Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Positive Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Another Month to Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, October 24, 2016

Large Sell-off in Stock Market Looming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

About every 20 weeks or so there is usually a noticeable sell-off in the stock market. We had the October 15, 2014 low followed 20 weeks later, in mid March, 2015 by a low, which was followed in late August (the 24th) by that low. Then roughly 5 months later on January 20, 2016 by a low, then June 27th and now November 2016. The March 2015 low was a shallow, skipping low as was June 27, 2016 (the Brexit low).

November 2016 also represents the 8-year cycle low due from November 21, 2008. Wednesday next week is exactly 40 weeks from the January 2016 low, so it is due. The 20 week lows are subdivided by 5 and 10 week lows last seen 8/2/16(five), 9/12/16(ten) and 10/13/16(five). The ideal 10/20/40 week low is due Nov 21, 2016 one week.

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Boredom Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

With all the surprising and/or disturbing things going on – Brexit, China’s soaring debt, US/Russia/China saber rattling, the, um, unique US presidential race, the cyber attack that shut down big parts of the US Internet – you’d think that an unsettled world would be reflected in skittish financial markets.

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Still waiting for SPX uptrend to kick off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another choppy week. The week started at SPX 2133. After a decline on Monday to SPX 2124 the market rallied to 2148 by Wednesday. Then monthly options expiration kicked in and the market declined to SPX 2130 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: the NY FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, the WLEI, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims were higher. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, the Philly FED, and the Q3 GDP est. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, durable goods orders and more housing reports. Best to your week!

Friday, October 21, 2016

SPX Triangle has Broken Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket has breached yesterday’s low at 2133.44 this morning. The short-term direction is down and the next support point appears to be the Cycle Bottom and trendline at 2124.63. Free fall may begin below those supports.

Friday, October 21, 2016

The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Golden Opportunity for Frontier Asia / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies

By: Dylan_Waller

The concept of the “Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid” was introduced by CK Prahalad, and it describes business strategies used to profit from selling products to the poorest populations in the world.  This approach can also be applied to frontier market investing.  Frontier market investing often requires an asset-based approach (viewing opportunities presented from less developed populations/countries/industries, rather than focusing on the  challenges), as well as a futuristic view of growth trends.  Select frontier markets have the potential to economically be on par with other emerging markets in the next 20-30 years.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

The Stock Market is an Accident Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It is abundantly clear that the market decline is being suppressed. However, the decline continues. In the Mid-week Report I put the Master Cycle low at the October 13 low (2114.72). I am not sure that it belongs there yet, due to its shallow nature. In addition, the retracement that peaked out at 2149.19 is unusually small coming from a Master Cycle low. The markets appear to be winding up for a big decline and if there is an “accident” this week, we may still have our flash crash marking the true Master Cycle low. So far, it still has us guessing, but either way, it appears to be bearish.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Cashless Society – Risks Posed By The War On Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash

By: GoldCore

by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Cash is the new “barbarous relic” according to many central banks, regulators, and some economists and there is a strong, concerted push for the ‘cashless society’.

Developments in recent days and weeks have highlighted the risks posed by the war on cash and the cashless society.

The Presidential campaign has been dominated for months and again this week by the power of information that has been gathered through unconventional means – whether due to email hacks, leaked microphone tapes or even late-night twitter rants.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Stock Market Gives Spike Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week the market sent us one of those special price spikes and member took full advantage of it for some quick and easy profits.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

More Short-Term Stock Market Fluctuations Following Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, October 20, 2016

The Chart That Exposes Stock Market Bull Rally As B.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The current bull market in stocks is old by bull standards. It started in early 2009 when Ben Bernanke’s Fed staged a coup, assumed command of the US economy, and by default, the government. After all, they are following the strategy of controlling the money supply and therefore the government of a nation. The central bankers have initiated several quantitative easing periods, reduced interest rates at their bank to zero (thus affecting all interest rate coupons downstream), participated in multiple efforts to steal money from citizens and reward it to corrupt, fraudulent, bankrupt banker friends, and they continue to manipulate asset prices through action and rhetoric. The result has been a bull market in stock prices. That makes the idiots of the world believe in the ‘economic recovery’.

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Can we have a Stock Market Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

Could a flash crash happen in the next two days? The answer is yes. The Cycles Model implies that today may be the focal point for the two-week delayed Master Cycle low.

However, as you can see, only Waves 1 and 2 are complete. I am not sure that Waves 3, 4 and 5 can be finished in a day, so Thursday afternoon may be the ideal time…for a flash crash low. Here are the reasons.

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Stock Market Short Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

We have been waiting for a bounce into the high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model and it looks to have come on Tuesday. Cycles warned that the high might come on the late side of the margin of error but internals now appear set-up to give us that rally early this week. Bears don't have much to worry about, however, as the high is expected no later than Wednesday.

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.

Monday, October 17, 2016

A Falling Stock Market Cannot Be Allowed - Financial Repression Is Now “In-Play”! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

A FALLING MARKET CANNOT BE ALLOWED – at any cost!

The Central Bankers have clearly painted themselves into a corner as a result of their self-inflicted, extended period of “cheap money”.  Their policies have fostered malinvestment , excessive leverage and a speculative casino approach to investments. Investors forced to take on excess risk for yield  and scalp speculative investment returns, must operate in an unstable financial environment ripe for a  major correction.  A correction because of the  high degree of market correlation that likely would be instantaneously contagious across all global financial markets.

Monday, October 17, 2016

Stock Market Bubble Has Run Out of Excuses and Time / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

It is finally going to be a make or break earnings season for stocks. This is because the justification for record high stock prices that have been perched atop extremely stretched valuation metrics has been the following false assumptions: the hope that the Federal Reserve will not resume its interest rate hiking cycle, the U.S. dollar stops rising, the price of oil enters a sustainable bull market and long-term interest rates continue to fall.