Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 04, 2007
Subprime Hedge Fund Credit Crunch Time-line / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
July 18, 2007. Bear Stearns advises investors in two failed hedge funds that they'll get back little if any money. The larger fund (valued at $925 million in March) had borrowed almost $9bn, while the smaller fund (valued at $638 in March) had borrowed $11bn.
July 29, 2007 . “ Germany puts rescue fund in place for IKB… The German government has begun a rescue operation to shore up Europe's first big casualty of the US subprime crisis …German finance minister called leading banking executives to discuss a bailout…a pledge to guarantee obligations of more than €8bn (£5.4bn) – more than five times IKB's stock market value.” ( Financial Times)
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Tuesday, September 04, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - Let's Get Back to the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The extra day off – thanks to the hard, back breaking work of the “laborer”, got an added boost from the unlikely duo of Mr. Bernanke and President Bush. While working hard in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Mr. Bernanke indicated that the Fed stood at the ready to provide liquidity to the markets in case of additional disasters in the mortgage market. President Bush, as only a CEO could do, pre-empted his appointee and announced that he was proposing legislation to help all those poor souls who got themselves in too deep chasing the American dream. The pronouncements put some added juice into the financial markets and they recovered all that was lost early in the week – albeit on very low volume.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 04, 2007
Bernanke Blinks on Credit Crunch – But Will It Matter? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Captain_Hook
Well, Bernanke was wrong , and those pointing out the credit crunch was contagious , including yours truly , were right. Of course it should have been no surprise hearing such an official forecast considering what's at stake, that being the global economy. Oh – and that's not all that's at stake. The Fed's future ability to affect the economy is also at stake, where many are watching to see how Bernanke stacks up in comparison to Greenspan under pressure, this being Bernanke's first big test. Here, if Ben were perceived to fail, where Greenspan is to this day viewed as a winner, there's no telling what to expect in financial markets this fall. A collapsing dollar ($), collapsing bond market, and quite possibly plunging stocks markets in turn certainly come to mind. And unfortunately, even he and the global Working Group on Financial Markets do stave off disaster in the short-term, which they will surely attempt, this would only postpone the inevitable, as already it's largely understood the credit crunch is for real, where no matter what measures are undertaken in defense of the system (including the suppression of gold), the dominos of disaster are already falling. Let's open this line of thinking up further below.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 04, 2007
Sub-prime Mortgage Credit Crunch From Bad to Worse / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: David_Vaughn
Well, that poor bull seems to be tiring. Uh, oh! No! Wait! I believe there's life in that ole' gold bull yet. Anyway, there is life for those with enough sense to observe its strength and consistency.
Well, I spent an entire article last week about this subprime mess and scandal and I still do not feel I said enough on the topic. The damage this will cause our country and the rest of the world really is enormous. I really don't like to come across as a doom and gloomer, but I would be a coward to run from the subject and choose to ignore it.
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Sunday, September 02, 2007
The Weiss Stock Bear Market Strategy / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Sebastian Leburn writes: I'm the portfolio manager of the Weiss Bear Strategy, and I think it's time we talk about the risks of U.S. stock market declines.
Most people think the risk is greatest when corporate profits are sinking or unemployment is rising. However, some of the sharpest and most prolonged stock market declines in history began in the best of times.
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Sunday, September 02, 2007
Stock Market Update: Ghost of Crashes Past / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
This week brought back memories of when I would post at different boards on the web where no one wanted anything to do with a bullish chart that ultimately, if they'd listened, would have saved them tens of thousands of dollars. It was the October 2005 low, everyone in the world of Elliott wave was predicting a crash, and I just had to leave that suffocating, doom and gloom atmosphere. Because of that, TTC was formed.
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Saturday, September 01, 2007
Global Financial Markets Analysis - Technically Precious with Merv / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Merv_Burak
It's been a quiet week in the precious metals. The action has been basically lateral with some upward bias. Friday was good but probably with little volume. So, this week I thought I'd go into something different and just take a quick review of the some markets around the globe.
GOLD
Let's just take a quick look at gold and get it out of the way.
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Saturday, September 01, 2007
Macro Musings: Make Way For the Sovereigns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Justice_Litle
TO EVERYTHING there is a season, the Byrds sang. (And the good book said.)
For leveraged hedge funds, ‘tis now the season for blowing up; the Metamorphosis we spoke of back in June is now on full display.
Stale Prices and Daisy Chains
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Saturday, September 01, 2007
The Wilshire 5000 Stock Market Index Revisited / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Russo
Perceptions from May of 2007:
Four months ago, we presented Bullish: Like There's No Tomorrow , which presented a bullish view and critical-mass-breakout buying opportunity for long term-investors interested in capturing further upside potential in the Wilshire 5000 index.
We don't get fooled again:
Those adhering to the general protocols outlined in that piece are flat - as they now hold this index sternly to task - awaiting a long-side re-entry signal upon a close back above the 14991.68 level.
Saturday, September 01, 2007
Seelking Apha in Financial Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:Past is Not Prologue, and Hope Is Not a Strategy
Eliminating Negative Alpha
Our Biggest Bet is Equities - Does Cap Weighting Weigh Us Down??
Practicing What We Preach
Update - Fundamental Index™ Today
New Orleans, London and South Africa
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Saturday, September 01, 2007
Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - Deja Vu / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
“This is like déjà vu all over again.” Yogi Berra
When I read the following article, I get the feeling the feeling that, somehow, we've been here before. The Wall Street Journal Online printed an article called, “ 'Conduits' in need of a fix .” The article describes a practice at commercial banks of keeping certain assets “off the books” in order to avoid disclosure rules and collect additional fee income. Until now, this has been a very profitable practice for banks. However, subprime mortgages have found their way into these conduits and are causing havoc in the money markets due to the inability to gauge the risk of these vehicles.
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Friday, August 31, 2007
Stock Market Investing - The Case For Expanding PE Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Hans_Wagner
Knowing whether the PE ratio is going to expand or contract is an important factor when trying to beat the market . This is the second of a four part series on which direction the PE ratio for the S&P 500 will go over the next couple of years. Last week we briefly went over how to use the PE ratio and then we will look at ways to get the underlying PE ratio for the S&P 500. It is not as easy as one might first think. In the later parts we will examine the potential for the S&P 500 PE ratio to expand, contract and then provide an opinion on what investors should do. You can read the first commentary at Will the PE Ratio Expand or Contract? Part 1 . For those readers interested in learning more on how to predict macro moves in the market check out Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles 
by Joe Ellis.
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Thursday, August 30, 2007
Stock Market Crash Alert #4 : How to Buy Immediate Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: This is the fourth crash alert that I have sent you in recent weeks.
If you failed to act on my first , second and third alerts, it's water under the bridge. Just take advantage of market rallies like today's and focus on the protective steps you can take right now …
Step #1. Buy Hedges to Protect Your Portfolio From Potentially Devastating Losses
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Thursday, August 30, 2007
What to Do Next : Five FInancial Alternatives To Stocks For These Volatile Times Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: George_Kleinman
I began the Aug. 6, 2007, issue of Commodities Trends by stating, "In the financial markets, all we know for sure is that nothing's for sure. The way I see it, financially speaking the stock market does not appear to be the place to be right now. Stocks could certainly go lower; possibly a lot lower."
In the last issue, I advocated steering clear of most stocks, investment real estate and any bond below investment grade. I also recommended buying the Japanese yen. I hope this advice helped you.
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Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Upmove in the Nasdaq Not for Long / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Although the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) have the right structure and look of an incomplete upleg off of yesterday's low at 46.71, my overall work argues that in the vicinity of 47.70 up to 48.10 this rally will fail and the Q's will reverse into a decline that will retest 46.71, and perhaps press into the 46 area. In other words, I am viewing this upmove as an intervening rally between two declines of a correction.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Stock Market Indexes Confirm a Bullish Cycle Turn / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Jim_Curry
From recent information to our investment advisory clients, the S&P 500 index has recently confirmed a 45-day (10-week) and 120-day (20-26 week) cycle bottom in place. The index did so by closing above VTL resistance (chart 1), which goes over top of a shorter-term cyclical component, the nominal 20-day cycle. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
More Stock Market Downside Pressure Coming - Leading Market Indicators: Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Donald_W_Dony
Last week, I reviewed three leading indicators of the S&P 500 and found only the Broker/Dealer sector was slowing turning positive. The other two leading indicators were both still declining. This week, three more key indicators will be examined for evidence of possible renewed strength and reversals. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Gold and Dow Jones Analysis - Worrying Times / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
That the direction of the gold price has been in a state of indecision can be seen from the following chart. Since the gold price peaked in May 2006, it has been trending sideways, tracing out what appeared to be a Triangle formation. Some weeks ago this analyst thought he saw evidence that the gold price was about to break up out of the triangle. In fact, it did break up briefly – only to pull back again. Intriguingly, the RSI oscillator has been crawling along the 50% level – clearly incapable of pointing a firm direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
USAGOLD's Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of 2007 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Michael_J_Kosares
The financial market globally is up to its elbows in one of the strangest and most complicated credit crises in history. Events have come in rapid succession with mind-numbing effect. No sooner does the dust settle in one part of the market than it is kicked up in another. Through it all, the reactions on the part of the participants have been the stuff of a good financial thriller. We thought it would be interesting to catalog some of that reaction for you on one web page. So here they are - from the witty and profound to the scary and downright silly - our Top 25 Quotes on the Credit Crisis of '07.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Fingers of Financial Markets Instability Part 3 - September: Blitzkrieg of Bad News / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Ty_Andros
In This Issue – Four Fingers Financial Markets Instability
- Banks Out On a Limb
- No Escape, aka “Roach Motels”
- Juggling Acts
- Return of the Resolution Trusts
As we move into September we must keep in mind that historically it is the worst month of the year for the stock markets. Years ending in 7 are particularly nasty as outlined in the July 15 th edition of the “Crack up boom” series. With the events this year, it would argue for more turmoil. As outlined in the previous edition of ‘Fingers of Instability', we are waiting for the cockroaches to emerge into the headlines and in this missive we will put a few “fingers” on them. The turmoil unfolding in the financial sectors of banks and prime brokers has a lot further to run before it will be safe to play on the long side. On the short side however, opportunities would appear to abound.
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