Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.
A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.
A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Highest Since Early November - Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks Bear Market 2016 Illusion Persists Despite Dow Targeting New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The so called great stocks bear market of 2016 that apparently began following the Dow's May 2015 all time high of Dow 18,351, has seen bear market rhetoric reaching its most fever pitch as the Dow bottomed out in late August 2015 at Dow 15,370, and then again more recently in January of this year. So how has this so called bear market been progressing? A bear market heralded by even those who may have been bullish from time to time.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
US Presidential Election Candidates Confirm: No Stock Market Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
A CNN Money article this weekend provided contrarian investors with a moment of clarity. “Trump and Cruz predict stock market ‘crash’” the headline proclaimed. Contrarians couldn’t find a more emphatic statement of mainstream bearish capitulation than that.
The market opinions of high-profile public figures are always as fascinating as they are instructive. Most public figures have only an elementary grasp on the financial markets; this is doubly true for politicians and political candidates. In instances when these figures make public predictions about the market it’s almost a guaranteed contrarian bet that they’ll be wrong.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Sloppy-Choppy, Topsy-Turvy Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today as they were up and down more times than ocean waves during a bad storm. They opened to the upside, went down and then up several times, until they had a strong rally to resistance at about 4560 Nasdaq 100, pulled back mid-afternoon, rallied back to that level, took it out by a point, but couldn’t maintain. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was making higher-highs all day, reaching 2111, not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100. In the afternoon in the last hour, they sold off pretty sharply, gave back a big chunk of the gains, but still managed to close slightly positive.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Can't Sell....Froth Ramping Quickly... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is in the zone. No sellers. It tries to sell, but simply can't. The S&P 500, after gapping up early, fell back about a ten handle. Once it goes red the buyers come rushing back in. Complacency at its finest. And how strange that we opened higher since last night the futures were hit down after Intel Corp (INTC) reported a very weak yearly outlook on top of twelve thousand layoffs. The stock was down 3%, only, of course, to come rocking back today. As usual the futures recovered, and the market said sorry bears. There doesn't seem to be anything that can hit this market lower. Think about it. Most of the big names thus far have had very poor reports. The market doesn't care. Even if that stock falls the market simply rotates away.
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Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Stocks or US Dollar About to Enter a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
The first month and a half of 2016 were brutal for the U.S. equity market, as the major averages plunged over 10%. The culmination of the decline came on Feb 11th when the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the S&P 500 decreased 1.2%. Since then, the market has managed to hobble back to its 2015 closing level, leaving major averages relatively flat for the year.
But to understand where the market is heading from here we need to recognize what caused the selloff in early 2016 and what led to the recent rebound.
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Tuesday, April 19, 2016
Stock Market Advance/Decline Line / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
The cumulative advance/decline line (not to be confused with the "other" advance/decline line) has thrown a wrench into the bearish equity scenario as it exceeded the old April high and made a new high last week. This indicator is watched far and wide by technicians as a reliable (yet, not perfect) indicator. In Aug 2014 it reached to a new high only to see the Dow drop 7.00%. In July 2011 it hit a new high and was followed by a decline of 19.00% in the Dow. Nevertheless, bears need to stay on their toes.
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Tuesday, April 19, 2016
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By: EWI
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Tuesday, April 19, 2016
Stocks, What Oil Problem?...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
There was a much anticipated meeting on whether the world's oil producing countries would put a freeze on future oil production since there was a glut due to decreasing demand. If the freeze was to be accepted, it was likely that oil would soar and take the market with it. If the freeze was not accepted, then it was likely oil would tank and yes, take the market with it. The news was bad as the freeze was turned down. The result was a very nasty move lower in oil and in our futures last night. It looked like the market was ready to give it up. To lose the breakout over the trend line at 2075. It had trouble for a few days putting that level away with force. failure seemed to be in the cards. Seemed to be, but in the end it wasn't.
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Monday, April 18, 2016
Brazil Impeaches President Rousseff; Where to for Brazil and its Currency? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Mike_Shedlock
In a 367-137 vote with two absent and seven abstentions, Brazil's lower house of Congress voted to impeach President Dilma Rousseff.
342 vote were needed. To reach that total, members of her own party had to abandon Ms. Rousseff.
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Monday, April 18, 2016
Markets - When In Doubt Inflate Financial Paper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jesse
Here are the basic stock and precious metal and economic charts as of about 2:00 EDT.
The economic news this morning was rather poor, and the luster with which Wall Street attempted to paint the financial sector in light of the 'great results' from JPM were fading as the 'better than expected' results over lowered expectations from CITI were not so lustrous year over year. I think we might be in the midst of another handoff of long positions from the pros to the 'others.' But only time will tell as we bang against an obvious overhead resistance point. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 18, 2016
Stock Market Premarket is Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures declined to short-term support at 2062.36 in the overnight session. The Premarket is down, but partially recovered from its earlier plunge. The overnight bounce at Short-term support indicates the probability that it may not hold the second time. The rally trendline and mid-Cycle support at 2056.35 may be the next challenge later today.
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Monday, April 18, 2016
Stock Market More Uncertainty Ahead Of Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,100, and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 18, 2016
US Stock Market Indices MAP Wave Analysis Q2 Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Marc_Horn
By using this MAP Wave Analysis (MWA) you confirm that you are personally responsible for any and every decision you make based on any content found on this site.
All 4 major US indices are set to top over the next two weeks running into long term cyclical resistance, before heading off to new low onto late Q3 early Q4 if they fail to break out to new highs, so this year looks like no Santa rally!
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Sunday, April 17, 2016
Continuing Stock Market Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is probably underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.
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Saturday, April 16, 2016
Investor Solvency and Market Sanity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
We all know the old saying that ‘the market can remain insane longer than investors can remain solvent’. We are now living the phrase.
4/13/16: JP Morgan bank released quarterly results. Earnings were down 6.7% and revenue was down 3% (even by fraudulent bankster accounting). The stock price went up over 4.5%. Schazaamm!
Ditto for other big banks Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup. Earnings and revenues were down. Stock prices were up.
Friday, April 15, 2016
What's Behind the Longest Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX closed above its hourly Cycle Top at 2082.44 last night, but appears to have dropped beneath it in Premarket action.
ZeroHedge comments, “Good news is still bad news after all.
After last night's China 6.7% GDP print which while the lowest since Q1 2009, was in line with expectations, coupled with beats in IP, Fixed Asset Investment and Retail Sales (on the back of $1 trillion in total financing in Q1)...
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Thursday, April 14, 2016
Stock Market Cycle Top Final Stretch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Cycle Top is holding support for SPX at 2079.26 thus far. It appears to have completed all but the last probe higher to complete the pattern. The target range appears to be 2085.88 to 2086.99. It may happen yet this morning or early afternoon, so stay alert. The first sign of a reversal comes when the Cycle Top no longer provides its support.
Thursday, April 14, 2016
Why We’re About to See the Largest Wealth Drought in Modern History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
If there’s anything the Chinese have going for them, it’s savings. Only a handful of countries have a higher savings rate than they do. For a still relatively poor emerging country with GDP per capita about a fifth of that in the U.S., the Chinese get an A+ in this area.But if diversification and asset allocation are the key to preserving wealth, then the Chinese get an F!
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