Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 06, 2015
Stock Market SPX at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We have arrived at a critical juncture with SPX. Should it exceed the two prior tops at 2064.43 and 2064.62, there may be a need for a reassessment of the Elliott Wave pattern. However, the Cycles Model si still insisting on a significant low between February 16—18.
Currently we can see two 9-wave impulses down, the first from the November 29 high and the second from the January 23 high. Each top-to-top Cycle averaged 8.6 days, giving us exactly 25.8 days as of today’s high at 2:12 pm. The next 8.6 hours will be critical, since the next Cycle is the panic phase, provided the 200-day Moving Average and Lip of the Cup with Handle is broken.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
The Four States of the Stock Market... And Where We Are Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Where do we stand now?
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Market Wizards and the Mean Reversion Monkeys / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
The buzz has been building on this trade for weeks. Clients, friends, people on Twitter, everyone I know has been waiting for a chance to pick the bottom in oil.
I’ve heard all this chatter on which triple-leveraged oil ETFs to use (I make a point of not knowing such things). They’ve been waiting for this opportunity since oil was at 80 bucks.
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Another Stock Market Pop-n-drop Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The Premarket is up this morning, nearly to yesterday’s high. I expect no less in a market that is premised on appearances, not substance.
The pattern is jumbled enough to offer at least two outcomes. It is possible that the decline in yesterday’s last half hour may have been the completion of a Micro Wave b, with a Wave c to follow. Or, the morning ramp may fail to overcome yesterday’s high and simply collapse at the open.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
ECB ‘Blackmails’ Greece – “Grexit”, Bank Runs, Capital Controls and Bail-Ins Likely / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: GoldCore
- ECB ‘blackmails’ Greece – “Grexit”, bank runs, capital controls and bail-ins likely
- Shock announcement yesterday led to volatility in markets; turmoil in Greece
- Stocks, commodities including oil and Greek investments fall
- Euro gold surged from EUR 1,104 to EUR 1,126 per ounce or 2 per cent
- Greek government bonds will not be accepted as collateral in accessing cheap ECB liquidity from February 11
- Greek banks are believed to be heavily exposed to Greek government bonds
- Banks in difficulty will have recourse to Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) from Greek central bank but ECB has authority to block ELA
- Greece now shut out of markets
- ECB putting interests of banks over those of people … again
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market trend drove to a series of new all time highs during 2014, ending up for the sixth year in a row at Dow 17,823. So another year where the always imminent market crash and new bear market reverse gear courtesy of a string of crisis events from the euro-zone depression to the End of Fed QE fatal accidents just never materialised. In this video I conclude in detailed trend forecast for stock market for 2015.
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Stock Market VIX is Saying Go Forward With Trepidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
As we commented last Wednesday, this close up view of the VIX is showing a triangular pattern that has morphed into a secondary triangular pattern.
Yesterday, the VIX closed at 17.33 which was inside the new triangular formation, but with an up and down breach of the prior formation.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
Greece News Kills Stock Market Reversal.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had a bad start to the day as the bears were in early on trying to stop the recent rally. They had enough ammunition overall from some bad earnings reports last night. The biotechnology stocks the big killer early on as Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) was crushed on their report. That report took the entire sector down early on in a big way only to see them and the whole market recover until there was about 20 minutes left in the day. That's when the ECB told Greece they couldn't use their bonds as collateral.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
ASX200 Aussie Stock Market's Final Fling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Austin_Galt
It seems like only yesterday I was writing about the Aussie stock market, the ASX200. Oh, hang on, it was. Well, only a few days ago. Since then price has exploded to new rally highs. While I was confident of this happening I wasn't expecting it now.
Price has launched higher parabolic style in part due to the Reserve Bank of Australia cutting the cash rate by 0.25%. But fundamentals are used as excuses and I don't make excuses. I was wrong in thinking price wouldn't make new rally highs now.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
Stock Market Bears Are About to Take Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have turned back at 2046.10 (above the 50-day Moving Average) where Micro Wave v equals a near-Fibonacci 63.35% of Micro Wave i. The SPX sell signal still stands.
Good luck and good trading!
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Signs of Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
As most people with a functioning brain cell already know, stock indices have become more manipulated than a marionette at a children’s show. Yes, stocks are now even more manipulated than even gold! Of course, we all know that the Federal Reserve Bank is the chief puppeteer. But as we close out January of 2015, I would even say that stock indices have gone a step further. They are now driven by insanity. Why do I say such? Read on for signs of insanity that should give us all pause.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
How Low will Stock Market Go? Lindsay Long Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
If the Dec high was point H of Lindsay’s long cycle (approximately 20 years) as suspected then we can examine past declines from H to I to get an idea as to how low this decline will go. Unfortunately, with only four previous long cycles to examine (since 1921) the sample size is less than “significant”.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
FTSE Stock Market Triple Top - The Golden Age of QE and The Fiat Endgame... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
As you are doubtless aware we are living in a new paradigm - the age of global QE has arrived. Amongst the major power blocs it started with the US, spread to Japan, which adopted it with a particular gusto, after suffering from deflation for decades, and just has been taken up by Europe in a big way, after waiting for half its young people in many constituent countries to become unemployed due to the ravages of deflation. Smaller countries will have to join in or their currencies will soar and they will become uncompetitive.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Portfolio Strategies 2015 for Investing in an Age of Divergence / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: John_Mauldin
With all the negative news out of Europe, how do you find a positive story? Is there a way to structure a portfolio that gives you permission to be more aggressive when there are danger signs all around? Everyone is worried about being blindsided by a significant downdraft in the markets when maybe we should be thinking about making sure we don’t miss a bull market somewhere. These and several dozen other topics were on the table when the Mauldin Economics writing team gathered here in Dallas for 3½ days of intensive talk, interviews, and planning. Today we’ll go over a few of the highlights of this last week, and I’ll share a few reasons to be optimistic about 2015.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Stock Market Reversal Up at The Dow 200's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried higher in the morning only to see the rally sell off quite fast. The usual market swings took place for the rest of the day until there was about forty-five minutes left in the session. From there the daily index charts all put in bottoming candles. Well, at least it seems as if they did, but who knows in this insane environment of massive whipsaw. What should be often is not but again, these should be very short-term bottoming sticks that if correct, isn't a message of hold on long term. It's an in and out market for now. The Dow was the very first index to challenge down to its 200-day, exponential moving average. That's because the multi-nationals have been hurt in the Dow-30 based on currencies.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 by Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has had wild roller coaster ride during January in the wake of the euro-zone crisis where one of the best days of the year (+275) is immediately followed by the worst day of the year (-335) the effect of which is to literally grind the strength out of the stocks bull market rally of 2014 with stomach churning moves that have been encouraging the perma-bears to literally scream at the top of their lungs that this time, THIS TIME the bull market really is over! Which has been regurgitated at length by the mainstream media and BlogosFear backed by supporting reasons coalescing around euro-zone collapse, end of Fed QE, and possible interest rate hikes being just around the corner, all of this despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of RATE hiking cycles! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. Then there’s China weakness, Europe recession, ISIS and not forgetting EBOLA! So plenty of doom for the bears to play pick and mix with for reasons why Bull Market End Time is here!
Monday, February 02, 2015
More Euro-tragedy / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Despite the uncertainties ahead of the Greek general election, the European Central Bank (ECB) went ahead and announced quantitative easing (QE) of €60bn per month from March to at least September 2016. What makes this interesting is the mounting evidence that QE does not bring about economic recovery. Even Jaime Caruana, General Manager of the Bank for International Settlements and who is the central bankers’ central banker, has publicly expressed deep reservations about QE. However, the ECB ploughs on regardless.
Monday, February 02, 2015
2015 Gold, Markets Outlook: What You Really Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Jeff_Clark
In the January issue of BIG GOLD, I interviewed 17 analysts, economists, and authors on what they expect for gold in 2015. Some of those included what we affectionately call our Casey Brain Trust—Doug Casey, Olivier Garret, Bud Conrad, David Galland, Marin Katusa, Louis James, and Terry Coxon. The issue was so popular that we decided to reprint this portion.
I think you’ll find some very insightful and useful reading here (click on a link to read his bio)…
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Monday, February 02, 2015
Precarious Times for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
It suddenly seems as though the good times in equities might be ending. Though my perspective is based only on “gut feel”, there seems to be an underlying level of fear that has crept into the markets. If so, it’s a real problem for equities. Any market trading at all-time highs and with a valuation far above historical averages requires a continued level of irrational excitement and speculative ignorance to remain sustainable. And fear is not consistent with irrational, speculative ignorance.
Monday, February 02, 2015
Stock Markets Mixed Expectations Following Friday's Move Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish