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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 17, 2013

Stock Market Cyclical Trend Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jim_Curry

As we forge ahead into the year 2013, I wanted to post an article going over the complete yearly forecast path, as suggested by the various time cycles that I track - and also with other indicators such as seasonal patterns, the Bradley indicator, and also the post-election 'presidential cycle' pattern in stocks.

With the above said and noted, the projected path for 2013 looks somewhat similar to that seen in 2012, though with a larger percentage correction being expected in the second-half of the year - primarily due to the position of the larger 180-day, 360-day (18-month) and four-year cycles. In- between, there should the normal up-and-down gyrations along the way, ideally with a peak in here in January ideally giving way to a low in February, prior to returning to strength again into late-Spring or early-Summer, setting up for that important top with the 360-day wave.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 17, 2013

What Investor Confidence Is Telling Us About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: There are various measures to determine investor sentiment regarding the general market. The most obvious is to take a look at a broad index, such as the S&P 500, and see where it’s currently trading. Because price is truth, the market does not lie. If people are bullish or bearish, their actions in buying and selling shares within the S&P 500 will be translated into corresponding price moves.

However, it is interesting to look at corollary indications to determine how strong the underlying trend really is. Investor sentiment is extremely difficult to predict, as is anything in life. While the future is unknown, by understanding the strength of current investor sentiment, we can help form a picture about what the future holds for the S&P 500.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: The greatest investing mistake you'll ever make is the one you may be about to make.

If you're not gearing up to get fully invested in 2013 and reap what will be generational rewards, you have no one to blame but yourself.

This is what you've been waiting for. This is your time. Here's how to do it and why.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Technical Traders Charts for Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Oil and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yesterday’s trading session played out exactly as posted in the morning chart update. Today will be a different story from the looks of it as the dollar index looks to be putting in a bottom and that has the SP500 down 0.40% this morning. It may trigger our first entry point to let long stocks today.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

The State of the Global Financial and Commodity Markets 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: EWI

Dear investor,

Consider yourself warned.

The global market outlook is far less rosy than the emperors-minus-their-clothes would have you believe.

  1. Global stocks are near multi-decade, technical price junctures.
  2. Regional economies recently said to be "recovering" are now slipping back into recession.
  3. Despite a multi-year rally in stocks, the AP reported on Dec. 27 that mainstream investors are selling shares at breakneck pace. "It's the first time ordinary folks have sold during a sustained bull market since relevant records were first kept during World War II."
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

We Created The Conditions For Catastrophic Failure, The Big Collapse is Still Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2013

By: GoldSilverWorlds

In a recent interview with Gold Silver Worlds, John Rubino (co-author of “The Collapse of the dollar” and owner of DollarCollapse.com) explained how bad the economic fundamentals really are. The economic situation looks under control currently, but John Rubino is convinced we are now in the eye of the storm. He concludes that the longer this unbalanced situation goes on the faster the eventual collapse will play out.

John Rubino published his book in 2004 together with James Turk from GoldMoney. The main theme of the book was that governments in the US lost control over their spending and borrowing, which would ultimately result in some sort of catastrophic crisis. Debt accumulation would continue until some kind of crisis, internally or globally, would force to stop this trend. Most of the predictions have come true, but John Rubino stresses that the 2008 crisis was not the final collapse.He is convinced that the big collapse is still ahead of us.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 14, 2013

Rebuild Me a Financial Crisis, One Dollar at a Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Brady_Willett

For the first time since 2007 the book value of the largest U.S. home builders is set to post an annual increase. This suggests that after a lost decade*, the worst is finally over.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 14, 2013

Two of the Biggest Problems In the Financial System Will Hit in 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

This week is options expiration week: the week in which various call and put positions will expire. Wall Street is notorious for using these weeks to gun the markets this way and that in order to insure that the greatest number of puts and calls expire worthless. So expect the market to be even more volatile than usual this week.

Outside of this, the investment world is slowly emerging from its Central Bank policy induced stupor to realize two of our long-standing themes:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 14, 2013

Gold, Stocks, Oil and Gas Trend Analysis and Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold and gold miner stocks have underperformed in 2012 disappointing most traders. That being said it has traded in a large sideways range since September 2011 and remains stuck in this range as of this week. Investments trading sideways are not my preferred investment of choice because some commodities and stocks for that matter can trade sideways for years before making another bull market rally.

That being said in the last six months gold has started to show life that a new bull market may be starting. 2013 is starting to look as though gold, silver and precious metals miners could lead the market higher if they can break out of their basing patterns. Until we get more bullish price action I am not planning to get long.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 13, 2013

The Stocks Bull Market Almost Everyone is Missing / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: A powerful new bull market in stocks is just beginning to take off. Yet virtually no one you know – including seasoned investors – is taking advantage of it.

No, I’m not talking about the U.S. market, which is in the midst of its own three-and-a-half-year upswing. I’m talking about Japan. The Nikkei 225 – Japan’s equivalent of our S&P 500 – has surged 12% over the last eight weeks. In my view, this is just the beginning of a powerful move higher. Yet almost no one is on board. And it’s not hard to see why…

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 13, 2013

Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market experienced its first noticeable pullback, since the SPX 1398 low, this week, and it was only 16 SPX points. After it completed on tuesday the market started making new uptrends highs on thursday/friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.85%. Asian markets lost 0.7%, European market gained 1.1%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were sparse and 6 to 3 to the upside. On the downtick: the trade deficit and export/import prices. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the budget deficit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved slightly. Next week, options expiration week, we have reports on retail sales, the CPI/PPI, industrial production and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 13, 2013

Stock Market Higher Until Proven Otherwise. At Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We have a price target for the S&P e-Mini: the 1482-1488 area. That area is derived from Point and Figure, [P&F] used to measure market "energy," or the potential target that price can attain in a directional move. The market is already in an area where it can fail. The one caveat to any analysis pertaining to the stock market is an inability to assess market interference, [manipulation] by the central bank/Wall Street firm[s], doing everything possible to defy market gravity, and succeeding.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Friday’s Flat Finish and Musings on a Stock Market Triple Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 slipped at the open and hit its intraday low, off 0.31%, at mid-morning. The index zigzagged through the day along a faint upward slope. A rally in the final hour took the 500 briefly into the green before settling for a flat finish — down seven basis points or, if you like percents, you’ve got to calculate the close to three decimal places: -0.005%. For the week, the index gained 0.38%.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Markets Awaiting Test of Support in Determining Future Direction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Tony_Pallotta

For the week ending January 11, 2013, the SPX was up 0.4%, the Russell small caps were up .2% and the COMP was up 0.8%.

We remain waiting for a test of model support in determining future market direction. Support can be tested in one of two ways, through a pullback or sideways price consolidation. Whichever method the market chooses, support will be tested. And it is at that test of support where the market will show whether a long will trigger or resumption of the previous downtrend.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 11, 2013

Stock Market Charts the Bears Have Been Waiting For Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Ben Gersten writes: As the bull market tries to enter its fifth year, many are wondering if it still has legs - but a handful of stock market charts warn there's high risk of a coming sell off.

In fact, a recent report from Credit Suisse Group AG (NYSE ADR: CS) outlined 10 technical factors that show the market is at its most risk-on level since just before the stock market crash that began in 2007's third quarter.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Stock Market Distribution Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Christopher_Quigley

Ireland Lobbies to Have Europe Share Banking Risk:

Ireland took over the presidency of the European Union on January 2013 for six months. Prime Minister Enda Kenny is thus in a unique position to try to find a solution to the banking crisis that has bedeviled Ireland since 2008. However, the job at hand is not going to be an easy one as reported by Christoph Pauley of Spiegel Online on the 7th. January:

"Ireland's reform policies have been widely praised for helping it emerge from the crisis, but the truth is bleaker. If the government fails to get European taxpayers to assume some of the risk of its ailing banking sector, the country could soon require another bailout.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Stock Market Lateral....Yawn...Still Nothing Bearish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Same old thing, folks. I could stop the newsletter right here, because, in truth, there's not much to say or add to what we already know. The market had a huge two-day move up off the fiscal-cliff settlement, and now it's digesting that move by forming a handle that may last a lot longer than anyone would like it. It normally takes time to digest large moves whether it's up or down so to expect another large move up from here at this moment in time is probably wishing for something that's not coming. There is no way to know how long the handle will last, but a few weeks is usually the minimal amount of time needed.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 09, 2013

Taking Advantage of Recent Lows in Stock Market Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: J_W_Jones

One of the newest option products to appear in our universe as an options trader is the option series designed to trade the volatility index (VIX). The VIX is a measurement of the implied volatility of the S&P 500 index.

To review quickly, the implied volatility of an options series is reflective of the aggregate market opinion of the future volatility of a given underlying asset. In terms of the Volatility Index, the price is the current market opinion of the future volatility in the S&P 500 Index over the next 12 months.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 09, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Equities merely the froth on the financial cappuccino / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

As the banks continue to take advantage of the free money offered by the US Fed to feed their financial habit, it is important to remember that equity markets have now become merely the froth and bubbles on top of the financial cappuccino, while the currency markets are the bulk of what lies underneath and true indicators of future market movements. To extend this analogy further, you could then possibly consider financial derivatives as the opiates of the markets as a whole, allowing the Bankster traders to maintain their opulent lifestyles in the way to which they have long become accustomed. But as is inevitable, when the froth deflates from this equity market bubble, there will be deflationary consequences.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Where Are We In the Stocks Secular Bear Market 2013? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

It seems to only be when the market is in a cyclical bear market that the financial media remembers that a secular bear market began in 2000.

That is completely forgotten once a cyclical bull market, like the one we’re currently enjoying, comes along within the secular bear.

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