Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Financial Market Storm Signals & Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Volatile oil and gasoline prices continued to dominate the monthly and annual swings in consumer inflation. Going forward, risks generally favor higher energy inflation driving the headline consumer inflation indices higher. Energy prices generally have an inverse relationship to U.S. dollar strength. For example, a weak U.S. dollar against other currencies tends to put upside pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Post-2008 bouts of dollar weakness generally have been triggered by the ongoing quantitative-easing (also known as dollar-debasement) policies of the Federal Reserve. …
“The U.S. dollar recently has seen some minimal selling pressure. That pressure likely will intensify sharply in the near future, with “tapering” (if any) by the Fed not likely to be of substance. Underlying systemic-liquidity and economic circumstances actually favor intensified quantitative easing. Combine that with the lack of a meaningful effort by the federal government to address fiscal imbalances and the long-term sovereign solvency issues of the United States; with shifting sentiments on the deteriorating political environment in Washington; and with a still-weakening economy; and circumstances are set for a rapidly intensifying sell-off of the U.S. dollar. Again, as the U.S. dollar comes under heavy selling pressure, the weakening U.S. currency rapidly should be translated into rising oil-price-related inflation. …”
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Global Paradigm Shifting Winds 2013 Crisis Closes, the Failure in 2014 Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The year 2013 will go down in history as the year of great transition, tremendous disruption, numerous financial breakdowns, widely adopted hyper monetary inflation, exposure of hidden devices, panorama of popular awakening, and indisputable evidence of a systemic failure. The following titles of significant events, organized by topical theme, are mindboggling and comprehensive so as to attest to the global failures. The breakdown touches almost every part of global life. The American Fascist Business Model has wrecked anything and everything, the fish rotting from the head (leaders) down to the toes (ethics). No effort whatsoever has been made by leading nations and major central banks to construct a bonafide remedy to the widespread insolvency and powerful economic recession. Instead, the priority has clearly been to maintain the power structure and avoid at all costs (literally in the $trillions) any liquidation of the big Western banks. No liquidation has occurred, which would serve as the foremost and initial step toward a solution.
Friday, December 20, 2013
Bubblenomics: The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and the SP 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"How could I have done this? I was making a lot of money. I didn’t need the money. Am I a flawed character?
I realized from a very early stage that the financial market is a wholly rigged job. There’s no chance that investors have in this market....It’s unbelievable. Goldman-- no one has any criminal convictions. The whole new regulatory reform is a joke." - Bernie Madoff
Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE and the Stock Market - The "Taper" Is Here... This Is What You Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: We knew it would happen eventually... so now what?
Yesterday, I explained how the Federal Reserve's quantitative-easing programs have transferred enormous wealth into the hands of the very rich.
Today, I'm going to show you what's going to happen now that the Fed is beginning to rein in these quantitative-easing bond-buying policies. This is what people refer to as "tapering."
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Why Slow US Growth Isn’t Impacting Stocks - Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Ronan Keenan writes: There is a reason why asset management firms don’t employ legions of economists to do their investing. Providing accurate economic forecasts is very useful, but financial markets generally don’t reflect the state of the world.
US stock markets have rallied strongly over the last two years, while economic growth has been weak. Appetite for stocks has been driven by central bank action, not forecasts of skyrocketing consumer demand. The Federal Reserve has held its interest rates close to zero for the last five years while implementing vast amounts of quantitative easing - printing money to buy government bonds.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Taper - Did Someone Say “Crash”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Mike_Whitney
Guess who’s investing in America’s future?
Nobody, that’s who.
Just check out this excerpt from an article by Rex Nutting at Marketwatch and you’ll see what I mean. The article is titled “No one is investing in tomorrow’s economy”:
“The U.S. economy simply isn’t investing enough to ensure that there will be enough good paying jobs for our children and our children’s children. Net investment — the amount of capital added to our stock — remains at the lowest levels since the Great Depression. …
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Stock Market Year End Rally as Fed Spreads Holiday Cheer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"I am not alone at all, I thought. I was never alone at all. And that, of course, is the message of Christmas. We are never alone. Not when the night is darkest, the wind coldest, the world seemingly most indifferent. For this is still the time God chooses." -
Taylor Caldwell
Yesterday's action was all end of year window dressing and bonus pumping, triggered by the 'tiny taper' from the Fed, in which they pledged to reduce the rate at which they are expanding their balance sheet and handing money over the primary dealers at a slightly slower rate.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Are Large-Cap Stocks the Place to Be in 2014? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes:
It can only be described as a huge vote of confidence. The Boeing Company (BA) announced a whopping 50% increase in its dividends to $0.73 per share. And beginning this January, the company will begin a new $10.0-billion share repurchase program, in addition to the $800 million left from its previous share buyback plan.
The higher quarterly dividend will be paid out March 7, 2014 to shareholders of record on February 14, 2014. While Boeing is playing some “payout catch-up” with other dividend paying stocks, company management said increasing cash flow from a boost in jetliner production is the catalyst for renewed confidence in its business.
Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Tapering - Ben Bernanke Plays It Perfectly....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The uncertainty of what big bad Ben would do was put behind us at 2:00 PM Eastern Time today. He played his cards perfectly. Think about it. It was time to taper, but would he was the real question. It wouldn't be good for his legacy to have a new Fed come in and be the one to have to do the dirty deed of unwinding the liquidity fix. It made sense for him to go out with a small tapering program in place. Not too much, but something.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Stock Market Throws QE Taper Party Not Tantrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market closed sharply higher today following the U.S. Fed central banks decision to start tapering by reducing the rate of QE money printing from $85 billion to $75 billion per month. The immediate reaction by the stock market was to ADD near 300 points to the Dow, breaking back above the 16000 level to close at 16,168.
Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Stock Market Forgets about the Rally into Fed Accouncement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that the rally attempts into the Fed announcement are failing.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
They're Planning the First Legal "Bank Robbery" in U.S. History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: So-called "bail-ins," which give banks the right to dip into your savings to pay for their lousy financial decisions, have been on the table for years, ever since Cyprus tested the idea.
But they're moving beyond the "testing phase" now.
The latest clue came from a seemingly benign banking conference on December 2, when one man revealed some frightening central government intentions.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
15 Charts Show What's Coming in the Markets 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Everyone uses gas: See this chart that shows why its price is heading lower
Have you ever seen price charts that tell a story clearly? Here is a perfect example from Robert Prechter's most recent monthly publication, The Elliott Wave Theorist.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Could Volcker Rule Precipitate Next Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Pete_Grant
I am not certain how we should react out of the gate to the situation with Zions Bancorp. Utah’s largest banking group revealed that it will take a one-time $387 million post-tax charge, based on its interpretation of the Volcker rule. Essentially, Zions believes that the Volcker rule dictates that it can no longer hold CDOs of bank and insurer-issued trust preferred securities (TruPS).
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
U.S. Outstanding Credit Vs GDP / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
On January 29, 1845, the New York Evening Mirror published a poem that would go on to be one of the most celebrated narrative poems ever penned.
It depicted a tragic romantic's desperate descent into madness over the loss of his love; and it made its author, Edgar Allan Poe, one of the most feted poets of his time.
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Cycle Top Beginning of January 2014 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
One of the advantages of being at the center of the “Lindsay Renaissance” is receiving information from other investors and analysts, around the world, who have been quietly using the work of George Lindsay on their own for many years. Last week I received the dates shown in this chart.
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Options Triple Witching vs Santa Rally Explained / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: J_W_Jones
With the last major news item for 2013 less than 48 hours away, I thought I would share some insights as to what the S&P 500 Cash Index (SPX) options were pricing into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement due out Wednesday.
After the news is released and the week ends, it will be time for Santa Claus to come to Wall Street. While most people believe in the Santa Claus rally, what few understand is the bullish undertones that traditionally accompany a triple witching event.
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-drop, BKX May Lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Pre-Market is mildly higher. SPX still has to finish Minute Wave [v] of Minor Wave 2. The entire Cycle from the 1811.52 top to today’s high will take 43 hours at 11:00 am. The larger degree Cycle Model agrees.
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Sick German Banks the Monster European Banking Crisis of 2014 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: John_Mauldin
(Special note from John: The letter is later this week, and I apologize. The rule is that you don't want to know about the storms I encountered, just whether I got the ship to harbor. So, back in the harbor, here is the letter, which will give you a head's-up on a brewing banking crisis in Europe.)
This week, Geert Wilders and his Party for Freedom in the Netherlands and Marine Le Pen of the Front National (FN) of France held a press conference in The Hague to announce that they will be cooperating in the elections for the European Parliament next spring and hope to form a new eurosceptic bloc. Their aim, as Mr. Wilders put it, is to "fight this monster called Europe," while Ms. Le Pen spoke of a system that "has enslaved our various peoples." They want to end the common currency, remove the authority of Brussels over national budgets, and undo the project of integration driven with so much idealism by two generations of European politicians. (My thought about Marine Le Pen after looking at her policies is that if Marine Le Pen is the answer for France, they are asking the wrong question.)
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Four Day Losing Streak Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: When the US stock exchange opened, world markets were a mixed bag. The Nikkei and Shanghai Composite had both closed with 1.6% losses, but the EURO STOXX 50 was up 1.7% on Markit’s strong Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). The US followed the EU exemplar with an Industrial Production increase that substantially exceeded expectations. The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its 0.95% intraday high at 10 AM. The index then coasted to a trimmed gain of 0.63% for the day, snapping a four-day losing streak.