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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

SPX May Complete Wave 2 this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning, but the retracement appears to have been finished in the overnight futures. That means the potential pop this morning may not last. Whether it goes higher than yesterday morning’s high at 1947.30 is yet to be determined.

There was a brief retracement to 118.18 in the USD/JPY from its overnight low. However, this appears to be the work of the HFT computers which can turn on a dime.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

The Bearish Turn In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Large-cap stocks opened this morning in the green, seeming to offer a little reprieve from an ultra-violent start to 2016. Small- and mid-caps weren’t so lucky. They’re continuing to rip through fresh new lows.

This has been the toughest bull market and bubble to call, as many leading indicators that we have used in the past simply don’t work since central banks hijacked the markets after 2008. But with these major divergences continuing to build, and after many years of the Fed’s zero-percent interest rates, it seems we’re finally coming close to the end.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Stock Market Investors Stay the Course! Which One? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Axel_Merk

Each time I hear someone suggest investors should ‘stay the course’ as markets tank, I fear such well-intentioned advice fails to adequately capture the predicament investors are in. Worse, the ‘stay the course’ mantra may set many investors up for failure.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

The Fed Continues Giving Money to Wall Street Even Without QE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks will likely rally this week for the simple reason that it is options expiration week.

The Fed almost always gives Wall Street extra money to play around with during options expiration.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Are Stocks About to Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The stocks futures markets are off the lows from last week as traders are playing for the usual Monday rally.

However, the fact remains that the technical damage from last week’s breakdown has been SEVERE. Stocks even violated the “neckline” on the Head and Shoulders pattern they’ve carved out since early 2014.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

SP500 and NDX Calming the Herd / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

Stocks managed to hang on to a bounce.

The NASDAQ marked its first 'green' close for 2016.

There was little in the way of economic news.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

The Chinese Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: BATR

When the international financial press presents their standard explanation for the panic decline in the Chinese stock market, most want to tamp down the acute apprehension that the long awaited global depression is now at hand. Well, the International Business Times in their account on the China Stock Markets, makes a very insightful appraisal.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Running Out of Time / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Odds are running high that the retracement rally may be over already. SPX appears to have completed a 23.6% retracement and may be ready to resume its decline. Note the reversal in the RSI at 50. This is another possible signal of a strong decline (Waves 3 or C).

Confirmation is not yet in. We must see the 2-hour chart show the SPX price level stay below 1927.65 and below the daily Cycle Bottom at 1926.30.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

A Bottom in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

My December 15 commentary included a forecast for a high in equities near December 24. The eventual high which led to last week's big sell-off came two trading days late on December 29. In this week's commentary we turn our attention to forecasting a bottom to the current decline in equities.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Stock Market Retracement is Already Underway / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket is higher by 18 points at present. However, it had declined in the overnight futures to the cash equivalent of 2006.00, then rallied higher from there, fulfilling the requirement for Wave b and launching Wave c.

The current price at 2043.60 is only the Fibonacci 23.6% level. As mentioned yesterday, 1970.03 (at the same level as the 4.25-year trendline) is the 38.2% retracement level.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Stock Market Last Hour Rally Puts Indices Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off on a very negative note with a pop at the opening, an immediate 5-wave decline, and by mid-afternoon they reached their lows at 4220 Nasdaq 100 and 1901 S&P 500. A bounced ensued, followed by a pullback retest that was successful, and then an explosive market rally late in the session, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4230 to 4300, 70 points straight up in less than 25 minutes, and the S&P 500 went from 1905 to 1930. They pulled back a little into the close, but finished positive on the session.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Stocks Bull Market Hanging By A Thread..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The S&P 500 uptrend line from 2009 is hanging on by a thread. During the day it went far below only to take it back late but barely. 1925 the level, and with a close at 1923 that's a hold. You need a strong, powerful close below to get the market to fail fully. We are close, but no cigar yet. In time I do believe the market will lose this key level with force, but we may be too oversold short-term, although that is by no means a guarantee. Bear market stays oversold, but the levels of oversold here are unusual. Near zero stochastic's on many index charts. Some as low as 0.59 today.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Stock Market Correction May be Underway... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I would be remiss if I didn’t report this observation, so here goes…

It appears that the decline from December 29 may have completed a five-wave impulsive decline in 56 hours (8 days). This matches the time that it took to decline from November 29 to December 14 and is 1.62 times the length of that decline.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

Stock Market Bulls are Rethinking Their Positions... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX just took out Friday’s low at 1918.46 and may be resuming the decline to 1880.00. What we witnessed on Friday was not a fourth wave pattern. The next alternative pattern may be an extended third wave. We must wait for the decline to give us more definition before labeling it, since there are several alternatives.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

A Stock Market Bear Party Perhaps / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bob_Loukas

This blog post is a continuation of the bearish theme I highlighted and posted for you back in December, titled: Game Changing Action

Maybe 2016 will be the year when equity bears finally get to celebrate. Although I wouldn’t call an end to the “buy the dip” era quite yet, the current market has a different type of feel and vibe to it. Many people believe – and there is supporting historical evidence – that as January goes for equities, so goes the year. Bulls should hope this axiom doesn’t hold in 2016. The month is still young, but the first week of January ushered in the worst 5-day start to a year in the S&P 500’s history. The last time the market started a year this poorly was 2008, and we know how that turned out.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

SPX, TNX are Challenging their Cycle Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is higher but not critically so. There are five waves down from the underside of the 4.25 year trendline, but the middle wave is the shortest, suggesting a correction is underway and not the fifth wave. So we may expect a sharp, but short sub-Minute Wave (c) to resistance at the Cycle Bottom at 1954.03.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

Stock Market Mixed Expectations Following Last Week's Sharp Decline - Reversal Or Just Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

Stock Market Short Term Bottom at Hand? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I was looking for a nasty down week in the stock market, but up in GDX, GLD and NUGT into Jan 7th. GDX made a sudden reversal down on Jan 8th and is likely confined within a slight downward trend within an upwardly tilted bull flag until around Jan 21st. The stock market has either already bottomed or likely to do so no later than mid Monday Jan 11th.

Overall, I think we are in the early stages of a bear market that could take the SPX down to near 1000 or slightly lower by October. We are in year 8 of the commodity cycle low (last seen 2008, 2000, 1992, 1984, and 1976).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 11, 2016

Stock Market Crash - Last Week was The 2nd and Final Warning... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

Many were talking about the market crashing last week and the mainstream financial press were waxing hysterical, but as we will now see the crash hasn't even started yet. If the press got like that last week, imagine what they will be like when it really does crash - last week was just a "warmup", the 2nd and final warning, the 1st warning was the plunge last August.

On the 10-year chart for the S&P500 index, we can see that while the market did indeed drop hard last week, it still has not broken down from its Head-and-Shoulders top, the lower boundary of which is shown by the thin black line. When it does break down from the top area, there is an awful lot of air below it - it has a long, long way to drop, and the decline is likely to be precipitous.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 10, 2016

Stock Market Nearing A Phase Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Still the Bull Market in jeopardy?

SPX: Intermediate trend – The index made a secondary top at the 2116 level and started another decline of intermediate duration. 

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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