Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 16, 2014
What Stock Sectors Outperform When the U.S. Dollar is Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Starting in 2013, markets appear to be moving into a new stage. The U.S. dollar bottomed in 2008 and the S&P 500 emerged from over a decade of consolidation and deep declines. Though the future action of the U.S. index is too early to forecast, there are strong similarities to happened in 1980.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Best Elliott Wave 2013 Trade Setups to Repeat in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
We have hand-picked for you seven of the best trade set-ups of 2013 that are bound to be repeated in 2014. Here is one of seven
The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat.
They repeat on all timeframes, across dozens of markets, all over the world. Once you know what to look for, you see the familiar 5s and 3s repeat in every chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Close to a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The SP 500 has been in Major wave Elliott Wave 3 up of Primary wave 3 from 1267 by our best projected counts. Our technical analysis of stock trends predicted back in early September a large rally up in the SP 500 to 1822-1829, which we managed to see hit just 3 months later from the mid 1600’s.Recently, the market had a bit of an extension higher than our original 1822-29 pivot projections, but we see possible trouble ahead. Our Elliott Wave Theory interpretation is based on Fibonacci sequencing, Investment Advisor sentiment surveys, traditional technical analysis patterns and more.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Emotions Vs Reasonable Bearish Argument / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I am certain that you have already read some blog (or two) calling for the market to go higher. So be it. Here is the bearish argument.
Not very many analysts look for a Triangle Wave (b). There was some recognition last week as a possible Sub-Minute Wave (iv), but it was discarded on Monday with the oversized decline. Today it seems to be forgotten. On the other hand, it makes perfect sense, considering its position within an Orthodox Broadening Top.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Four Totally Bad Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Courtesy of Doug Short: Note from dshort: At the request of Greg Patterson at The Advisory Group in San Francisco, here’s updated comparison of four major cyclical bear markets. The numbers are through today’s close.
This chart series features an overlay of the Four Bad Bears in U.S. history since the market peak in 1929. They are:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Marc Faber Warns of Massive Financial Assets Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, appeared on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart" today to discuss the impact of Fed policy on the global economy and his predictions for 2014.
Faber told Trish Regan and Adam Johnson that "we are in a gigantic financial asset bubble." He also spoke about Bitcoin, saying, "I prefer physical gold and silver, platinum to bitcoin. Bitcoin can have a lot of competition. Gold, silver, platinum -- they have no competition. How do you value a bitcoin?... How do you value Netflix? Is it overpriced or underpriced? Is Tesla overpriced, underpriced?"
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stock Market SELL! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
That's Japanese for the incredible feeling of heart pounding excitement-- as you push that pedal to the metal on a really hot new Toyota.
For a bearish sort it might be the feel of the air rushing over your body as you fall off a cliff, perhaps.
So the bears got a brief thrill today as stocks 'finally' peeled off a second layer of the year end paintjob from just a few weeks ago, and slipped a bit off their Fed blown asset bubble.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
A Free Market Approach to Insider Trading / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
So-called insider trading may take place in publicly traded firms. It occurs when an individual privy to private information (the insider) attempts to profit on the buying and selling of stocks using non-public information to anticipate the stock’s future price.
For example: Mr. Povedilla, senior director of Joint Public Works Ltd., knows that JPW is going to sign an important contract that may increase the value of the firm and thus raise the stock price. By using this knowledge before it is public, he may buy stock of JPW and profit from the possible price hiking once the announcement is made.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stocks Bull Market End / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Over the last several months two cycles have caught my eye. The first, and better known, is the seven year cycle (Figure 1). Since 1939 it has expanded or contracted beyond what could be called seven years only twice. As the last major high was in 2007, the next seven year cycle high is due this year, 2014.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Wall Street Welcomes Back Goldilocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Goldilocks is the term used by Wall Street to describe a nearly perfect environment for stock values to rise. The term is being used again today, just as it was mistakenly uttered in the middle of the housing bubble, to express the belief held by most investors that we have once again reached equity-market nirvana--a point in time where virtually every economic condition is just right.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Investors Selling the Start of the Q4 Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: With Q4 earnings season ready to shift into high gear, the US indexes shifted into retreat. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower, rose to its 0.06% intraday high an hour later. It then began a selloff that gradually accelerated to a -1.46% intraday low late in the day. Some buying the dip (or short covering) trimmed the closing loss to 1.26%, the worst daily close since the -1.32% decline on November 7th.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stock Market SPX Makes Weekly Key Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX has made a weekly Key Reversal today, declining beneath last Monday’s low. There may be a probability of a bounce to retest its hourly mid-Cycle resistance at 1825.60, but so far it has not shown any inclination to do so.
This is the break that we have been looking for. If it chooses to continue its relentless decline, we may see the first bounce from its Cycle Bottom low at 1785.92…or possibly lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stocks Off to the Worst Start for the Year Since 2005 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael Lombardi writes: The stock market has just put in its worst first-seven-days-of-the-year trading action since 2005, as concern over where key stock indices will head this year rises. Can the stellar year the stock market had in 2013 continue?
Among those who try to predict where key stock indices will go, Wall Street industry analysts believe that the S&P 500 will rise 4.8% this year, while market strategists believe the S&P 500 will see a decline of 2.3% this year. (Source: FactSet, January 6, 2013.) This tells me that even the professionals can’t figure out which way the market is headed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 13, 2014
Why You Should Believe in This Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: It's natural to look back. We live in the past.
For most people, the future isn't an unknown full of unlimited opportunity. It's about hoping the bad stuff in our past isn't a prelude to the future.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 13, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Valuation - Hear the Bear Growl? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Read full article... Read full article...[S]tock prices have risen pretty robustly. But I think that if you look at traditional valuation measures, the kind of things that we monitor, akin to price-equity ratios, you would not see stock prices in territory that suggests bubble-like conditions.
- Janet Yellen, responding to a question in November’s nomination hearing
Monday, January 13, 2014
U.S. Stocks Bull Market Peak, New Bear Market At Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
First, a compilation of indicators and flags warning of a major market top in US equities:
Bull Market History Statistics
Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now and a sixth such year has not happened before in history.
A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 13, 2014
How to Play Stock Market Seasonal Anomalies for Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: As all investors know, no two equities march to the same drum. This would then mean that, technically, it should be impossible to predict future returns based on readily available information. However, this might not be entirely true, as it turns out there may be something to be said for some seasonal investing patterns after all.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 13, 2014
Stock Market Looking for Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Last week was a mixed bag for the eight world indexes in my international focus group. The first-of-year selling last week continued for three of the four Asia-Pacific contingent, with the Japan’s Nikkei and China’s Shanghai posting sharp losses. That’s a reversal for the Nikkei, but more of the same for the chronically slumping Shanghai. The US and European indexes, along with Hong Kong, posted small gains. All it took was a modest 0.60% for the S&P 500 to be the top performer.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 13, 2014
Warnings of Impending Stock Market Top Suggest Decline into end February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Slow Start for Stocks 2014 - An Asset Manager`s Dilemma / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The New Year has started and if you hadn`t noticed nobody is rushing in to buy everything that isn`t nailed down like last year where asset managers couldn`t wait from day 1 of 2013 to buy as much as possible.
Read full article... Read full article...