Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, September 07, 2013
Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For a four day trading week this one certainly had some volatility. After ending last week only five points from the downtrend low the market gapped up on Tuesday hitting SPX 1651. Then it dropped to SPX 1633, rallied to 1662, dropped to 1641, then rallied to 1665. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.95% and the DJ World index closed +2.1%. Economic reports again had a positive bias. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the monetary base, and both the unemployment rate plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, factory orders, the WLEI and the trade deficit worsened. Next week we get consumer credit, retail sales and consumer sentiment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 07, 2013
Stock Market Not Strong Enough.....For Either Side... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The bulls tried very hard to blast through 1656. The confluence of two-key moving averages and gaps couldn't keep the bulls from getting through with some force early on as the Jobs Report came in just right. Not too hot and not too cold. The Fed likely to keep pumping, yet the economy not slowing so badly as to think things are falling apart. The bulls couldn't have asked for more. So the question was would the bulls get through 1656 and run higher or not. The answer was not.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 07, 2013
Mega Financial Market Movers and Impending Moves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The next very few months present an extraordinary number of Mega-Market Movers and Moves Impending.
Here we identify Key ones and indicate how Investors may best Profit and Protect.
The Most Obvious is Syria. President Obama has said that any Strike would be Surgical and Limited in Scope. But little consideration has apparently been given to probable Retaliation by the variety of U.S. Opponents including most likely by the Proxies of Major opponents – Proxies provide “Plausible Deniability”. Consider that Russia, for example, is not only an Ally of the Assad Regime, but also has its sole Major Mediterranean Naval Base in Syria. And, as we predicted in our Alert earlier this week, President Putin has now said Russia would assist Syria if the U.S. attacks Syria. And, while not likely to retaliate, China and the U.K. and others have declared a policy of Non Support of the U.S.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 06, 2013
Stock Market Corrective Bounce - Elliott Wave Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
S&P has been trading lower last week but then it reversed higher from 1625 area which is fine because we had five sub-waves down in wave (A), but we know that after every five wave move correction will follow and that is exactly what has been happing in this week. Market rallied higher with corrective personality; wave (B) as labeled on the chart. In Elliott Wave theory wave (B) are against the larger trend which means that sooner or later we expect move to the downside!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 06, 2013
Markets Focused on the Wrong Target / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
In recent months economic commentators and financial markets have focused almost excessively on the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing ("QE") policy as the market's main driver. However, last month two senior economists at the Federal Reserve published a report entitled 'How Stimulating Are Large-Scale Asset Purchases' which calls this devotion into question.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Stock Market… A Barrel of Monkeys / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By Grant Williams
"What's more fun than a Barrel of Monkeys? Nothing!"
Not my words, but those of the Milton Bradley Co., which still produces under license a game first created by a gentleman named Leonard Marks, who sold the rights to his simple but addictive game to Lakeside Toys in 1965.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Why Investors Are Fleeing Both the Bond and Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes:
Late last year, the concept of the “Great Rotation” became popular. The idea behind the Great Rotation was simple: the theory was that once the bond prices started to decline, investors would take their money out of bonds and put them into the equity markets.
The logic behind the Great Rotation made sense. When one asset class becomes too risky, the bond market in this case, investors usually run towards other assets. But the Great Rotation isn’t happening?
Thursday, September 05, 2013
Marc Faber Stock Market Warning "Western Imperial Arrogance Will Ignite Middle-East 'Powder-Keg'" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
As usual, Gloom, Boom, and Doom’s Marc Faber pulls no punches in this brief interview on CNBC’s Futures Now. When asked what is the catalyst for the crash he expects in US equity markets (following crashes in various markets around the world), he shocks a stunned anchor looking at equity markets near all-time highs with some ugly truths – “interest rates are no longer a tail-wind, earnings growth is not there, and emerging economies are collapsing (so no global growth).”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 05, 2013
U.S. Stock Market Indices Since Their 2000 Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a retired professor now actively educating investors through his Trader’s Eye website. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 04, 2013
The Perfect Trade for Today's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Robert Hsu writes: This is a great way to make some extra money right now.
Over the next 14 days, I expect stocks to remain mired in a relatively tight trading range, as nobody wants to place any really big bets on what's going to happen before the Federal Reserve makes its Sept. 18th announcement on if and/or how it will "taper" its QE bond-buying program.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 03, 2013
Stock Market Best Offense Is A Good Defense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
If you do not use stops in a market, do not complain about giving back profits or taking larger losses. That is the negative approach to handling one's portfolio, and for some reason, more the norm for stock investors/traders.
Change is inevitable, but it needs some direction. The use of stops will eliminate a lot of emotional decision-making and help shore up a weakness in strategy, but simply doing away with weakness does not ensure strength. Those areas which will improve overall performance need even greater development. The best way is to have a set of rules.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 02, 2013
Stocks Secular Bull and Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short.Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know.
One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the pattern of long-term alternations between up-and down-trends. Market historians call these “secular” bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum “long period of time” (in contrast to aeternus “eternal” — the type of bull market we fantasize about).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 02, 2013
A Generally Grim August For World Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Courtesy of Doug Short. The past week was a generally bad week for my eight focus indexes with China’s Shanghai and India’s SENSEX as the only ones posting gains. (See the four-week tables below for the complete weekly listings). The Shanghai was the top performer with its 1.99% advance. The SENSEX was a distant second with a 0.54% gain. The two eurozone indexes fared the worst, with France’s CAC 40 down 3.33% and Germany’s DAXK down 3.73%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 01, 2013
Is Stock Market SP500 1,600 the Next Support Level? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Investors and traders alike are heading into the long weekend with a variety of potential risks facing them. The media has made us aware of the situation that is going on in Syria and that the United States may be planning a military strike.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 01, 2013
Investing in a Stock Market to Hate, The Silver Lining / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
How do I love thee? Let me count the ways. I love thee to the depth and breadth and height My soul can reach, when feeling out of sight For the ends of Being and ideal Grace. … I love thee with the breath, Smiles, tears, of all my life! — and, if God choose, I shall but love thee better after death. – Elizabeth Barrett Browning (1806-1861)
When I was growing up, Labor Day always marked the official end of summer, since we started school the next day. These days everyone seems to start school sometime in August, but for those of us of a certain age, the natural annual rhythm is still to see the last few days of August as the end of a carefree summer. So with a nod to your need for a little more summer relaxation, I will try to keep this letter shorter than usual. And with apologies to Elizabeth Barrett Browning, I will list a number of reasons why I hate this market and then suggest a few reasons why that should get you excited. We will look at some charts, and I'll briefly comment on them. No deep dives this week, just a survey of the general landscape.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 01, 2013
Stock Market Moving Averages Momentumn Investing Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 closed August with a monthly loss of 3.13%. All three S&P 500 MAs and one of the five the Ivy Portfolio ETF MAs are signaling “Invested”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 31, 2013
Investor Opportunity Knocks via Financial Market Realities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“ Gold/US$ has had a material seller stopping its advances each day, and yesterday that seller was strongly evident at the $1430-1435 level.
“We suspect that after a day or two of correction following that selling, the bulls will again gather their forces and trump the seller at $1430-1435. It may have to wait until next week, however, when the gold dealing desks are back at fuller staff.”
The Gartman Letter 08/29/2013
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 30, 2013
Was Second Quarter The Peak For U.S. Economic Recovery? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
With economies in China and Japan, the world’s second and third largest economies slowing, and economies in emerging markets and the 17-nation eurozone struggling mightily, hopes have been that the U.S. economic recovery will pick up its anemic pace and provide more global support.
Markets around the world received some really good news in that regard this week. The U.S. Commerce Department revised second quarter GDP growth significantly higher, to an annualized rate of 2.5% from its original report a month ago of only 1.7%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 30, 2013
How to Invest in a Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Greg Madison writes: There are events unfolding right now that show you need to know how to invest in a market correction...
First, this bull market - the most unloved bull market in history, according to Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald - has continued for 54 months now. That's a full 11 months longer than the average bull market run since 1953.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 30, 2013
Make These Market Moves Before the U.S. Attacks Syria / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
William Patalon writes: Oil prices have been surging on fears that the Obama administration is planning to punish Syria for using chemical weapons against its own people.
But the real question is whether this escalation in "black gold" prices is going to continue.
Read full article... Read full article...