Today's weakness in the Financial Select Sector SPDR (AMEX: XLF) has pressed the financial ETF below all of my relevant "trading" moving averages, which I consider to be a sign of impending decline. However, let's notice that the price structure must break both its 1-year support line as well as its prior pivot low, which reside at 35.53, in order to trigger downside acceleration towards a test of the next important, intermediate-term pivot low, at 34.18 (from 3/14).

Indeed, many of its top 20 components…Citigroup (NYSE: C), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), AIG, JPM, WFC, WB, GS, MER…look toppy and vulnerable to forthcoming price pressures, perhaps precipitated by periodic but very damaging news that mortgage lending and trading businesses have resulted in deep losses for many more financial institutions than had previously been known or expected. Be that as it may, the technicals are encouraging me to get short for a move into the 34 area next.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

© 2002-2007 MPTrader.com, an AdviceTrade publication. All rights reserved. Any publication, distribution, retransmission or reproduction of information or data contained on this Web site without written consent from MPTrader is prohibited. See our disclaimer.

Mike Paulenoff Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.