Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 13, 2016
Stock Market Battle Royale / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The Dow Premarket has been up as much as 100 points in a battle for market ascendancy. This must be measured against the prior highs at 17914.14 on November 20 and 17977.85 on November 3. The Triangle formation does not appear to be valid, even if the DJIA does not reach either of these levels. Should Wave [v] be complete beneath either of these levels, the DJIA will go down with the rest of the market in the next week to probable new lows.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2016
Saudi-Russia Deal Send Oils Stocks Flying High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
It certainly was turn-around Tuesday for the stock market today as the indices dipped in the morning, and when the news came in that Saudi Arabia and Russia had agreed on a production freeze, the oil's took off running, pulling the rest of the market up with them. The S&P 500 jumped from 2040 to an afternoon high of 2065, a 25-point run-up, which was a very strong move. The Nasdaq 100 exploded from 4435 to over 4500, about a 68-point rally. At the end of the day they backed off a little, and in the last five minutes they came on again to finish firm.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
SPX using a long-time support to stay elevated...for now. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
In a nod to options expiration, it appears that Wave (ii) may extend another day or so. The Cycles Model was strong during the March options expiration. This month the Cycles Model shows weakness.
ZeroHedge reports, “Last week when BofA reported that "everything is being sold" as its smart money clients (institutional, private and hedge funds) dumped stocks for a whopping 10th consecutive week, it said that "BofAML clients were net sellers of US stocks for the tenth consecutive week, in the amount of $3.98bn. Net sales last week were the largest since September, and the fifth-largest in our data history (since 2008). Since early March, all three client groups (institutional clients, private clients and hedge funds) have been sellers of US stocks."
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Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Stock Market Late Day Selling Again....Oscillators Up High And Crossing Down.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
A second consecutive day for the markets with a late push lower after being up strongly for the day. The Friday push lower still allowed for some slight gains, but a black candle was printed, which should have led to a down open this morning. Not to be as the market gapped up big this morning due to more fed stuff. Ms Yellen was meeting President Obama, and the usual bulls said why not, let's get this market even higher. It worked well, until the last hour of action when a big sell hit, which was enough to turn all the indexes slightly red for the day.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Energy Sector Set To Save the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few week, we have seen the price of crude oil pullback from its recent high of $42 per barrel level. Last week April 4-8th the price of crude oil pulled back to a technical support zone and then posted a strong gain closing the weekly chart at the high.
Based on short-term technical indicators, along with the current momentum which crude oil has, I feel we will see the recent highs of $42 a barrel tested once again.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
SPX May Have Topped this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX topped out at 2062.93 and promptly turned back down. New short positions may be added here. Confirmation comes beneath Short-term support at 2051.37. Stops may be put in at 2065.00 to 2067.50.
ZeroHedge comments, “This morning's 160 point spike in Dow Futures - out of nowhere - was predicated on hopes of an Italian bank bailout. While this may seem like an odd reason to "buy buy buy" US equities, in the new normal, it really is not.. and when put in context, the 'bounce' in EU banks should do more to scare than soften investors' concerns...”
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Time to Invest for Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Michael_Pento
Whether you call it a 1970's style stagflation or, as we call it, a recessflation, investors need to prepare their portfolios to profit from a protracted period of rising prices in the context of zero growth. Here are some facts: Growth in the U.S. has averaged just 2% since 2010. However, Q4 2015 GDP growth grew at a 1.4% annualized rate and the Atlanta Fed model has Q1 GDP growth slowing to just 0.1%. The simple truth is that the rate of growth is slowing towards 0%, just as asset prices continue to rise to record levels due to vast intervention from central banks.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Bank Bail-Ins In EU as Heta "Bailed In" In Austria / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: GoldCore
Bank bail-ins in the EU are here after Austria’s financial markets regulator FMA imposed a hefty haircut on creditors in an Austrian bank. Creditors in the bank Heta Asset Resolution will receive less than half of their money back according to the country’s financial regulator, the FMA.
Senior bondholders in the so called “bad bank” could expect to receive around €0.46 for each euro which would be paid from the realisation of assets by 2020, according to the FMA statement. It said that this had been calculated using “very conservative” assumptions.
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Monday, April 11, 2016
Still No Clear Stock Market Short-Term Direction As Investors Await Quarterly Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,100, and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 11, 2016
Market Manipulation for Dummies - Video / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript excerpt: hi it's Monday April we laugh and 2016 it's about 9:40 London time in the
morning and I'm gonna talk about market manipulation and it's always strange
subject because we can't really prove it because we can't go to the banks warned
treasury departments of countries and say oh did you intervene you know at
such-and-such a time because they say oh we can't divulge exact client private
client information
well I'll start today and not put a link these photos on you know below in the
description because I can't really showed them because they're Getty Images
by you have a link to the website and photos and it says John snow towards
Monday, April 11, 2016
Stock Market Beginning A Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is probably underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 10, 2016
The Curious Case of Iran’s Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Iran
By: Dylan_Waller
The recent removal of sanctions against Iran will prove to serve as a major economic catalyst for Iran, and investors should begin to start noting the opportunities of Iran’s stock market and economy. Iran is by no means a small contributor to the global economy, and apart from the country’s ability to thrive amid low oil prices, it is also a key global contributor in the following areas:
Saturday, April 09, 2016
Stock Market Risk-off Gaining Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2073. After an attempt to make new uptrend highs on Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2043 by Wednesday morning, then rallied to 2061 in the afternoon. Thursday’s gap down opening took the market down to SPX 2034. Friday had a gap up opening carrying the market to SPX 2061. Then the market reversed to end the week at 2048. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.2%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.3%, and the DJ World index lost 0.7%. On the economic front reports came in even. On the uptick: ISM services, consumer credit, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: factory orders, wholesale inventories, the GDPN, plus the trade deficit widened. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Industrial production, the FED’s beige book and the CPI.
Saturday, April 09, 2016
Stock Market Weekly Charts Showing Some Hesitation At Trend Line Resistance... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
So the market gapped up again as usual this morning due to the fed speak from last night. Any time the fed opens her mouth the market can't wait to rise. Flat futures became rocking futures even though the action from yesterday was quite bearish in nature for the very short term. Follow through for the bears? Are you becoming a comedian? No chance. Even before the fed spoke the futures were only flat. No follow through even in the futures to a bearish candle stick day. So the market blasted up today and went higher after that as usual but finally those very elevated Macd and other oscillators kicked in a bit and allowed the market to print more short term bearish candles. Will it matter? Probably not but a short term warning sign nonetheless even though you can not count on any normal technical analysis to work these days. We trade on the fed, not technical's.
Saturday, April 09, 2016
Stock Market Resistance has Failed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced to 2060.69, then impulsed back down through the trendline. It appears to have finished correcting that decline. This may be an excellent time to add short positions.
The fact that the Fed will Hold a Closed, Unexpected Meeting Under "Expedited Procedures" On Monday To Discuss Rates adds to the intrigue for what may happen on Monday.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Stock Market Negative Down Day with Potential to go Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a negative session today. The day started out with a breakdown, they gapped lower, bounced off support, but shortly took out support at 4510 Nasdaq 100 and 2054 area S&P 500. During the rest of the session they came down in the morning, bottomed, and then tried to rally the rest of the day, but held at resistance and went lower. In a decidedly-negative down channel, the indices closed off the session lows, bounced in the last hour, but it looked more like a bear flag than anything else.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
US Stock Market Bulls Are the Most Complacent Since 2008! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I have to trade and invest in the markets that I have before me and not the ones that I desire! Therefore, I must be able to approach the market place from a completely ‘unbiased’ perspective. I do not care if the markets doubles in price, or if it is cut in half. I take advantage of moves in both directions by using my ‘short term spikes’ which I have shown you, over the past couple of weeks, in order to lock in profits in as short a period as 48 hours.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Stock Market Nice & Nasti / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Denali_Guide
Volume & Breadth
Two reliable tools in my kit.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
SPX Challenging 4.3-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is challenging its 4.3-year trendline at 2055.00 in the Premarket this morning. Should it break through, we may see Intermediate-term support at 2033.81 being challenged next.
ZeroHedge reports, “Two days after stocks slid in a coordinated risk-off session, and one day after a DOE estimate of US oil inventories sent US stocks surging while the failed Allergan-Pfizer deal unleashed torrential hopes of a biotech M&A spree leading to the single best day for the sector in 5 years, sentiment has again shifted, this time due to a violent surge in the Yen as the market keeps testing the resolve of the Japanese central bank to keep its currency weak, and so far finding it to be nonexistent.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
Dow Jones Complacency Hits New Heights / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: AnyOption
What a difference two months can make as evidenced by the rapid rebound in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A quick look at one of the most commonly quoted American equity benchmarks shows a remarkable rally over the past two months. However, fundamentally, nothing is different now than two months ago. In fact, the increasingly hawkish commentary of the Federal Reserve and potential rate hikes in the first and second half of the year could spell the beginning of a new round of asset reallocation as the upside benefits are negated by the potential downside risks. Chasing after this latest rally higher in equities may not be wise considering the growing risks not only to the economic outlook, but additionally from the revenue recession currently sweeping across publicly traded American companies. Read full article... Read full article...