Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market Mixed Close with Good Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session today. After an early morning pop, they came down hard, bounced late morning, and then stair-stepped their way lower, with the Nasdaq 100 constantly making lower-lows until they reached the low from last Friday, and held at 4440 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 refused to break as well and held 2086. In the last half an hour, or so, they bounced back nicely to end mixed on the session.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market - That’s all Folks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We continue to expect this election year to see a decline from April to June and believe that last week’s 6 month cycle high marked that high. Equity markets in Presidential election years have a nasty habit of dropping during this period and the eighth year of a Presidential term sees nothing more than a temporary bounce in June before a decline to new lows.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Why Investors Should be Skeptical of Anyone in Power / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Rodney_Johnson
Don’t lie, cheat, or steal. Those seem like pretty good rules to live by. Most of us learned these values as children. We watched our parents and, when we strayed from the straight and narrow, suffered through a variety of consequences. The message doesn’t get through to everyone, of course, so we still need prisons for criminals.But there’s a group of people who exist in the gray area, that shadowy space between upstanding citizens and outright thieves.
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Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Cyber Fraud At SWIFT – $81 Million Stolen From Central Bank, Digital Gold / Stock-Markets / Cyber Crime
By: GoldCore
Swift, the vital global financial network that western financial services companies, institutions and banks use for all payments and transfer billions of dollars every day, warned its customers yesterday evening that it was aware of cyber fraud and a number of recent “cyber incidents” where attackers had sent fraudulent messages over its system and $81 million was apparently stolen from a central bank.
Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Stock Market Holding Up...Bears Simply Have Nothing.....Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried once again to sell today, but again the selling was nothing to talk about. The market was down decently during the trading day, but the buyers, as usual, stepped back in with authority and kept the losses quite small. The market is trying to unwind overbought oscillators with the normal, no-price depreciation set-up, which is basically all we ever see. That's classic bull-market behavior. Seven year's worth for the most part. Nothing has changed. It really is the same old. In fact, this newsletter is the same old. There's never really anything new or interesting to talk about. Any time we try to swell, the buyers come in, etc. No sustained selling other than very brief periods for seven full years with no end on the horizon. Buyers are trained to step in and buy every time we sell some.
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Parameters for a Stock Market Sell Signal-in-the-making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off both Short-term support and the rally trendline. At the time of the bounce, support was at 2077.37. There appears to be one more probe, possibly to 2088.00 to complete the retracement from today’s decline.
Friday’s bounce appears to be a 37.7% retracement of Wave (i). I wonder what happened to those 80-90% retracements?
An aggressive sell signal may be given once the trendline and Short-term support, now at 2078.20 are crossed. Further confirmation may be had at the mid-cycle support line at 2072.14.
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Is July 5th the Next Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below shows a repeating pattern of 115 trading day tops on the S&P 500 virtually shadowing the 100 trading day cycle to cycle lows. The 100 TD lows can run anywhere between 85 and 115 trading days. This low is commonly referred to as the 20-week low. The 20-week low is half of the dominant 9-month low that usually runs about 40 weeks .
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Stock Market S&P 500 Below 2,100 Mark - Uptrend Reversal Or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 25, 2016
Stock Market Dangerous Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: James_Quinn
The chart below would appear to be in conflict with the results of a recent Gallup poll regarding stock ownership by Americans. The ratio of household equities to money market fund assets is near a record high, 60% above the 2007 high and 30% above the 1999 internet bubble high. The chart would appear to prove irrational exuberance among the general populace.
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Sunday, April 24, 2016
Stock Market Upside Objective Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction may be underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 24, 2016
The Dow Jones is a Catalyst for Misplaced Stock Market Optimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dylan_Waller
The Curious Recovery of the Dow Jones
After delivering stellar gains after America’s economic recovery in 2008, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has stalled, with a 1 year decline of 0.19%. A further examination of the components of the Dow Jones, and most importantly how stronger performing components have replaced some of the sub par links, reveals that its strong benchmark of success after 2008 has been a catalyst for misplaced optimism for America’s stock market. Its current mediocre performance is further troublesome, as one can holistically examine a flurry of sell offs this year in multiple sectors, such as the energy, biotechnology, and banking sectors. The Dow Jones stands as a misleading rosy shaded picture of how America, and most specifically its stock market, has recovered and continues to prevail. Weak fundamentals can easily be seen by examining areas of America’s economy, particularly areas the middle class is most vulnerable to, as well as the stock price losses experienced in other crucial sectors of America’s economy. A list of 30 companies is certainly too small of a sample size to holistically represent America’s stock market, yet I think the modifications and strategic exclusion of vulnerable areas makes the impact of its distortion of reality much stronger than one would initially assume.
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Saturday, April 23, 2016
Stocks Bull or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2081. On Monday it dipped down to SPX 2074 and then started to rally to new uptrend highs. By late Wednesday the SPX hit 2111, and then started to decline. By Friday morning the SPX hit 2081, then bounced to end the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.10%, and the DJ World index gained 0.70%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: building permits, housing starts and the Philly FED. On the uptick: existing home sales, the FHFA index, leading indicators, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Q1 GDP and the PCE. Best to your weekend and week!
Saturday, April 23, 2016
Stock Market No Real Selling....Most Indexes Strong....Nasdaq Lagging / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The Nasdaq has been lagging for the entire year and that's simply because of the higher P/E's associated with those four-letter stocks. In a declining-global environment within a forced fed-bull market the majority of the big money doesn't want to get caught in a bad, Nasdaq earnings report, and get slaughtered so that big money plays it safe and goes to the lower P/E, higher-dividend world. The result is under performance in the Nasdaq, and out performance in the S&P 500 and Dow. The Nasdaq got hit by a threesome of bad reports last night. Google Inc. (GOOG), Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). All three hit hard today. That trio, which is very heavily weighted, took the QQQ's down very hard today, although there was the usual strong move off the lows as the day wore on. The bull market was very much intact with zero signs of topping out, although there was some technical damage on the Nasdaq.
Friday, April 22, 2016
USD/JPY may be losing its influence on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The USD/JPY influence on the SPX may be waning. ZeroHedge reports, “Kuroda, we have a problem. Following rumors overnight, USDJPY is obediently being bid (Yen weaker), with its biggest day since January and pushing above 111 (highest in 3 weeks). Normally this would be all the US equity needed to spike ignorantly to new highs... but it's not...
Friday, April 22, 2016
Market Bubbles, Bubbles, Toil and... Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Prosperity is like a Jenna tower. Take one piece out and the whole thing can fall." That's a direct quote from John Williams, the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank in a speech a few weeks ago. - US Recession Data Shows It's a Very Short Road to Capital Controls, Simon Black, March 15, 2016
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Harry Dent: Stock Market 70% Crash By Late 2017 – Gold $400-$800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long is joined by Harry Dent to have a detailed discussion about the state of the global economy and how investors can be prepare themselves for the turmoils to come.
Read full article... Read full article...Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the Founder of Dent Research, an economic forecasting firm specializing in demographic trends. His mission is “Helping People Understand Change”. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.
A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.
A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Highest Since Early November - Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks Bear Market 2016 Illusion Persists Despite Dow Targeting New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The so called great stocks bear market of 2016 that apparently began following the Dow's May 2015 all time high of Dow 18,351, has seen bear market rhetoric reaching its most fever pitch as the Dow bottomed out in late August 2015 at Dow 15,370, and then again more recently in January of this year. So how has this so called bear market been progressing? A bear market heralded by even those who may have been bullish from time to time.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
US Presidential Election Candidates Confirm: No Stock Market Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
A CNN Money article this weekend provided contrarian investors with a moment of clarity. “Trump and Cruz predict stock market ‘crash’” the headline proclaimed. Contrarians couldn’t find a more emphatic statement of mainstream bearish capitulation than that.
The market opinions of high-profile public figures are always as fascinating as they are instructive. Most public figures have only an elementary grasp on the financial markets; this is doubly true for politicians and political candidates. In instances when these figures make public predictions about the market it’s almost a guaranteed contrarian bet that they’ll be wrong.
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