Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Christopher_Quigley

Technical Summary:
Short Term Trend:                            Neutral With A Bearish Configuration Possibly Developing.
Medium Term Trend:                      Bullish.
Long Term Trend:                            Neutral:Both The 100 DMA and the 200 DMA Are Flat.
Slow Stochastics:                             Overbought: Market Risk Is High.
Fast Stochastics:                              Neutral But Trending To Oversold.
VIX:                                                   Very Low: Market  Risk Is High.
McClennan Oscillator:                    Low But Trending Down. Not Ideal For Shorting The Market.
A/D Line:                                           Bullish.

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Bad News Bought Again...It's All About Rates....Nothing Else... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

After seven straight down days on the Nasdaq, the market was ready for a bit of a bounce. The Nasdaq has been underperforming, mostly due to Apple Inc. (AAPL), which has been sinking like a stone since they had their earnings report and Carl Ichan sold all of his shares. Many other Nasdaq stocks have participated in the bad earnings world as well, which has clearly contributed to the down turn in the Nasdaq versus the rest of the stock market. The S&P 500 is holding up far better than the Nasdaq as the big money continues to rotate into safety and away from froth, and higher P/E and beta stocks. Risk is not what they're after at this moment in time. Safety is the name of their game.

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Retracement May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement rally hit 61.8% of ita recent decline and appears complete. This is a good aggressive short entry here, as well.

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Bounce Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be completing its bounce today. Today is a Pi date, so the bounce may be over by the end of the day. Once through the 4.5 year trendline, there may be a panic event in stocks. A panic event may take place in as little as 4.3 days (30.1 hours) That may target May 9 as the next Master Cycle low. This is our preliminary target until we see how the decline develops.

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Two-Month Long Rally - Will It Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Correction Underway "Upside Objective Reached" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Rally top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Consensus Forming: China Heading Back Into Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

China’s historic post-2009 debt binge flew largely under the radar — fooling most observers into thinking the global economy was recovering rather than just re-leveraging.

Now Beijing is back at it, borrowing over $1 trillion in this year’s first quarter, buying up commodities and creating the illusion of global growth. But this time the scam hasn’t gone unnoticed. Reporters, editors and money managers seem, at last, to be catching on. Some representative headlines:

Saturday, April 30, 2016

How Much Longer Until Stock Market Bubble Bursts? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

It’s been a rough week for stocks.

Traders gunned for 2,100 on the S&P 500 time and again. All of those efforts failed to hold. And this was despite the Fed failing to raise rates again.

The market is now rolling over and likely to test the downward trendline established by a series of lower highs in 2015. Currently this level is around 2,030 or so.

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Stock Market Downtrend Should be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2092. On Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2072, rallied to 2097 on Tuesday, pulled back to 2082 ahead of the FOMC statement, then rallied to 2100 after it was released. On Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2086, rallied to 2099, declined to 2052 on Friday and ended the week at 2065. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the downtick: new home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, the Chicago PMI and Q1 GDP was lower. On the uptick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the PCE, personal income/spending, and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the monthly Payrolls report and the ISMs.

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Stock Market Hits Headwinds On Earnings, Economic Data And Technical's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has had a nice run in to the worst possible economic reports, and mostly poor earnings reports. We know why. It's called low rates. Even though we're seeing a slowing down in our own back yard, with a 0.5% reading on GDP, the market has been reluctant to fall. Very frustrating if you're a bear since you seem to be getting exactly what you need, but you haven't been seeing the market fall. Until this week. Finally, some real selling with the Nasdaq down roughly 3%. The S&P 500 down as well, but not as hard, and I'll discuss why that's the case shortly. There are numerous reasons for the fall. We did hit 70 RSI on most of the daily index charts recently, but, more importantly, we also have been showing negative divergences on those same daily index charts, and that can be a lethal combination for the market short- to medium-term.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Stock Market Strong Elliott Wave Relationship is Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

So far, sub-Minute Wave (iii) is more than 3.38 times the size of sub-Minute Wave (i). This suggests a strong Fibonacci relationship in this decline. This is the Wave relationship we are looking for in this decline. I am still looking for Minute Wave [i] to reach the 50-day Moving Average, or possibly exceed it.

At this rate, Minute Wave [i] may be complete today with a bounce on Monday morning. But things may also speed up at any time.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Stock Market Decline Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX may be in for a short-term bounce as it approaches the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2062.81. If so, it may not last. The more important support and potential target for this decline appears to be the 50-day Moving Average at 2028.50.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Ugly Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very rough day today. The day started out with a nice rally in the morning, they rolled over just after the lunch hour, and got hammered hard into the close, finishing as one of the worst days of the year.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 210.79 at 17,830.76, more than 200 points off the high. The S&P 500 was 19.34 at 2075.81, 24 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 52.64 at 4363.99, 93 points off the high.

Thursday, April 28, 2016

The Sad Truth About the State of the Financial System Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For seven years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem BEFORE 2008… there is no way that things are better now. After all, we’ve just added another $20 trillion in debt to the US system.

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Will Stock Market Crash 24% in the Next Three Months? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Will stocks collapse 24% (a Crash) in the next three months?

For the first time since the 2009 bottom, Earnings Per Share (EPS) have diverged sharply to the downside from stocks.

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases - SP500 Still Close To 2,100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Stock Market Mixed, Very Interesting, Volatile FOMC Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a mixed session and a very interesting volatile day. The day started out with a gap lower on Apple Inc. (AAPL) earnings, went down very sharply on the Nasdaq 100, dropping from 4450 down to 4380, about 70 points from top to bottom, they rallied back to 4409, pulled back to retest the low, made higher lows, went back to the highs again, but couldn’t get back through the 4410 range, and back off. Post FOMC they spurted up toward a retest. A pullback did about a .618 Fibonacci retracement, and they ran right back up to the gap, only to pullback right at the close. The S&P 500 actually pulled through the 4-day resistance highs, and made a nominal new high near 2100 today before falling back to 2095.

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Fed Doesn't Budge On US Interest Rates..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The long awaited move towards higher rates still isn't happening any time soon as we heard from our fearless leader, Ms. Yellen, who said that rates will be data dependent. We've heard that line month after month, and what it really means is she's not going to be raising rates any time soon. She doesn't want to spoil the good tidings she has created with her actions over the past several years, which started with fed Bernanke. Keep the ship moving along by keeping rates low enough not to offer any alternatives for folks. So today there were folks out there who thought she would change to a more hawkish stance regarding rates, but they were once again let down by her ruling of "forget about it, it's not happening any time soon" speech. You get the feeling she wants to do it, but you know her hands are tied.

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

FOMC statement and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The algos have taken over after the FOMC release. ZeroHedge reports, “ The kneejerk - USD up, stocks down, bonds down - reaction has faded and with The Fed statement pitching its dovish tent back in domestic concerns while keeping a hawkish eye on global developments. The Long bond is back in the green but it appears machines are busier running oil stops higher and dumping gold.”

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Stock Market Preliminary Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has broken its rally trendline and is challenging Short-term support at 2083.50. It may retest the trendline again before going lower.

SPX is now on an aggressive sell signal.