Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, July 17, 2014
S&P Stock Market Index Just Shy of a Record Close on Increased Volume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. This morning we learned that the June headline Producer Price Index was hotter than expected, potentially fueling inflationary concerns, and Industrial Production came in a bit light. The market paid little attention to the economic news. It was presumably more interested in earnings reports and big deals, e.g., Rupert Murdoch’s rebuffed bid for Time Warner. Yikes! That’s my Internet provider! The Dow ended the day with its 15 record close of 2014. The S&P 500 finished with a 0.42% gain that left it just 0.19% shy of its record close on July 3rd.
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Thursday, July 17, 2014
Stock Market Gap and Stop.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market tried to get through that 4443 gap on the Nasdaq once again today. It failed. It had a good shot thanks to the earnings from Intel Corporation (INTC) last night. That stock exploded today. Normally when that happens to this degree, and it has been a long time since it has, the Nasdaq explodes up 40-50 points at the open and ends up with an up day of roughly 80-100 points. Not to be today. The market could never get through that nasty gap down at 4443 on the Nasdaq. It got through right after the open but never got going after that. It just died out. This is a change of trend from what we see when markets are ready to keep going higher. The problem, of course remains, sentiment but more on that later.
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Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Nanex: The Stock Market Is Rigged, With Details / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
"A rogue does not laugh in the same way that an honest man does; a hypocrite does not shed the tears of a man of good faith. All falsehood is a mask; and however well made the mask may be, with a little attention we may always succeed in distinguishing it from the true face." - Alexandre Dumas
The market is rigged. Oh no, this could not possibly be correct, say the trolls, shills, revolving door careerists, media carnival barkers, and conmen's assistants. They simply do not understand it! Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 16, 2014
European Financial Crisis 2014 - Vaccinate Against This Fiscal Contagion / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The European financial crisis is often pushed out of the headlines by crises of a more incendiary variety. That might suggest the problem has diminished. It hasn't.
The saga of Portual's Banco Espirito Santo is a sure sign to investors that the European financial crisis is anything but over.
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Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Stock Market New Head & Shoulders Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX came back to retest its sub-Minute Wave (ii) trendline a second time. This gave it a 63% retracement of its decline from the 1982.52 top. It would be good to be observant of the action in the final hour. Whether the selling picks up in the final hour or not, there should be some fireworks going off, especially when SPX crosses its Head & Shoulders neckline.
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Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, Metals and Interest Rate Forecasts Special Event / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Lindsay: The Stock Market 2011 Basic Advance / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Over the past several months I have debated from which low of the 2011 Sideways Movement to count the current basic advance; 10/4/11, 11/25/11, or 12/19/11.
The first two lows were forecast by Middle Sections telling us that they are significant and should play a role in our forecasts.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Afternoon!
After a very deep retracement, SPX broke through its trendline and appears to be headed for its Broadening Wedge trendline at 1956.00, at the very least. The probability is that it may be more likely to target Intermediate-term support at 1948.16 or the hourly Cycle Bottom support at 1943.55.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
VIX - Stock Markets Set To Get Volatile! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
With the stock market edging up with nary a decent pullback in yonks, I thought it timely to investigate the Volatility Index (VIX). Let’s commence proceedings by looking at the daily chart.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Final Days of the Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
David A. Stockman writes: The central banks of the world are massively and insouciantly pursuing financial instability. That’s the inherent result of the 68 straight months of zero money market rates that have been forced into the global financial system by the Fed and its confederates at the BOJ, ECB and BOE. ZIRP fuels endless carry trades and the harvesting of every manner of profit spread between negligible “funding” costs and positive yields and returns on a wide spectrum of risk assets.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Stock Market Morning Rally to a Tiny Trading Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. Some earnings optimism triggered a modest market surge at the open, with Citigroup’s beat grabbing the headlines (C would go on to close with a 3% gain for the day). The S&P 500 rose half a percent at the opening bell and then spent the rest of the day in a tiny trading range, closing with a 0.48% advance.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Stock Market Retail Money Market Funds Reversal Signal - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Steve Hochberg on the state of retail money market funds vs. stock market capitalization, filmed at the 2014 Las Vegas Money Show
Editor's note: The article below is adapted from the transcript of the live presentation above, originally recorded at the 2014 Las Vegas Money Show. It features Elliott Wave International Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg. Hochberg is co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, one of EWI's flasgship market letters. Click here for a free excerpt from Hochberg's latest issue.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Stock Market Gap Up....No Gains After The Open... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
It was a surprise to see the market gap up today, and an even bigger surprise to see it simply die after the open, since the gap up was pretty powerful in terms of price. Normally, after such a decent gap up, you run up all day and close at or near the highs for the day. In this tough environment which is on a sell signal related to froth, it's not easy to get a strong follow-through to the upside. It would be no shock if the market reversed down tomorrow. When looking at today's action, the bulls have to be happy they created an open upward gap, but unhappy about what took place once the gap up occurred.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
Stock Market Decline Looks Set to Resume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Morning!
The SPX appears to have completed a correction near a level where Micro Wave a equals Micro Wave c at 1976.61. We should see a resumption of the decline thereafter.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
More Stock Market Weakness Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The DOW may be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Sunday, July 13, 2014
Portuguese Bank Sell-off is a Stock Market Non Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The recent sell-off of a major Portuguese lender brought some early concerns to investors of a possible trickle down effect on global markets. In reality, the benchmark European index (Stoxx Europe 600) proved much more resilient than one of its smaller components.
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Sunday, July 13, 2014
European Stock Markets Leading Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market opened the week on a gap down, one of several, as it started to correct from last week’s SPX 1986 all time high. After hitting SPX 1953 on Thursday the market tried to rebound into Friday’s close. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.80%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.05%, and the DJ World index was down 1.55%. Economic reports were sparse on this first full trading week of the quarter. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, a Treasury surplus, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the monetary base. Next week we have the FED’s beige book, Industrial production and reports on Housing, to name a few, within a busy week.
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Saturday, July 12, 2014
Corporate Earnings Season Is Here..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
When that time of year comes we always keep a keen eye on how stocks are treated if they beat or miss their numbers. We also watch for guidance. Will good numbers and good guidance get ignored or rewarded? Will bad numbers or guidance get a stock smoked or will anyone care? This gives us a real clue as to the markets overall big picture health. Most don't care about the big picture, but you need to care. In addition, if a market needs to sell, then bad reports can be the catalyst. Today we had a key leader in the financial world. Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), the best of the best, reported poor earnings with regards to revenues. The stock was smoked early on, but it managed to get a bid as the day went on, allowing it to close well off the lows.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Gutting the U.S. Armed Forces, Committing Economic Suicide, France Imploding / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
This week was interesting to say the least and it is ending with a bang. We are covering a number of brief subjects this week. I hope you enjoy them.
- Gutting the armed forces
- Politically correct, but practically incorrect economic suicide.
- Farmland disaster DEAD ahead
- Repressed to Death
- NOT a SMIDGEN of Corruption!
- France is IMPLODING economically: Vive la France
- Bonfire of the Vanities!
- This will not have a HAPPY ending!
Friday, July 11, 2014
Most Hated Stocks Bull Market! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
BIG PICTURE - The ongoing bull market is over 5 years old and both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P500 Index have climbed to record highs. Yet, the vast majority of retail investors are still not convinced and many are waiting for the elusive stock market crash!
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