Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Weak Start to Stock Market Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a tough session to start the week. It was a down day, for sure. The day opened down, they pulled back, popped, couldn’t get through the highs, and sold off to the morning lows and session lows by about 11-11:15 this morning. They then rallied midday, and could not get through the highs, rolled over, retested twice, but couldn’t break down as well. Enough damage had been done to create losses for the day.

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Stock Market Quiet Day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Theoretically, I could end the newsletter right here. Not much to say about today's action other than it was quiet with the job being to try and unwind things a bit on those overbought charts. The market has been hanging out at overbought for quite some time, but it's now dealing with another headache other than those overbought daily charts. Most of the indexes are at major trend line resistance so a pause in the action does make some sense. If the indexes hang in tough for the next few days that would be a very positive sign for the bulls as it would mean they're able to hold off the bears and their attempt to push things back down. Unwinding without too much price erosion while staying close to the breakout area is a good thing for the bulls. The bears desperately need a major gap down that runs lower all day. They are getting plenty of overseas bad news to snack on, but it seems the market doesn't care.

Monday, April 04, 2016

SPX has Ceased its Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have left a high of 2075.07 near the close on Friday and has ceased rising.  It still needs to break the trendlines with the 4.3-year trendline near 2050.00.  A short entry may come at the bounce off the trendline, especially if confirmed by the VIX.

Bloomberg comments, “U.S. stocks slipped from their highest levels this year, with declines in consumer and industrial shares overshadowing gains in health-care companies, as investors looked for fresh reasons to continue a rally.

Monday, April 04, 2016

Bloomberg Article Sparks Some Stock Market VIX Observations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX made a probable Master Cycle low on April 1 at 13.00.  In the case of this chart, the price label “stuck” to an earlier low.  This sometimes happens in StockCharts and other charting services. 

If my observation is correct, we may finally see it rally above its prior high at 15.28 and give us a buy signal.  Granted, the trendline is at 15.00, but a breakout does give additional confirmation. 

Monday, April 04, 2016

Stock Market New Short-Term Highs As Investors Await Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, April 04, 2016

Stocks Russell 2000 Index Completes Significant Stocks Bear Market Signal / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Dr_David_J_Harris

This article presents an analysis of the Russell 2000 index which is a US small-cap stock market index covering the bottom 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 index.

• The US Russell 2000 stock market index was commissioned in 1984 and has been in use for 32 years, along with the Russell 1000 index and the Russell 3000 index.
• Recently, at the end of Q1 2016, the Russell 2000 index completed a key bear market signal.
• Throughout the 32 years of the Russell 2000 index, this bear market signal has only been recorded once previously, and that was in early 2008 at the start of the previous major downturn often called the Great Recession.
• Price projection calculations indicate that the Russell 2000 has much further to fall, perhaps leading the major large cap US indexes down.
• There is some evidence to suggest that this downturn of the Russell 2000 may continue for a further 12 to 24 months before reaching a final bottom.

Sunday, April 03, 2016

Stock Market SPX Strength is Deceptive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Severe correction underway

SPX Intermediate trend:  Potential rally top.

 Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, April 03, 2016

Enough Americans Have Already Voted – Stock Market Chaos Is Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Once the majority of Americans have made up their mind and voted it will be almost impossible to change the direction of the outcome and change their minds. Unfortunately, the majority has voted and are in agreement with the next major event that will catch most people off guard. While this may sound bad and negative, I feel it is an opportunity of a lifetime.

You may be thinking I’m talking about who will be the next president but that is not it. Although the same theory applies to that as well.

Saturday, April 02, 2016

Stock Markets Still Looking for Interest Rate Clues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Richard_Cox

By nearly all accounts, stock markets have had trouble gaining momentum over the last year.  The S&P 500 is now trading just 0.6% higher for the period -- and while this might seem modestly positive it does not say much for what is essentially a multi-year bull run in the equities space.  There are a few different schools arguing for why exactly this is happening but no matter which view you take, nearly every investor is looking for new clues in what is likely to happen in global interest rate changes.

Saturday, April 02, 2016

Manufacturing Improving.... Jobs Doing Well.... Stock Market Holds Well / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market day started with some nasty futures as the overbought, daily index charts were finally about to unwind some. That would have been great news. An hour before the market opened we got the much anticipated Jobs Report. Overall, it was in line, but it did little to nothing to help the market rally off the lows. The day started out with a gap down, and after being down as much as fifteen points on the S&P 500, we started to slowly, but surely, rally back up a bit, but remained in the red.

Friday, April 01, 2016

Stock Market Forecast for April 2016 - Bull or Bear? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The supposed great bear market of 2016 has relentlessly trended in the WRONG direction as each hope that the bears clung to once more resolved in another ramping higher of stock prices. The latest best hope being the Fed meeting that was meant to deliver bear market apocalypse and most recently Yellen yelling that the Fed is in no hurry to raise US interest rates that keeps catching market participants by surprise. This despite near 2 months ago we saw the BoJ panic with negative interest rates, and then earlier this month the ECB also panic with negative interest rates!

Friday, April 01, 2016

Mixed to Slightly Positive Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an unusual day. First they were up in the morning, by midday they reached their peak, and came down hard. By midafternoon they reached their bottom, and then rallied in the last hour, only to pull back at the close to finish down on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 31.57 at 17,685.09. The S&P 500 was down 4.21 to 2059.74. The Nasdaq 100 was down 7.22 to 4483.66.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Federal Reserve Cartel's Main objectives; Manipulate Markets and The Masses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"If Congress has the right to issue paper money, it was given to them to be used by and not to be delegated to individuals or corporations." ~ President Andrew Jackson.

The weapon of choice is money, and central bankers utilize this weapon merciless to rain misery on the unknowing masses by purposely creating boom and bust cycles. Since Fiat was created, bankers have fed off the misery they have wrecked on humanity. How do they feed off this misery? They no longer take from Peter and give to Paul; they make sure that Peter and Paul try to rob each other and everyone else to survive. They control the game, and you are just a pawn in this game. The only day the outcome will change, is when the masses stand up and revolt. However, we would not hold our breath for that day as the masses are notorious for their delayed reactions. Many great men, former presidents included are of the same opinion.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

FTSE 100: Positioning for Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Richard_Cox

Over the last year, the FTSE 100 has come under pressure as investors have taken profits and we are seeing increased speculation that the economic will be able to withstand future increases in interest rates.  This has created some interesting opportunities to buy in at very cheap levels as valuations in equities are still trading near the lows for the period.  Bullish positions in the FTSE 100 represent something of a contrarian view in the current environment but from a risk/reward perspective this view is clearly favorable.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Stock Market More Upside Following Tuesday's Fed Talk - Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Stock Market Good Follow-Through Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a nice follow-through to yesterday’s rally in the morning as they gapped up, ran hard in the first thirty-forty minutes and reached their session highs. By midday they pulled back in falling wedges, resulting in an afternoon rally back. The resistance was too much for the markets, and they pulled back in the last hour, but still closed positive on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 83.55 at 17,716.66. The S&P 500 was up 8.94 to 2063.95, 9 points off the high, so it gave back about half the gains. The Nasdaq 100 was up 23.16 to 4490.88, 23 points off the high, also giving back about half.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Stock Market Worst Case Scenario = 73% Down From Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: James_Quinn

As the stock market gyrates higher and lower in a fairly narrow range, the spokesmodels and talking heads on CNBC breathlessly regurgitate the standard bullish mantra designed to keep the muppets in the market. They are employees of a massive corporation whose bottom line and stock price depend upon advertising revenues reaped from Wall Street and K Street. They aren't journalists. They are propagandists disguised as journalists. Their job is to keep you confused, misinformed, and ignorant of the true facts.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Friday The Day...Any Day The Day?...... Stock Market At Trend Line Resistance..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The fed market is on a mission. It wants to change the way we look at technical analysis for good. Or at least for a long time to come when the next bear market kicks in. That's likely a long way off since the fed will serve and protect for a long time to come as she is basically promising low rates for years to come as mentioned in her speech yesterday. She wants to create inflation. She doesn't want to do it through the market, but since the global economy stinks there basically is no other way to do it. She uses words that she knows will excite the market masses. Every word carefully planned. Every word with a meaning behind it. While she's not a very good talker, she is a very convincing. It doesn't matter how she says it that matters. It's what she says. So with the promise of low rates and more stimulus if need be, we can't seem to find a top in the market, even though it's grossly overbought and flashing some negative divergences now on the daily chart.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Stock Market Window Dressing May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made its high a few minutes after 11:00 am. I don’t expect to see a lot of movement today, but the quarterly window-dressing appears to be over. The critical 4.3-year support is now at 2050.00. The short-term trendline support is at 2042.00.

Today’s volume was below average and it appears that short covering may be exhausted. I had expected to see stock buybacks to end much earlier than this, but some may have decided it is better to apologize if caught. The stock buybacks facilitated a lot of insider liquidations.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Painting the Stock Market Tape For the End of Quarter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

Today the US stock markets decided to celebrate the lack of a sustainable recovery and the slumping global economies of the world.

Janet Yellen sparked a brushfire rally in a dull market. Yesterday was the lowest trading day of the year in terms of volume.