Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, September 22, 2014

Where China and Japan Are Investing Billions / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: Japan and China are the two biggest economic powerhouses in Asia. When their wallets open up, the world takes notice.

Now, both countries are directing a lot of investment money... into India.

Japan is leading the way. Last year, it invested $1.2 billion in India - primarily targeting infrastructure. This year, it spent $1.1 billion in India between January and April alone.

Monday, September 22, 2014

Stock Market Topping Process Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?

Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Indian Stock Market BSE SENSEX The Encore Rally / Stock-Markets / India

By: Austin_Galt

The Indian stock market continues its march higher with no serious breakdown in price. But a significant decline can’t be too far away now. Perhaps this is the final rally - the encore rally. Let’s investigate.

Sunday, September 21, 2014

ASX200 Stock Market Index Set For New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

This market has been tracking as expected over the last couple of months. However, price has now come down to the "moment of truth" zone. Will a downtrend be confirmed or will the uptrend continue? Let's find out starting with the daily chart.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Stocks Bull Market Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The wild and volatile week we expected was nearly all to the upside. The market started the week unchanged, completed its 1.5 week pullback on Tuesday, then made new highs on Thursday and Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.5%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.3%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: NY FED, NAHB, leading indicators, WLEI, monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, CPI, housing starts, building permits and the Philly FED. Next week we get more reports on Housing, Durable goods orders, and Q2 GDP.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Stock Market Top In? Nothing Bearish But Late Failure.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Interesting day. The market gapped up at the open and ran higher. It hit as high as 2019, and then started to stall and pull back. It whipsawed back and forth for a while until finally closing one point under the breakout level. A topping stick was put in so we will see what the bears can do with it early on next week. There are no excuses for when a topping stick is printed on a failed breakout that would expect at least some form of a pullback. It can anything from nasty to simply putting in a handle for a while longer before trying the breakout once again. It's very unclear for now as today should have been a top. That said, we are in a bull market, thus, never say never about breaking out again. That said, again, there are no excuses here for the bears. They have a failed breakout and a topping stick on top of that, thus, they should get busy early on next week. We shall see what they can muster up.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

The Alibaba IPO May Shine, But Gold is Glistening / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Scotland voted to remain part of the United Kingdom, Alibaba (BABA) is going to become the United States largest initial public offering (IPO), U.S. stock market indexes are up nearly 2% this week, Treasury yields are near lows, and gold and silver prices are getting bludgeoned in the paper market.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Monetary Policy Killing The System / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The byline should read MONEY VELOCITY HITS RECORD LOW, WHILE MONEY SUPPLY CONTINUES TO GO INTO ORBIT... SYSTEMIC FAILURE IS EVIDENT AS POLICY IS NOT STIMULUS AT ALL... THE PRINCIPAL CAUSE FOR THE BREAKDOWN IS MONETARY POLICY, WHICH IS STUCK IN PLACE.

The USFed monetary policy is killing the system, simply and boldly put. They call it stimulus, when the extreme accommodation is actually just a backdoor Wall Street bailout combined with a pass on the USGovt debt discipline. No debt limit is enforced anymore, a travesty. The United States is looking more like a Third World nation with each passing month, with colossal fraud, economic decay, war and sanctions, and no leadership. The US Federal Reserve has ventured into very dangerous ground, putting hyper monetary inflation as the installed policy, while making money free for the Interest Rate Swap machinery that operates the derivative for maintaining the easy policy.

Friday, September 19, 2014

Russell 2000 Stock Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Let's analyse the Russell 200 Index which consists of 2000 small cap stocks. We'll begin with the big picture - the yearly chart.

Friday, September 19, 2014

Investor Open House! - You've Never Seen this Before and May Never Again! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: EWI

Dear reader,

After years of talking about it, it's finally here.

Our friends over at Elliott Wave International have just announced their first-ever Investor Open House!

For one exciting week -- from noon Eastern time Thursday, Sept. 25, to noon Wednesday, Oct. 1 -- they are throwing open the doors to ALL of their investor services. And it's 100% free!

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Stock Market Dow Pop And Drop Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The Dow hit an all time high today of 17221 which occurred shortly after the Fed meeting. Many readers will know that I have been looking for a pop into top around 17200 which flushes out all the stops that had built up above the 17th July high of 17151. Recent tops in August and September would have taken out some stops but the move today would have really nailed them, so to speak.

So, with the coast now clear, it's decision time on where the Dow goes from here. Does it follow through with conviction to the upside or is it time for a healthy correction and possibly something more? Let's investigate beginning with the daily chart.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Stocks Bullish as Fed Says No Rate Hikes Any Time Soon..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Ms. Yellen made sure she spoke the words the market wanted to hear. Keeping rates low is what the market wants, and keeping rates low is what the market will get. She won't do anything she knows will hurt the market, because she uses the market to keep her job safe. If she lets the market fall hard, then she's allowing the economy to slip, since the market is keeping the economy higher. Repeat after me. The Fed's job description is as follows: you will do whatever it takes to keep Wall Street rocking. Good luck! That's her job in a nutshell folks. Nothing more and nothing less. She's all about 401K's and funds doing well. As long as she's doing her job here, it's going to be very hard for the market to fall precipitously. That's even with froth still out of control week after week.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Scotland Independence - Europe Holds Its Breath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Christopher_Quigley

This Thursday the 18^th September Scotland goes to the polls to decide whether it wants to stay in a Union with the rest of Great Britian or go down the road of independence. At the moment the election is too close to call with sentiment equally divided between either camp. If the Scottish people do opt for going it alone it will send shock waves through-out Europe. Such a result, many believe, will feed the secession fevour spreading across Euroland and lead to continued Euro weakness.

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Stock Market Bears Beyond All Doubt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

I have two pieces of good news this week (for bears).

1. You will never again have to read about how the 2011 sideways movement has caused confusion over from which date to count the last basic advance in the 2009 bull market.
2. Even if the sideways movement confusion had not been resolved previously, time has taken care of the any lingering uncertainties.

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Stock Market Froth Annihilated...Money Moves Around..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

If you were a high-beta stock, or a four-letter stock with froth behind its name, you were slaughtered today. Little mercy out there for those who recently bought a plethora of stocks in the world of the Nasdaq or small cap stocks. The carnage across the board, yet the market didn't fall very much except for those areas. Some sectors were slightly green. Money refuses to totally leave as the big boys were transferring their dollars to those lower-beta, higher-dividend stocks. No mass exit yet. It can't be argued. Many stocks, the leading stocks in the Dow were up overall. The Fed still is making her actions felt for the bears. The low rate environment allowing transference of dollars.

Monday, September 15, 2014

Stock Market Patiently Waiting for Mean Reversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

So far this year, small-cap growth stocks have surprisingly been lackluster. After 2013, when it gained a scorching 38.8 percent, the Russell 2000 has delivered a tepid 0.62 percent year-to-date (YTD).

Monday, September 15, 2014

Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?

Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Stock Market Pullback Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

After closing within three points of the all time high last week, the market went into a choppy pullback mode this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was -1.4%. On the economic front, reports came in mostly to the positive. On the uptick: consumer credit, retail sales, wholesale/business inventories, import prices, consumer sentiment, and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: export prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is FOMC week, and we get reports on Industrial production and Housing.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Stock Market Getting More Violent In The Handle..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Violent markets can be meaningful, even if we're not necessarily seeing resolution out of a range. We know the range is now down at the 50-day exponential moving average, or the last line in the sand for the bulls. The level being 1971. The 20's didn't do a great job of holding up, so now we focus on the last line in the sand for the bulls, or again, 1971. The top of the range being the old high or 2011. We have been in an increasingly violent and whipsaw range that reminds me of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) when it was topping out for the very long term. Now listen up. These violent whipsaw handles can also be bullish, if price holds well enough, while the oscillators unwind from overbought. Handles can be violent, since both sides fight at critical junctures. The range can be more than 1% large, and, thus, things whip around to the top and bottom repeatedly.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Tail Risk - Investors Suffering Permanent Loss / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Fred_Sheehan

In a recent memo to Oaktree Capital clients, Chairman Howard Marks writes about "the time I spent advising a sovereign wealth fund about how to organize for the next thirty years. My presentation was built significantly around my conviction that risk can't be quantified a priori. Another of their advisors, a professor from a business school north of New York, insisted it can. This is something I prefer not to debate, especially with people who're sure they have the answer but haven't bet much money on it."