Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market 2014 Contrarian Trade of the Decade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Mr. Bernanke, in a move made mostly to bolster his legacy, stated in his final press conference as Chairman of the Fed that he would start to reduce asset purchases in January of 2014. Nearly every advisor on Wall Street took the news as evidence the Fed can now remove its manipulation of interest rates with complete economic immunity. However, what these pundits fail to realize is that the Fed’s economic recovery strategy was based on artificially boosting bond, equity and real estate prices. Now our central bank is promising to remove its support of asset price. Therefore, the lesson we are all about to learn is that bubble-based economies always fail.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market Time to be Watchful for Sudden Break Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
SPX appears to be breaking its trading channel trendline for its most recent rally. However, it may remain stalled above its Orthodox Broadening Top trendline at 1838.00. Until that trendline is broken, there is still a chance that SPX may attempt yet another probe higher. There may not be a potential sell signal, even an aggressive one, until that trendline is broken.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Santa Delays Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market End of Year Musings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Things are indeed getting surreal.
Appropriately, surrealism began in the 1920s, at the time of another great stock market bubble and was marked by representations of illogical scenes, often pasted together using everyday objects in unusual settings.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
How to Make Money in a Generational Stocks Bull Market 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Shah Gilani writes: This isn't just any old stock market rally. It's the first leg of a global generational bull market.
Stocks around the world can and eventually will double and triple from here.
Investors want to know if it's too late to get into the record-breaking bull market.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Why Janet Yellen Won’t See The Next Big Financial Crisis Coming - Video / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Courtesy of ZeroHedge. Submitted by Tyler Durden.
"Conventional economic theory says 'crisis don't happen' unless they are hit by an [outside] shock" exclaims Steve Keen, adding that numerous Nobel Prize winning economists have suggested that "capitalism is stable…" and "the problem of avoiding depressions has been solved for many decades."
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Relentless Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
After ending last week near an all time high at SPX 1818, the market gapped up twice this week reaching 1845 on Friday before settling at 1841. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.45%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%, and the DJ World index gained 1.50%. Economic reports for the week were again positive. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, durable goods orders, FHFA housing prices, new home sales, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the WLEI and the monetary base. Next week, another holiday shortened week, will be highlighted by construction spending, ISM and auto sales.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Holiday Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 went nowhere Friday, snapping its four-day winning streak with a fractional loss of 0.03%. Today’s inaction came on weak volume, and the 0.276% intraday range (percent change from the low to the high) was the smallest of 2013.
According to the U.S. Treasury, the yield on the 10-year note closed at 3.02%, a new interim high and the highest yield since July 2011.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Sentiment Off The Charts...Bears can't Get Any Love.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
You can feel the bears getting ready to celebrate. It's like their guts are busting, because in their hearts they know they have the bulls where they want them. Can't blame them for feeling that way. After all, everywhere we look the bears should be feeling good about themselves. The short-term charts are overbought. The weekly and monthly charts are overbought with potential negative divergences. Margin debt is at an all-time high. Yes folks, an all-time high. The bull-bear spread is at its worst level in nearly twenty-five years. 45.5% heading into this week. It's probably even higher now since we didn't sell much this week now did we. Maybe we're at 47%. Maybe, if not probably, the bulls are now at an unheard of 60%, or higher, while the bears are at an unheard of 14% or lower.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Investor Expectations Also Need Tapering As We Enter 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Psychologists say much of the reason investors have such a dismal record of buying high and selling low, of being excited and buying enthusiastically at market tops and then bailing out in disgust at market bottoms, can be explained by the ‘recency bias’ of the human brain.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
The Creature from Jekyll Island Fed Anniversary Exposé Benefits / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
“Secret negotiations established a banking cartel. It’s grown ever stronger through the years.” It operates “independently.”
“Rather than preventing financial crises, it precipitates new ones.”
“We know Fed policy continues to reap profits for Wall Street while impoverishing Main Street.”
“One hundred years is long enough. End the Fed.”
– Ron Paul
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
The Target Test and the Financial System 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Despite the headlines and the perception that financial markets and the economy are returning to some semblance of normal and growth, this is far from the underlying reality. Beneath the headlines and the newest bubble trifecta in housing, bonds, and equity, the flip side paints a much grimmer picture where record debt, unemployment, as well as government intervention and transfer payments exist. In fact, the sheer enormity of intervention has created a tinder box of risk waiting for a spark. We may have just witnessed the original of one potential spark.
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Saturday, December 28, 2013
All Aboard the Investor Wealth Rocket 2014 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Michael A. Robinson writes: New Year’s Eve is one of my favorite times of the year.
And not because I look forward to the lavish parties folks like to hold on that final night of the year.
In fact, I don’t party at all.
My wife and I have actually established a neat little ritual that lets us say adios to the outgoing year and to welcome in the new one by setting some goals for the one that’s coming in.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Stock Market Cycle Top Amidst TNX and WTIC Signs for Deteriorating Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
TNX is now over 3%. What a way to start the New Year!
ZeroHedge reports, “While a few media outlets had premature releases yesterday, Bloomberg data just confirmed that for the second time this year, 10Y US Treasury yields have crossed 3% (it was 3.005% in Sept 2013) breaking to the highest since July 2011(right before the yield collapse after the US debt-ceiling downgrade debacle). We are sure the media will proclaim this as 'proof' that the recovery is different this time, except the term structure continues to flatten (suggesting less faith in the future) and to spice things up 30Y mortgage rates have surged to 4.63% - almost the highest since May 2011 - but again, apparently, this won't affect the housing recovery either (even though mortgage apps are down two-thirds from their highs).”
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Stock Market Final Friday of 2013 – No Worries? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
1.3M US Citizens get cut off tomorrow.
That's right, we're finally pulling the plug on those lazy, unemployed leeches that have been draining $300M a week from us job creators (though, obviously, we didn't create jobs for them!). That's $15.6Bn a year – enough money to pay for 3 nuclear submarines! And what's more important to America – feeding 1.3M families (1% of the workforce) the week after Christmas or having 1% more submarines in our fleet? The choices couldn't be more clear for our Congress!
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Where to Invest in India 2014? Housing? Stocks? Gold & Silver? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Where to invest in 2014?
Real Estate? Share Market? GOLD & Silver? FD/Bonds? Or Cash?……??
2013 has remained highly volatile. Let us review few important instances of 2013…
Ø On 1st Jan, 2013, Sensex was at 19,580 and as we are near to year end, it is trading around 21000. Less than 10% gain in a year, a flat year for the market.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
US Stock Market Top Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Time for another run through the checklist of typical cyclical bull tops in stocks.
1. Market valuation excessive
Second highest market cap to GDP valuation outside of 2000, the 4th highest Q ratio valuation and 4th highest CAPE valuation in history, last two years gains more than 80% multiple expansion and less than 20% earnings growth – CHECK
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Rising Interest Rates Fail to Prevent Another Stock Market New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: This morning’s jobless claims report showed a big drop in new claims (although the latest number is about 12,000 higher than the six-month moving average). The S&P 500 opened higher and then slowly drifted yet higher to its 0.52% intraday high shortly before its slightly trimmed closing gain of 0.47%, which is another all-time high.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Money vs Legal Tender - Deceptions, Dupes & Dots / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Let us take a break from the hustle & bustle loaded to the gills with nastiness and mayhem. Consider some information cookies during the Christmas holiday down time, not without a few lumps of coal. The deceptions are deep; the ranks of dupes are legion; connecting the dots is not so easy. Despite the constant stream of deception and the steady interference by the well-meaning but all too often simpletons in the madding crowd mixed with sheep, the story can be rather extensively told. It takes the new skill of connecting the dots, along with a mental stubbornness mixed with a certain measure of insight. The phrase connecting dots was not heard by the Jackass until a few years ago, from my unusual smart buddy UD in Nevada. His many messages over the years often contain the three words CONNECT THE DOTS. With his help and the guiding hand of numerous suspicious astute colleagues, we have made sense of widely scattered information from the battlefield during the global monetary war. After tying stories together, the main themes make for a fascinating spy novel that touches every corner of the world and reaches all our lives. A close examination reveals how the major nations and their leaders have been busy with popular betrayal on a grand scale, during a grand Paradigm Shift. The world will turn on more of an eastern axis in the future.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013
The Stock Market Holiday Bulge – Prepare for Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
I would like to start by wishing you a Happy Holidays & New Year!
So far this year (2013) has been a great year for trading and my 2014 forecast looks to be as good if not even better. I do have something exciting to share with you that is going to make 2014 really amazing, but first let me talk about the stock market and what is likely to unfold in the next week or two so you can protect your investments.
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