus One "Living Large" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Robert Hsu writes: Yesterday we looked at what may now be the single greatest risk to your retirement dreams - a seemingly benign 1% move in the 10-year Treasury yield. (See Part I.)
So now I'm going to show you what to do about it...
Remember, if we're going to keep increasing our wealth at a significant pace, we need to make a big adjustment.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Stock Market Setup for a Perfect Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
TNX rallied this morning, instead of declining, as I had reported earlier. This leaves a probable irregular correction, also known as a “running correction.” A breakout may be the catalyst for the SPX reversal as well.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
There's Only One Thing About Syria That Matters to Americans / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: Let's talk about Syria and how what's happening there is affecting the markets.
I see oil rising to two-year highs. I see gold rising to three-month highs. Let's see, what else is being affected? Oh, that would be nothing.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
How a 1% Gain Can Destroy Your Retirement Dreams / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
Robert Hsu writes: This has been the bond market's worst showing in 19 years, thanks to the recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield. But bond investors aren't the only ones getting hit.
A higher "risk-free" rate affects you, too. And me. And anyone else trying to grow their money.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
Stocks Bull Market Confirmed by MWA Set to Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
On the 3rd December 2012 MWA confirmed the long term bull market. How the DAX on 3 December at 11:24 confirmed a long term bull market.
Is this bull set to continue? There is a lot of conflicting views currently about how the world is coming to an end - hyperinflation, sovereign debt crisis, unemployment, war, US government NSA spying scandals, G20 global tax hunt, oh and I must not forget Al Qaeda.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
And the Loser in the Smartphone Battle Is… / Stock-Markets / Mobile Technology
George Leong writes: At a time when the smartphone war is picking up, former Wall Street star BlackBerry Limited (NASDAQ/BBRY) is running for the exit as fast as it can. The company is expected to be sold in some form by November, as it tries to unload its issues on another company.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
Cheap Money Means Nothing is safe – Not student loans, Emerging markets, or London flats... / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
Did you enjoy your monthly dose of non-farms nonsense last Friday?
Gold and silver both erased Thursday's drop when the latest US jobs figures were released. Set your gold or silver chart to one-week (1w) to see the silliness.
But were August's non-farm payrolls really so meaningless? Cutting the jobless rate is one-half of the US Federal Reserve's mandate (the other is beating inflation - or whisking it, perhaps, after folding in egg whites). And whatever he does (or doesn't do) to quantitative easing at next week's much-awaited policy meeting, Fed chairman Bernanke has made a 7.0% jobless rate a key condition for any talk of raising Dollar interest rates from zero.
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Monday, September 09, 2013
Stock Market Ready for Wave C Decline? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX and some other indices have formed a H&S top which was confirmed with last week's sell-off. An intermediate term correction is under way.
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Sunday, September 08, 2013
Stock Market S&P Upside In Question. Watch The Nasdaq / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The point of reading developing market activity, as seen in charts, is to eliminate any need to “predict” what may develop next day, week, or month. There is no more reliable a source of information than the market itself. Everything one needs to know is found within price and volume activity, over time. If you know the market trend, and you have some solid rules of engagement, profitable success is almost assured.
The stock market has made historic highs, but there are questions regarding its ability to sustain the upward drive during the natural market-aging process. Last time, there was a discussion about rules and a need for caution, [S&P And NAS - Best Offense Is A Good Defense, click on http://bit.ly/1dAUwUB, if you missed it].
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Saturday, September 07, 2013
Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For a four day trading week this one certainly had some volatility. After ending last week only five points from the downtrend low the market gapped up on Tuesday hitting SPX 1651. Then it dropped to SPX 1633, rallied to 1662, dropped to 1641, then rallied to 1665. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.95% and the DJ World index closed +2.1%. Economic reports again had a positive bias. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the monetary base, and both the unemployment rate plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, factory orders, the WLEI and the trade deficit worsened. Next week we get consumer credit, retail sales and consumer sentiment.
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Saturday, September 07, 2013
Stock Market Not Strong Enough.....For Either Side... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The bulls tried very hard to blast through 1656. The confluence of two-key moving averages and gaps couldn't keep the bulls from getting through with some force early on as the Jobs Report came in just right. Not too hot and not too cold. The Fed likely to keep pumping, yet the economy not slowing so badly as to think things are falling apart. The bulls couldn't have asked for more. So the question was would the bulls get through 1656 and run higher or not. The answer was not.
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Saturday, September 07, 2013
Mega Financial Market Movers and Impending Moves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The next very few months present an extraordinary number of Mega-Market Movers and Moves Impending.
Here we identify Key ones and indicate how Investors may best Profit and Protect.
The Most Obvious is Syria. President Obama has said that any Strike would be Surgical and Limited in Scope. But little consideration has apparently been given to probable Retaliation by the variety of U.S. Opponents including most likely by the Proxies of Major opponents – Proxies provide “Plausible Deniability”. Consider that Russia, for example, is not only an Ally of the Assad Regime, but also has its sole Major Mediterranean Naval Base in Syria. And, as we predicted in our Alert earlier this week, President Putin has now said Russia would assist Syria if the U.S. attacks Syria. And, while not likely to retaliate, China and the U.K. and others have declared a policy of Non Support of the U.S.
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