Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Why Post-Election Stock Market Rally Won’t Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Mauldin

I’d like to share an update that throws some chilly water on the post-election stock market rally.

My friends Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management usually write only quarterly letters. They send interim updates only when something of major consequence happens. The fact they wrote this one is significant… and what they say is definitely important.

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stocks Remain Close To All-Time Highs - Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stock Market Swift Shift From Safety to Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

Part of the U.S. president-elect's narrative has been on invigorating the economy. Massive spending on upgrades in schools, highways, hospitals and infrastructure have all been mentioned.

The market, in response to the proposed spending, quickly shifted from safety assets to risk and growth.

Four sectors, in particular, saw solid selling pressure over the last 30 days (Chart 1).

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stock Market Short Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX may be entering the final intermediate phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

What Happens When the Fake Stock Market Driven By Fake Data Finally Adjusts to Economic Realities? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

While we’re on the topic of fake news… how about we assess the fake economy of the last eight years?

President Obama at one point claimed that those who questioned the strength of the recovery were “peddling fiction.”

It’s an interesting claim given the entire recovery, at least post 2010, has been built on fake economic data to perpetuate a fake narrative of growth.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Stock Market Warning Signs, Gold Bounce Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

All year, I have been looking for an important bottom in the stock market around the end of November. The 40 week cycle low is due to give us at least an 11% shellacking and we have not seen one yet. I believe November 29th to December 5th may be the dates that will give us that drop.
Short term we are also due for a pullback, probably into November 21-22 of about 1 ½ to 2% off the top on Friday.  Friday posted an evening star reversal sign.

Gold made an irregular bottom on Friday, with huge positive divergences. GDX did not make a new bottom, also, creating an inter market bullish divergence.  We may see a huge spike up Monday and Tuesday, in the precious metals and GDX, as the stock market falls.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Santa Trump US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2164. After a bounce to SPX 2171 on Monday the market pulled back to 2156. On Tuesday the SPX hit 2181, but this was followed by a pullback to 2171 on Wednesday. On Thursday/Friday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 2190, then dipped to end the week at 2182. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: import prices, capacity utilization and the WLEI. On the uptick: retail sales, export prices, NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, housing starts, building permits, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, more housing reports and the Thanksgiving holiday.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Trump Delirium Triggers Stock Market Brexit Upwards Crash Towards Dow 20,000! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

There were two consensus views heading into the US Presidential Election count night. Firstly that Hillary Clinton would win the election, after all Nate Silver had her penned at a 71% probability whilst the New York Times was touting 85% and so were the betting markets discounting a Hillary win with Trump trading on Betfair at 6.6 whilst Hillary stood at just 1.17 an hour before the polls closed. Then there were Hillary's wall street backers who had all but discounted their candidate winning.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

So Much For America Electing A Wall Street Outsider / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

During his run for the presidency, Donald Trump took the occasional break from insulting women and minorities to toss off some decent – even exciting – policy ideas. Term limits for congressmen and a ban on politicians becoming lobbyists, for instance, were straight from the Libertarian good-government Christmas list.

But best of all was the effective break-up of the big banks through the re-imposition of Glass-Steagall, a law passed during the Great Depression to separate taxpayer-protected commercial banks from free-to-fail investment banks.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Basing Just Under The Breakout... Stock Market Bubble Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

he market is getting closer and close to that 2194 breakout the bulls have been waiting for since the double top in August. The market has been meandering around offering hope to the bears from time to time, but that hope gets squashed quickly. Every time we get a move lower that looks to head lower still the bulls find a way, no matter the news, to fire the market back up.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Stock Market SPX Trendline Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the SPX reversed at the Diagonal trendline in the first hour of the day. The initial impulse may go as low as 2171.00 to 2175.00 before a bounce. If it follows Cycles timing guidelines, we may see the top of the bounce between 2:00 and 3:00 pm.

Using that bounce to go short would be a highly aggressive play, so you may consider only a partial position.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Investment Survivor / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

My favorite reality TV show, Survivor, was created by the energetic and entirely self-made Mark Burnett.

A British expat with zero experience in show business, Burnett managed to go from selling T-shirts on a rented fence in Venice Beach, California, to heading up MGM Television.

I’m not alone in enjoying Survivor, as it ranks as the #1 summer TV show of all time.

Friday, November 18, 2016

5 Reasons You Should Buy Trump Insurance—And It’s Not Trump’s Fault / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Olivier Garret writes: As the US licks its wounds after one of the most divisive elections in history, the markets appear to anticipate a positive economic outcome.

On the election night, the overnight futures markets plummeted with the expectations of a Clinton victory. But it didn’t take long for a rebound. By morning, the markets returned back to normal.

Friday, November 18, 2016

The Numbers Look Great—As They Always Do Before a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: John_Mauldin

It’s quarterly report time for US stocks. If you just casually glance at the earnings news, you might think companies are having a great year. Many are beating expectations and reporting impressive revenues and profits.

The markets reward companies for meeting expectations (as we shall see below). But the reality is that the S&P 500 is on track for a sixth straight drop in year-over-year earnings.

Friday, November 18, 2016

How to Make Easy Money Investing off a Trump Administration / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : So, we’ve got ourselves a President Trump. Now, let’s talk about how to make money off a Trump administration.

It is so easy, a caveman could do it.

The bond market and President Trump

I’ve already talked a lot about this topic. Please read this before you go any further. It’s something I wrote back in April.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Stock Market Late Rally Takes Them Into the Positive Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a solid day today. The day started out with a little bit of a move up, they pulled back, tested successfully, ran up solidly into midday where they reached their session highs, came down again for a retest, held successfully at support, and then came on strong at the close with the Nasdaq 100 making a new high. Although the S&P 500 couldn’t, they still ended the day in the positive column.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Stock Market Air Pocket Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market is in a position where it should see a 2-3% air pocket Friday November 18th and possibly early into early Monday the 21st. The SPX has a downside target of 2120's to the 2140's. Monday is the ten week low from Sept 12.

The pattern is bullish after the sell-off with another higher high due late next week. The Jupiter aspects are strongly bullish into about the Thanksgiving Holiday.

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Last Week's Advance - Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Mixed Day for Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a mixed session today, but the Nasdaq 100 came back strong with the blue chips backing off to close mixed on the day.

The day started out with a pop to the upside in a 5-wave mini advance on Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 bounced and came down in a falling wedge, so there were two different patterns. Both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 settled into a consolidation, and at the end of the day tried to rally, but couldn’t get through resistance, and backed off into the close.

Thursday, November 17, 2016

What Happens When The Banks Aren't Safe? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: ....

What Happens When The 
Banks Aren't Safe?

I call it the 'Ice Nine Plan'...

And if I'm right, it could give the financial elite total and absolute control over you and every single penny you own during the next financial crisis.