Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 30, 2008
Emerging Market ETF Soars Following U.S. Fed Loans / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
The Fed's decision to "selectively" lend $30 billion (each) to Mexico, Brazil, S. Korea and Singapore to try to ensure financial stability in the emerging markets triggered a late-session pop in the iShares Emerging Markets Fund ETF (AMEX: EEM) -- notwithstanding the plunge in ALL equity indices during the final 10 minutes of trading yesterday -- which extended into this morning.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Market Forecast Current and for Next 30 Years / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
WHEN WILL THE MARKET BOTTOM? Following you will find Daniel Ferrera's cycle forecast of the S&P 500 for the next 30 years, out to 2036, as well as a projection of an expected rally for the next 3 weeks. Read on for details...
FERRERA S&P 500 CYCLE FORECAST TO 2036
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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Fed $120 Billion Bailout of Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Martin D Weiss writes: While all eyes were focused today on the Fed's rate cut, the big news was the Fed's latest cockamamie effort to save world.
Indeed, just when you thought the insanity couldn't get crazier, the Fed announced it's now going to funnel a massive $120 billion of U.S. funds into Brazil, South Korea, Singapore, and Mexico.
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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Market Sharp Sell-off in Last 10 Minutes / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had a very strong session before -- and then after -- the FOMC announcement, when it lowered rates. Initially they dropped,but they rallied back sharply to new rally highs, then literally in the last 10 minutes the indices fell apart. The S&P 500 dropped nearly 50 points in 10 minutes, and the Dow 400 points, and they closed with a thud, down on the day on all the indices except the Nasdaq 100 which managed to salvage a small gain.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
The Securities Investors' Bill Of Rights (SIBORAP): Part 3/4 / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
SIBORAP includes these ten specific sections: (1) Product Transparency, (2) Regulation and Education, (3) Protection from Speculators (4) Control of Hedge Funds, (5) Brokerage Account Statements, (6) Retirement Account Investments, (7) Executive Compensation, (8) Corporate Financial Statements, (9) Taxation of Investment and Retirement Income, and (10) Transactional Greed and Fear Controls.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Investors Diversify Away From the Dollar Into Cheap Value Stocks / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Today's financial papers read like a history of economic turmoil. In no particular order we have warnings the bank recapitalisation will not be enough if assets continue to fall (shouldn't be a surprise), a surging yen hitting Japan (who largely avoided the bank credit issues), worries over the IMF being swamped with it's relatively small fund of $250bn, Hungary, Iceland and the Ukraine looking into the abyss, global property prices falling at ever faster rates, mass redemptions of hedge funds, $3 trillion of corporate debt needing refinancing in the next 24 months, a BOE report that is frankly as depressing as you're ever likely to read (I hope) and to cap it all worries about the confidence in government debt if any or all of the above continues. Now that has to challenge even the most optimistic of all contrarian investors.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Seasoned Investors Search for Stock Market Values / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
As we mentioned yesterday in, "Are we too bearish?" , today's post focuses on areas of investment that are starting to look attractive to seasoned investors.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Stock Market Conflicting Evidence for a Bottom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The fact is that today's stock markets were extraordinary in their strength. Emerging markets (proxy EEM) up about 20% and the S&P 500 (proxy SPY) up about 11%.
There are important positive facts to consider:
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Stock Market Bottoms Following the Mother of All Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It was the mother of all rallies today, as the indices exploded in the afternoon after backing and filling all day, holding support. The indices took off in mid-afternoon and rallied strongly into the close, with as strong a thrust as we've ever seen.
The Dow exploded to over 900 at one point, closing up 889 on the day. The S&P 500 ran from 860 to 940, 80 points in the last 2 hours, closing up 91 1/2. And the NDX ran from 1190 to 1290, more than 100 points actually, closing up almost 128. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) jumped nearly 20 and gained around 9% today.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Financial and Economic Crisis Save Havens for Investors / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Martin Hutchinson writes: It must now be horribly clear to everybody with an investment portfolio – indeed, to anyone who watches the financial markets – that no country or sector is safe from a bear market of the magnitude of the one we're suffering through right now. When stocks get marked down en masse, as they have, literally everything drops. What's more, there may be very little rationale for which stocks drop — or how much they drop by: When the wave of selling meets very few buyers, good stocks can easily fall more than bad ones.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Deflation Monster Coming as Credit Losses Far Exceed Capital Injections / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
This week an Occasional Letter From The Collection Agency looks at what might be on the horizon as we peer into the macro-economic future. As ever we start with a reminder of the scenario that I have been following over the past 6 years or more:
bubble, easy money, inflation in fiat money supply, inflation in commodities and hard assets, inflation, fear of inflation, rising rates, YC inverting, flattening, rising and inverting again, tightening, withdrawal of liquidity, corrections, crashes, talk of stagflation, FEAR, withdrawal of speculative funds, further corrections and crashes, demand collapse.......Deflation.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stock Markets Crash Back to Bear Market Lows-Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Got your seatbelt and crash helmet on? After a hair raising rally this morning, the markets have reversed back down to test the lows. The SPX came within 6 points of making a new low in October this morning. I would not be surprised to see a much lower SPX by the end of the day. What amazes me is that he bullish sentiment published by the American Association of Individual Investors is well over 50% for small investors. In other words, a lot of investors are getting sucked back into the market too soon, trying to pick a bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Wall Street Fire Sale Produces Closed End Fund Bargains / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
There's a bright light at the end of the tunnel--- finally. Most of the really well respected, long term investors are advising their audiences to hang in there, to stop the panic selling, and to look for the great companies that have withstood the economic downturns of the past.Buffet, Bogle, Gross, Schwab, and company offer sound advice--- don't run and hide, it's time to hit the Wall Street Mall and go shopping! They've seen the indicators; they've been there before. So have many of you. Clearly, it's time for action.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Emerging Markets Crash Presents Compelling Valuations But with Risks / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Jack Dzierwa writes:After years of outsized performance, global emerging markets have been battered by volatility this year. All of the constituents in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index are down in 2008, with stock markets in Russia , Hong Kong , India and other countries losing more than 50 percent of their value.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stocks Bear Market- Light at the End of the Tunnel? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Q&A with Jay Matulich, Septos Capital Management
A lot of people were expecting Monday to be a buying opportunity. What do you make of Monday's action?
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Wolfe Wave Corporate Earnings Contraction Well Underway / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
We are nearing the first crescendo of the unfolding Crack-up Boom. As outlined in the 2008 outlook entitled “Wolf Wave, aka Thrill ride” the markets are set to experience an emotional and financial EXPLOSION. A coming explosion outlined many times since the April 2007 Tedbits “Fingers of Instability” series first identified the WOLFE wave. Those predictions have since materialized in a grander manner then I ever could have anticipated.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stock Market Crash Investor Overreaction Value Investing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
- How Should We Then Invest?
- Those Wild And Crazy Analysts
- The Evidence for Investor Overreaction
- Stock Prices Are In Our Heads
- Or, Maybe Investors Are Just Head Cases
- Can We Actually Predict Earnings?
- Buffett versus Grantham
- Back to 1974?
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Markets Discounting Recessionary Fears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Is October over yet?? The markets are down over 25% for the month, however on the four up days that actually did occur during the month, the indexes managed to gain over 20% - just image the carnage without the those fabulous four days! Liquidations by both mutual and hedge funds have made the last hour of trading something of an art form as investors guess whether the markets will tack on or drop a few hundred points. The recessionary fears of just a month ago have now morphed into full-blown depression fears and not just here, but around the world. The historic market declines to this point likely have already captured much of the economic pain we will experience in the weeks/months ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Market Late Slide Takes Out Support Levels / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets ended with a nasty session, particularly on a late slide that closed them at the lows for the day going away.
As has been happening over the last few days, the indices gapped lower on negative futures, immediately bounced, retested and when that was successful they backed and filled and then churned higher, reaching the session highs and testing Friday afternoon's rally highs on both the NDX and S&P 500. But when they failed to punch through at mid afternoon, they sold off, bounced late in the afternoon, but couldn't get through intraday resistance, and then rolled over hard, particularly in the last 10 minutes.
Monday, October 27, 2008
Have Stock Market Investors Panicked and Capitulated? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Robert Prechter examines historical stock activity to identify how and when fear and panic is recorded in stock market price. He even provides unique insight for whom you should vote in November.
Ever since mid-September, we have read that the bottom is in because investors have ‘panicked' and ‘capitulated.'"
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