Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 16, 2014
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty, Is Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains bullish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 16, 2014
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Sunday, June 15, 2014
The Horrible Laugh of the Doomed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Richard_Daughty
I can hear the family gathered outside, banging on the walls of the Mogambo Bunker Of Paranoid Hysteria (MBOPH), demanding that I unlock the door, come outside immediately, stop acting like a crazy person, and at least pick up the empty pizza boxes that I threw out into the yard, because the neighbors are complaining, and it looks so tacky, and blah blah blah.
Saturday, June 14, 2014
Stock Market SPX Uptrend to Resume Shortly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
After hitting an all time high right at the OEW 1956 pivot at noon Monday, the market went into pullback mode for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index lost 0.3%. On the economic front, positive reports edged out negative ones for the week. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, retail sales, export prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week should be a busy one. Besides the FOMC meeting Tues/Wed, we have Options expiration Friday, plus reports on Capacity utilization and Housing. Best to your week!
Saturday, June 14, 2014
The Death of Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Jesse
The US equity markets ended the week on a dull note, barely able to bounce after a lower open to end the week on a correcting note.
The question will be if this is just a consolidation after a widely noted great leap upwards, or will we see a bit more action to the downside before this is over.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Sell in May - Stock Market Seasonal Trading Myth Busters / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Investment_U
Whatever happened to the old seasonality adage “Sell in May, go away”?
That’s what some seasonal investors do, with the idea that the summer months tend to be weak for the stock market.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Financial Markets Good News In All The Bad Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Adam_Taggart
Today's financial markets make a mockery out of sanity and logic. The difference between what SHOULD happen and what IS happening is perhaps the greatest it has been in our investing lifetimes.
If you're perplexed, flummoxed, frustrated, stymied, enraged, bored, irritated, insulted, discouraged -- any or all of these -- by the ever-higher blind grinding of asset prices over the past several years, despite so many structural reasons for concern, you have good reason to be.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Stock Market Ugly Weekly Charts...Still No Reversal.....Froth Remains Extremely High.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is trying to find a way to hang in there. Yes, there was a bit of selling this week, but not much to talk about. Not nearly as much as many would expect considering how many problems the market is currently facing. The bears are somewhat in disbelief that the market hasn't fallen under the weight of froth alone. Gap downs get bought up. The bears are acting almost fearful of getting involved due to the markets inability to find sellers when things look really bad for the bulls. So, the week came and went, and in the end, the bears feel a drop better about things, but I don't think they feel satisfied. Maybe fearful, but definitely not satisfied.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Stock Investors Worry about the Second Quarter, Q1 is History / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Here is what we know.
The economy has been slowing since last fall, when the impressive 3rd quarter GDP growth of 4.1% slowed to only 2.6% in the fourth quarter.
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Friday, June 13, 2014
American Empire on FIRE! SOVEREIGN credit market action Simply UNBELIEVABLE / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
This week’s news certainly WASN’T BORING. Big events and small add up to unfolding CHAOS around the WORLD.
It is clear that US FOREIGN POLICY and unfolding military weakness is creating a vacuum that is quickly degenerating into what could be the beginnings of World War III. The biggest victim will most certainly be the US DOLLAR. Dennis Gartman repeatedly emphasizes the World’s Reserve currency also must be the dominant MILITARY power. HE IS CORRECT. They have gone hand in hand in EMPIRES throughout history. Now the administration in Washington is on RECORD saying we will no longer be the dominant military power. They have demonstrated this repeatedly over the last 6 years. Egypt, Syria, Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan, the Taliban prisoner swap, Ukraine, and the South China Sea are abject surrenders to belligerents in one form or another. Now that these patterns are firmly established, escalation by all can be EXPECTED. The administration is openly committed to downsizing the military and removing the ability to fight on two fronts around the world. No American allies can reliably expect the US to honor defense treaties. They are now written on DISAPPEARING INK! Some realize it and some are WAKING UP rapidly.
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Friday, June 13, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets’ Fed-driven melt-up has accelerated again in recent weeks, with a string of new nominal record highs. This has reignited truly extraordinary levels of greed, euphoria, and complacency. But for traders who have witnessed past bull toppings, there is an ominous sense of deja vu. It turns out this past year’s strong stock-market action nearly perfectly matches that leading into the last bull-market top in 2007.
This shouldn’t be surprising at all, as topping signs abound. The flagship S&P 500 stock index (symbol SPX, but trades as the mighty SPY ETF) has blasted an astounding 188.4% higher in the 63 months since today’s cyclical bull was born in despair in March 2009. For the second half of this entire duration, the last 32 months, the SPX and SPY have not seen a single 10%+ correction. This has bred euphoria.
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Friday, June 13, 2014
Stock Market Volatility Grinds to a Halt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
There is uneasiness across a number of markets with moment-to-moment volatility grinding almost to a halt. It contributes to a feeling that this is the calm before a storm. It is not unusual for there to be a summer lull, or for one market to suffer disinterest relative to another, but the current situation across the whole range of capital markets should be a major concern.
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Thursday, June 12, 2014
Stock Market Pause In A Trend Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains bullish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, June 12, 2014
FTSE100 - The Footsie Triple Step / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Austin_Galt
I’m gonna vary it up here and go with some bottom up analysis beginning with the daily chart.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
The Least Loved Stocks Bull Market Becomes Euphoric / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
After nearly six years of unprecedented intervention by the world's top central banks, the world's financial markets are hopelessly broken. What used to be accepted as market gospel and guided investors' decisions in the marketplace, before the 2008 financial crisis, - no longer seems to apply in today's marketplace. Wall Street is no longer the bastion of free and open markets, where the prices of bonds and stocks are determined by the collective judgment of millions of investors. Instead, market prices are determined by a handful of political appointees, called central bankers, who pull the levers and intervene from behind the scenes, in an effort to influence the direction of the markets.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Stock Market Summer Sell-off Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
One of the most salient features of the market environment of recent months is the evolution of investor psychology. From March through May, stocks experienced a classic internal correction in which the most overbought and overvalued stocks declined while fairly valued large caps remained buoyant. The rationale behind this strategy was the determination of money managers not to give back the big gains from the 2013 rally. Instead of selling everything they simply moved money out of last year’s top-performing (but overvalued) small caps and moved money into stocks sporting lower P/E ratios and higher dividend yields. Consequently, the benchmark S&P 500 large cap index held up well throughout the March-May correction, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Wall Street Yield Trade: Another Explanation For Low Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: EconMatters
In an unprecedented move to fight off the threat of deflation, ECB cut its main interest rate to near zero at 0.15%, and its interest rate on deposits to a negative 0.1% for the first time. This means ECB will now be charging banks 0.1% to hold their reserves. ECB hopes these aggressive measures would spur banks to ramp up lending, and also weaken the euro. France has long been arguing that high euro exchange rate is holding back the economic recovery in the Euro Zone.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Ninth Record Close in Eleven Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With no economic news to distract, the market’s levitation continued, although at a reduced pace. The S&P 500 spent the day in a relatively narrow trading range between its late morning high and afternoon low (+0.31% and -0.12%). How narrow? The 0.43% intraday range was at the 11th percentile of the 109 market days thus far in 2014. The index closed with a 0.09% gain, modest — but this was the ninth record close in eleven sessions.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
The Debt Bubble is Back / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Rubino
For all those analysts (including this one) who thought the debt binge of the previous decade marked end of the Age of Leverage, well, not so fast. It turns out that memories are short and government printing presses are powerful, and this combination has turned the "Great Deleveraging" into a minor speed bump on the road to something even more extreme. As the following chart illustrates, the growth in total US debt flattened in 2009 and 2010, with government borrowing more-or-less offsetting a decrease in consumer and business loans. But now the trend is once again onward and upward across the board.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Good Reason for Stock Market Doom and Gloom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Doug French, Contributing Editor
Predicting the future, like getting old, ain’t for sissies. Questioning the bull market is even more treacherous.
Howard Gold, writing for MarketWatch, makes fun of seers who made what he calls “the four worst predictions to gain traction over the past few years.”