Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, August 27, 2019
4 Measures of Market Risk to Keep an Eye on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
It wasn't a big surprise that President Trump commented earlier today that trade negotiations with China have reopened. Had he not done so, it would have led to further losses in the equities markets and potentially a significant technical break in the S&P 500.
The appetite for risk is back, the question is whether it is here to stay. Based on charts of some of the commonly traded assets in times of risk aversion, I think a case can be made that a bottom is in for risk appetite, or at least, we might be close to one.
Starting with equities, the S&P 500 has traded in a range for most of the month. Friday's decline had momentum behind it. As mentioned, the absence of Trump's comment earlier today would have likely led to a downside continuation.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Is the Stock Market Bear Growling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 26, 2019
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Must Bounce Here Or Hold On Tight! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The fragility of the markets can not be underestimated for investors at this time. Our research has continued to pick apart these price swings in the US stock markets and our July predictions regarding a market top and an August 19th (or near) breakdown price move have been SPOT ON. We’ve heard from hundreds of our members and followers regarding our research and predictive analysis work – many thanking us for our dedication to helping traders/investors. Some people, although, didn’t quite understand the message that we were trying to deliver.
So, in this message, we are going to try to make it very clear for everyone. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecasts newsletter
First, we believe the US and Global markets are setting up for a broad price sell-off/reversion move. This means we believe the US and Global stock markets could move lower and contract by relatively large percent levels (15% to 25% or more) in the coming months.
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Monday, August 26, 2019
Huge Stock Market Rally Monday, Gold Drops? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
It has been a while since I have posted. I believe after the huge stock market drop on Friday that we have even a bigger move up Monday like 4%. The mining shares GDX could fall 12%.
This is quite a prediction and a bit ball-zy I know, but my system (astro,cycle,wave,technical analysis) seems quite clear to me. It may be the G7 Meeting, it may be something else, but that is what I see.
The charts below of the SPX, GDX, GLD and SLV gives my perspective for the short term into Sept 3 for the stock market and out to 2024 for GDX, Gold and Silver.
As you can see, I believe this expected stock rally Monday will be termed a bear rally as I believe we should be near SPX 2424 by Sept 3. Yes, I’m looking for a crash. The Sun/Mars conjunction due Sept 2 and the numerous trines that weekend with all the astro-planetary dealings in Virgo dealings up until August 30 with the new moon and my current e-wave look, wow.
Monday, August 26, 2019
Stock Market Melt Down. See What Elliott Waves Are Showing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Hi Reader,
Just yesterday -- even this morning! -- it seemed that stocks were finally out of the woods.
But as I'm typing this...
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Friday, August 23, 2019
Stock Market August Breakdown Prediction and Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19th breakdown prediction aligns with our other analysis tools and predictive modeling systems. The key to understanding price action lies in two modes of operational aspects for analysts. Either the analysis is going to be correct and the markets will break down as we have predicted or the analysis will be incorrect and the markets will break higher to rally to new highs. We call this the “failure to fail” mode or the “failure to succeed” mode of compliance for price. Either it will do what we expect or it won’t.
There are a few things that we, as analysts, must take into consideration with regards to future predictions of price action and direction. First, sometimes we fail to make perfect predictions. It is not easy or 100% guaranteed that our predictions will become valid or accurate on the day we suggest price should move in a certain direction.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
KEY WEEK FOR US MARKETS, GOLD, AND OIL - Audio Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders shares his thoughts on why this week is important for the US markets, gold, and oil. All of these are near strong support or resistance levels where if a break happens could result in an extended run. We breakdown the scenario for each market and level that are most important.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
FREE Access EWI's Financial Market Forecasting Service / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
With the recent stock market volatility, millions of investors are wondering what's next.
And the fact that the typically wild fall season is approaching only makes it worse.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International -- who are celebrating 40 years in the business this year -- get it.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Stocks Likely to Breakout Instead of Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
The funny thing is that gold and stocks currently seem to like the same thing: more money printing.Treasury bonds keep falling in rates and we’re seeing a slowing global economy despite Trump’s tax cuts and central banks leaning towards easing. That has hurt stocks a bit, as has the recent near break-off in trade negotiations with China. Markets were fearing a currency war now that the trade war is at an impasse.
So, no surprise gold has been rallying here. But for stocks, the surprise is that they’re holding up as well as they are considering the slow growth foreshadowed by the bond markets and trade impasses.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Next Stock Market Breakdown And The Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you’ve been following our research long enough, you’ll remember that we often discuss Fibonacci Price Theory and how we use it to try to identify opportunities and trends in the markets. The basic premise of Fibonacci Price Theory is that price is always seeking to establish newer highs or newer lows with every rotation on the charts. The theory is rather simple to understand and learn and it helps easily identify where support, resistance, and the trend is established. Let’s take a minute to go over the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory before we continue.
This first example of Fibonacci Price Theory trend is a simple example that highlights the basic premise of the theory – price move always attempts to establish new price highs or new price lows in a trend. Therefore, in a downtrend, we would attempt to observe price in a simple structure as you see on the left side of this example – establishing new lower lows and new lower highs in a series of waves. In an uptrend, we would attempt to observe price in an opposite structure where new higher highs and new higher lows are set up. Fairly simple so far – right?
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market One Step Closer to Confirming That August Low Is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The second week of August was pretty simple as the market followed our expectations from the previous weekend report. If you recall, the market chose to follow scenario 1 on the daily chart timeframe by backtesting into the 2858-2836 zone on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). This was the 50%-61.8% Fib retracement zone of the 2775 to 2940 V-shape recovery, creating a higher-lows setup. In addition, our must-hold level at 2823 held last Wednesday and Thursday as price stick-saved against this key level precisely and the bulls did their job in terms of the two massive feedback loop squeeze setups.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Stock Market Has Gone Nowhere In The Last Twelve Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
So, as the bulls pat themselves on the back for holding all the way down last year for a 20% draw down so that they can “enjoy” the rally we got in 2019, I hope they don’t hurt their arms and shoulders from all their back-patting. But, they may be in for a dose of realism when they realize that the market has now been completely flat for the last twelve months.
Allow me to show you a simple fact that should make bulls feel like they have exerted a lot of energy and worry, only to be completely flat over the last year. (And, yes, I am going to use a date from the middle of this past week for a reason). On August 14th of 2018, the SPX closed at 2839.96. And, now, one year later, on August 14th, 2019, the SPX closed at 2840.60.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
The State of the Financial Union / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold makes available the first two chapters of his most recent book that delve into the current state of the economy. After being bugged unmercifully by a couple of my so-called friends, I finally sat down in early January to write a tome about investing in resource stocks. It took me sixteen days to write. And another four weeks to get the cover and layout right. I had some important charts in it that couldn't be shrunk and still understood.
A couple of days ago I was reaching for a quote that I thought I remembered from the book so I picked up one of my test copies.
I read through the first two chapters and thought to myself, "Damn, this guy got it exactly right." That was before I realized I was the person who wrote it eight months ago.
One of the great advantages of getting old, other than just getting old, after all the alternative is far worse… One of the benefits of getting old is that you get to hide your own Easter eggs. That is if you can still remember when Easter is.
I never did find the quote. But I did realize that what I wrote in January could have been written twenty minutes ago and not be more timely. So I thought it would be a nice idea to share it with you. This isn't a sale pitch. If you have read the book you, too, will have already read it but have forgotten. If you haven't and think it might be worth finishing, you are just going to have to figure out how to buy it by yourself.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
Markets August 19 Turn Date is Tomorrow – Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19 breakdown prediction from months ago has really taken root with many of our followers and readers. We’ve been getting emails and messages from hundreds of our followers asking for updates regarding this prediction. Well, here is the last update before the August 19th date (tomorrow) and we hope you have been taking our research to heart.
First, we believe the August 19 breakdown date will be the start of something that could last for more than 5 to 12+ months. So, please understand that our predicted date is not a make-or-break type of scenario for traders. It means that we believe this date, based on our cycle research, will become a critical inflection point in price that may lead to bigger price swings, more volatility and some type of market breakdown event. Thus, if you have already prepared for this event – perfect. If this is the first time you are reading about our August 19 breakdown prediction, then we suggest you take a bit of time to review the following research posts.
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Saturday, August 17, 2019
Negative Bond Market Yields Tell A Story Of Shifting Economic Stock Market Leadership / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Negative yields are becoming common for many of the world’s most mature economies. The process of extending negative yields within these economies suggests that safety is more important than returns and that central banks realize that growth and increases in GDP are more important than positive returns on capital. In the current economic environment, this suggests that global capital investors are seeking out alternative solutions to adequately develop longer-term opportunities and to develop native growth prospects that don’t currently exist.
Our research team has been researching this phenomenon and how it relates to the continued “capital shift” that is taking place throughout the globe. We believe we have some answers for anyone interested in our opinions. We also believe the longer-term answers will depend on what happens over the next 5 to 7 years throughout the globe and how economic expectations shift as well as how global debt is dealt with.
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Saturday, August 17, 2019
Is Stock Market About to Crash? Three Charts That Suggest It’s Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Things are worsening quickly now.
The S&P 500 has failed to recover its 50-day moving average (red line). Even worse, the 13-day moving average (blue line) has staged a bearish cross with the 50-day moving average, signaling DOWNWARDS momentum is building.
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Friday, August 16, 2019
Silver, Transports, and Dow Jones Index At Targets – What Direct Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As you can probably imagine, we’ve received a ton of emails and questions about our recent predictions for precious metals and the August 19 breakdown date in the global markets. It seems everyone is reading our research posts and is curious about how to prepare for these moves and how we came up with these predictions months in advance. In this second part of our metals & Aug 19 update post, we’ll try to highlight our expectations going into the weekend prior to the Aug 19 breakdown date (Monday).
In the first part of this research post, we highlighted what we believe is the imminent completion of the MID Leg 1 upside move in precious metals. Our research continues to suggest that we are still setting up a major LEG 1 upside move which should be considered a larger Elliot Wave structure. Within this Wave (Leg) 1 formation, a typical 5 wave structure is likely to continue forming. Currently, we are creating the Wave 3 of the total of 5 waves that will complete a finished upside Wave (Leg 1).
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Thursday, August 15, 2019
US Stock Market Could Fall 12% to 25% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this last segment of our multi-part research post regarding the US Fed and the global central banks, it is becoming evident that the fear of a further market contraction is resulting in the decrease in rates and the push for additional QE functions. Our research has shown that the global economy has partially recovered from the 2008-09 credit market collapse, but the process of the recovery has resulted in a “blowout” type of event where shifting capital intents and the transition from the 19th century economic model towards a new 21st century economic model is setting up the global markets for a massive rotation event over the next 12 to 24 months – possibly longer.
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Central Banks Move To Keep The Global Markets Party Rolling – Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This section of our multi-part article regarding current and past central bank actions, we are going to attempt to look at key elements of the past and present to highlight what we believe may turn out to be an incredible “setup” in the global markets.
This setup is almost like a complex chess game where two skilled players battle for control and near the end of the game, one player is left with the King, a Rook, and a Pawn while the other player has a dramatic advantage with stronger chess pieces. Yet, as the game continues, the weaker player is able to remove one or two of the stronger players key pieces and move his pawn to his opponent’s side to recover his Queen – thus altering the dynamic of the game and eventually winning.
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