Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, July 06, 2014
How Wall Street Plays the Dark Pools Game / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Most people who are just "in the market" don't understand high-frequency trading and dark pools. And that's okay.
However, as I've been writing about over the past couple of years, apparently that unknowledgeable group also includes people whose job it is to understand these things, including institutional money managers, brokers, investors, and, evidently, most regulators... though I don't buy their ignorance one bit.
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Sunday, July 06, 2014
Stock Market Primary III Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The holiday shortened week started on Monday with new bull markets highs, and continued making higher highs nearly every day this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.3%, and the DJ World index gained 1.4%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. But the big news was the 288k jump in payrolls and the decline in the unemployment rate to 6.1%. On the uptick: pending home sales, construction spending, the ADP index and the Trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, factory orders, ISM manufacturing/services, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Consumer credit, the Treasury deficit, and the FOMC minutes.
Saturday, July 05, 2014
Islamic Extremism and Emerging Market Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
By By Mark Galasiewski,
We have for many years observed a relationship between extremism and bear markets in the stock markets of Muslim nations. For example, this chart shows the deadliest Islamic terrorist attacks graphed against the MSCI Emerging Markets Index since the start of the index on December 31, 1987. Notice that many the attacks occurred near lows in the index.
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Friday, July 04, 2014
Where to Invest? - Investors Roundtable July 2014 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Investment_U
Steve McDonald writes: A Note From the Editorial Director: The Oxford Club's editors are at it again. The debate this month: Should you invest outside the U.S.? If so, where?
Our editors may have difficulty agreeing on foreign markets, but they do agree on one thing - America is about to go through a revolution. And it will change the way everything is bought and paid for, and it has huge implications for your portfolio. To learn more about what our editors have to say, click here.
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Friday, July 04, 2014
Dow 17,000 - How Much More Overextended Before This Nonsense is Done! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
The Dow Industrial Average closed over 17,000 for the first time today.
The markets are now closed, in early observance of the 4th of July national holiday.
The equity markets are becoming overextended here. They more become a little more overextended before this nonsense is done, and then we will see a pullback of sorts. Wash and rinse.
Thursday, July 03, 2014
Hidden Factors To Systemic Failure, Economic Policy As Death Sentence / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The most amusing question asked of the Jackass by clients and other people is when the system is going to break down. My usual answer is 2008, which causes a strange reaction, since a past date. Then they are given a tactful tongue lashing that they have failed to notice, detect, or discern properly the failed system in front of their noses. Further quizzical looks and pleas for explanation bring a torrent of headline facts. Seeing events through a different lens of statistical reality with almost no gullible or naive tendencies, the intrepid analyst relates the tipping point was the Lehman kill in Sept 2008, following the subprime mortgage collapse. (Forecasted in advance by the Hat Trick Letter). It was a death event for the US banking structure, which should have forced liquidation of all Wall Street firms. Then came the Financial Accounting Standards Board relaxation of rules in April 2009, which still permits the big US banks to declare their assets at any value they wish. They hide grotesque insolvency. Their liquidation would not happen, instead zombies walked.
Thursday, July 03, 2014
Using Supply and Demand to Beat the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Dan Steinhart, Managing Editor, The Casey Report
It’s an investing strategy so simple, you’ll wonder why you didn’t think of it.
Like any other market, the stock market obeys the laws of supply and demand. Reduce supply, and prices should rise.
Therefore, companies that reduce their outstanding shares by buying back their own stock should outperform the market.
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Thursday, July 03, 2014
Stock Market Rally - It’s Not As It Appears! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
As equities continued to rise during the advance into the 2007 top, I screamed from the roof tops that it was a bear market advance and that the efforts to prop the markets up only served to make matters worse. That certainly proved to be the case as those efforts resulted in the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression. Yet, as a result of the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression, the response to that event was the massive bailouts and even more of the same things that created that event in the first place. Seriously, think about it. Is it remotely reasonable to respond to the worst financial crisis since the 1930’s with more of the same actions that created that crisis in the first place? Does this really make sense? Ever since the rally out of the 2009 low began, I have explained that it is a bear market advance and that the longer the rally extends, the more dangerous it will become. The rally out of the 2009 low has now extended to the point that it is the longest cyclical advance since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896.
Thursday, July 03, 2014
Threading the Needle of Silver Price Discovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Price discovery in all commodities is an electronic paper affair. While the macro-economy and the geopolitical provide a distant framework, they do not wield significant direct influence. The "discovery issue" occurs across the board, but is nowhere more evident than in the precious metals futures markets and, most notably, silver. A look under the hood at the most recent rally confirms that we are nowhere close to the point of return to equilibrium price. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2014
Capital in the Twenty-First Century Flawed Theory That's Torching the Best-Seller List / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: I really do hate to say this, but the government threat to your assets is growing... again.
We've seen it happen in Cyprus, where bank accounts were "raided" to bail-in the country.
We've seen it in Argentina, Poland, Hungary, and other nations where private pensions were nationalized to help the countries' ballooning debts and deteriorating sovereign credit ratings.
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Wednesday, July 02, 2014
Inevitability of Financial Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: BATR
Financial instruments are inventions of gnomes from investment houses and exchanges. There is nothing intrinsic about profitability or guarantee that over time such transactions will be rewarding. Much like the games played at a casino, the baccarat banks that run the betting sport and wheel of fortune, are running the odds in their favor. If only the payoff was similar to the gambling den probability, the consistency of indulgence might be worth the risk. However, the systemic incentivisations within the markets themselves are designed to reflect little of economic proportion to actual trading results. Just look how the financial firms compensate their traders to substantiate that the underlying security of the "so called" investment, which bears little resemblance to quoted pricing.
Wednesday, July 02, 2014
Will Overseas Stock Market Volatility Hit U.S. Shores? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
While the U.S. indices have been mostly upbeat, most of the action has been in Europe. Stocks across several European exchanges were hard hit last week as investors overseas panicked over a slate of negative news – the same news, ironically, that investors in the U.S. blithely ignored. Adding to the dramatic reversal in sentiment, the European Commission reported on Friday an unexpected drop in household and business economic confidence. Economists are also concerned about the threat of deflation since the euro zone inflation rate remains stubbornly below 1%.
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Tuesday, July 01, 2014
Islamic Extremism and Emerging Market Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
By By Mark Galasiewski,
We have for many years observed a relationship between extremism and bear markets in the stock markets of Muslim nations. For example, this chart shows the deadliest Islamic terrorist attacks graphed against the MSCI Emerging Markets Index since the start of the index on December 31, 1987. Notice that many the attacks occurred near lows in the index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2014
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stocks Most Important Market Analysis Update Ever! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: David_Petch
A few notes first off...the US Dollar Index has broken below 80.0, but for this to mean anything, the US Dollar must close below 79.40 on a weekly basis. The critical levels of upper support and resistance are so tight right now, that the volatility we have seen has caused many players to go long when its wrong and go short when they should abort. The trend finally does "appear" as if the 79.40 level will break, but nothing is better than waiting for confirmation than speculation.
Tuesday, July 01, 2014
The Stock Market is Overvalued, Caution is Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Back in 2001 Buffett said in an interview with Fortune Magazine that “the single best measure” of stock market valuation is by taking the total market cap (TMC) and dividing it by the total gross domestic product (GDP). Today TMC is equal to 114.5% of total GDP.At the market top in 2007, just prior to a -54% crash in stocks, TMC was equal to 104.9%. According to Buffett’s “favorite” market timing indicator stocks are more overvalued today than in 2007.
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Tuesday, July 01, 2014
Stock Market Grinder... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market wants to correct. You can feel it. It has a pulse. It has an energy. The problem thus far has been the constant burn the bears have felt every time they've tried to front run. You can see the market struggle for every point as the daily chart oscillators are starting to weaken as we grind higher. As the market moves up, the MACD is not. The RSI and stochastics aren't forceful, but the MACD is the real problem child in the world of momentum oscillators. They are screaming for a pullback of some kind, but it'll take something to kick start the event. Maybe it'll be tomorrow's ISM Manufacturing Report.
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Dirt Cheap Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: You probably haven't noticed, but boring government bonds are up double digits this year...
U.S. stocks continue to push to all-time highs as well... even Europe is soaring to multiyear highs.
Today, we've got uptrends around the globe. The big question is... after so many investments have run up so high, where is the value in the world today? Is there any left out there?
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Why You Shouldn’t Sell This Dull Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: The Dow hasn't done much this year, meandering up and down and delivering a low single-digit return year-to-date.
Stocks look boring to investors. So many are selling them for alternative investments.
This is almost certainly making a mistake.
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Await Quarter's End, Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral, following last Tuesday's intraday reversal:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 30, 2014
Stock Market Bearish Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The DOW may be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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