Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 17, 2016
Trump & The Financial Markets The Next Four Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
President-elect Donald Trump’s White House victory was a surprise, and so is the ripping sell-off in global bond markets, which has quickly driven US interest rates to the highest levels in a year. The rout has wiped out an estimated $1 trillion from global bond markets
CNBC 11/13/2016
The election of Donald Trump has put added pressure upon already pressured markets. The next four months are going to be extremely consequential. But the next four years are going to be even more so, i.e. the cataclysmic resolution of capitalism’s end game is now in sight.
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Wednesday, November 16, 2016
What Does a Trump Presidency Imply for The Credit Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The US just voted Donald Trump to become the next president in the process shocking the world after going against all odds. Many people, including the media, polls, analysts and statisticians had predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the election, but in the college electoral vote she was resoundingly beaten by Trump.
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Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Stock Market is destined to soar higher: Masses are not bullish, / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
and $50 trillion is sitting on the sidelines
Men are afraid to rock the boat in which they hope to drift safely through life's currents, when, actually, the boat is stuck on a sandbar. They would be better off to rock the boat and try to shake it loose, or, better still, jump in the water and swim for the shore. Thomas Szasz
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
A Good Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market had a terrific Tuesday as the indices forged ahead, adding to the recent gains. The day started out with gap ups and a strong, early-morning move, reaching the morning highs within the first half hour. In a 3-wave pullback move toward lunch hour, they retested the highs, held well, and moved up steadily all afternoon. Late in the session the Nasdaq 100 had a small pullback, because they had a big recovery earlier, but the S&P 500 closed near the highs for the day.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Stock Market Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Titanic Syndrome is triggered when NYSE 52-week lows out-number 52-week highs within 7 days of an all-time high in equities (or a 400 point rally in the Dow Industrials index). The syndrome was triggered with Thursday’s new high. This phenomenon was discovered by Bill Ohama in 1965. Ohama wrote that the syndrome is typically followed by a 10% drop in the Dow.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
This Is What a Market Mania Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The Trump election has ignited a market mania, but in economic terms, nothing real has changed and the relief probably won't last long, posit Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold.
The Trump election has ignited a market mania, to everyone's surprise. Our sense is that it reflects an enormous relief that the Obama years of deadlock and do-nothing have finally ended. It's how you would feel if, after eight years, someone finally stopped hitting you with a hammer; you would probably feel pretty good. But in economic terms, nothing real has changed and the relief probably won't last long.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Trump World: What Happens to Your Investments Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Donald Trump’s victory came as the first surprise for many around the world. The reaction in the markets was the second surprise. Investors got what they expected for a few hours overnight as the ballot results came in; stocks were crushed and metals spiked higher. By mid-morning on Wednesday, however, stocks were surging and metals rolled over.
Now, a few days post-election, commentators and “experts” have written stories to explain the action in markets. Some of these stories may even prove true. But at this early stage, investors should recognize that markets mostly reflect hopes, fears, and high frequency trading shenanigans. Reality tends to arrive later.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Did President-Elect Trump Just Inadvertently Kill The Golden Goose? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
President-Elect Trump may have just unwittingly sowed an equity market draw-down which will send even more protesters into the streets of America. Donald Trump's stated economic policies are clearly pro-growth and if he manages to implement his pro-business, anti-regulation agenda, in the longer term they have the potential to surpass the bold and successful initiatives of Ronald Reagan. However, in the near term he has already unknowingly just shot himself in the foot.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Human Derivatives and Gold - The Oligarchs’ Plan to Monetize Humanity / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
The greed-diseased and power-obsessed Deep State oligarchs hate you for your freedom and love you for your money, and they are accelerating their plans to strip you of both. There are two things standing in their way: cash, and precious metals. The oligarchs are doing everything in their power to falsely discredit both of them in the eyes of the people. Cash and precious metals are physical manifestations of financial and human liberty. Liberty, which is indivisible, is the absolute last thing the oligarchs have in mind for us, as there is no profit in it for them. The oligarchs realize that the people are fast waking up to what is being done to them. While the Oligarchy remains an unimaginably dangerous enemy, it was wounded in the United States presidential election, is acting more erratically and illogically, and is starting to make serious mistakes. How we, the people, push forward from here will determine whether we remain free, or become slaves to the greatest Force of Evil ever known to mankind, the Deep State oligarchs.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
The news they're burying in "Trump Week" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Trump.Trumpety-trump.
Trump Trump Trump.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Here's Why Stock Market Investors Should Ignore Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Shattering the myth about earnings and the stock market
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Commodities, Forex and Stocks Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Our forecast down phase for WTI continues and was largely unaffected by the volatility seen in some markets last week. We could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Crisis Is Coming: The Elites Plan To 'Steal' Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
I call it the 'Ice Nine Plan'...
And if I'm right, it could give the financial elite total and absolute control over you and every single penny you own during the next financial crisis.
Look, in my mind there is no doubt we're heading towards disaster...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Stock Market The Final Up-Phase? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX may be entering the final short-term phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, November 12, 2016
Stock Market Outlook For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market is behaving quite volatile again. Moreover, an intermarket rotation has started recently: some underperformers start leading, and former leaders show first signs of suffering.
That said, did our stock market outlook for 2017 change compared to our previous bullish outlook?
First and foremost, in order to determine the answer to this question, we remain focused on key price levels on the chart(s), combined with sentiment, both fundamental components of our thesis. As outlined in a recent piece, we do not expect a stock market crash in 2017. On the contrary. But we should always be on the outlook for changes in trends; a bearish scenario would kick in if the S&P 500 would breach the 2000 level and, ultimately, the 1850 level. Moreover, a failed breakout to new highs in the coming few months would invalidate our bullish view for 2017.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
Only Winners of the US Presidential Election Are… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
HSBC,(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HSBC), is projecting gold to rise to $1,500 an ounce, since the ‘real-estate magnate’ triumphed up from behind in the election results (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-01/buy-gold-no-matter-who-wins-the-election-hsbc-says). It is protection against everything!
The U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio is 125% and will be growing. ‘Main Street America’ has been told that these are measures required to stimulate economic activity, to prevent crises, increase employment, and soothe the financial markets.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
US Stock Market Update: Trump Towers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There are more Trump Towers being erected by certain indexes (ref. Uncle Buck’s pants tent noted yesterday in an HUI update). As an aside, say what you will about the man, but the name and the persona are a natural for we financial writers and others not tasked to be sensitive about politics or politicians. I mean, how much fun could one make of Obama, a person who comes across as dignified and idealist? Bush was a little better, but even he was no Trump. The Clintons? Getting warmer. But Trump is a new thing all together, almost transcendent; more concept than man. I like this, speaking as a writer. Love it, actually.
On a more serious note, I think he is eventually going to be seen in a lesser light, as the true believers who thrust him upon their tired shoulders find out that promises are one thing and reality is quite another; if anything, he will deliver inflation, which adversely affects… anyone? Bueller?… the middle and lower classes. Asset owners – like Trump – always win and those who go paycheck to paycheck, always lose in inflationary/reflationary regimes. So if the hype proves true and exported jobs are repatriated, roads, bridges and walls are erected, tax breaks for big corporations are implimented and yet more deficit spending is enacted, it is not the true believers who are going to benefit.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
Financial Markets, Gold, Stocks Full out “RISK ON” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Financial markets are becoming absolutely giddy with delight as they are now firmly looking beyond their “dark night of captivity” to the Obama administration’s growth killing regulatory scheme with all its oppressive mandates to a “new morning” of a business friendly Trump administration.
Wall Street is sensing growth and investors are responding by unceremoniously trash-canning the safe haven or defensive categories of stocks.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.
On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
What Stock Market Investors Can Expect from the Trump Revolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
They’re calling it the Great Revolution, and rightfully so. Donald Trump’s earth-shattering victory over Hillary Clinton on Nov. 8 must surely rate as one of the greatest political upsets in U.S. history. It stretches the mind to recall the last time a true political outsider won the Oval Office. The prospects of what an independently wealthy and politically unattached President can do for the country are tantalizing to consider.
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