Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 01, 2016
SPX: corrective advance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started this choppy week at SPX 2165. After a gap down opening on Monday (DB related) the market declined to SPX 2142 by Tuesday’s open. After that it rallied to SPX 2173 Thursday morning. Then sold off (DB related) to SPX 2145 by Thursday afternoon. After a late day rally on Thursday the market gapped up on Friday (DB related) and hit SPX 2175. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.25%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, the Q3 GDP estimate, pending/new home sales, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q2 GDP, consumer confidence/sentiment, personal income, the Chicago PMI and the PCE. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls and ISM.
Saturday, October 01, 2016
Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Commodites - It’s January 2013, With a Twist / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
The title was not meant as a play on words in reference to Operation Twist, but now that I think about it, maybe it should be. The Post-Twist financial world is far different than it was before the genius that is Ben Bernanke’s ‘bigger than yours or mine’ brain concocted a maniacal plan that would “sanitize inflation” signals from the bond market and break the then highly elevated yield curve.*
So, why is today like early 2013 and why is there a twist to that view? Because two indicators have come together to point to economic stability (at least) in the US, with the twist being that other indicators are pointing to a potential unchaining of inflation this time, unlike the 2013 time frame, which was in the grips of global deflation (and Goldilocks in the US).
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Friday, September 30, 2016
Has Dow Theory Lost its Relevance: Stock Market Ignored it and Rallied to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"A stop sign is a gift for you to learn that moving in the same direction won't take you any place new." ~ Rex Steven Sikes
The transports topped out in November of 2014, and according to the Dow theory this is a big negative; the Dow industrials should have followed suit. Instead, the Dow soared higher paying no heed to this theory proving to a large degree that this theory has lost its value. After all, it is a theory and the definition of a theory is "a supposition or a system of ideas intended to explain something, especially one based on general principles independent of the thing to be explained."
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Friday, September 30, 2016
Stock Market Nasty Pullback Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a rough, volatile session and closed very weak. The day started out with some back and forth action, they pulled back midmorning, and was successful. They then rallied back to resistance, and then they plunged, acerbated by news that Emergent BioSolutions, Inc. (EBS) was having problems with withdrawals. Panic set in to take it to minus 15.44, and then they had a sharp rally acerbated to the upside when it was announced that QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) may be acquiring NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI). The semi-conductors took off and took the market with it. Biotech’s suffered all day, though, and in the afternoon the indices did pull back and closed near support.
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Friday, September 30, 2016
Green Light For Stock Markets In 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
We believe the stock market correction is running its course. The seasonally weak month of September has only produced one significant down day. Our expectation was that the retracement would take stocks between 5% and 10% lower, as explained in ALL Markets Going Down Except The US Dollar.
However, it seems that the stock market is quite resilient. Two weeks after that strong down days, we have not seen any meaningful sign of a continuation of that retracement. That does bode well for an end of year rally, and, even more important, continued strength in the stock market into 2017.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
HSBC’s Chief of Technical Analysis Just Warned of a Potential 1987-Type Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Graham_Summers
The head of HSBC’s Technical Analysis group just issued a major warning.
Unless the markets can take out its September highs, we could very well see a repeated of the 1987 Crash.
Murray Gunn is head of technical analysis for HSBC. In a recent client note, he pointed out the Head and Shoulders top pattern that presaged the 1987 Crash.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
What a Trump Win Means for The Stock Markets? Disaster or Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
We would like to state that this article is not about politics but about the effect these two polarising individuals will have on the market. Before the debate, the outlook was somewhat favourable towards the Donald and immediately the markets reacted and started trending lower. Regardless of what you think of Trump, he is having the same effect as Brexit had on the markets but in smaller doses. If he should win the election, then the reaction will be several magnitudes larger. When the poll results came in stating that Hillary fared better in the 1st debates the markets responded positively and recouped their losses; this reinforces our argument of several years that says substantial pullbacks should be viewed as buying opportunities.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
SPX is at the 80% retracement. Will it turn here? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning,
Thus far the SPX has made an 80% retracement. Normally this would be a dubious distinction, since the odds grow of making a new high beyond the 78.6% retracement. However, this seems to be standard operating procedure for this top, so we’ll have to monitor it as it develops. Being the end of the quarter doesn’t help the bearish cause, but a lot of big name stocks are not making new highs, which is a first.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Stocks Extend Their Short-Term Gains, But Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, September 29, 2016
BlackStone Group Says The Stock Market Is The Most Treacherous They Have Seen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
There has rarely ever been another time like this.
Not since 1999 and not since 1929 before that, have so many billionaires, central banksters, financial elites and fund managers, warned that we are on the verge of a catastrophic bust.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Could the OPEC deal set stage for the Next Stock Market Risk Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
We have been advising our clients about the market internals and fundamentals to be mildly bullish. Against popular opinion we have stuck to our guns that market will rally before the next big correction. The news of an OPEC deal could be the trigger if true. Reuters and other media outlets reported from Algeria on Thursday that OPEC members had agreed to cut oil output for the first time since 2008. Reuters reported OPEC members would limit production to a range of 32.5 million to 33 million barrels per day, down slightly on August's output of 33.2 million barrels a day, but there were few details availabe on the deal. Oil prices surged about 5 percent in response, with West Texas Intermediate trading at $46.75 per barrel. Without a deal, analysts had said oil could plunge to $40 or lower. ItThe OPEC deal to cut oil production may provide a short-term support for prices, but chances are it won't change the supply outlook much, Goldman Sachs said. Goldman said in a note to investors that it was sticking with its forecasts for WTI at $43 a barrel for the end of this year and $53 a barrel in 2017. The investment bank had cut its year-end forecast this week from $50 a barrel.
Thursday, September 29, 2016
OPEC Announcement Triggers Late Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turn-around Wednesday as the markets exploded. However, in the morning, they came down hard, held secondary support, and then rallied smartly, accelerating, in particular, when OPEC made the announcement that they may have come to an agreement on production cuts. At that point, the Nasdaq 100 rallied from 48.50 to 48.78, and the S&P 500 rallied from 21.52 to 21.72, both closing near the highs for the day.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Is a Dollar Crash Imminent After the Senate Overrides Obama Veto on Saudi 9/11 Bill? / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Jason_Hamlin
President Obama just had his first veto override of his entire presidency today, as the Senate and House both voted to override his veto of the 9/11 victims bill, Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act (JASTA). As of this moment, the Sept 11 bill is now law.
Intense lobbying by both the Obama Administration and the Saudi government didn’t amount to much in the end, with strong public support leading to a 97-1 veto override vote today. The long defector from the unanimous vote back in May was Sen. Harry Reid (D – NV). The House easily cleared the two-thirds threshold with a 348-77 vote.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Here’s Why You Should Be in Cash Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : People are seriously undereducated on the benefits of being in cash.
The cool thing about cash is that it doesn’t go down. You can’t lose money if you have cash—unless it gets stolen or your bank account gets hacked. We don't have negative rates in the US yet, so you can’t complain about that. If you have money in cash, you will earn zero.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Stocks Commodities and FX Markets Waiting Technically While Fundamental Data Neutral Poised / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
The benchmark S&P 500 gyrated at open, showed indecision during the first 90 minutes of trading and then rose to its 0.70% intraday high in the early afternoon. It then traded in a narrow range and closed with a slightly trimmed gain of 0.64%, reclaiming a bit over half the pre-debate selloff following last week's "no rate hike" rally. The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.56%, down three basis points from the previous close. Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
The Free Market Always Prevails / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
The global securities market got a surprise recently when U.S. core consumer price inflation crept up to 2.3% year over year in the month of August. This closely followed core measure, which strips out the more volatile food and energy costs, increased 0.3%; this was the biggest rise in core CPI since February.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Stock Market Crash and Recession Indicator Warning: Extreme Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Harry_Dent
When it comes to spotting danger periods for recessions, and especially major crashes, the Boom/Bust Cycle lets us see when stock crashes and recessions are most likely to occur. As my fourth key macroeconomic cycle, this makes it the most important one I have innovated since the Generational Spending Wave in 1988.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Financial Markets and FX Setups 27th Sept / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Joy Mesh writes: The analysis for markets and various inter connected price action which will allow our clients to be better placed. Major markets around the globe sold off yesterday. The source of the anxiety may have been the presidential debate. S&P 500 plunged at the open and, after a puny bounce, sold off to a narrow mid-afternoon trading range. The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.59%, down three basis points from the previous close. Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Crude Oil, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
We are forecasting a drop in the commodities complex over the next few months with the possibility of some important lows at the start of next year. WTI now appears to be forming a top, it would appear as though the dead cat bounce that has lasted throughout this year is running out of steam and we should see the push for lower lows over the next couple of months.
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Warren Buffett Is the Latest Billionaire To Jump Ship From The Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
Right now the market is perceived to be so dangerous that it’s even chased the most fearless value investors to the sidelines.
Just this evening, in the Presidential debate, Trump warned that the stock market was a bubble “about to pop”.
Now, the bearish billionaire circle has grown even wider with the addition of Warren Buffett.
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