Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, September 05, 2019
UK Surprise Decision to Thwart a No-Deal Brexit Changes Market Dynamics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19th prediction of a market breakdown, as well as our continued research suggesting a breakdown in price was the most likely outcome, is a combination of technical analysis, predictive modeling and our understanding of the market dynamics at play throughout the world. But, when news like this hits (global economic news, surprise news announcements or any type of positive or negative massive news event) the dynamics of the global markets can shift quite suddenly which we want to explain here. Before we get into the details, be sure to opt-in to my Free Market Forecast and Trade Ideas Newsletter so stay on top of these market moves.
Just a few days ago, it appeared that the US/China trade deal was still 30+ days away from any type of continued discussion and the UK Brexit was likely to take place this week and next. With US earnings season setting up in September, headed into the holiday season throughout the globe, we believed the downside price move probability was far greater than the upside. Then, out of almost nowhere, the No-Deal Brexit deal is sidetracked and the British Pound rallies dramatically on the news.
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Thursday, September 05, 2019
Will Fed Actions Create Dow 40,000 - And Triple Gold Prices? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Dan_Amerman
The fears of imminent recession have been multiplying, and this has led to 1) plunging long term bond yields; 2) yield curve inversions and near inversions; and 3) a fearful Federal Reserve going into "dovish" mode in the attempt to prevent such a recession.
We've been here before, or at least we have with regard to those three particular components in combination. And the result was a tripling of already elevated stock market values in a little more than two years. With that tripling then being followed by a historic tripling of inflation-adjusted gold prices over the next decade.
History does not exactly repeat itself - but it does contain some powerful and surprising lessons that are well worth studying, particularly during times of market volatility.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
The Inverted Yield Curve Is Actually a Good Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Robert_Ross
August 14 was the worst day of the year for stocks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 800 points in a single day.
The stock market plunged because of a serious economic warning sign called a yield curve inversion.
A yield curve inversion is a canary in the coal mine for the economy. It’s happened before every recession in the last 50 years.
However, there’s no reason to panic.
Wednesday, September 04, 2019
Rising US Dollar Mutes Precious Metals Moves and Puts Pressures on Global Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Rising US Dollar continues to shift the investing landscape as a stronger US Dollar mutes the price acceleration in precious metals and continue to put pricing pressures on the global economy. The current levels of the US Dollar Index, above 99, clearly illustrates how the shifting landscape of the global economies has changed. Prior to 2014/2015, when a minor currency/market crisis hit China and capital controls were installed in China to help reduce capital outflows, the US Dollar Index average price range was between 73 and 90. Of course, the US Dollar Index weakened in 2008-09 and rotated within this range after 2010 – settling near 80 near the beginning of 2014. Before we get into the details, be sure to opt-in to my Free Market Forecast and Trade Ideas Newsletter
So, this impressive rally in the US Dollar throughout the 2015-2016 US Presidential election cycle, as well as the continued rally since the lows near December 2018, is not something that we can simply chalk up to normal price rotation. Something dramatic has shifted in the global markets since 2015/2016 and the new trend is US Dollar strength.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
The Reason Stocks Will Soar in the Next 20 Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Stephen_McBride
A reader asked me last week if it’s time to head for the exits.There’s a lot of fear in the markets right now. Folks are nervous. Maybe you’re nervous.
The past two weeks have been rough for the stock market. The S&P 500 recently suffered its worst day of the year. And stocks have now dipped 4% since hitting record highs in late July.
If you watch any financial TV, you’ve surely heard this blamed on a troubling economic signal triggered last week called the “inverted yield curve.”
I’ll tell you in a moment why it’s actually a good sign for stocks. But before that, let’s clarify what the inverted yield curve is… and why it matters to you.
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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
Gerald Celente Warns “Monetary Methadone” Is Running Out, Market Crash Looms / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Gerald Celente, top trends forecaster and publisher of the Trends Journal joins me for an explosive conversation on the state of the markets, gold, the upcoming presidential election, and why he believes the next recession will be one for the ages. Gerald also reveals what you should be doing right now to prepare for it. So, don’t miss my conversation with Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update.
As markets close out the month of August, precious metals investors are scoring some big summer gains. The standout performer has been silver, surging over 15% during the month.
On Thursday, the white metal spiked to nearly $18.70 an ounce before pulling back in afternoon trading. As of this Friday recording, silver prices come in $18.43, up 5.4% for the week.
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Tuesday, September 03, 2019
The Stock Market Is Not Looking Healthy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
I am often asked to provide a sample of the analysis I provide to members. So, in this week’s article regarding the stock market, I chose to reproduce the general discussion I provided within my analysis posted to members on Saturday night. Please understand that my detailed charts and the discussion of the specific smaller degree analysis is being left out from this public update, and is only available to members.
Back in the 1930s, an accountant named Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that financial markets are fractal in nature. This means that they are variably self-similar at different degrees of trend.
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Tuesday, September 03, 2019
Stock Market Trend Forecasts When Mega-Trends Collide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow chart says it all in terms of the volatile month of August we have just witnessed in the count down to the expiry of my 6 month long Dow stock forecast trend forecast as of 1st March 2019. During the month the Dow traded down from near its all time closing high of 27,359 (16th July 2019), trading down to a low 25,300 with the most recent price action attempting to break out of August's trading range of between 26,400 and 25,300 by closing at 26,403.
Tuesday, September 03, 2019
Stock Market in a Holding Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 02, 2019
Could Hong Kong Disrupt China & The Global Markets Further? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Reading the news this weekend and watching the chaos in Hong Kong, one has to wonder how this violence and disruption in commerce is really affecting the Asian and global markets. Many different news sources are already reporting that Chinese economic data continues to show weakness over the past 4 to 5+ months.
Additionally, Hong Kong, being a strategic source of income and business for the western world, has been disrupted with riots, protests and not violence as a result of a political battle between Chinese rulers and local Hong Kong residents.
It seems obvious to anyone outside of this situation that neither side is about to stop their actions any time soon and that means we are going to experience even further disruptions to the global markets and local markets. Right now, our greatest concern is that the disruption in economic activity in China/Asia will result in a “cold” in the US and other foreign markets.
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Monday, September 02, 2019
U.K. Markets Showing Stable Recovery / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Submissions
Recent moves in the U.K market have highlighted deteriorating sentiment levels as a result of continued Brexit uncertainties. However, it can be argued that many in the market have overreacted in response to these events as a limited impact has actually been seen in equities.
As a clear expression of these trends, the U.K. 100 Index retraced some of its prior gains during the trading period that spanned from July to August of this year. In the process of these declines, U.K. stock markets have fallen through their 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages. In most cases, traders will view these types of events as exceedingly bearish.
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Monday, September 02, 2019
Stock Market S&P500 Candlestick Pattern On Friday Signals Price Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we close out the week and watched the markets trade in a rotational price manner, it became very clear to us that the patterns setting up in price continue to support our overall analysis of the markets and the potential for a bigger downside price move. We issued a call that an August 19th breakdown was expected on or near the trigger date (Aug 19th). We’ve taken some heat from our followers and readers regarding this call and the fact that the markets have yet to really breakdown below current support levels.
As we’ve learned from our experience and previous analysis/calls – the markets can continue to act in ways that run counter to our analysis for much longer and in a much more irrational manner than we can survive the risks associated with any irrational price moves. Yet, at this point, we don’t see anything irrational in the markets – we see opportunity.
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Friday, August 30, 2019
Stock Market S&P 500 Nearing Previous Highs, What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday’s trading session didn’t change much. Stocks extended their short-term consolidation following Monday’s rebound off a support level. The S&P 500 index continues to trade within a four-week-long consolidation after the early August decline. Was Monday’s advance an upward reversal or just upward correction before another leg down?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.4-1.0% on Wednesday, as they retraced their Tuesday’s decline. The S&P 500 index got back to the short-term local lows on Friday and then it bounced off that support level. The broad stock market’s gauge is now 4.7% below July the 26th record high of 3,027.98. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4% on Wednesday.
The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index is at 2,900-2,920, marked by the recent local highs. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,850-2,860. The next support level is at 2,820-2,825, marked by the previous lows.
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Friday, August 30, 2019
Europe on the brink, World on a Edge – Stocks Trading as a 15% correction Draws Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
These are brutal times. Stocks are still at highs while the underlying economy is slipping away sharply. United States is slipping into a recession which they can ill afford. The country runs a debt of over 20 trillion. CBO has forecast the future deficit to be in range of $1 trillion for the next 10 years. Never before has the country seen such extended budget shortfall. Over and above that, they cannot finance the deficit easily because of the existing debt. What the US desperately needs is a stock market correction to pummel money back into bonds which is exactly what is happening. Without a stock market correction, US may default on payments on its debt.
In times like these, it is best to trade with our profitable trading system called QUANTO. To use this system, you need to contact us
In Europe things are getting worse. EUROPE centric funds are seeing record outflows. Never in the last 5 years has such a large amount of capital flown out of Europe based ETF.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
U.S. Stocks: See What Can Happen After Volume Contracts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Look at these "rare streaks" of contracting volume
Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter has noted that stock market volume is the most important indicator to watch besides price.
Market volume waxes and wanes. However, there are times when volume goes on mini-streaks, either expanding or contracting for four or five consecutive days.
Yet, six consecutive days is almost unheard of. But, it just happened, ending on Aug. 22. That's only the third time that volume has contracted six days in a row since 1987.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market ES Must Hold Above 2800 Or The Selling Will Intensify / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
First off, we were so happy to hear from all of our followers over the weekend and early today regarding their support for our incredible market predictions – specifically the call about the August 19th breakdown prediction. We stuck to our guns believing in our predictive modeling systems and our research team. We knew it would be just a matter of time before the weakness our models were showing us to actualize in a real price breakdown. We want to thank all of you who wrote to us and thanked us and our team for their hard work and dedication.
Now, we’ll highlight some recent events in the ES chart (S&P500 E-Mini Futures) and how it related to the bigger picture in the markets.
Before we get into the details of the market recovery today, we want all of you to understand that is natural for the markets to move in rotational waves as price establishes new highs or lows. In fact, it is essential and healthy for the markets to do this. When the markets move in an unnatural way by trending excessively over short periods of time, it reflects an imbalance in the fundamentals of the markets or the core elements of supply/demand economics. When the bottom falls out of a market, for example, it is usually because of some type of external news item or some other type of external factor/event. The markets themselves naturally have a way of processing expectations and price value through the process of buying and selling in an open market.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Anybody's Game in Battle Over Stock Market Week/Month-End Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
Much of last week was spent completing the upside continuation pattern from the previous week's 2823 must-hold support level on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then bears finally fought back on Friday.
Essentially, the bulls did a great job as the 2900/2920 ‘easy money’ targets were hit, but they just could not nail in the coffin of the bears with a close above 2955 when it mattered the most. The bears fought back against the 2955 must-hold resistance, holding the ES to a top of 2939.75 on Friday before breaking it down below the 2892 intraweek must-hold level to slaughter the bulls on a lovely August Friday. The bears were fairly impressive because they were able to fulfill all extension targets by the end of the day.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Trade War Escalation Put Selling Pressure to S&P 500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Last week, there was anticipation of market volatility as the Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell was scheduled to speak at Jackson Hole. President Trump and China however stole the show. China introduced fresh retaliatory tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. imports, targeting politically sensitive products. President Trump immediately responded. Trump announced in twitter the existing 25% tariffs on $250 billion Chinese goods will rise to 30% on October 1. In addition, the 10% tariffs on another $300 billion Chinese Goods will rise to 15% instead on September 1.
In a series of Tweet storm, Trump also accused Powell of a bigger enemy than China’s President Xi Jinping and issued an order to American companies to get out of China.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
S&P500 heads to 3020: Big Turn for Risk Markets as US-China Steadies to a Deal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
A lot has changed over the weekend. - G7 has been positive for risk. Trump expressed regret over his latest escalation of trade war. - China on its part said will negotiate. - No news on Iran - No bad tweets on FED
US seems to be retreating from world stage on many accounts and this will mean big changes in world markets. Initially it will be positive as it will be led by a imminent trade deal with China which could rip the equity markets higher and go to all time highs. But reality will set in later. Either ways, it makes no difference to us as our automated system is tuned for all kinds of markets.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market Setting Up A Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
For the last 8 years, I have been publishing my analysis publicly. Yet, I am still amazed at how the market follows the patterns we track almost perfectly, and how news seems to fit in within those patterns.
This past week, as we were expecting a market top, Mr. Powel and President Trump certainly provided the catalysts for the decline for which the market was setting up.
Now, for those of you that believe that the tariff news was the “cause” the decline, I again want to remind you that the same tariff war escalation seemed to have “caused” a 9% rally in 2018. I remember how many of you who commented to my articles during that uptrend noted how it did not make sense to you.
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