Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 09, 2008
USAGOLD's Annual Survey of Investment Performance- 12Months to June 2008 / Stock-Markets / Investing
Gold up 43% - Outshines Wall Street, Main St. Gold continues to shine as one of the best performing asset classes through the first half of 2008, according to the USAGOLD Annual Survey of Investments. Only the CRB index, which of course includes a gold component, outperformed gold itself over the past year. Arguably it was the latest surge in oil prices that allowed the broad measure of commodities to supplant gold from the number one position over the last month of the second quarter.
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
The Decade of Zero Investment Returns, Part I / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
"...Ten years here, a decade there, and pretty soon you're losing real wealth hand over fist..."
WHAT A DIFFERENCE a decade can make! Over the last 10 years of the 20th century, anyone buying and holding US stocks made a total return approaching 18% per year.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
All Eyes on Crude Oil … As Usual / Stock-Markets / Volatility
All those investors on and off Wall Street whose focus is on buying stocks must have sweat through a closet full of shirts by now. The outlook for the stock market is not pretty. And when second quarter earnings season arrives, well, things could get even uglier…they say.
It’s a tough job playing cheerleader for a losing team and waiting for a turnaround, even when Tout TV is on your side. Just ask those die-hard Cubs fans about that if you’re wondering. Unfortunately, it seems to us like it could be a while before this turnaround in stocks materializes.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Emerging Markets Infrastructure Spending Boom for Next Three Years / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. ( MER ) has raised its annual infrastructure-spending estimate for emerging markets by 80%, as developing countries try to keep pace with fast-growing economies and large cash reserves, BusinessWeek reported.
Investment in infrastructure, which the firm sees as the long-term solution to inflation, will rise from $1.25 trillion to $2.25 trillion annually over the next three years. And China, the Middle East, and Russia will account for 70% of infrastructure spending.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Three Ways to Protect Your Portfolio Against Stock Market Drops / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Nilus Mattive: June wasn't kind to the stock market. In fact, the S&P 500 had its worst month since September 2002 and its worst June since 1930.
So far, July hasn't been much better.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Financial Stocks Meltdown: A Picture Worth 1,000 Words / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Who a few years ago would have thought FNM and FRE would lose 70+% and 80+% of their market value?
This chart comparing the S&P 500 (SPY), the S&P Financial Sector (XLE), the KBW Large Bank Index (KBE) with FRE and FNM is breathtaking.
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Tuesday, July 08, 2008
Brazil Stock Market ETF Suffers Serious Technical Damage / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Without a doubt, anything commodity-related is getting hammered today -- moreso if it is tied to oil and grains, like Brazil, which has just discovered a huge oil deposit and is a major grain exporter. Let's notice that today's weakness in the iShares Brazil ETF (AMEX: EWZ) has violated key intermediate-term support at 83.00-82.00, which represent both the August 07-July 08 trendline and the sharply rising 200 DMA. Indeed, serious technical damage has been sustained by the EWZ, which projects next into the 75.40/00 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 08, 2008
Bernanke, Paulson, FDIC Eye Taxpayer Bailouts, More Power / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Even as PDCF use is waning, Bernanke Says Fed May Continue Lending Into Next Year ."The Federal Reserve is strongly committed" to financial stability and is "considering several options, including extending the duration of our facilities for primary dealers beyond year-end," Bernanke said in a speech to a conference in Arlington, Virginia.
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Monday, July 07, 2008
BIS Plan to Save the Western World By Ending Free Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Welcome to the weekly report. This week we look at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) latest utterances and look at the chart of a hedge Fund showing unusual price action. We start with a look at some "suggestions" made by the BIS in its 78th annual report. This is probably the most important global macro-economic pointer you will see this year that shows the way ahead:Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
Central Planners Trying to Mask Imploding Credit Cycle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
With a collapsing credit cycle unfolding before our very eyes, central planners believe they must paint a picture that what's happening is ‘normal' and ‘ordinary', where in the end all will be well. And in spite of evidence this time around things are different, the media would like us to believe that the public thinks this is the case. What's more, the media, led by central planners , would like us to believe the investing public also thinks everything is ‘just fine', with exploding unemployment , collapsing consumer confidence , and an imploding credit cycle nothing to worry about longer-term. All this while problems associated with a collapsing credit cycle are multiplying , with new problems hitting the fan more and more all the time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
How to Survive and Profit From the NEXT Financial Markets Panic / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: Dad was probably the only advisor who helped his clients make a fortune in the great bear market of the 1930s ... and then lived to do it again in the Crash of '87. Before he passed away, he walked me through some of the darkest lessons of America's financial history. And he gave me some valuable advice to share with you when the next financial panic is near.
"When another collapse is about to begin," he warned, "they're not going to ring any bells. Few investors will see it coming, fewer still will take protective action, and almost everyone will get caught in the melee. Don't let that happen to our subscribers!"
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Monday, July 07, 2008
The 20% Rule and Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From its July intraday low to its October 9, 2007 intraday high the DOW has fallen 20.5%. A lot of commentators on television and the Internet are making note of the fact that the DOW is down 20% and saying that this is "bear market territory." Some are saying that this means it is the time to buy, while others are saying this is proof that we are now in a bear market.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 07, 2008
Stock Market Had Worst Half Year Since 1970 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The half year report card for global stock markets was not one to be proud of. The first half of 2008 was the worst first half to a year for the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1970, when the index was down 14.60%. The 14.44% decline of 2008 is actually the tenth worse performance since 1900. July hasn't exactly started off with a bang and US traders may be thankful for the long weekend last week. The S&P 500 closed the week down 1.19%, registering its lowest daily close for almost two years. June was especially hard for US markets with a drop of 8.55% for the S&P 500, and a 10.19% collapse on the Dow, making up most of the years losses to date.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 06, 2008
Stocks at Extreme Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce (No change).
Short Term Overbought - oversold is a description of a price move within a given time frame. Currently the market is oversold by virtually any measure over any time frame.
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Friday, July 04, 2008
Recent Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market — specifically the NYSE — such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal , and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 22 years. All of them. No panic sell-off occurred over the past 22 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe . But we have one as of June 16th, 2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
US Economy and Financial Markets Mid-Year Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
I would say that things are downright scary, but I am afraid that would be a colossal understatement at this point. 2008 has been pretty much what we expected and then some. A couple of themes have emerged during the first half of this year that require our attention and careful consideration as we gear up for the second half of the year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Secrets to Succeeding at Stocks Bear Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is already in the bear's grasp. And the U.S. economy may well be headed for a recession. But here's the ultimate irony: Bear-market investing offers a direct pathway to the biggest profit opportunities most investors will ever see.
History shows time and again that the worst returns come to those who buy at - or even near - market peaks, like those of 1928, 1969, 1999 and 2007, when Price/Earnings (P/E) ratios are typically higher than “normal.”
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Stock Market Forecast- How Low Can the Dow Go? - Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The theme of today's show is, “How low can the Dow go?” I have attached a chart of the DJIA that is looking more probable than when I first made this chart several months ago. When this pattern first became evident, I set it aside as a novelty rather than take it seriously. Today, I am looking at a much higher probability of this chart being fulfilled .Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 03, 2008
Global Stock Markets Technicals Dangerous / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
White knuckles and shaky knees abound as the bear's growl grows louder.
While on the road in Switzerland (where even the gnomes are gloomy), I have put together a table of global stock markets' performance – over various measurement periods and in both local currency and US dollar terms. The numbers speak for themselves and can best be summarized in a single sentence: “Nowhere to hide.” The Wall Street “leash effect” remained paramount, and decoupling nothing more than a theoretical myth.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Paulson Statement Warns of Imminent Failure of Large Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
The July 2nd Remarks of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson , on the World Economy and Markets before the Chatham House were quite remarkable. Let's have a look at a few of them.Whether it was Long Term Capital Management in 1998 or Bear Stearns this year, it is clear that Americans have come to expect the Federal Reserve to step in to avert events that pose unacceptable systemic risk. But, as we noted in our Blueprint, the Fed has neither the clear statutory authority nor the mandate to attempt to anticipate and prevent risks across our entire financial system.
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