Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Bottom in place: You will lose money if you Short Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The whole world is in disbelief that the stock markets are not collapsing, right now. It is going to be a slow bear market decline. I had written an article called “The Power Of Seven”; many were skeptical of my suggestion warning investors for move to cash. I was right on target. Now, the markets are tanking and experts are calling for all sorts of levels, I believe I am correct again, by calling for an intermediate bottom in the markets that may last much longer than traders expect.

Many believe that catching the top and bottom, is not only difficult, but impossible. With my predictive trend analytics models, I constantly identify both bottoms and tops on varous timeframes rom intraday to monthly charts, which if you have been following me for some time very well know.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Is Stock Market SPX Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX jumped in the overnight markets and it appears that Wave (i) of [c] may be complete. Thus far it has retraced 35% of the decline. Should SPX reach 1914.75 (the 38.2% retracement) in only one continuous impulse from [b], I suggest your longs be taken off the table.

Should SPX retrace modestly, then go higher, I suggest that it may reach its 50% Fib level at 1946.50 yet today. That would be the second level at which to take profits, since things may become dicey over the weekend.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Swing Baby, Swing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

This article assumes one is trading the up and down swings in the stock market.  Swing traders are just one segment of a market population that includes those sitting in cash (and/or risk ‘off’ vehicles like Treasury Bonds), maintaining longer-term short positions, our always bullish friends, the “stocks for the long-term” contingent and of course, the indomitable Gold Bug “community”, focusing as ever on one asset class while a world full of other assets is in motion.

“Let’s go let’s go, he’s no batter, he’s no batter… (pitch comes to the plate) SWING BATTER!!!”

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Markets Waiting on U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the outcome of the world markets may depend on the behavior of the USD. The pattern is now clear, after a long consolidation. The rising domestic markets have been dependent on the rising dollar. This has made especially so by the emerging markets as they have to buy back dollars to repay dollar-denominated debts which they so eagerly took over the past several years. This has caused a terrible squeeze on their economies and the Emerging Markets stocks and bonds.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

The Fed’s Role in the Stock Market Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P peaked in May 2015, investors were still confident that the Fed “had their back” and that any steep or prolonged downturn in stocks would be met with additional liquidity and a firm commitment to maintain zero rates as long as necessary. But now that the Fed has started its long-awaited rate-hike cycle, investors aren’t sure what to expect.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Fantasy Stock Market: “NIFTY NINE” FINALLY BECAME JUST “FANTAsy”! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

In the November Issue of Triggers we discussed “FANG & NOSH”. In December we further discussed the mutation of this group to the “NIFTY9”. This month as markets fall we need to discuss how the “NIFTY9” finally became just “FANTAsy” and the potential $1T seriousness of what this means.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

S&P 500 Fell 15% Below Last Year's All Time High - Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral, following recent move down below medium-term lows.

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Stock Market Indices Rally to Cut Huge Sell-Off in Half / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really interesting day today, which included a very sharp decline in the morning, getting the indices to an extremely negative tick of minus 1373, and the McClellan Oscillator to minus 200-plus. After reaching a level midday where the indices seemed to be washed out, they staged a very strong rally, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 3993 all the way up to 4180, a 187-point rally straight up with a 5-wave advance. The S&P 500, during that time, went from 1812 to 1878, a 66-point rally.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

There's no time to waste.

The Dow's worst start to a year since the Great Depression continues to shock investors and traders with massive daily plummets.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Stock Market Short Sellers Back In The Saddle: Q&A With Bearing Asset Management / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

The improbable success of The Big Short, a scathing and hilarious tutorial on making money during a financial crisis, probably has a lot of people thinking that now might be a good time to start betting against the current bubble(s).

That’s a well-timed thought because it comes after three long years in which shorting was really, really hard. Why was it hard? Because easy money — at first — floats all boats. When interest rates are low and financing is readily available, even the crappiest companies can pay their bond interest and support their share price with debt-fueled share repurchases. The uniformity of the past few years’ bull market was so extreme that buying the most heavily-shorted stocks — on the assumption that those companies would have access to sufficient capital to support their market value, thus forcing the shorts to cover at ever-higher prices — was a successful and widely-practiced strategy.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Stock Market Trying To Bounce....Closed Below 1867 Or The August Low.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

These are very, very interesting times folks. The market behaving poorly for the first time on an extended basis after nearly seven years. The bulls are so used to having things go their way day after day, week after week and year after year. That ended suddenly in 2015 when the markets were overall red, but barely so. Not enough of a push lower to get anyone thinking the end of the bull run is near. Most thought it was simply a year of basing after a long move higher that would lead to yet another leg up.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Investors "Think About How to Mitigate Your Losses" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long deliberates with Eric Sprott about the outlook for the global economy in 2016. Eric Sprott is a Canadian hedge fund manager and founder of Sprott Asset Management. He became a billionaire on paper with the initial public offering of Sprott Inc, the parent of his Sprott Asset Management firm. In August 2011, Sprott was acknowledged by Bloomberg as a 'hidden billionaire.' The publication estimated Sprott's worth at $1.3 billion, largely based on his publicly disclosed holdings in Sprott Inc. and Sprott Physical Gold Trust. Sprott started his career as an analyst at Merrill Lynch covering everything but commodities. He eventually became known as a natural-resources and energy investor.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

The Next Financial Crisis Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Last year we predicted that the world had reached peak centralization and that going forward things would begin to fracture.

What is centralization?

Centralization is the process by which the world grows increasingly centralized, relying on Centralized organizations (Central Banks, sovereign governments, etc.) to determine the direction of capital and focus.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

A Stock Market Bounce is Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX hit its Ending Diagonal trendline, making a throw-under at 1812.25. A bounce that re-enters the trading band currently at 1833.69 and retests the Cycle Bottom constitutes a reversal pattern that may be traded. In the meantime, the pattern calls for an exit of short positions.

ZeroHedge writes, “History repeats, if you're just willing to listen. The "Dead-Cat-Bubble" is dead as global stocks enter a bear market (down 20% from May 2015 highs) and US equities catch down to the rest of the world.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

CIPS, Not The Petrodollar Is Key / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Raymond_Matison

With oil prices having declined to record lows of the last several decades and financial markets having traded down dramatically, there is increased interest in identifying the next possible black swan event.

Over the last several years, there have been scores of articles forecasting a fall of the Petrodollar as the key confirming event for the long-expected decline in value of the United States dollar currency and the demise of its global hegemony.  These reports are correct in that unraveling the Petrodollar will precipitate a sudden decline in global demand for the dollar, with a concomitant decline in the value of the dollar in global currency markets. 

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Financial Crisis in the Making that QE-4 Can’t Stop! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The “Great Credit Crisis” of 2007 led to “The Great Recession”, and yet the FED still repeated the same mistakes. The FED kept the “easy money” policy in effect, and not only that, but, it also introduced “Quantitative Easing” and handed over FREE money to the large banks and corporations. Apparently, they have not learned anything from the last crisis and it looks as though they are on the path of pushing the economy into a deep recession, again. The dangerous part about this, is that they have already used up all of their ammunition, and there is now none left. In order to deal with the forthcoming “financial crisis” that we are presently facing in 2016.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Can Stock Values Simply "Disappear"? Yes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

And it's happened before, too -- just think back to the 2007-2099 financial crisis

On Wednesday (Jan. 13) CNBC reported that,

"Almost $3.2 trillion has been wiped off the value of stocks around the world since the start of 2016, according to calculations by a top market analyst. U.S. stocks are now off $1.77 trillion, while overseas stocks are down $1.4 trillion."

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Can Stock Market Short Term Positive Bias Develop into a Medium Term Positive? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

This day has a short term, positive bias for the Fed. A lot of Inflowing Liquidity should come in, but the question will be one of sustainability with the Institutional Investors still in net distribution.

Short term is good, but medium term rules. So the question is ... can this short term positive bias develop into a medium term positive?

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Stock Market Phase Target Met / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The index is completing a downtrend phase within a longer-term decline. This should be followed by a counter-trend rally before selling resumes.

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Warning: Stocks Bear Market Rally Trap Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Technical Evidence Indicates Major Price Movement Just Getting Started!

Stocks around the globe were pummeled again last week.

This is no surprise to our subscribers as our predictive trend analytics model gave us clear technical evidence that important multi-year highs had completed back in the middle of 2015.