Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 30, 2014
US Stock Markets Can’t Get No Respect ..BUT… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
In this Weekend Report I’d like to show you some charts on the different US stock markets and some of the stronger sectors within the US markets. It seems like no one believes this rally taking place in the US stock markets and many stock markets abroad. The mantra is we have to have a correction because markets can’t keep going up like this , which is true , but the stock markets will let us know when it’s time for a correction. Right now most of the charts are looking positive with no sign of a top in place yet. This could all change next week but right now things are looking much more bullish than bearish.
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Sunday, June 29, 2014
Stocks - What to Do When Interest Rates Will Rise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Most experts don't want to admit it... but there's actually plenty of room for stocks to go much higher from here – even through the end of 2016.
We certainly have some signs of a market top out there... But before you sell everything, I urge you to seriously consider today's essay.
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Sunday, June 29, 2014
Central Bank Stocks Buying Binge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Central banks have shifted into stocks and are buying up everything that isn’t bolted to the floor.
That’s the gist of the story that breathlessly appeared in the Financial Times about a week ago and swept across the blogosphere like a Santa Anna brushfire. And there’s some truth to it too, if taken with a large grain of salt. Here’s a clip from the Omfif’s report the FT’s cites in the article:
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Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Bouncing Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
We don't need no stinkin' recovery.
Stocks just need the easy money Fed.
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Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Getting Frothy ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The general market made a new bull market high on Tuesday at SPX 1968, dropped to 1945 by Thursday, and then rallied to 1961 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.90%, and the DJ World index was -0.25%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, personal income/spending, consumer confidence/sentiment and PCE prices. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, Case-Shiller, durable goods orders, the LEI and the monetary base. Next week we get reports on Nonfarm payrolls, ISM and the Chicago PMI.
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Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Bullish Until Proven Otherwise..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
We were gapping down once again this Friday morning. It wasn't a massive gap down, but it had potential. A five handle on the S&P 500 isn't major, but it is something the bears can work with. Within minutes their dream was gone. Once again the bears refused to get in front of the selling out of the gate, thus, the bulls were able to keep things going albeit slowly as the day moved along. A nice rush very late in the day gave the market a push to the green. Once again, the bears have to be shaking their heads wondering what it'll take to sell a market that has everything going against it.
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Friday, June 27, 2014
Nothing Threatens This Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael A. Robinson Writes: With U.S. stocks at all-time highs, folks are wondering where prices can go from here. After all, U.S. growth is still anemic, the Federal Reserve is rolling back its market assistance and corporate profits aren’t all they could be.
Granted, there will be periodic corrections and unpleasant events that will “shock” the markets into temporary downturns.
But I believe the conditions now in place could foster a bull market that could last 18 to 20 years.
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Friday, June 27, 2014
GDP Collapse, Stocks Explosive Divergence Between Volume and Price, Peak Leverage? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
This week has not been sleepy when it comes to the news. It feels like a firecracker out there just waiting for a match in my opinion. There have been too many issues to cover them all but here are a few TedBits for you:
- Surrender
- GDP collapse
- Explosive divergence between volume and price
- MORAL HAZARD written large
- Leverage peak in stocks?
- SOME People aren't DUMB
- EU elites pull another FAST ONE
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Unprecedented Stocks Bear Market Formation Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Think the current conditions in the stock market are normal? Think again. Here are 3 characteristics you should expect to see in wave b.
Editor's Note: Below you will find a sneak peek from the just-published issue of Robert Prechter's Theorist. It provides you an opportunity to see some of the research, analysis and forecasts that Elliott Wave International's subscribers are enjoying inside their latest issue.
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Thursday, June 26, 2014
Smart Money, Dumb Money & Your Money - Bond Market End Game / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Crime is far more common than logic. This is the refuge of bankers.
In capitalism’s end game, leveraged debt fatally destabilizes the supply and demand dynamic necessary for stable economic activity. Understanding this is critical to understanding why capitalism today is failing.
In the banker’s ponzi-scheme of credit and debt, debt-based money is created through central bank credit. Usually, the central banks’ constant expansion of the money supply results in rising prices, i.e. inflation. In the end game, however, this is no longer true.
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Thursday, June 26, 2014
Bad GDP Data? Stock Market Doesn’t Care / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Today’s 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP shocked to the downside, but the GDP is backward looking, and the market couldn’t care less. The S&P 500 hit its -0.13% intraday low two minutes into the session and then began its fairly steady recovery to its 0.56% intraday high about 15 minutes before the close. A bit of selling in the final minutes trimmed the gain to 0.49%. The index is now a mere 0.17% off its record close on Friday.
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Thursday, June 26, 2014
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A reversal to the reversal. Why not. When all seemed ripe for big selling we didn't see any today, although we tried early on for sure. A small gap down that had a chance to at least run somewhat lower. No large gap down suggested today wouldn't be terrible, which I spoke about early on in the morning update, but there was hope that we could move lower throughout the day. It just didn't happen. Why? Hard to say other than the usual. Folks are still looking to buy when there's some decent weakness, and in this market, weakness is about 1% lower.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Stock Market Down Day with Increased Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. Yesterday I pointed out that the last two S&P 500 sessions had the second and third smallest intraday ranges in two decades. Well today that changed. The intraday range (0.28% to -0.73%) increased to 1.02%, which is the 72nd percentile of the year so far. The index closed off its late-day low for a decline of 0.64%.
With tomorrow’s Durable Goods Orders and the 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP (which is expected to be revised downward), we may see some additional volatility.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Wednesday Market Worries – Will U.S. GDP Be Revised Down Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Does this look healthy to you?
We did manage to pull out of a tailspin back in 2011 – the last time our GDP went negative but, funny story – in July of 2011, the S&P fell from 1,350 to 1,100 by August 9th and it gyrated between 1,100 and 1,200 until October when the Fed's "Operation Twist" (because "Operation Screw the Poor" got bad test scores) gave us a boost.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Dow Jones Secular Stocks Bull Market Projection / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
As an investor and a speculator I am mostly interested in Cyclical Markets (Cyclical Bull or Bear Markets). On average Cyclical Bull Markets last between 4 and 5 years and Cyclical Bear Markets last between 2 and 3 years. Cyclical Markets occur within Secular Markets that define the long term trend. Over the last 100 years, history has shown that the Dow Jones Secular Markets last about 17-18 years on average. For example the Secular Bull Market from 1945 to 1963 lasted 18 years and made over 350% gains, the Secular Bull Market from 1982 to 2000 lasted also 18 years and made over 1000% gains.
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Monday, June 23, 2014
Stock Market at a Minor Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Monday, June 23, 2014
Investing in Undervalued Country Just Starting Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Research proves that undervalued equity markets achieve higher future returns over longer term investment horizons.
Studies show that investing in markets which have just been through a bear market and their valuations are low is one of the best ways to grow your investment capital.
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Sunday, June 22, 2014
Stock Market Primary III Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The bull market made news highs this week, after the FOMC meeting, statement, and press conference. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.0%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. On the economic front positive reports continue to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, the NAHB, the CPI, leading indicators, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: housing starts, building permits, and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Q1 GDP, Personal income/spending, and the PCE.
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Sunday, June 22, 2014
Stock Market Complacency - Quiet Quad Witch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Today was a quad witch in stock option expiration and the day was very quiet with low volatility.
Next week there is not much in the way of new economic news, with the third iteration of 1Q GDP coming out.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Islamic Caliphate is Born, World War III has BEGUN! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Insanity is coming at US in huge waves. This week really saw a lot of new tea leaves presented to those working through the puzzle of the MAN MADE disaster. We are indeed living in interesting times, and I believe they will be studied and written about for decades and centuries into the future. I also believe this time period offers the greatest opportunity's in history if played from an applied Austrian economic perspective, and a good handle on history. They are one and the same actually. So let's look at some of the vignettes we covered this week:
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