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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

How We’re Going to Get Rich in 2015

Stock-Markets / Investing 2015 Jan 06, 2015 - 12:16 PM GMT

By: Money_Morning

Stock-Markets

Shah Gilani writes: Last week, while wishing my newsletter subscribers at Capital Wave Forecast and Short-Side Fortunes a happy New Year, I warned them that 2015 isn’t going to be a happy-go-lucky year.

The one prediction I emphasized over and over was that volatility would be extreme.


We’re already seeing that today with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 300 points and oil (based on West Texas Intermediate pricing) dipping below $50 for the first time since April 2009.

There are many reasons why volatility will be our constant companion in 2015. And there will be many opportunities to very profitably trade volatility – both on the way down and on the way up.

So today, I’m going to start showing you how to profit from volatility across all the asset classes that are going to make or break investors in 2015.

Let’s get started ensuring you folks are among the investors who make it…

The Problem With Manipulation

Extreme volatility is the inescapable by-product of manipulation of free markets. After years of central bank manipulation of interest rates and price discovery, the free-market pricing of assets becomes grossly distorted.

The root of the problem with central bank manipulation is that capital allocation itself becomes distorted as speculators chase assets that central bank policies benefit. And when the world’s biggest and most powerful central bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve, openly articulates a policy to lift equity prices in order to make households “feel” more wealthy watching stocks make new highs, you know the fix is in and manipulation itself is a policy prescription.

Of course, there’s a problem with central bank manipulation. A really, really big problem.

Central banks have very limited tools. The blunt instruments by which they manipulate interest rates don’t have any effect on markets, regardless of asset classes, once markets take it upon themselves to do whatever they do.

In other words, central banks have no way of stopping market panics, corrections or outright collapses.

Maybe you don’t believe that, because you too drank the Fed’s Kool-Aid of the past five years and watched stocks soar. If so, remember that it was then-Fed Chair Ben Bernanke who in 2007 said the housing market wasn’t overheating.

Just remember, when that dam broke only a few months after Bernanke said all was well and good and the economy was on a good track, stocks crashed and the U.S. economy spiraled down into the Great Recession.

And there wasn’t a thing the Fed could do about it.

To add insult to injury, also recall that it was the Fed’s low interest rate policies – that is, manipulation – that caused the mortgage and housing bubble and credit crisis.

Now it’s nearly six years later. And the manipulation over these past years makes what the Fed did back in the 2000s look like child’s play.

We’re going to pay the price in 2015.

Volatility is going to make a lot of investors very, very sick and the unsuspecting broke.

But not us.

Mercurial Money

Volatility is the ultimate tool if you know how to wield it. And I do.

I’ve made a career trading volatility across all asset classes.

Now, in 2015, I’m going to teach you how to make a fortune playing the extreme moves that will break some of the world’s governments, some of the biggest mutual funds in the world and everyone who dares to stand in the way of the oncoming locomotive.

I will make recommendations here on what you should buy and sell, and I will explain my recommendations. You just have to figure out if you want to take the advice or to wait and see if I’m right.

That’s all you’ll have to do.

Source : http://www.wallstreetinsightsandindictments.com/2015/01/going-get-rich-2015/

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