Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 11, 2016
US Stock Market Update: Trump Towers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
There are more Trump Towers being erected by certain indexes (ref. Uncle Buck’s pants tent noted yesterday in an HUI update). As an aside, say what you will about the man, but the name and the persona are a natural for we financial writers and others not tasked to be sensitive about politics or politicians. I mean, how much fun could one make of Obama, a person who comes across as dignified and idealist? Bush was a little better, but even he was no Trump. The Clintons? Getting warmer. But Trump is a new thing all together, almost transcendent; more concept than man. I like this, speaking as a writer. Love it, actually.
On a more serious note, I think he is eventually going to be seen in a lesser light, as the true believers who thrust him upon their tired shoulders find out that promises are one thing and reality is quite another; if anything, he will deliver inflation, which adversely affects… anyone? Bueller?… the middle and lower classes. Asset owners – like Trump – always win and those who go paycheck to paycheck, always lose in inflationary/reflationary regimes. So if the hype proves true and exported jobs are repatriated, roads, bridges and walls are erected, tax breaks for big corporations are implimented and yet more deficit spending is enacted, it is not the true believers who are going to benefit.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
Financial Markets, Gold, Stocks Full out “RISK ON” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Financial markets are becoming absolutely giddy with delight as they are now firmly looking beyond their “dark night of captivity” to the Obama administration’s growth killing regulatory scheme with all its oppressive mandates to a “new morning” of a business friendly Trump administration.
Wall Street is sensing growth and investors are responding by unceremoniously trash-canning the safe haven or defensive categories of stocks.
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Friday, November 11, 2016
Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.
On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
What Stock Market Investors Can Expect from the Trump Revolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
They’re calling it the Great Revolution, and rightfully so. Donald Trump’s earth-shattering victory over Hillary Clinton on Nov. 8 must surely rate as one of the greatest political upsets in U.S. history. It stretches the mind to recall the last time a true political outsider won the Oval Office. The prospects of what an independently wealthy and politically unattached President can do for the country are tantalizing to consider.
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
President Trump and Americas Brexit; The Stock Market Crash That Never Was / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
"Come to the edge," He said. They said, "We are afraid. "Come to the edge," He said. They came. He pushed them, and they flew. ~ Guillaume Apollinaire
In early October when the pollsters were all busy proclaiming that Hilary was going to win, we stated in an article titled Mass Psychology states Trump win Equals stock market buying opportunity that from a financial perspective a Trump win would present an excellent opportunity for the astute investor. We had made the same comments before Brexit became a reality, and it has been our theme that as long as the trend is up, all sharp pullbacks should be seen through a bullish lens. In other words the more substantial the deviation, the better the opportunity. Here is a small excerpt from the above-stated article:
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I know some of you are wondering why I didn’t post many charts today. The reason being, when there is extreme volatility one can get whipsawed to death getting caught on the wrong side of the whipsaw. My experience has been to let things settle down for a day or two and see what happens. I always look for how the price action is interacting with a potential strong support or resistance line. Normally, whatever the direction the big trend is in, when you get a day like today, after the volatility subsides, the big trend will reassert itself again. It may take a few days or a few weeks but the big trend is your friend.
Earlier today I showed you a daily chart for the INDU which showed several small blue consolidation patterns forming on top of a one year black triangle consolidation pattern. There is another daily chart I haven’t shown you yet that shows the two small blue consolidations forming in a rising wedge formation. Until today I had the lower black rail of the rising wedge parallel to the top rail. With the big reversal taking place I adjusted the bottom rail up to catch this weeks low, which is now giving us a rising wedge formation. I’ve shown you many times in the past how bigger patterns can be made up from smaller patterns. This is now the case with the rising wedge formation.
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
Trump Win and Brexit - What the Two Biggest Events of 2016 Are All About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Like Brexit, Trump staged a surprising win last night, proving every poll wrong.
This is a sign of an underlying trend more massive than the winter economic season that began in 2008. It’s clear evidence of the end of globalization (at least for now). And that’s an important point to take away from the election… and from Brexit.
People are angry. They’re discontent. They’re sick and tired of how small the world has become and they’re ready to revolt. This brings us to the heart of my 250-Year Revolution Cycle.
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
After the U.S. Election, Where is the Stock Market Strength? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The surprise U.S. presidential victory of Donald Trump caused shock waves through the futures markets last night. However, as the next trading day opens, there are clearly sectors that are winning and those that are losing.
The biotech, drug, banks and broker/dealer sectors are the strongest performers out of the gate with a 7.50%, 4.70%, 4.60% and 5.40% leap respectively.
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Thursday, November 10, 2016
Carl Icahn left Trump victory party to bet $1B on US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Carl Icahn, Founder and Chairman of Icahn Enterprises, told Bloomberg TV that he left Donald Trump's victory party early Wednesday morning to bet about $1 billion on U.S. equities.
"I thought it was absurd that the market, the S&P was down 100 points on Trump getting elected," Icahn said in a phone interview. "I tried to put a lot more to work, but I couldn’t put more than about a billion dollars to work," he said.
Icahn, one of Trump's earliest supporters, spoke to Erik Schatzker this afternoon and weighed in on the market reaction to the U.S. presidential election results and the economic plans of President-Elect Trump. Icahn said Trump's victory was "a positive for our economy, not a negative" but noted that the U.S. economy is not out of the woods just yet.
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Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Dow Futures Down 777 Points As Trump Is Selected During Jubilee Time Period / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Donald Trump was selected as the new President of the US tonight and, just as we warned, markets are crashing.
As I write, Dow futures are currently down 777 points, the Japanese Nikkei is currently down 5%, bitcoin is up 3% to $730, gold is up 4% to near $1330 and silver is up 3% to nearly $19.
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Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Financial Markets were caught flat-footed. Will there be a recovery? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
The markets woke up this morning to President-elect Trump.
ZeroHedge reports, “As it dawned on markets that they had been caught flatfooted for the second time in half a year, first with Brexit and then with the historic election of Donald Trump which nobody except a few fringe websites had anticipated, their reaction was identical: a slow selloff at first, followed by a furious dump, which led to a limit down halt in NASDAQ and Emini future trading. However, it was not meant to last, and after realizing that Trump's economic plan of flooding the economy with debt, coupled with fiscal stimulus, and that his policies would likely be much more moderate than his initial framing, U.S. stock-index futures trimmed about two-third of their declines as investors reassessed Trump stunning victory.”
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Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Stock Market US Election Day Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices on election day decided to follow through on yesterday’s rally. The day started out with a pullback, they tested support, and when they failed to take any action to the downside, they took off. The S&P 500 went from the 2123-4 zone all the way up to 2147. The Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4757 to 4825. In the afternoon the pulled back and formed wedges, but when they failed to take out secondary support, they headed back up again,tried to retest the highs, but fell short, and pulled back in the last ten minutes. Still, it was a positive session.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
This Election Marks the Beginning of Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
BY JARED DILLIAN : Volatility is high going into this election (because nobody knows what will happen, and there is a lot at stake). People think that after the election, the uncertainty will be out of the way, and volatility will subside.
Will it?
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
The 2000 Election Sell-off Might Repeat—Here’s How to Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Perceptions about the US presidential election have a major impact on markets. The recent news about the FBI not probing Clinton’s emails any further drove US equity markets up by 1% to 2%. Over the last couple of months, stock markets have moved down when Trump is gaining in the polls and up when there’s good news for Clinton.
But what happens if there is no clear winner in the 2016 US presidential election? Jared Dillian, ex-head of ETF trading at Lehman Brothers, says a delayed outcome is the most likely result of the election. Beyond that, this delay will lead to volatility in the markets.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election Whatever the Outcome, all Stock Market Paths Appear to Lead Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket is down this morning, having broken beneath Short-term support at 2129.10. Since it is election day, there is no telling what events or outcomes will affect the markets. There are a couple of alternate paths that SPX may take, but they all lead down at this time.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Watch The EU Banks After The US Election Gyrations Are Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
We may not know for a fact who will win the US election, but what we do know is that the Credit Cycle has turned. This will turn out to be more important in the near term, once the expected US Election market gyrations have subsided!
Credit Cycle Has Turned
It's time for investors to refocus on the banks who live via the credit cycle, and specifically the troubled EU Banking sector.
When the Credit Cycle turns, those banks most over-extended always "pay the piper"!
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
FBI Clears Hillary Rodham Clinton...Uncertainty Removed.... Stock Market Explodes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
For a few weeks now, I have been updating everyone on what I thought the market was doing with regards to the elections. It appeared to me the market was making it known it wanted HRC to win the election due to a few things, but due mostly to wanting to keep the fed head in office. It wants Yellen in the worst way, because the market is enjoying the inflation she's created, and apparently will keep creating in the years ahead. If Trump were to win the election, it would likely bring about a change at the fed to a more hawkish person. That's the last thing this market wants. It wants inflation and nothing but that.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Dome Forces US Stock Market Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the current state of the U.S. stock market, and reflects on how the outcome of the impending election might steepen a decline.
A number of subscribers have written in asking about the technical state of the broad U.S. stock market, which we haven't looked at for a while. With the failure of an important support level a few days back and the election drawing near, it's certainly a timely question.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Forecast summary: Commodities, Forex and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Our forecast down phase for WTI has now begun, we warned that $50 would be the top and that we would descend in to 2017 with a potential major low to come. Our forecast has not changed and we could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Make-or-Break: 5 Great Investment Ideas For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
Market conditions are challenging, and investors are facing a hard time with lots of volatility over the course of the last 24 months. Gold, for instance, rallied strongly this year until right after the Brexit. Likewise, crude oil doubled in price this year after it went through its steepest collapse in history.
What can we expect next year? In other words, are which investment ideas do we see for 2017? To answer that question, we identified 5 assets with an amazing chart setup.
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