Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Wednesday Market Worries – Will U.S. GDP Be Revised Down Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Does this look healthy to you?

We did manage to pull out of a tailspin back in 2011 – the last time our GDP went negative but, funny story – in July of 2011, the S&P fell from 1,350 to 1,100 by August 9th and it gyrated between 1,100 and 1,200 until October when the Fed's "Operation Twist" (because "Operation Screw the Poor" got bad test scores) gave us a boost.

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Dow Jones Secular Stocks Bull Market Projection / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Trader_MC

As an investor and a speculator I am mostly interested in Cyclical Markets (Cyclical Bull or Bear Markets). On average Cyclical Bull Markets last between 4 and 5 years and Cyclical Bear Markets last between 2 and 3 years. Cyclical Markets occur within Secular Markets that define the long term trend. Over the last 100 years, history has shown that the Dow Jones Secular Markets last about 17-18 years on average. For example the Secular Bull Market from 1945 to 1963 lasted 18 years and made over 350% gains, the Secular Bull Market from 1982 to 2000 lasted also 18 years and made over 1000% gains.

Monday, June 23, 2014

Stock Market at a Minor Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.

Monday, June 23, 2014

Investing in Undervalued Country Just Starting Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Research proves that undervalued equity markets achieve higher future returns over longer term investment horizons.

Studies show that investing in markets which have just been through a bear market and their valuations are low is one of the best ways to grow your investment capital.

Sunday, June 22, 2014

Stock Market Primary III Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The bull market made news highs this week, after the FOMC meeting, statement, and press conference. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.0%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. On the economic front positive reports continue to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, the NAHB, the CPI, leading indicators, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: housing starts, building permits, and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Q1 GDP, Personal income/spending, and the PCE.

Sunday, June 22, 2014

Stock Market Complacency - Quiet Quad Witch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jesse

Today was a quad witch in stock option expiration and the day was very quiet with low volatility.

Next week there is not much in the way of new economic news, with the third iteration of 1Q GDP coming out.

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Islamic Caliphate is Born, World War III has BEGUN! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Ty_Andros

Insanity is coming at US in huge waves. This week really saw a lot of new tea leaves presented to those working through the puzzle of the MAN MADE disaster. We are indeed living in interesting times, and I believe they will be studied and written about for decades and centuries into the future. I also believe this time period offers the greatest opportunity's in history if played from an applied Austrian economic perspective, and a good handle on history. They are one and the same actually. So let's look at some of the vignettes we covered this week:

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Stock Market Rally Refuses to Die / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

I'll keep this brief this weekend as there really is very little, if anything, to add to what I have been talking about for weeks, if not months. The market is somehow finding a way to hang in there against all the odds. The froth and greed are ramping higher by the day as the market hangs tough. Yet, through all this greed and froth the market doesn't fall. It should get crushed, yet it doesn't. We have had exceptions to the rule historically. In the bear market of 2007 we had a bull-bear spread of -22%. Maybe we need +50 this time to get a top in. No one knows, but in the end, it's always about one thing in the short-term and that one thing, of course, is price. Nothing else. PRICE! What is price doing and how are those oscillators responding is all we care about. Nothing else.

Friday, June 20, 2014

These Lies Could Trigger Another Financial Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: The public has been brainwashed about deflation.

We've been hoodwinked by central banks, governments, and the manipulators who pull the reins of those Trojan horses into believing that deflation is a deadly disease. It's not.

Friday, June 20, 2014

The Era Of No Respect / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The late, great comedian Rodney Dangerfield once made the following joke. “Last week I told my psychiatrist, "I keep thinking about suicide." He told me from now on I have to pay in advance.” Rodney would tug on his necktie and repeat his catch phrase, “I tell ‘ya, I get no respect!”

Friday, June 20, 2014

Is VIX Beckoning The Stock Market Bear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

The FOMC issued guidance at its Wednesday policy meeting to the effect that interest rates would remain low into the foreseeable future. It further lowered the pace of its monthly asset purchases by $10 billion to $35 billion per month. The Fed also said it expects the unemployment rate to range between 6.0% and 6.1% for the rest of the year, which is slightly lower than its previous projection.

Thursday, June 19, 2014

The Stocks Dow Jones Industrial Average Index: a Fata Morgana / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Wim_Grommen

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index is the only stock market index that covers both the second and the third industrial revolution. Calculating share indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and showing this index in a historical graph is a useful way to show which phase the industrial revolution is in. Changes in the DJIA shares basket, changes in the formula and stock splits during the take-off phase and acceleration phase of industrial revolutions are perfect transition-indicators. The similarities of these indicators during the last two revolutions are fascinating, but also a reason for concern. In fact the graph of the DJIA is a classic example of fictional truth, a fata morgana.

Thursday, June 19, 2014

India's Stocks Bull Market Forecast Still On Track / Stock-Markets / India

By: EWI

This chart tells you everything you need to know about the opportunities that financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International (EWI) sees in India's stock market:

Thursday, June 19, 2014

The Coming Crash Of the Financial And Monetary System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

In an excellent video presentation, Claudio Grass, Managing Director at Global Gold Switzerland, explains why a crash of the financial and monetary system seems inevitable. The presentation covers all actual issues like currency wars, rigged markets, central bankers’ interventions, statistics manipulation, monetary mismanagement and financial repression. Claudio Grass does a great job “connecting these dots” but in a factual way. In this article, we collect several quotes and graphs. The full video presentation is 22 minutes long. Readers are highly recommended to watch the full presentation and subscribe to receive three exclusive reports for free on http://welcome.globalgold.ch.

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Outlook on U.S. Dollar, Currencies & Markets: Look Out Below! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Axel_Merk

The FIFA World Cup and market predictions have in common that we are tempted to create a world of make-believe when it comes to predicting outcomes. While others ponder about the meaning of a round ball, we’ll focus on the implications of a make-believe world comprised of ever-higher asset prices. Our caution: look out below!

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Stock Market SP500 Looking For 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

S&P500 accelerated to the upside this month with increasing volume and momentum. In fact, move from 1858 is very strong, so based on personality we think it was wave three of a five waves in progress in blue wave (5). As such, we expect even more upside in coming days; market may reach levels around 1980/2000.

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Stock Market Fractional Gain to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short:Against the backdrop of conflict in Iraq, this morning’s economic news was upbeat. The Empire State Manufacturing Index surprised to the upside and the Fed’s much broader Industrial Production series also beat expectations. The S&P 500 hit its -0.27% intraday low seconds after the opening bell. I then did sine wave during the first half of the day making nearly equidistant arcs below and above Friday’s closing price. The trading range tightened in the afternoon, and a dip into the red early in final hour created a bit of suspense for market watchers. But the index quickly recovered and closed the day with a modest 0.08% gain.

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Stock Market Grinding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The worst possible scenario is upon is for now. Grinding is not necessarily a precursor to a large move lower, which we know has to come to unwind froth. Grinding can last an incredibly long time and frustrate everyone. Markets are very good at that as we know all too well these past few months. We are grinding because we are full in terms of bulls, but we are seeing fear in the hearts of bears as shorting has not worked for them for quite some time. I guess you could say they're tired of being burned over and over again. Who can blame them. The bears need a bit of bravery to get the ball rolling down. Without any real bad news out there regarding our economy, and with the Fed Yellen reassuring everyone they're in control, thus, no worries needed, it's hard for the bears to find that bit of bravery they so sorely need.

Monday, June 16, 2014

Europe Stock Markets Potential Turbulance Ahead / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Tony_Caldaro

Using OEW we have been tracking 8 of Europe’s most important stock market indices: England, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, and the hybrid STOX 50. In general, since the 2011 low in most indices, and the 2012 low in some other European indices, all of these stock markets have been rising. Over the past year, however, we have been noticing some fairly negative, and potentially completing, long term patterns unfolding.

Monday, June 16, 2014

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty, Is Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains bullish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish